Talk about kicking you while you’re down. In the wake of a 3-14 season and Saquon’s Super Bowl revenge tour, it seems everyone is out to get the New York Giants in 2025.
The NFC East is jacked, the G-Men were dealt the hardest schedule in the land, and the NFL odds pegged New York as an underdog in all but one game.
All that said, the Giants are improved and made significant upgrades at key roles, such as quarterback and the pass rush.
Look-ahead spreads are plump with points, handing New York more than a field goal in 12 games and +6.5 or higher in six of those contests. While the win total calls for a bottom-tier finish, this “bad” team may be just “good” enough to cover those hefty lines.
My 2025 NFL betting preview of the New York Giants dares to go there.
New York Giants best bets
Read on for Jason's full analysis and New York Giants breakdown!
New York Giants odds for 2025
| Market |  |
|---|---|
| Win Super Bowl | +20000 |
| Win conference | +10000 |
| Win division | +3000 |
| Make playoffs | +700 |
| Over 5.5 wins | +110 |
| Under 5.5 wins | -140 |
Best futures bet: Under 5.5 Wins (-140)
There’s a big difference between covering a spread and actually winning a game.
As mentioned, bookies have the New York Giants listed as a sizable pup most weeks, and the schedule doesn’t open many windows for victory. Even the matchups that offer the best shot come on the road (at New Orleans, at New England, at Las Vegas).
I have a tough time counting to six wins, but it will be a sweat for anyone betting the Under 5.5. The final three weeks (vs. Minnesota, at Las Vegas, vs. Dallas) draw tight spreads of +2.5, +2.5, and +1.5.
New York Giants at a glance: Begging for big plays
If the Giants are going to crawl out of the NFC basement, they will need some big plays. Those have been hard to come by in the past few seasons.
Offensively, the QB additions of Russell Wilson and Jameis Winston instantly inject a deep threat that wasn’t there in 2024. Opponents at least have to respect the fact that New York can go over the top, and second-year WR Malik Nabers will benefit.
Defensively, the front seven is bringing the heat like Randy Johnson eating buffalo wings in a sauna. The Giants boasted a high rate of pressure when bringing blitz last year, and defensive coordinator Shane Bowen is expected to crank the knob to 11.
What will win bets: Pass rush
Quarterback killers Kayvon Thibodeaux, Brian Burns, Dexter Lawrence II, and rookie Abdul Carter will create chaos and rack up game-changing sacks. That pressure will also protect a shoddy secondary.
Last season, the Giants ranked in the Bottom 5 of both success rate allowed and EPA allowed per dropback, with rival QBs owning a passer rating of 103.1 — third highest in the land.
Slowing down opposing passing games is vital to staying within the points, considering this monster of a schedule features some of the top quarterbacks in the NFL.
What will lose bets: Offensive line
In order to make those desired “big plays”, the G-Men need to give Wilson or Winston time in the pocket for home runs to develop. That’s an ask for this offensive line.
The core group from 2024 returns, which is not always a good thing, especially when that group gave up the 28th-highest pressure rate in the league.
The daunting 2025 slate is ripe with elite defensive foes, many of which unleash a furious pass rush. The aging bones of DangerRuss and Jaboo can’t take too many big hits before you're starting a rookie QB.
New York Giants schedule + spot bet: Worse before it gets better
As mentioned, the schedule makers cooked up a heinous 2025 schedule for Brian Daboll and the Giants and wasted little time throwing them into the fire.
New York opens with back-to-back road games at Washington (+6.5) and Dallas (+4.5) before a Sunday Night home opener against Kansas City (+6.5) in Week 3.
In fact, the Giants play five of their first eight games away from East Rutherford, including two meetings with Philadelphia in October. This road of woe fuels the “First Coach Fired” odds, which list Daboll around a +400 frontrunner.
Things do lighten up a bit in the home stretch. New York goes to New England on a Monday in Week 12 (+3), then has a late bye in Week 13 before playing three of the final four games at MetLife and traveling to Vegas in Week 17.
Spot bet: Week 16 vs. Minnesota (+2.5, 42.5)
While the G-Men eat a lot of shit due to their schedule, they also benefit from a few advantageous spots. One of which comes late in the year when the Giants host the Vikings.
Minnesota will be playing the second of two straight road games (at Dallas for SNF in Week 15), the fourth away game in five weeks, and will close out six roadies in nine games in New Jersey on December 21.
Adding to that grind is a gnarly look-ahead spot for the Vikes, who face the rival Detroit Lions on a short week due to a Thursday Christmas Day outing in Week 17.
Like a good Nabers
| Market | |
|---|---|
| Win MVP | +30000 |
| Win Offensive Player of the Year | +2500 |
| Lead NFL in Receiving Yards | +1100 |
| Lead NFL in Touchdown Receptions | +2200 |
| Over 1150.5 Receiving Yards | -110 |
| Under 1150.5 Receiving Yards | -110 |
Malik Nabers best bet: Over 1150.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Nabers is going to get the targets to top this prop total, and player projections call for a monster year, thanks to the Giants’ revamped QB carousel. There, there. Daniel Jones can’t hurt you anymore.
Season-long forecasts have Nabers reeling in between 1,300 and 1,400 receiving yards in 2025. In 15 games as a rookie, he drew 170 targets for 109 catches and just over 1,200 yards, but averaged only 11.0 yards per reception due to Jones’ noodle arm.
Wilson and Winston will let’er rip, and with New York likely trailing most Sundays, there will be plenty of passes in the “Nabor-hood”.
New York Giants trend: Non-divisional unders
The Under has been the play whenever Big Blue ventures beyond the NFC East.
In Daboll’s first three seasons as head coach, New York is 11-22 Over/Under in non-divisional competition, including a 4-7 O/U count against foreign foes last year.
Put the Giants on the road in those non-divisional clashes and they stay Under the total at a 71% clip (4-10 O/U).
More NFL team previews
Want to see Jason's forecast for the rest of the NFL? Check out all of his NFL team previews below!
| Bills | Ravens | Texans | Broncos |
| Dolphins | Bengals | Colts | Chiefs |
| Patriots | Browns | Jaguars | Raiders |
| Jets | Steelers | Titans | Chargers |
| Cowboys | Bears | Falcons | Cardinals |
| Giants | Lions | Panthers | Rams |
| Eagles | Packers | Saints | 49ers |
| Commanders | Vikings | Buccaneers | Seahawks |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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