Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 17, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.
MIL
@
MIN
Sun, May 17 • 2:10 PM ET
CHC
@
CHW
Sun, May 17 • 2:10 PM ET
o8.5 (-115)
Erick Fedde has only faced one team that ranks Top-10 in OBP, and he lasted just 14 outs while conceding three earned runs. The Cubs rank Top-10 in almost every offensive category. Colin Rea sits in the 15th percentile in xERA and has really struggled against lefties. Not ideal going up against powerful left-handed hitters like Colson Montgomery and Munetaka Murakami.
CHC (-130)
Erick Fedde owns a FIP (6.03) that is 2.26 runs higher than his ERA (3.77). No other starting pitcher on today's slate has a FIP even 1.0 greater than their ERA. He is not pitching well, and that will shine through against a Chicago Cubs offense that ranks second in OBP and fourth in runs.
TEX
@
HOU
Sun, May 17 • 2:10 PM ET
KC
@
STL
Sun, May 17 • 2:15 PM ET
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total Home Runs (+558)
Jordan Walker has gone deep in two of his last three games while batting .358 so far in May. The 6-foot-6 outfielder has the fifth-highest average exit velocity in baseball (94.8 mph), so it’s no surprise that he’s piling up the homers.
AZ
@
COL
Sun, May 17 • 3:10 PM ET
SF
@
ATH
Sun, May 17 • 4:05 PM ET
LAD
@
LAA
Sun, May 17 • 4:07 PM ET
Mookie Betts o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
After the L.A. Dodgers exploded for 15 runs yesterday against the cross-city Angels, I’m buying into a key piece of that offense tonight. Mookie Betts served up a homer and a single in last night’s rout, and that’s the surest sign yet that his oblique strain is behind him.
It was Betts’ second dinger of the week, and I like these odds for 2+ bases here, especially with Angels starter Grayson Rodriguez just returning from the 15-day IL. Though Betts has struggled to post elite numbers this year, there’s been no dip in his exit velocity and he’s done his best work against righties on the road. Look for that trend to continue tonight.
Max Muncy o0.5 Total Home Runs (+361)
Max Muncy has been crushing the baseball, ranking 11th in the majors in hard hit percentage and eighth in barrels per plate appearance percentage. Angels starter Grayson Rodriguez is set to make his first appearance in the majors since July 2024, while their bullpen ranks third last in ERA with 22 homers allowed.
SD
@
SEA
Sun, May 17 • 7:20 PM ET
u7.5 (-110)
Seattle is swing-happy, ranking third-worst in whiff rate (27.7%). That plays directly into the hands of San Diego's relievers, who rank second in K/9 innings (10.91) this month. The Mariners' bullpen shouldn't be taxed too heavily behind Kirby, but this a strong relief corps. Seattle relievers are eighth by ERA in May (2.38).
SEA (-157)
Kirby doesn't rack up Ks (38th percentile), but he gets batters to chase (92nd percentile), and doesn't issue many free passes (17th in BB/9 innings among qualified starters). The Padres lineup has been absolutely awful in May, ranking dead-last in OPS (.593).
MIL
@
STL
Tue, Jul 7 • 2:15 PM ET
u8.0 (-120)
If Brandon Sproat can hold his own early, the Brewers will turn to an excellent bullpen that ranks fifth in xFIP and tied for third in homers allowed per nine innings.
Colder weather and Andre Pallante’s high ground-ball rate (50%) should allow the Cardinals to limit the long ball. That’ll make it difficult to score runs in bulk, helping keep this game Under the total.
MIL (-110)
Brandon Sproat’s xFIP and SIERA are two full runs less than his ERA, suggesting he hasn’t pitched as poorly as it appears on the surface.
Andre Pallante has posted some concerning numbers against lefties (47.2% hard-hit rate, 13.2% barrel rate), and the Brewers have plenty of good ones in their lineup. This mismatch favors the visitors, and we'll take the Brewers on the ML.
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