MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on April 19, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Sun, Apr 19 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
Projection 1.51
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as baseball's 10th-best home run batter.. Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 14.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for batters.. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Oneil Cruz stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team on the slate today.
Total Bases
Cedric Mullins logo
Cedric Mullins u1.5 Total Bases (-210)
Projection 0.76
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins in the 5th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Cedric Mullins is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.. PNC Park ranks as the #30 stadium in the majors for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the league, the 6th-highest fences are at PNC Park.. PNC Park has the 7th-most fair ground among all parks — generally bad for homers.
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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Sun, Apr 19 • 1:35 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Willy Adames logo Willy Adames o0.5 Total Home Runs (+420)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Willy Adames has two homers in his last eight games and will have the upper hand vs. a brutal Nationals pitching staff.

Miles Mikolas has already given up six homers in four outings, while the Nats bullpen has been hammered for 22 dingers - tied for the most in the majors.

Total Hits
Nasim Nunez logo
Nasim Nunez u0.5 Total Hits (+125)
Projection 0.65
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nasim Nunez in the 13th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Nasim Nunez is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in today's game.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.. In the past two weeks, Nasim Nunez has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sun, Apr 19 • 1:35 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Spread
New York Yankees logo NYY -1.5 (+165)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Ryan Weathers doesn’t need to be perfect today — he just needs to be better than Cole Ragans, and that bar isn’t especially high. Ragans walks nearly 15% of the batters he faces, and the Kansas City Royals bullpen has been leaking runs, posting a 6.08 ERA with 1.55 home runs allowed per nine innings. The New York Yankees’ lineup is deep enough to capitalize. Ben Rice and Aaron Judge are barreling the ball at elite rates, while Trent Grisham works counts as well as anyone in the lineup. The moneyline price is solid, but the run line is where the real value lies.

 

Total Hits
Giancarlo Stanton logo
Giancarlo Stanton u0.5 Total Hits (+126)
Projection 0.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 15th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Yankee Stadium as the 4th-worst venue in baseball for righty base hits.. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which often leads to less offense.. The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 4th-lowest level on the schedule today at 51°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. In today's matchup, Giancarlo Stanton is at a disadvantage facing the league's 8th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.4% rate (85th percentile).
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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Sun, Apr 19 • 1:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Gunnar Henderson logo Gunnar Henderson o0.5 Total Home Runs (+520)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Gunnar Henderson is already up to seven home runs this season, and he added to that total with another dinger against the Guardians yesterday.

Henderson will be able to take advantage of Cleveland's bullpen, which has given up 13 homers - the fifth most in the majors.

Total Hits
Jose Ramirez logo
Jose Ramirez u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.92
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-coldest weather of the day at 46°.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Sun, Apr 19 • 1:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Gary Sanchez logo
Gary Sanchez o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.49
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Gary Sanchez as the game's 18th-best home run hitter.. Gary Sanchez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game 14° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.. Gary Sanchez has exhibited some good exit velocity metrics recently, averaging 99.1-mph on his flyballs over the past 14 days.. Posting a 25.400 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Gary Sanchez grades out in the 82nd percentile for power.
Total Bases
Joey Ortiz logo
Joey Ortiz o1.5 Total Bases (+260)
Projection 1.21
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game 14° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.. Extreme flyball batters like Joey Ortiz generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Eury Perez.. In terms of his batting average, Joey Ortiz has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .227 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .241.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Sun, Apr 19 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Byron Buxton logo
Byron Buxton u0.5 Total Hits (+200)
Projection 0.9
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
In the majors, Target Field's centerfield dimensions are the 9th-deepest.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather forecast for this contest forecasts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 42°.. Brady Singer will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Byron Buxton in today's matchup... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Singer's huge platoon split.. With a 3.63 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Byron Buxton has demonstrated poor plate discipline, placing in the 21st percentile.
Total Bases
Matt Wallner logo
Matt Wallner u1.5 Total Bases (-230)
Projection 0.67
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
In the majors, Target Field's centerfield dimensions are the 9th-deepest.. Target Field has the 5th-tallest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather forecast for this contest forecasts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 42°.. Over the past week, Matt Wallner's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.3% down to 0%.. Matt Wallner's average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 88.9-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 75-mph in the past 7 days.
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Houston Astros logo HOU Sun, Apr 19 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Nolan Gorman logo
Nolan Gorman u1.5 Total Bases (-250)
Projection 0.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 3rd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. The league's 3rd-tallest average fence height can be found at Minute Maid Park.. Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. Nolan Gorman pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.6% — 86th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 9th-deepest RF fences in today's game.. Nolan Gorman will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.
Total Bases
Pedro Pages logo
Pedro Pages o1.5 Total Bases (+215)
Projection 1.31
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Pedro Pages is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Minute Maid Park as the 6th-best stadium in the game for right-handed home runs.. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 14° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.. Pedro Pages has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.3-mph to 97.8-mph in the past week.. Pedro Pages's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 38.4% to 51.9%.
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New York Mets logo NYM @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Sun, Apr 19 • 2:20 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Michael Busch logo
Michael Busch u1.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 0.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Wrigley Field as the 4th-worst field in baseball for boosting offensive stats to left-handed hitters.. In the league, the 7th-highest fence height (on average) are at Wrigley Field.. The weather report expects the 3rd-best pitching weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. In today's game, Michael Busch is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.7% rate (81st percentile).. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-strongest infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.
Total Bases
Ian Happ logo
Ian Happ u1.5 Total Bases (-185)
Projection 0.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Wrigley Field as the 4th-worst field in baseball for boosting offensive stats to left-handed hitters.. Wrigley Field has the 5th-deepest right field fences among all stadiums.. In the league, the 7th-highest fence height (on average) are at Wrigley Field.. The weather report expects the 3rd-best pitching weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-strongest infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Sun, Apr 19 • 3:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Shohei Ohtani logo Shohei Ohtani o0.5 Total Home Runs (+186)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Rockies starter Michael Lorenzen is carrying an 8.10 ERA over five starts while allowing four dingers this season. The Rockies bullpen has also been susceptible to the long ball, allowing 11 homers.

All five of Shohei Ohtani's home runs have come in the last 13 games, and he'll enjoy a homer-friendly ballpark at Coors Field.

Total Bases
Kyle Karros logo
Kyle Karros o1.5 Total Bases (+215)
Projection 1.39
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Kyle Karros's BABIP skill is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best venue in MLB for run-scoring.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Kyle Karros will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Kyle Karros has exhibited some good exit velocity benchmarks of late, averaging 99.9-mph on his flyballs in the past two weeks.
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Sun, Apr 19 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Tanner Murray logo
Tanner Murray u0.5 Total Hits (+131)
Projection 0.64
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tanner Murray in the 14th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Tanner Murray is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game.. In today's game, Tanner Murray is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38% rate (79th percentile).. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Athletics.. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Tanner Murray in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Munetaka Murakami logo
Munetaka Murakami u1.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 0.72
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Batting from the same side that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Munetaka Murakami encounters a tough challenge in today's game.. Munetaka Murakami hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball's 10th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup.. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Athletics.. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Munetaka Murakami in today's matchup.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Sun, Apr 19 • 4:07 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Oswald Peraza logo
Oswald Peraza o1.5 Total Bases (+290)
Projection 1.28
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Angel Stadium projects as the #7 park in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the majors, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.5-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Oswald Peraza will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Zach Neto logo
Zach Neto o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.71
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Neto in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Zach Neto is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Angel Stadium projects as the #7 park in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the majors, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.
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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Sun, Apr 19 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Brandon Nimmo logo
Brandon Nimmo o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. This contest is expected to have the 11th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Brandon Nimmo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryan Woo in today's game... and even more favorably, Woo has a large platoon split.. Brandon Nimmo has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.
Total Bases
Corey Seager logo
Corey Seager o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 2.02
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Corey Seager projects as the 8th-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Corey Seager is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks.. This contest is expected to have the 11th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Considering Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Corey Seager will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Sun, Apr 19 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Kazuma Okamoto logo
Kazuma Okamoto o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.46
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run talent, Kazuma Okamoto ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #2 stadium in baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 20° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. In the last week, Kazuma Okamoto's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 97.1-mph over the course of the season to 100.4-mph in recent games.
Total Bases
Corbin Carroll logo
Corbin Carroll o1.5 Total Bases (+122)
Projection 1.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 44 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Chase Field profiles as the #2 ballpark in the majors for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 20° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.
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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Sun, Apr 19 • 4:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Isiah Kiner-Falefa logo
Isiah Kiner-Falefa u0.5 Total Hits (+140)
Projection 0.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Isiah Kiner-Falefa ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Isiah Kiner-Falefa is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this game.. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has been pinch hit for 12% of the time when starting against a lefty on the mound since the start of last season.. Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which tends to lead to worse offense.. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report projects the coldest weather of all games today at 48°.
Total Hits
Willson Contreras logo
Willson Contreras u0.5 Total Hits (+175)
Projection 0.85
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which tends to lead to worse offense.. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report projects the coldest weather of all games today at 48°.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Sun, Apr 19 • 7:20 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber u1.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 0.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #6 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing offensive stats to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for the 5th-most favorable pitching conditions of all games on the slate.
Total Bases
Mike Yastrzemski logo
Mike Yastrzemski o1.5 Total Bases (+265)
Projection 1.25
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the majors — generally good for homers.. Mike Yastrzemski will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Painter in today's matchup.. In the past week, Mike Yastrzemski's 63.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.5%.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (22.6) may lead us to conclude that Mike Yastrzemski has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his 16.2 actual HR/600.. As it relates to plate discipline, Mike Yastrzemski's talent is quite good, putting up a 1.58 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 87th percentile.
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