NFL
NBA
MLB
NHL
GOLF
Today's MLB Picks
NY Yankees
at
LA Dodgers
at
LA Dodgers
Pick - Prop
Aaron Judge o1.5 strikeouts (+145)
Best Odds
+145
+145
Judge put together another MVP season for the Yankees, posting a 1.159 OPS and clubbing 58 homers in 158 games. However, big swings also come with big misses and Judge was in the bottom 15th percentile in whiff rate (30.7%) while his 172 strikeouts was the 16th-highest number in the majors. The Dodgers are starting Jack Flaherty in Game 1 and he finished the regular season with 194 punchouts in 162 innings while ranking in the top 10th percentile in strikeout rate and whiff rate. L.A. also has a strong bullpen with a slew of righties like Michael Kopech, Daniel Hudson, Evan Phillips, and Blake Treinen who combined for 10.4 K/9 during the regular season. Judge has gone just 5-for-31 at the dish (.161 BA) with 13 strikeouts during the postseason. He has struck out at least twice in four of nine postseason games, including each of his last three contests.
Rohit Ponnaiya - Pick Made 1 day, 10 hrs, 28 min ago.
NY Yankees
at
LA Dodgers
at
LA Dodgers
Pick - Prop
Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (-120)
Best Odds
o1.5
-120
o1.5
-120
Ohtani is slugging .500 in the postseason and slashed an incredible .310/.390/.646 during the regular season. Ohtani was dominant with the platoon advantage, slugging .717 against righties, and he also saw his numbers tick up at home where he slugged .675. He'll have both the platoon advantage and the home-field advantage against Yankees ace Gerrit Cole on Friday. Cole's velocity is down when compared to previous years and he hasn't been making batters miss like he used to. He sits in the bottom 30th percentile in ground ball rate and average exit velocity which is bad news against a fly-ball power-hitter like Ohtani who was second in the majors in adjusted exit velocity. Cole relies on a four-seamer that he throws 45.6% of the time but he also likes to mix in a slider and knuckle curve. Ohtani mashes all three of those offerings, slugging .639 against fastballs, .826 versus sliders and .745 against curves.
Rohit Ponnaiya - Pick Made 1 day, 10 hrs, 38 min ago.
NY Yankees
at
LA Dodgers
at
LA Dodgers
Pick - Prop
Gerrit Cole u15.5 Outs Recorded (-130)
Best Odds
u15.5
-130
u15.5
-130
LA enters this game ranking 1st in the playoffs in walks per game at six and is second overall on the season. Beyond that, LA's metrics have painted them as very patient at the plate, ranking second in baseball in chase rate; given that the Dodgers trail only New York in both of these metrics, it's easier to argue that Cole hasn't pitched against a more patient swinging team all season. That's a problem. It's a problem for a multitude of reasons. Cole has been erratic throughout the season, best illustrated by his previous start. That's when he walked four Guardians players and lasted only 4.1 innings. It's what he's done much of the season with a below-average walk rate and being a chase-reliant pitcher, getting some of the lowest chases on pitches of his career. I expect that to continue against a lineup built to challenge pitchers like him.
Chris Hatfield - Pick Made 10 hrs, 39 min ago.
NY Yankees
at
LA Dodgers
at
LA Dodgers
Pick - Total
at
o8 (-112)
The Yankees and Dodgers have respectively averaged 4.78 and 6.36 runs per game during the playoffs, and I’m not anticipating the two offenses cooling down in Game 1. New York and Los Angeles ranked first and second in wOBA against right-handed pitchers during the regular season, and the Over hit in all six games of the National League Championship Series while going 3-1-1 in the American League Championship Series.
Neil Parker - Pick Made 3 days, 13 hrs, 50 min ago.
NY Yankees
at
LA Dodgers
at
LA Dodgers
Pick - Prop
Gerrit Cole u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-115)
The Dodgers posted a middling 22% K-rate and second-ranked .335 wOBA against right-handed pitchers during the regular season and then improved with respective 20% and .340 marks during the playoffs. Cole fanned four batters in each of his three postseason starts, and both his K/9 and K% during the regular season were down from previous years. It aligns with his velocity and pitch values of three of his four most frequent offerings also declining. Additionally, Cole generated fewer swinging strikes while opposing hitters had a higher contact percentage during the regular season, per FanGraphs.
Neil Parker - Pick Made 3 days, 13 hrs, 57 min ago.
Latest MLB headlinesCheckout latest headlinesRead More
Sportsbook promos
What are Covers’ MLB Free picks and predictions?
Covers’ has more than 25 years of experience making smart MLB picks from the season’s first pitch to the World Series.
We find the best MLB odds and share our picks and baseball best bets for all the significant games of the baseball season right here on this page.
Our picks are researched and analyzed by experienced sports bettors looking for an edge to get the best value from their MLB betting.
Free MLB Expert Picks
Making smart MLB picks means looking beyond the favorites. Our free expert baseball picks will include a wide variety of bet types and markets.
Every day our baseball analysts look for quality baseball picks to share. You can expect well-researched picks on the money, run line, totals, player props, and much more.
Free MLB Run Line Picks
Run lines are what other sports like football and basketball refer to as point spreads. Run lines even the odds between two teams, offering bettors as close to an even matchup as possible. Our analysts research vital stats, pitching matchups, injuries, and more to give you the best possible edge before making your MLB run line bets.
Free MLB Totals Picks
Covers’ analysts make MLB Over/Under picks throughout the baseball season. Betting on MLB Over/Unders means choosing whether you think the combined total runs scored in a game will be Over or Under a specific run total set by oddsmakers.
Free MLB Moneyline Picks
Betting on the MLB moneyline means picking which team will win a game outright. While less common than picking the run line or even a prop, our analysts will always look for high-value baseball moneyline picks if they feel it’s the best bet.
Free MLB Prop Picks
There’s always value in MLB props. Our team scours through game, team, and player props to try and find opportunity and value. From strikeouts to home runs, expect well-researched MLB prop picks from Covers.
MLB Consensus Picks
Covers’ consensus MLB picks show you the odds and predictions that our vibrant community of bettors and players are making. Try our picks on with our free MLB contests for a chance at prizes and more.
Best Baseball Betting Sites
If you’re ready to bet on MLB picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. The best MLB betting sites offer secure banking, best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service.
More Free Picks
Covers’ staff of sports betting fans also offers a wide array of free picks for the NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAA basketball, and NCAA football.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
