Today's MLB Picks

Pick - Moneyline
Texas Texas Logo at Houston Logo Houston
Houston Houston (-130)

Although Max Scherzer is scheduled to get the nod for Texas on Sunday, that may work against the defending champs. The veteran right-hander has struggled mightily in his last three starts versus Houston batters, surrendering 14 earned runs and five home runs across 9 2/3 innings of work. Meanwhile, Astros starter Ronel Blanco was extremely effective in two April starts against the Rangers, allowing just two ER in two starts that each spanned six innings. As winners of seven out of their last 10 games, back Houston to prevail in this AL West rubber match. 

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Trevor Knapp - Pick Made 16 hrs, 5 min ago.

Pick - Prop
Texas Texas Logo at Houston Logo Houston
Houston Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Best Odds +110

The ascendance of Alvarez has been impressive with the former AL Rookie of the Year seemingly getting better each season. However, it looked like he might take a step back earlier this year after an inconsistent start. He’s quickly put that thought to rest by absolutely obliterating baseballs since the start of June. He’s racked up 83 total bases over the last two months while averaging 2.5 per game with 20 extra-base hits, including 10 dingers. He also somehow just keeps getting better each month with a slash line of .355/.512/.710 in July. That doesn’t bode well for Max Scherzer, who’s making just his fifth start of the season and has gotten worse with each outing.

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Rob Paul - Pick Made 3 hrs, 10 min ago.

Pick - Moneyline
Chi. Cubs Chi. Cubs Logo at St. Louis Logo St. Louis
Chi. Cubs Chi. Cubs (+115)

The Cardinals hand the ball to right-hander Miles Mikolas, and he should be a good fade candidate. Mikolas possesses a fade-worthy 4.88 ERA and 1.21 WHIP through 19 starts this season. His underlying metrics are equally poor as he ranks in the 37th percentile or lower in xERA, xBA, strikeout rate, and hard-hit rate. These woes are likely to continue against the Cubs, a team Mikolas possesses a 5.00 ERA against over the past four meetings. 

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Tony Sartori - Pick Made 2 hrs, 13 min ago.

Pick - Prop
Atlanta Atlanta Logo at San Diego Logo San Diego
Atlanta Jarred Kelenic o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Best Odds +115

Atlanta has been very poor against RHP lately (81 wRC+, .286 wOBA across the last 15 days) but does have one left-handed bat who stands out as an exception. Leadoff man Jarred Kelenic has a 113 wRC+, .332 wOBA, and .186 ISO against RHP. He’s collected 21 of his 24 extra-base hits against righties. The books are offering plus money on Kelenic to exceed 1.5 total bases and that’s my favorite player prop on the board.

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JD Yonke - Pick Made 1 hrs, 23 min ago.

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