England vs Argentina Cheat Sheet: What to Know Before Trading on Today's World Cup Semifinal

C Jackson Cowart - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
C Jackson Cowart • Betting Analyst 10+ years betting experience
Updated: Jul 15, 2026 , 08:05 AM ET

We give you the key match probabilities, top picks, and key info to know ahead of England vs. Argentina.

England vs Argentina cheat sheet
Photo By - Reuters Connect. England's Jude Bellingham celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates

It's destiny vs. dynasty in the second semifinal of World Cup 2026, as Lionel Messi and Argentina look to defend their title against England, who have not been to a World Cup semifinal since their last championship... 60 years ago.

To help you with your England vs. Argentina predictions ahead of this afternoon's game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, we've put together an England vs. Argentina cheat sheet to cover the action from every angle ahead of the 3 p.m. ET kickoff (broadcast on FOX).

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England vs Argentina match probabilities

Market Kalshi
Probability
American Odds
To advance England  53% -113
Argentina  47% +113
To win in regulation England  36% +178
Tie - 34% +194
Argentina  32% +213
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Who is most likely to score a goal in England vs Argentina?

Player Kalshi
Probability
American Odds
Argentina Lionel Messi 41% +144
England Harry Kane 38% +163
England Jude Bellingham 26% +285
Argentina Julian Alvarez 22% +355
Argentina Lautaro Martinez 20% +400

England vs Argentina match props

Player Kalshi
Probability
American Odds
Both teams to score 54% -117
First team to score England  48% +108
Argentina  45% +122
Total corners: 9+ Yes - 54% -117
No - 47% +113
England corners: 5+ 53% -113
Argentina corners: 4+ 61% -156

England vs Argentina expert picks

Player Kalshi
Probability
American Odds
England England to advance 53% -113
Argentina Argentina 4+ corners 61% -156
England Jude Bellingham to score a goal 26% +285
Argentina Lionel Messi 1+ assist 25% +300
England Declan Rice 1+ assist 12% +733

Covers Intel: England vs Argentina

England vs. Argentina Cheat Sheet

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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C Jackson Cowart
Betting Analyst

C Jackson Cowart is a content strategy consultant for Covers with a special focus on big events and research projects. In his seven years covering sports betting as a predictive analyst, features writer, and industry reporter, he has stayed true to "process over results" while specifically targeting futures betting and news-driven markets, where he can lean on advanced metrics and an understanding of market psychology to attack value before the number moves.

An award-winning writer and editor with a decade of experience in sports media, "C-Jax" has previously worked with ESPN, Forbes, theScore, and multiple large daily newspapers. He's a proud graduate of the University of North Carolina, where he covered the Tar Heels' championship run through the 2017 NCAA men's basketball tournament. He's cashed some big tickets over the years — including Lamar Jackson to win MVP (twice) — but he's still haunted by enough second-place slips to wallpaper his home office.

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