Heading into the 2025 NFL season, there are some truly piss-poor teams. The Tennessee Titans could be the poorest.
Look-ahead lines have the Titans favored only twice, season win totals place Tennessee’s 5.5 O/U among the lowest in the land, and the NFL odds to win the AFC give this team a 0.99% chance to win the conference.
You can push all those projections to the side, however. There is one tell when it comes to the very worst team in the NFL: primetime games. And the Titans have none.
The schedule makers sweep Tennessee under the rug, along with a pile of points from the oddsmakers most Sundays.
Last year’s Titans were the worst bet in football (2-15 ATS), and my Tennessee Titans NFL betting preview scrounges for any evidence to say otherwise in 2025.
Tennessee Titans best bets
Read on for Jason's full analysis and Tennessee Titans breakdown!
Tennessee Titans odds for 2025
| Market |  |
|---|---|
| Win Super Bowl | +20000 |
| Win conference | +10000 |
| Win division | +800 |
| Make playoffs | +400 |
| Over 5.5 wins | -155 |
| Under 5.5 wins | +125 |
Best futures bet: Under 5.5 Wins (+125)
The AFC South doesn’t exactly throw down the gauntlet, but combing through the Tennessee Titans’ schedule, it’s tough to find six wins.
Tennessee is going with first-overall pick Cam Ward at quarterback, tossing the Miami standout into an opening schedule that puts the team on the road five times in the first eight weeks.
The front nine features some of the league’s most dangerous defenses, likes of the Denver Broncos, the L.A. Rams, Houston Texans, New England Patriots and the L.A. Chargers.
The Titans don’t have the skill players to lift Ward up, and the Tennessee defense could be dead last in the league. This team’s not getting to six wins.
Tennessee Titans at a glance: No. 1 stunner
The last three quarterbacks selected No. 1 overall in the NFL Draft – Caleb Williams, Bryce Young, and Trevor Lawrence – failed to win more than five games in their rookie campaign.
While those QBs were a combined 14-37 SU in their first seasons, they did finish with a collective 25-23-3 ATS record. That’s not breaking the bank, but it does show promise for anyone bold enough to bet on Ward and the Titans.
Look-ahead lines hand Tennessee +3.5 or more in nine games this season, including six spreads of +5.5 or higher.
What will win bets: All those points
The Titans have been my “white whale” in recent NFL seasons.
Last year, I believed there could be point spread value in this team and bet them a number of times in the opening weeks of the season. Tennessee crawled out to a 1-4 ATS start, including a few painful beats in the fourth quarter. That was enough for me.
This time around, the bookies are giving the Titans more padding. They’re getting points in all but two games, and nine of those lines are on the happy side of a field goal.
Am I rushing back to the window to bet the Titans in 2025? Hell no. But those hefty underdog spreads are one of the few things going for this team.
What will lose bets: Offense
Honestly, there are several things that will blow up bets on the Titans this season. This offense, as a whole, covers a lot of those bases.
For one, we have a rookie QB thrown into the frying pan. Surrounding Ward is a retooled offensive line that was among the worst in 2024 and a shallow depth chart in terms of skill players.
Look-ahead lines have Tennessee playing from behind most weeks, which means more passing and fewer touches for the rushing game, which could be the best part of the playbook. The 2025 schedule is also littered with some top-tier defenses as well.
Tennessee Titans schedule + spot bet: Rough road for rookie QB
The strength of schedule says the Titans draw the 29th toughest slate; however, the first eight weeks are an uphill climb.
Tennessee opens at Denver – perhaps the toughest place to play in Week 1. The Broncos use that thin air to their advantage as early-season foes work their way into game shape, boasting a 20-5 SU record and 14-7-4 ATS count in home openers since 2000.
That climb to Mile High is the first of five road games in the opening eight weeks for Tennessee, including a stretch of three straight away games between Week 4 and 6. Not only does all that travel put restraints on proper practices and prep but has Ward battling crowd noise as he learns this new offense.
The schedule does find balance in the back nine with six of those contests coming in Nashville. Tennessee is home to the Chargers in Week 9, enjoys a bye in Week 10, and then stays at home for three straight outings between Week 11 and Week 13.
Spot bet: Week 12 vs. Jacksonville +1.5 45.5
Tennessee has a few situational edges this season, hosting teams packing plenty of road games into the schedule. One that jumps out sends the Jacksonville Jaguars to Music City in Week 12.
Jacksonville will be playing back-to-back away games and its fourth road game in five weeks at Tennessee. In fact, due to an international game in Week 7 and a bye in Week 8, the Jaguars have just one home game between October 19 and November 30.
This stretch of schedule has the Jags bouncing around the map, jumping to Las Vegas in Week 9, Houston in Week 10, back home in Week 11, then to the Arizona Cardinals in Week 12, before jetting to Tennessee in Week 12.
This will be the final of three straight home games for the Titans, who need all the help they can get after going 0-8 ATS at home in 2024.
Keep Ward off the board
| Market | |
|---|---|
| Win Offensive Rookie of the Year | +275 |
| Lead NFL in Passing Yards | +10000 |
| Over 3205.5 Passing Yards | -110 |
| Under 3205.5 Passing Yards | -110 |
| Over 19.5 Passing Touchdowns | +100 |
| Under 19.5 Passing Touchdowns | -130 |
Cam Ward best bet: Under 19.5 Passing Touchdowns (-130)
Projecting the output of rookie quarterbacks is a tall order. If we look again at those last three QBs selected No. 1 overall, the touchdown count is the most questionable area.
Lawrence managed just a dozen touchdown passes in his first season. Young finished with 11. Williams struck for 20 TDs in 2024, but had a much better offense around him in terms of skill players.
Last season, the Titans were 24th in red zone TD success and were 26th in RZ attempts. Opponents will be protecting leads and running out the clock in the second half, limiting Ward’s snaps and opportunities to top this TD total.
Tennessee Titans trend: Divisional Dud
Worthwhile trends are tough to find for Tennessee, given the franchise’s shakeup over the past two seasons.
One thing that does jump out is an inability to hang with AFC South rivals. Over the past two years, the Titans are 2-10 SU and ATS in divisional games, including a 1-5 SU and ATS count last year.
Tennessee is a favorite in only one of its six AFC South matchups in 2025, laying -1.5 to Indianapolis at home in Week 3.
More NFL team previews
Want to see Jason's forecast for the rest of the NFL? Check out all of his NFL team previews below!
| Bills | Ravens | Texans | Broncos |
| Dolphins | Bengals | Colts | Chiefs |
| Patriots | Browns | Jaguars | Raiders |
| Jets | Steelers | Titans | Chargers |
| Cowboys | Bears | Falcons | Cardinals |
| Giants | Lions | Panthers | Rams |
| Eagles | Packers | Saints | 49ers |
| Commanders | Vikings | Buccaneers | Seahawks |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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