I could pretty much do a Ctrl + C/Ctrl + V of the lead-in from last year’s NFL betting preview for the Baltimore Ravens.
Baltimore once again had great regular season success, including an 10-6-1 ATS mark, but shit the bed in the playoffs.
Postseason flops aside, Baltimore is a champ in the eyes of gamblers. Only Detroit has a better record against the spread the past two seasons, with the Ravens cranking out a 21-12-1 ATS windfall (64%).
The NFL odds back up the chalk truck in 2025, setting some lofty lines for Lamar Jackson & Co. Can Baltimore keep bettors in the black?
Here’s my 2025 NFL betting preview for the Baltimore Ravens.
Baltimore Ravens best bets
Read on for Jason's full analysis and Baltimore Ravens breakdown!
Baltimore Ravens odds for 2025
| Market |  |
|---|---|
| Win Super Bowl | +600 |
| Win conference | +340 |
| Win division | -160 |
| Make playoffs | -550 |
| Over 11.5 wins | -130 |
| Under 11.5 wins | +100 |
Best futures bet: Win AFC North (-160)
The Baltimore Ravens are betting favorites in every game but one in 2025 (+1.5 at Buffalo Week 1). While they have a challenging slate in the first six games (featuring Buffalo, Detroit, Kansas City, Houston, and the L.A. Rams), four of those clashes come at home.
Cincinnati is the closest competition in the AFC North. The Bengals open with a lighter load in terms of opposition, but Cincy’s schedule has its quirks in the first six weeks and the Bengals’ dreadful defense is a work in progress.
The division could come down to two matchups with the Bengals in Week 13 (-5.5 at home) and Week 15 (-2.5 at Cincinnati). The Bengals run a road-heavy path during this crucial time while the Ravens get the benefit of a lighter travel demand.
Baltimore Ravens at a glance: Run and gun
The Ravens offense was scary good in 2024, ranking tops in all the “Holy Grail” advanced metrics. Age and injury are really the only things standing in the way of a repeat performance in 2025.
Jackson was denied a third MVP despite posting his best season. Defenses don’t know what to do, with the run game opening up space for the pass and the pass creating clean air for the run.
All those points and the ability to control pace and clock forces opposing offenses to be one-dimensional, which makes life easy for a defense that’s not as dangerous as it once was.
What will win bets: Offense
If the Ravens are going to keep covering spreads, it will be due to the elite offensive output. Baltimore was the darling of the analytics community and averaged more than 30 points per outing last year.
The rushing attack is still the beating heart of Todd Monken’s playbook. Baltimore was No. 2 in EPA per handoff and success rate per run, chewing up 5.8 yards per carry. The RPO shell game of Jackson and RB Derrick Henry not only moves the chains but cashes in at a 74% clip inside the red zone.
What will lose bets: Front seven
With a clock-eating offense building leads and limiting touches, rivals are forced to play faster and pass more. That falls right into the teeth of the Ravens’ elite secondary (now with more Jaire Alexander!).
If there is a soft spot on this Baltimore team, it’s the front seven. That’s not saying this group is bad. They’re just not great.
Coordinator Zach Orr cushioned the loss of Mike Macdonald as best he could, but the pass pressure isn’t consistently causing chaos, and Baltimore lacks a true superstar rusher that demands double teams.
The Ravens’ schedule is a “who’s who” of big-time arms, headlined by Josh Allen, Joe Burrow, Jared Goff, Patrick Mahomes, C.J. Stroud, Matt Stafford, and Jordan Love. Giving those guys time to throw is bad, no matter how good your secondary is.
Baltimore Ravens schedule + spot bet: Ups and downs
Baltimore drew the eighth-toughest schedule and the calendar has peaks and valleys in terms of demands.
As mentioned, the Ravens take on top-tier contenders in the first six weeks but get to play four of those games at home before a Week 7 bye.
There’s a run of three straight road games (at Miami, Minnesota, Cleveland) between Week 9 and Week 11 followed by a trio of contests in Charm City (vs. Jets, Cincinnati, Pittsburgh). The Ravens range between -3.5 to -11.5 in that six-game span.
The defining stretch of schedule is the final four weeks, which have Baltimore away from the DMV three times. All four are cold weather competitions (at Cincinnati, vs. New England, at Green Bay, at Pittsburgh).
Spot bet: Week 9 at Miami (TNF) -5.5
The Ravens are a tough team to prep for on a regular week, let alone a Thursday night affair.
Miami welcomes Baltimore for a primetime matchup the night before Halloween. The Dolphins face a scary schedule spot, with this being their sixth game in 31 days and coming on the heels of road-heavy stretch.
The Ravens have a bye in Week 7, which the coaching staff will use to get ahead of the short window and gameplan for Miami in Week 9 while also prepping for Chicago in Week 8. Bookies have this look-ahead line just shy of the key number of Baltimore -6.
Less action from Jackson
| Market | |
|---|---|
| Win MVP | +500 |
| Win Offense Player of the Year | +3500 |
| Over 3499.5 Passing Yards | -110 |
| Under 3499.5 Passing Yards | -110 |
| Over 749.5 Rushing Yards | -110 |
| Under 749.5 Rushing Yards | -110 |
Lamar Jackson best bet: Under 749.5 rushing yards (-110)
The tea leaves all point to another MVP-worthy season for Jackson. The dual-threat QB complemented his 4,000-plus passing yards with over 900 rushing yards in 2024, even with Henry demanding carries.
I’m zigging on his 2025 ground production, as are some season-long projections. Most models call for 800 yards or more, but others aren’t so bullish on Lamar’s rushing prospects.
The Ravens run into plenty of Top 10 defenses this season, along with some very strong pass rushes, and we’re seeing Jackson’s number being called less. To avoid wear and tear, Monken may scale back the designed runs and lean into Lamar’s progress as a passer.
Baltimore Ravens trend: Coming off a loss
The Ravens don’t lose very often, but when they do, John Harbaugh’s guys bounce back in style.
Baltimore is 7-1 SU and ATS off a loss the past two seasons and cover at a 68% clip in those spots since 2021 (15-7 SU and ATS).
Last year, the Ravens rebounded with a 4-1 SU and ATS retaliation off a loss in the regular season — 5-1 ATS if you include following a Week 18 loss with a win and cover in the Divisional Round.
More NFL team previews
Want to see Jason's forecast for the rest of the NFL? Check out all of his NFL team previews below!
| Bills | Ravens | Texans | Broncos |
| Dolphins | Bengals | Colts | Chiefs |
| Patriots | Browns | Jaguars | Raiders |
| Jets | Steelers | Titans | Chargers |
| Cowboys | Bears | Falcons | Cardinals |
| Giants | Lions | Panthers | Rams |
| Eagles | Packers | Saints | 49ers |
| Commanders | Vikings | Buccaneers | Seahawks |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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