NFL Rookie of the Year Odds 2026: Jeremiyah Love, David Bailey Favored After Week 2

Player Name	Probability
Jeremiyah Love	19%
Jadarian Price	12%
Denzel Boston	11%
Fernando Mendoza	10%
Jonah Coleman	7%
Carnell Tate	6%
KC Concepcion	5%
Carson Beck	3%

Odds as of 9-23. Percentages courtesy of Kalshi.

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NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year prediction

Although Carnell Tate isn’t flashy and spent the majority of his time in the shadow of both Jeremiah Smith and Emeka Egbuka at Ohio State, he’s an excellent route runner who brings little ego to a Tennessee Titans offense looking for a No. 1 WR.

Tate is an appealing value play while sitting sixth in this market, and he should get plenty of opportunities on a Titans team that will often be playing from behind.

OROY Pick: Carnell Tate (6% probability at Kalshi)

Player Name	Probability
David Bailey	23%
Jacob Rodriguez	21%
Caleb Downs	17%
Sonny Styles	10%
Mansoor Delane	4%
Anthony Hill Jr.	4%
Gabe Jacas	4%
Josiah Trotter	4%

Odds as of 9-23. Percentages courtesy of Kalshi.

Kalshi is a regulated financial exchange where you trade on real-world event outcomes. Instead of traditional odds, prices are listed as percentages (0-100%), representing the market’s estimated probability of an event occurring.

NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year prediction

The New York Jets snagged their edge rusher at No. 2 after selecting David Bailey, who’s fresh off a 14.5-sack season with Texas Tech.

Paired with Will McDonald IV on the other side, the two could complement each other well and give the Gang Green rookie a quick boost right off the bat. Bailey shined in Week 1 while recording four tackles and a sack. He followed that up with another sack in Week 2, alongside three tackles (including one for a loss) and a quarterback hit.

DROY Pick: David Bailey (23% probability at Kalshi)

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NFL Offensive ROY betting trends

• Of the last 21 winners of the NFL OROY Award, 19 were drafted in the first round.

• While quarterback is an extremely difficult position to excel at as a rookie, 11 of the last 22 OROY winners played the position, including four QBs that were selected first overall in the draft.

• Running backs have won four of the last 12 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Awards. However, in recent years when top rookie RBs have gone head-to-head against top QBs for OROY honors, they've often come out on the losing end. Ezekiel Elliott led the NFL in rushing in 2016 but lost the OROY to his teammate Dak Prescott, while Kyler Murray took home the hardware over Josh Jacobs in 2019.

• No offensive lineman has ever won the award, despite recent linemen like Joe Thomas, Matt Kalil, Jack Conklin, Ryan Ramczyk, and Quenton Nelson all making the Pro Bowl in their first year.

NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year history

Here's a look at the recent award history (preseason favorite and winner odds courtesy of Sports Odds History):

Year	Favorite	Winner
2025	Ashton Jeanty	Tetairoa McMillan
2024	Caleb Williams	Jayden Daniels
2023	Bijan Robinson	C.J. Stroud
2022	George Pickens & Kenny Pickett	Garrett Wilson
2021	Trevor Lawrence	Ja'Marr Chase
2020	Joe Burrow	Justin Herbert
2019	Kyler Murray	Kyler Murray
2018	Saquon Barkley	Saquon Barkley
2017	Leonard Fournette	Alvin Kamara
2016	Ezekiel Elliott	Dak Prescott

NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year winners by position

Bears legend Mike Ditka became the first — and so far only — tight end to win Offensive Rookie of the Year when he received the honor in 1961.

NFL Defensive ROY betting trends

• Of the last 36 winners of the NFL DROY Award, an incredible 32 were drafted in the first round. Of the four winners that weren't first-rounders (DeMeco Ryans, Kendrell Bell, Darius Leonard, and Carson Schwesinger), all were still selected within the Top 40.

• Nine of the last 20 DROY winners played linebacker. Two others (Von Miller and Shawne Merriman) were listed at LB but would count as edge players in modern NFL defensive schemes. That said, that number is heavily inflated by four straight DROY-winning linebackers from 2006 to 2009. Over the last 12 years, only four LBs have taken home the award. 

• Four of the last 10 DROY winners played college ball for Ohio State. Three of those (the Bosa brothers and Chase Young) were edge rushers. 

NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year history

Here's a look at the recent award history (preseason favorite and winner odds courtesy of Sports Odds History):

Year	Favorite	Winner
2025	Abdul Carter	Carson Schwesinger
2024	Dallas Turner and Laiatu Latu	Jared Verse
2023	Will Anderson Jr.	Will Anderson Jr.
2022	Aidan Hutchinson	Ahmad "Sauce" Gardner
2021	Micah Parsons	Micah Parsons
2020	Chase Young	Chase Young
2019	Devin Bush	Nick Bosa
2018	Bradley Chubb	Shaquille Leonard
2017	Reuben Foster	Marshon Lattimore

NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year winners by position

A safety hasn’t won NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year honors in over 20 years, dating back to when Mark Carrier (1990) and Erik McMillan (1988) won the award twice over a three-year span.