NFL Coach of the Year odds were high on Mike Vrabel entering last year, and he delivered, guiding the New England Patriots all the way to the Super Bowl.
A similar storyline is emerging ahead of Week 1, with FanDuel favoring John Harbaugh as he begins his first campaign as head coach of the New York Giants.
Following a lengthy tenure with the Baltimore Ravens that included a Super Bowl title in 2013, Harbaugh is listed as the favorite to win NFL Coach of the Year.
Meanwhile, former Ravens DC Jesse Minter also headlines the latest NFL odds for the 2026–27 season.
NFL Coach of the Year odds
| Coach Name |  Probability |
|---|---|
 John Harbaugh |
12% |
 Jesse Minter |
11% |
 Kellen Moore |
9% |
 Brian Schottenheimer |
7% |
 Robert Saleh |
6% |
 Mike Macdonald |
6% |
 Ben Johnson |
5% |
 Aaron Glenn |
5% |
 Jim Harbaugh |
5% |
 Klint Kubiak |
4% |
Odds as of 9-1. Percentages courtesy of Kalshi.
Kalshi is a regulated financial exchange where you trade on real-world event outcomes. Instead of traditional odds, prices are listed as percentages (0-100%), representing the market’s estimated probability of an event occurring.
Start trading with Kalshi today!
Sign up now using our exclusive Kalshi promo code 'COVERS35' and trade $25 on any event contracts — including NFL futures to get $35!
*Eligible U.S. locations only
NFL Coach of the Year prediction
The New Orleans Saints caught fire at the end of last season, winning four of their last five games. With a full season of Tyler Shough under center, Kellen Moore could see this team take a big step forward in his second year as the Saints’ HC.
Based on last season’s win-loss records, the New Orleans Saints are set to have the second-easiest schedule in the NFL this season. New Orleans could quietly emerge as a contender to win the NFC South, a title it hasn’t claimed since 2020.
COY Pick: Kellen Moore (9% probability at Kalshi)
Popular NFL futures markets
NFL Coach of the Year trends
- There has not been a back-to-back Coach of the Year winner since 1982 and 1983 (Joe Gibbs).
- There have been 13 multiple winners of the Coach of the Year award, with three coaches (Don Shula, Chuck Knox, Bill Belichick) taking it home 3+ times.
- Only one man has won NFL Coach of the Year honors despite his team finishing below .500 in the standings that season (Jimmy Johnson in 1990).
NFL Coach of the Year history
A quick look at the NFL COY winners since 2000.
| Year | NFL COY Award Winner |
|---|---|
| 2025 |  Mike Vrabel |
| 2024 |  Kevin O'Connell |
| 2023 |  Kevin Stefanski |
| 2022 | Brian Daboll |
| 2021 | Mike Vrabel |
| 2020 | Kevin Stefanski |
| 2019 | John Harbaugh |
| 2018 | Matt Nagy |
| 2017 |  Sean McVay |
| 2016 | Jason Garrett |
| 2015 |  Ron Rivera |
| 2014 |  Bruce Arians |
| 2013 | Ron Rivera |
| 2012 |  Bruce Arians |
| 2011 |  Jim Harbaugh |
| 2010 | Bill Belichick |
| 2009 |  Marvin Lewis |
| 2008 |  Mike Smith |
| 2007 | Bill Belichick |
| 2006 | Sean Payton |
| 2005 | Lovie Smith |
| 2004 |  Marty Schottenheimer |
| 2003 | Bill Belichick |
| 2002 |  Andy Reid |
| 2001 | Dick Jauron |
| 2000 | Jim Haslett |
NFL COY FAQs
The last time the Coach of the Year winner also won the Super Bowl in the same season was all the way back in 2003, when Bill Belichick's New England Patriots finished the regular season 14-2 and successfully defeated the Carolina Panthers for the Lombardi Trophy.
New York Giants head coach John Harbaugh has the best odds to win the NFL Coach of the Year award.
