NFL Coach of the Year Odds: Vrabel Proves He’s Foxborough’s Fixer

Mike Vrabel’s maiden voyage with New England has gone as well as anyone could have hoped, and the first-year Patriots head coach is just one win away from a Lombardi Trophy.

Trevor Knapp - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Trevor Knapp • Betting Analyst
Feb 1, 2026 • 13:46 ET • 4 min read
Mike Vrabel New England Patriots NFL
Photo By - Imagn Images. New England Patriots head coach Mike Vrabel.

Coach of the Year odds were bullish on Mike Vrabel heading into the 2025-26 season, and it’s safe to say the New England Patriots head coach has righted the ship in Foxborough.

After finishing first in the AFC East with a 14–3 record and running the table in the postseason to reach Super Bowl LX, Vrabel is positioned to run away with Coach of the Year honors, edging out Seattle’s Mike Macdonald and San Francisco’s Kyle Shanahan.

Here are the latest NFL odds leading up to the annual NFL Honors on Thursday, February 5.

NFL Coach of the Year odds

Coach of the Year Finalists
Patriots Mike Vrabel
Seahawks Mike Macdonald
49ers Kyle Shanahan
Jaguars Liam Coen 
Bears Ben Johnson 
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NFL Coach of the Year trends

  • There has not been a back-to-back Coach of the Year winner since 1982 and 1983 (Joe Gibbs).
  • There have been 13 multiple winners of the Coach of the Year award, with three coaches (Don Shula, Chuck Knox, Bill Belichick) winning 3+ times.
  • Only one man has won NFL Coach of the Year honors despite his team finishing below .500 in the standings that season (Jimmy Johnson in 1990). 

NFL Coach of the Year history

A quick look at the NFL COY winners since 2000.

Year NFL COY Award Winner Team
2024 Kevin O'Connell Minnesota Vikings
2023 Kevin Stefanski Cleveland Browns
2022 Brian Daboll New York Giants
2021 Mike Vrabel Tennessee Titans
2020 Kevin Stefanski Cleveland Browns
2019 John Harbaugh Baltimore Ravens
2018 Matt Nagy Chicago Bears
2017 Sean McVay Los Angeles Rams
2016 Jason Garrett Dallas Cowboys
2015 Ron Rivera Carolina Panthers
2014 Bruce Arians Arizona Cardinals
2013 Ron Rivera Carolina Panthers
2012 Bruce Arians Indianapolis Colts
2011 Jim Harbaugh Baltimore Ravens
2010 Bill Belichick New England Patriots
2009 Marvin Lewis Cincinnati Bengals 
2008 Mike Smith Atlanta Falcons
2007 Bill Belichick New England Patriots
2006 Sean Payton New Orleans Saints
2005 Lovie Smith Chicago Bears
2004 Marty Schottenheimer San Diego Chargers
2003 Bill Belichick New England Patriots
2002 Andy Reid Philadelphia Eagles
2001 Dick Jauron Chicago Bears
2000 Jim Haslett New Orleans Saints

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Trevor Knapp - Covers
Betting Analyst

Trevor joined the Covers content team as a publishing editor in early 2022. Growing up in Vancouver, he studied Broadcast and Online Journalism at the British Columbia Institute of Technology (BCIT), and interned with TSN and Sportsnet Radio while also writing for the Daily Hive.

An avid bettor of the MLB, NFL, and CFL, Trevor advises his fellow sports bettors to leave their hearts at the door and not hesitate to fade their favorite team. It's a strategy he follows regularly as an apathetic Indianapolis Colts and Toronto Blue Jays fan.

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