NFL Coach of the Year odds were high on Mike Vrabel entering last year, and he delivered, guiding the New England Patriots all the way to the Super Bowl.
A similar storyline is emerging ahead of Week 1, with Kalshi traders bullish on John Harbaugh entering his first season as head coach of the New York Giants.
Following a lengthy tenure with the Baltimore Ravens that included a Super Bowl title in 2013, Harbaugh is listed as the co-favorite to win NFL Coach of the Year.
Meanwhile, former Ravens DC Jesse Minter also headlines the latest NFL odds for the 2026–27 season.
- Key Takeaways:
- Can Harbaugh revive Gotham?
- Minter brings defensive identity to Baltimore
- Moore looks to build on strong finish
NFL Coach of the Year odds
| Coach Name |  Probability |
|---|---|
 John Harbaugh |
12% |
 Jesse Minter |
12% |
 Brian Schottenheimer |
9% |
 DeMeco Ryans |
8% |
 Kellen Moore |
8% |
 Aaron Glenn |
6% |
 Ben Johnson |
5% |
 Jim Harbaugh |
5% |
 Klint Kubiak |
5% |
 Robert Saleh |
4% |
Odds as of 9-8. Percentages courtesy of Kalshi.
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NFL Coach of the Year favorites
John Harbaugh is the story of the Coach of the Year race, as his 18-year coaching stint in Baltimore came to an end after the Ravens missed the playoffs last season. Now, he takes over a New York Giants team looking to turn things around, bringing a Super Bowl title and 12 playoff appearances to Gotham.
Meanwhile, Jesse Minter is taking over in Baltimore after spending the past two seasons as the Chargers' defensive coordinator. Minter was previously the defensive coordinator for Michigan’s national championship team and made an immediate impact in the NFL, helping the Chargers rank first in points allowed per game in 2024 and fifth in yards surrendered in 2025.
The New Orleans Saints caught fire at the end of last season, winning four of their last five games. With a full season of Tyler Shough under center, Kellen Moore could see this team take a big step forward in his second year as NOLA's HC.
Based on last season’s win-loss records, the Saints are set to have the second-easiest schedule in the NFL this season. New Orleans could quietly emerge as a contender to win the NFC South, a title it hasn’t claimed since 2020.
NFL Coach of the Year futures predictions
| Pick | Odds | Pick date | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kellen Moore |
9% | Aug. 1 | 2.5 |
Popular NFL futures markets
NFL Coach of the Year trends
- There has not been a back-to-back Coach of the Year winner since 1982 and 1983 (Joe Gibbs).
- There have been 13 multiple winners of the Coach of the Year award, with three coaches (Don Shula, Chuck Knox, Bill Belichick) taking it home 3+ times.
- Only one man has won NFL Coach of the Year honors despite his team finishing below .500 in the standings that season (Jimmy Johnson in 1990).
NFL Coach of the Year history
Here's a look at the recent award history (preseason favorite and winner odds courtesy of Sports Odds History):
| Year | NFL COY Award Winner |
|---|---|
| 2025 |  Mike Vrabel |
| 2024 |  Kevin O'Connell |
| 2023 |  Kevin Stefanski |
| 2022 | Brian Daboll |
| 2021 | Mike Vrabel |
| 2020 | Kevin Stefanski |
| 2019 | John Harbaugh |
| 2018 | Matt Nagy |
| 2017 |  Sean McVay |
| 2016 | Jason Garrett |
| 2015 |  Ron Rivera |
| 2014 |  Bruce Arians |
| 2013 | Ron Rivera |
| 2012 |  Bruce Arians |
| 2011 |  Jim Harbaugh |
| 2010 | Bill Belichick |
| 2009 |  Marvin Lewis |
| 2008 |  Mike Smith |
| 2007 | Bill Belichick |
| 2006 | Sean Payton |
| 2005 | Lovie Smith |
| 2004 |  Marty Schottenheimer |
| 2003 | Bill Belichick |
| 2002 |  Andy Reid |
| 2001 | Dick Jauron |
| 2000 | Jim Haslett |
NFL COY FAQs
The last time the Coach of the Year winner also won the Super Bowl in the same season was all the way back in 2003, when Bill Belichick's New England Patriots finished the regular season 14-2 and successfully defeated the Carolina Panthers for the Lombardi Trophy.
John Harbaugh and Jesse Minter currently have the best odds to win the NFL Coach of the Year award.
