World Cup Goal Scorer Cheat Sheet: 2026 Set Piece Takers for the Final and Third-Place Game

Chris Vasile - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Chris Vasile • Betting Analyst 13+ years betting experience
Updated: Jul 19, 2026 , 09:17 AM ET • 4 min read

Set pieces can swing World Cup betting markets fast. We break down every team's projected penalty takers, free-kick options, corner takers, most likely scorers, and sleeper goalscorer targets.

World Cup Goal Scorer Cheat Sheet Mikel Oyarzabal
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Spain's Mikel Oyarzabal celebrates scoring their first goal in the semifinals.

Set pieces can swing World Cup betting markets in an instant.

Penalty duties, free-kick roles, and corner-taking responsibilities all matter when betting on anytime goal scorer props, assists, shots, and player specials throughout the tournament.

Before you make your World Cup picks for the final two fixtures, take a look at every team's projected penalty takers, free-kick options, corner takers, most likely goal scorer, and best sleeper scoring option.


Most probable World Cup Final goal scorers

Player Kalshi
Probability
American Odds
Argentina Lionel Messi 36% +178
Spain Mikel Oyarzabal 32% +213
Spain Lamine Yamal 27% +270
Argentina Julian Alvarez 24% +317
Spain Ferran Torres 21% +376
Argentina Lautaro Martinez 21% +376

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Spain Spain

  • Probability to win World Cup: 59% (-144)
  • Current leading goal scorer: Mikel Oyarzabal (5)
Most likely goalscorer Mikel Oyarzabal
Sleeper goalscorer Ferran Torres
Penalty takers Mikel Oyarzabal, Lamine Yamal
Free kicks Lamine Yamal, Pedri
Corners Lamine Yamal, Pedri, Nico Williams

Argentina Argentina

  • Probability to win World Cup: 41% (+144)
  • Current leading goal scorer: Lionel Messi (8)
Most likely goalscorer Lionel Messi
Sleeper goalscorer Enzo Fernandez
Penalty takers Lionel Messi, Lautaro Martinez
Free kicks Lionel Messi, Julian Alvarez, Rodrigo De Paul
Corners Lionel Messi, Rodrigo De Pal, Thiago Almada

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Chris Vasile Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Chris Vasile is a betting analyst with over 13 years of experience breaking down soccer betting markets, with additional coverage across the WNBA and NFL. He focuses on finding numbers that are slow to adjust — whether it’s due to scheduling spots, player usage, or recent form — and explaining why a line is worth playing. His work has appeared across major betting and sports media platforms, including Covers, VSiN, BetMGM Network, and SportsGrid, where he’s delivered sharp analysis on both mainstream and niche markets. At Covers, he contributes to major tournament coverage and daily betting content, with a particular focus on soccer. He also runs the Game Day Wagers YouTube channel, where he shares daily picks and betting insights tailored for serious bettors.

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