Free NBA Expert and Computer Picks For Every Game May 22, 2026
OKC
@
SA
Fri, May 22 • 8:30 PM ET
Chet Holmgren o1.5 3-Pointers Made (+135)
Holmgren got a wake-up call in Game 2 with OKC coach Mark Daigneault opting to sit his 7-footer in crunch time. With Jalen Williams either out or limited (hamstring) tonight, the Thunder need Holmgren to snap out of his San Antonio-induced funk and at least stretch the Spurs’ defense with his outside shooting. Oklahoma City has been aggressive attacking in the interior and had success on drives in Game 2. If San Antonio sells out to stop those close looks, kickouts to Holmgren give him wide open looks. Chet was 0 for 2 from distance over 27 minutes in Game 2 after hitting 2 of 4 triples in the opener. He’s knocked down two or more 3-pointers in six of his 10 postseason outings and Game 3 projections vary from 1.3 to 1.6 3PM but I like the plus-money on Over 1.5 threes, especially with Chet logging his usual workload.
SA -1.5 (-112)
San Antonio continues to thrive in bounce-back situations, going a perfect 11-0 SU following a loss since January 15th. That success has translated into the playoffs with dominant wins by 12, 38, and 29 points after defeats. Expect a sharper performance back at home after the Spurs committed 44 turnovers in the first two games in OKC. Even with those mistakes and a brutal road environment, San Antonio still finished with the higher effective field goal percentage in the opening two games.
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