Today's NBA Picks

Toronto Toronto Logo at Atlanta Logo Atlanta
Pick - Prop
Toronto Immanuel Quickley Over 2.5 3-Pointers (+115)

Quickley came out of the All-Star break firing. The Raptors guard went 5-8 from beyond the arc in last night's game against the Nets and I like him to keep cooking in tonight's matchup vs. the Hawks. Atlanta's perimeter defense stinks, ranking 27th in the NBA in opponent 3-point shooting percentage and opponent-made threes per game. 

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Andrew Caley - Pick Made 11 min ago.

Best Odds +115
Payout
Miami Miami Logo at New Orleans Logo New Orleans
Pick - Spread
Miami Miami +3 (-110)

In a vacuum, tonight’s line might look reasonable, but we’re watching a New Orleans team playing for a second consecutive night against a Heat team that is both well-rested and able to field its optimal lineup. That makes this game into a pure tossup for me. I debated how I wanted to bet the Heat tonight, but ultimately, I’ve decided to take the points, as this could easily be a one or two-possession game into the final minute. Having the points in that scenario is a big benefit, worth far more than the slight added payout on the moneyline.

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Ed Scimia - Pick Made 2 min ago.

L.A. Clippers L.A. Clippers Logo at Memphis Logo Memphis
Pick - Total
Memphis Grizzlies team total u106.5 (-120)

Memphis is scoring just 107.1 points per game this season – the worst mark in the NBA — and without Ja Morant and Desmond Bane, that number is down to 104.8 in February. Jaren Jackson Jr. is the only real scoring threat for the Grizzlies of late, leading the team in points in 11 of their last 15 outings, but Memphis’ lack of depth has become an insurmountable issue. This sets up a good matchup for the Clippers, who own a Top 10 defense in the NBA, allowing 113 ppg and a 53.9% opponent-effective field goal mark. The Grizzlies have scored 106 points or fewer in six of their last 10 contests so I don’t see them having much offensive success against the defensively-stout Clippers.

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Chris Faria - Pick Made 2 hrs, 5 min ago.

L.A. Clippers L.A. Clippers Logo at Memphis Logo Memphis
Pick - Prop
L.A. Clippers James Harden o7.5 assists (-127)

The Clippers are on the back end of a back-to-back fresh out of the All-Star break, and I'm sure there are some load management concerns with their star players in Paul George and Kawhi Leonard. Remember, Leonard did miss some games heading into the All-Star break with an adductor injury. At 7.5 (-127), I like this bet on Harden either way, but I do think there's a chance we catch some injury report shenanigans from the Clippers throughout the day, which adds an additional boost to this wager. If it's Harden sitting out, no big deal, the bet runs void, but I have a feeling we could see Leonard miss this game.

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Jon Metler - Pick Made 4 hrs, 44 min ago.

Best Odds -127
Payout
Milwaukee Milwaukee Logo at Minnesota Logo Minnesota
Pick - Prop
Minnesota Karl-Anthony Towns o2.5 Total Assists (-120)

Karl-Anthony Towns is a three-point threat, so Giannis Antetokounmpo has to step out and guard him on the perimeter. If this is the case, it will open up driving lanes and cutters for the Timberwolves that Towns should be able to find with a pass. Antetokounmpo is also long and very athletic, so it could force Towns into making an extra pass to the corner on some of those three-point attempts as well. If the Bucks opt to use Jae Crowder on Towns so they can keep Antetokounmpo and Brook Lopez near the rim, Towns will be able to put the ball on the floor and get to the rim on Crowder. Once he is there, he will be met by Lopez and Antetokounmpo and will have Rudy Gobert in the dunker's spot for potential assists or a shooter in the corner.

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Jon Metler - Pick Made 4 hrs, 39 min ago.

Best Odds o2.5 -120
Payout
Charlotte Charlotte Logo at Golden State Logo Golden State
Pick - Prop
Jonathan Kuminga o16.5 points (-115)

The Golden State Warriors have one of the older rosters in the NBA, and the Warriors will be on the back end of a back-to-back on Friday fresh out of the All-Star break after defeating the Los Angeles Lakers on Thursday. This is a spot where the Warriors will have to be careful with the minutes of their veterans, but not Kuminga; the 21-year-old should see plenty of playing time. The high-flying Kuminga should thrive against the Hornets' defense, as his primary defenders will be either Miles Bridges or Brandon Miller, which is the weak point of the Hornets' defense. Kuminga is projected to score 18.4 points on Friday against the Hornets.

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Jon Metler - Pick Made 4 hrs, 22 min ago.

Best Odds -115
Payout
Charlotte Charlotte Logo at Golden State Logo Golden State
Pick - Spread
Charlotte Charlotte +13 (-110)

A team that ranks 24th in scoring defense at 119.2 points per game, the Hornets have held their opponents to 103.5 over this four-game sample, including an impressive 27.8% mark defending the 3-point line on nearly 38 attempts. I was surprised to see the Hornets have actually had decent success against the Dubs of late, winning two of the last three and going an impressive 2-0-1 against the spread.

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Eric Rosales - Pick Made 2 hrs, 47 min ago.

Milwaukee Milwaukee Logo at Minnesota Logo Minnesota
Pick - Spread
Minnesota Minnesota -4 (-110)

Minnesota’s point differential of +8.4 only trails the Boston Celtics and puts the Wolves in a tier alongside the Oklahoma City Thunder nearly two points clear of the next class of teams. You have to go pretty far down the list to get to the Bucks, who are just 11th in point differential and dropping fast.

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Rory Breasail - Pick Made 6 hrs, 13 min ago.

San Antonio San Antonio Logo at L.A. Lakers Logo L.A. Lakers
Pick - Prop
San Antonio Devin Vassell o2.5 threes made (+105)

Since Jan. 19, Vassell’s averaging 22.2 points per game and shooting 42.1% from three, and in those 16 games, he’s finished with at least three made 3-pointers nine times. This Lakers defense offers the perfect opportunity for him to continue his hot streak, especially from deep. This season, the Lakers are allowing 23.9 points per game to shooting guards, third most in the league, and giving up 3.48 threes to shooting guards per game. 

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Rob Paul - Pick Made 2 hrs, 43 min ago.

Best Odds +105
Payout
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