The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.3 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
A throwing game script is suggested by the Bears being a -6.5-point underdog in this game. At just 27.84 seconds per snap, the Bears offense checks in as the 5th-quickest paced in football (in a neutral context) this year. As it relates to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Chicago Bears profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year.
The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off. Chris Rodriguez Jr.'s 18.6% Route% this year shows a meaningful boost in his air attack volume over last year's 6.6% rate. Chris Rodriguez Jr. has accrued a monstrous 2.0 air yards per game this year: 88th percentile among RBs. (This may not sound like very many, but most RBs have negative air yards due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage). As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Minnesota's group of safeties has been terrible this year, profiling as the 6th-worst in the league.
The 6th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a monstrous 60.0 per game on average). The predictive model expects Justin Herbert to total 4.7 rush attempts this week, on balance: the 7th-most out of all quarterbacks. After taking on 11.4% of his offense's carries last year, Justin Herbert has had a larger role in the rushing attack this year, currently accounting for 16.5%. Justin Herbert has run for substantially more yards per game (29.0) this year than he did last year (19.0). With an excellent tally of 7.2 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (93rd percentile), Justin Herbert places as one of the top running quarterbacks in the league this year.
With a 7-point advantage, the Seahawks are overwhelmingly favored this week, implying much more of a reliance on running than their typical approach. Our trusted projections expect the Seahawks to be the 7th-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 46.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Our trusted projections expect the Seahawks to call the 7th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The projections expect Sam Darnold to be much more involved in his team's run game in this game (7.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (2.8% in games he has played). Opposing offenses have rushed for the 9th-most adjusted yards in football (132 per game) against the Atlanta Falcons defense this year.
The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop. Opposing QBs have thrown for the 2nd-most adjusted yards in the league (270.0 per game) vs. the Washington Commanders defense this year. The Commanders pass defense has shown bad efficiency this year, giving up 9.39 adjusted yards-per-target: the most in the NFL. The Washington Commanders cornerbacks profile as the 2nd-worst CB corps in football this year in pass coverage.
At a -7-point disadvantage, the Falcons are huge underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Falcons to pass on 60.1% of their opportunities: the 8th-highest frequency on the slate this week. The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.3 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may go down. Opposing offenses have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Seahawks defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
Geno Smith ranks as one of the best quarterbacks in football at generating extra rushing yardage, averaging a remarkable 2.56 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 89th percentile. When it comes to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Denver's group of DEs has been easily exploitable this year, grading out as the worst in the league. in the league.
With a 3-point advantage, the Dolphins are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a focus on rushing than their typical approach. The Dolphins rank as the 8th-most run-oriented offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 42.2% run rate. Opposing squads have run for the 5th-most adjusted yards in football (134 per game) vs. the Jets defense this year. The New York Jets defensive ends rank as the 2nd-worst DE corps in the league this year when it comes to run defense.
At a -7-point disadvantage, the Falcons are huge underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Falcons to pass on 60.1% of their opportunities: the 8th-highest frequency on the slate this week. The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.3 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics. The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may go down. Opposing offenses have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Seahawks defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have 131.7 plays on offense called: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week. The 3rd-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Houston Texans this year (a monstrous 61.2 per game on average). With an outstanding total of 6.6 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (86th percentile), C.J. Stroud has been as one of the best rushing quarterbacks in the NFL this year.
The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off. As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Minnesota's group of safeties has been terrible this year, profiling as the 6th-worst in the league.
This game's spread indicates a passing game script for the Steelers, who are -6-point underdogs. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Steelers to pass on 60.3% of their chances: the 7th-highest clip on the slate this week. The Ravens defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inciting opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in the league (38.8 per game) this year. As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year. With an excellent 8.7 adjusted yards per target (76th percentile) this year, Pat Freiermuth places as one of the top pass-catching tight ends in the NFL.
An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Raiders being an enormous -7.5-point underdog in this week's contest. The projections expect the Raiders to be the 4th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 62.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. In this game, Geno Smith is expected by the projection model to average the 6th-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 36.9. The Denver Broncos defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing teams to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (37.2 per game) this year.
The model projects this game to see the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.7 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics. The Cardinals have run the most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 61.8 plays per game. In this week's game, Bam Knight is anticipated by the projection model to land in the 75th percentile among RBs with 12.8 rush attempts. The leading projections forecast Bam Knight to be a less important option in his offense's ground game in this game (22.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (41.3% in games he has played).
The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. In this week's contest, Dallas Goedert is forecasted by the model to find himself in the 86th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.6 targets. Dallas Goedert has accrued a massive 39.0 air yards per game this year: 87th percentile when it comes to tight ends. The Chargers linebackers profile as the 4th-worst unit in the league this year in pass coverage.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 62.0% of their chances: the 5th-highest frequency on the slate this week. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the model to have 133.7 total plays called: the most among all games this week. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. The projections expect Matthew Stafford to attempt 39.3 passes in this week's game, on average: the 2nd-most among all QBs. Matthew Stafford ranks as one of the leading passers in the NFL this year, averaging a terrific 248.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 92nd percentile.
This game's spread indicates a passing game script for the Steelers, who are -6-point underdogs. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Steelers to pass on 60.3% of their chances: the 7th-highest clip on the slate this week. The Ravens defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inciting opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in the league (38.8 per game) this year. This week, Jaylen Warren is projected by the predictive model to rank in the 81st percentile among running backs with 3.3 targets. With an exceptional 9.3% Target% (79th percentile) this year, Jaylen Warren places among the pass-catching running backs with the most usage in the NFL.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have 131.7 plays on offense called: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week. The 3rd-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Houston Texans this year (a monstrous 61.2 per game on average).
When it comes to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Denver's group of DEs has been easily exploitable this year, grading out as the worst in the league. in the league.
With a 42.1% rate of rushing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 9th-most run-focused team in the NFL has been the Commanders. Opposing squads have rushed for the 10th-most adjusted yards in the league (131 per game) against the Minnesota Vikings defense this year.
The Chiefs are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a running game script. The leading projections forecast the Chiefs to run the 5th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.9 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics. The Kansas City Chiefs have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 61.1 plays per game.
The Browns are a 4-point favorite this week, indicating a running game script. The predictive model expects the Cleveland Browns to be the most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 51.4% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Browns are predicted by our trusted projection set to run 67.0 total plays in this game: the 3rd-highest number among all teams this week. The Cleveland Browns have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 58.8 plays per game. This year, the poor Tennessee Titans run defense has allowed a colossal 134.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing squads: the 5th-most in the NFL.
The Commanders may pass less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) since they be rolling out backup QB Marcus Mariota. The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off. As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Minnesota's group of safeties has been terrible this year, profiling as the 6th-worst in the league.
At the moment, the 3rd-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (56.7% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Saints. The Buccaneers safeties grade out as the best unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.
The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop. With an elite 97.6% Route% (99th percentile) this year, Justin Jefferson rates among the WRs with the biggest workloads in the NFL. The model projects Justin Jefferson to notch 10.1 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 95th percentile when it comes to WRs. The Commanders defense has surrendered the 5th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (162.0) vs. wideouts this year. The Washington Commanders pass defense has shown bad efficiency versus WRs this year, surrendering 9.63 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-most in football.
An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Raiders being an enormous -7.5-point underdog in this week's contest. The projections expect the Raiders to be the 4th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 62.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. The Denver Broncos defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing teams to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (37.2 per game) this year. The Denver defensive tackles grade out as the 6th-worst group of DTs in the NFL this year in regard to rushing the passer.
The Commanders may pass less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) since they be rolling out backup QB Marcus Mariota. The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 128.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off. The Vikings defensive tackles project as the best DT corps in football this year in regard to run defense.
The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.9 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics. In this game, Tony Pollard is expected by the predictive model to position himself in the 92nd percentile when it comes to running backs with 18.4 rush attempts. Among all RBs, Tony Pollard grades out in the 94th percentile for carries this year, taking on 65.3% of the workload in his team's ground game.
The leading projections forecast the Eagles to be the 5th-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 47.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. Our trusted projections expect Jalen Hurts to garner 9.5 rush attempts in this game, on balance: the most out of all quarterbacks. Our trusted projections expect Jalen Hurts to be much more involved in his team's rushing attack in this contest (31.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (24.0% in games he has played).
Opposing QBs have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Steelers defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL. As it relates to air yards, Derrick Henry grades out in the lofty 81st percentile among RBs this year, accruing a whopping 1.0 per game. (given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more notable than it appears since most RBs average negative air yards). The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has allowed the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (88.7%) to running backs this year (88.7%).
The Bills are a 6-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script. The predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills to be the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 48.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the projections to see just 127.6 offensive plays called: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week. In this week's contest, Josh Allen is forecasted by the projections to have the 2nd-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 29.9.
At the present time, the 5th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (63.7% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Chargers. The 6th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a monstrous 60.0 per game on average). The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being called for in this game, while ground volume may decline. The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has shown bad efficiency against RBs this year, conceding 7.53 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-most in the NFL. The Philadelphia Eagles safeties grade out as the worst safety corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
A throwing game script is suggested by the Bears being a -6.5-point underdog in this game. At just 27.84 seconds per snap, the Bears offense checks in as the 5th-quickest paced in football (in a neutral context) this year. With a sizeable 48.0% Route% (82nd percentile) this year, D'Andre Swift rates as one of the pass-catching running backs with the most usage in the NFL. The projections expect D'Andre Swift to accrue 3.4 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to running backs. As it relates to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Chicago Bears profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year.
Our trusted projections expect the Saints to be the 4th-most run-centric offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 43.3% run rate. The model projects the Saints offense to be the fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 25.65 seconds per snap. The Buccaneers linebackers profile as the 9th-worst LB corps in the league this year when it comes to run defense.
Our trusted projections expect the Seahawks to call the 7th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.
Our trusted projections expect the Saints to be the 4th-most run-centric offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 43.3% run rate. The model projects the Saints offense to be the fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 25.65 seconds per snap. The Buccaneers linebackers profile as the 9th-worst LB corps in the league this year when it comes to run defense.
The predictive model expects the Chiefs as the 6th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The projections expect this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.9 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics. The Kansas City Chiefs have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 61.1 plays per game. Isiah Pacheco's 50.2% Route% this season represents a meaningful boost in his passing game volume over last season's 33.5% figure. When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Chiefs profiles as the 7th-best in football this year.
The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop. The leading projections forecast T.J. Hockenson to earn 5.2 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 78th percentile among tight ends. T.J. Hockenson's 79.6% Adjusted Completion% this season illustrates an impressive growth in his receiving ability over last season's 68.8% rate. This year, the weak Commanders defense has allowed a whopping 68.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing tight ends: the 3rd-most in the NFL. The Commanders pass defense has shown poor efficiency versus TEs this year, allowing 9.69 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-most in football.
This game's spread indicates a passing game script for the Steelers, who are -6-point underdogs. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Steelers to pass on 60.3% of their chances: the 7th-highest clip on the slate this week. This week, Aaron Rodgers is predicted by the projections to total the 7th-most pass attempts among all QBs with 36.7. The Ravens defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inciting opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in the league (38.8 per game) this year. As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year.
Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Browns are predicted by our trusted projection set to run 67.0 total plays in this game: the 3rd-highest number among all teams this week. The Cleveland Browns have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 58.8 plays per game. The Titans safeties rank as the 9th-worst unit in football this year in covering pass-catchers.
A passing game script is implied by the Texans being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's game. The projections expect the Texans to be the 8th-most pass-focused team in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 62.5% pass rate. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have 131.7 plays on offense called: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week. The 3rd-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Houston Texans this year (a monstrous 61.2 per game on average). The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has surrendered the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (85.1%) versus running backs this year (85.1%).
At the present time, the 7th-most pass-centric offense in football (63.3% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Broncos. Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Broncos are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 65.9 total plays in this contest: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. The model projects Courtland Sutton to total 7.1 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 81st percentile when it comes to WRs. The Denver Broncos offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing game stats across the board.
The Cardinals will be rolling with backup QB Jacoby Brissett in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing. At a -8.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are heavy underdogs in this week's game, indicating much more of a reliance on throwing than their normal approach. The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to be the most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 67.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. Opposing QBs have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game versus the Rams defense this year: 10th-most in the league. Jacoby Brissett has passed for many more adjusted yards per game (253.0) this year than he did last year (126.0).
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 62.0% of their chances: the 5th-highest frequency on the slate this week. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the model to have 133.7 total plays called: the most among all games this week. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. Kyren Williams has run a route on 56.0% of his offense's passing plays this year, putting him in the 91st percentile when it comes to RBs. Our trusted projections expect Kyren Williams to accumulate 3.0 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 76th percentile among RBs.
A throwing game script is suggested by the Titans being a -4-point underdog in this week's contest. The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.9 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics. When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Cleveland's group of CBs has been atrocious this year, ranking as the 6th-worst in the NFL.
This year, the anemic Bills run defense has been torched for a monstrous 140.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the 3rd-worst in football. The Buffalo Bills safeties project as the 31st-worst safety corps in the league this year in regard to defending the run.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on
this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide
any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in
your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner
of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.
NFL
NBA
NHL
MLB
PIT
BAL
SEA
ATL
TEN
CLE
MIA
NYJ
NO
TB
IND
JAC
WAS
MIN
CIN
BUF
DEN
LV
CHI
GB
LA
ARI
HOU
KC
PHI
LAC
SEA
@
ATL
