15.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-5.4
DIFFERENCE
7.55%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
15.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-5.4
DIFFERENCE
7.55%
EV
With a 4.5-point advantage, the Seahawks are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on running than their standard game plan.. The leading projections forecast the Seattle Seahawks as the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 54.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. At the present time, the 6th-slowest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Seahawks.. Opposing quarterbacks teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the New England Patriots, averaging the fewest attempts in football (just 26.6 per game) this year.. Kenneth Walker III has been a less important option in his offense's pass game this year (8.5% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (14.0%).
u25.5
-112
88.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+14.5
DIFFERENCE
7.12%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
88.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+14.5
DIFFERENCE
7.12%
EV
With a 4.5-point advantage, the Seahawks are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on running than their standard game plan.. The leading projections forecast the Seattle Seahawks to be the 10th-most run-focused offense in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 41.1% run rate.. Our trusted projections expect Kenneth Walker III to accrue 20.9 carries in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 100th percentile among RBs.. The projections expect Kenneth Walker III to be much more involved in his offense's run game in this game (72.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (48.7% in games he has played).. With a stellar record of 50.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (83rd percentile), Kenneth Walker III stands among the top pure rushers in the league this year.
o73.5
-110
55.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+12.6
DIFFERENCE
7.06%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
55.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+12.6
DIFFERENCE
7.06%
EV
The Patriots are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.. At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in football (65.0% adjusted for context) according to the model is the New England Patriots.. The Seahawks defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (32.3 per game) this year.. In this week's contest, Stefon Diggs is predicted by the predictive model to find himself in the 90th percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.3 targets.. The Patriots O-line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
o42.5
-110
59.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+8.5
DIFFERENCE
6.71%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
59.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+8.5
DIFFERENCE
6.71%
EV
Our trusted projections expect Rhamondre Stevenson to notch 14.5 rush attempts in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 80th percentile when it comes to RBs.. While Rhamondre Stevenson has received 36.7% of his team's run game usage in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more integral piece of New England's run game in this game at 57.1%.. Rhamondre Stevenson's ground effectiveness has gotten better this year, notching 4.80 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a mere 3.86 rate last year.. With a stellar rate of 3.52 yards after contact (91st percentile), Rhamondre Stevenson has been as one of the best running backs in the league this year.
o50.5
-109
2.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.4
DIFFERENCE
6.29%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
2.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.4
DIFFERENCE
6.29%
EV
With a 4.5-point advantage, the Seahawks are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on running than their standard game plan.. The leading projections forecast the Seattle Seahawks as the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 54.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. At the present time, the 6th-slowest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Seahawks.. Opposing quarterbacks teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the New England Patriots, averaging the fewest attempts in football (just 26.6 per game) this year.. Kenneth Walker III has been a less important option in his offense's pass game this year (8.5% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (14.0%).
u3.5
-173
228.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+11.4
DIFFERENCE
6%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
228.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+11.4
DIFFERENCE
6%
EV
The Patriots are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.. At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in football (65.0% adjusted for context) according to the model is the New England Patriots.. The Seahawks defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (32.3 per game) this year.. The Patriots O-line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
o217.5
-110
SCORE A TOUCHDOWN
SEA @ NE
0.53 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.03
DIFFERENCE
5.45%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.53 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.03
DIFFERENCE
5.45%
EV
The Patriots are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.. At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in football (65.0% adjusted for context) according to the model is the New England Patriots.. The Seahawks defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (32.3 per game) this year.. Rhamondre Stevenson has accrued significantly more air yards this season (10.0 per game) than he did last season (-3.0 per game).. Rhamondre Stevenson's 18.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 12.8.
+160
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
SEA @ NE
0.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
5.32%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
5.32%
EV
Our trusted projections expect the Patriots to run the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.. The smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the New England Patriots this year (a mere 47.2 per game on average).. Seattle's defense profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year as it relates to generating interceptions, compiling 0.84 per game.. When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Seattle's collection of safeties has been great this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in football.
u0.5
+113
30.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.5
DIFFERENCE
5.32%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
30.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.5
DIFFERENCE
5.32%
EV
There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.
o24.5
-115
SCORE A TOUCHDOWN
SEA @ NE
0.87 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.37
DIFFERENCE
5.28%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
0.87 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.37
DIFFERENCE
5.28%
EV
Kenneth Walker III grades out as one of the most reliable receivers in the NFL when it comes to RBs, hauling in an exceptional 91.5% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 90th percentile.. This year, the imposing Patriots run defense has allowed a measly 0.55 rushing touchdowns per game to opposing squads: the 3rd-smallest rate in the NFL.. When it comes to the safeties' role in defending against the run, New England's safety corps has been great this year, ranking as the best in the NFL.
-179
41.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+5.0
DIFFERENCE
5.15%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
41.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+5.0
DIFFERENCE
5.15%
EV
The Patriots are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.. At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in football (65.0% adjusted for context) according to the model is the New England Patriots.. The Seahawks defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (32.3 per game) this year.. The predictive model expects Hunter Henry to garner 5.3 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 100th percentile when it comes to TEs.. Hunter Henry has notched a whopping 42.0 air yards per game this year: 92nd percentile among tight ends.
o36.5
-110
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
SEA @ NE
0.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
5.09%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
5.09%
EV
With a 4.5-point advantage, the Seahawks are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on running than their standard game plan.. The leading projections forecast the Seattle Seahawks as the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 54.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. At the present time, the 6th-slowest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Seahawks.. In this game, Sam Darnold is forecasted by the predictive model to average the fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 32.5. . Opposing quarterbacks teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the New England Patriots, averaging the fewest attempts in football (just 26.6 per game) this year.
u0.5
+110
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
SEA @ NE
6.0 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
4.52%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
6.0 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
4.52%
EV
The Patriots are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.. The projections expect the Patriots to be the least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 40.9% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect the Patriots to run the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.. The smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the New England Patriots this year (a mere 47.2 per game on average).. When it comes to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Seattle's DE corps has been terrific this year, projecting as the best in the NFL.
u7.5
-155
PASSING TOUCHDOWNS
SEA @ NE
1.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
4.5%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
1.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
4.5%
EV
With a 4.5-point advantage, the Seahawks are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on running than their standard game plan.. The leading projections forecast the Seattle Seahawks as the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 54.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Right now, the least pass-heavy offense in football in the red zone (49.3% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Seattle Seahawks.. At the present time, the 6th-slowest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Seahawks.. Opposing quarterbacks teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the New England Patriots, averaging the fewest attempts in football (just 26.6 per game) this year.
u1.5
+110
7.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.0
DIFFERENCE
3.95%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
7.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.0
DIFFERENCE
3.95%
EV
With a 4.5-point advantage, the Seahawks are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on running than their standard game plan.. The leading projections forecast the Seattle Seahawks to be the 10th-most run-focused offense in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 41.1% run rate.
o6.5
-105
NE
+4.5 spread
2.5
PROJECTION
-2.0
DIFFERENCE
3.92%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
NE
+4.5 spread
Close Modal
2.5
PROJECTION
-2.0
DIFFERENCE
3.92%
EV
There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.
+4.5
-105
19.6 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.9
DIFFERENCE
3.77%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
19.6 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.9
DIFFERENCE
3.77%
EV
Our trusted projections expect the Patriots to run the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.. The smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the New England Patriots this year (a mere 47.2 per game on average).. Rhamondre Stevenson's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season reflects a significant decrease in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last season's 6.2% rate.. The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has exhibited good efficiency versus running backs this year, allowing 5.31 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-fewest in the league.. When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Seattle's collection of safeties has been great this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in football.
u21.5
-108
2.6 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.9
DIFFERENCE
3.14%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
2.6 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.9
DIFFERENCE
3.14%
EV
Our trusted projections expect the Patriots to run the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.. The smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the New England Patriots this year (a mere 47.2 per game on average).. When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Seattle's collection of safeties has been great this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in football.
u3.5
-174
SCORE A TOUCHDOWN
SEA @ NE
0.33 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.17
DIFFERENCE
2.77%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.33 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.17
DIFFERENCE
2.77%
EV
The Patriots are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.. At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in football (65.0% adjusted for context) according to the model is the New England Patriots.. The Seahawks defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (32.3 per game) this year.. The Patriots O-line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.. Stefon Diggs's receiving reliability have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 73.7% to 85.4%.
+240
SCORE A TOUCHDOWN
SEA @ NE
0.35 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.15
DIFFERENCE
2.73%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
0.35 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.15
DIFFERENCE
2.73%
EV
The Patriots are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.. At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in football (65.0% adjusted for context) according to the model is the New England Patriots.. The Seahawks defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (32.3 per game) this year.. With a sizeable 30.6% Red Zone Target% (97th percentile) this year, Hunter Henry rates as one of the tight ends with the highest volume near the end zone in football.. Hunter Henry has notched a whopping 42.0 air yards per game this year: 92nd percentile among tight ends.
+230
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
SEA @ NE
14.0 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
2.62%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
14.0 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
2.62%
EV
The Patriots are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.. The projections expect the Patriots to be the least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 40.9% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect the Patriots to run the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.. The smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the New England Patriots this year (a mere 47.2 per game on average).. When it comes to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Seattle's DE corps has been terrific this year, projecting as the best in the NFL.
u14.5
-102
PASSING COMPLETIONS
SEA @ NE
20.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.2
DIFFERENCE
2.42%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
20.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.2
DIFFERENCE
2.42%
EV
The Patriots are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.. At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in football (65.0% adjusted for context) according to the model is the New England Patriots.. The Seahawks defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (32.3 per game) this year.. The Patriots O-line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
o19.5
-116
SCORE A TOUCHDOWN
SEA @ NE
0.57 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.07
DIFFERENCE
2.14%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.57 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.07
DIFFERENCE
2.14%
EV
Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been a big part of his team's offense near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 26.2% this year, which ranks in the 96th percentile among wideouts.. Jaxon Smith-Njigba has accrued significantly more air yards this year (107.0 per game) than he did last year (73.0 per game).. Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 86.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 57.4.. Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been one of the most reliable receivers in the NFL, catching a fantastic 75.5% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 92nd percentile among WRs.. With an impressive rate of 0.50 per game through the air (95th percentile), Jaxon Smith-Njigba stands as one of the top receiving TD-scorers in the NFL when it comes to wideouts this year.
+100
45.5 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
1.28%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
45.5 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
1.28%
EV
There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.
u45.5
-106
PASSING ATTEMPTS
SEA @ NE
31.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
1.02%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
31.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
1.02%
EV
The Patriots are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.. At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in football (65.0% adjusted for context) according to the model is the New England Patriots.. The Seahawks defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (32.3 per game) this year.
o30.5
-103
4.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
0.94%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
4.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
0.94%
EV
The Patriots are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.. At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in football (65.0% adjusted for context) according to the model is the New England Patriots.. The Seahawks defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (32.3 per game) this year.. In this week's contest, Stefon Diggs is predicted by the predictive model to find himself in the 90th percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.3 targets.. The Patriots O-line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
o4.5
-105
37.3 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
0.85%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
37.3 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
0.85%
EV
There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.
o36.5
-110
NE
+198 moneyline
NE
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
0.8%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
NE
+198 moneyline
Close Modal
NE
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
0.8%
EV
There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.
+198
PASSING TOUCHDOWNS
SEA @ NE
1.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
0.74%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
1.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
0.74%
EV
Our trusted projections expect the Patriots to run the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.. The smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the New England Patriots this year (a mere 47.2 per game on average).. This year, the daunting Seahawks defense has yielded a puny 66.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 5th-best rate in football.. The Seattle Seahawks defense has allowed the 6th-fewest TDs through the air in football: 1.05 per game this year.. When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Seattle's collection of safeties has been great this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in football.
u1.5
-144
231.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.0
DIFFERENCE
0.2%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
231.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.0
DIFFERENCE
0.2%
EV
With a 4.5-point advantage, the Seahawks are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on running than their standard game plan.. The leading projections forecast the Seattle Seahawks as the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 54.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. At the present time, the 6th-slowest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Seahawks.. In this game, Sam Darnold is forecasted by the predictive model to average the fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 32.5. . Opposing quarterbacks teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the New England Patriots, averaging the fewest attempts in football (just 26.6 per game) this year.
u232.5
-110
PASSING COMPLETIONS
SEA @ NE
20.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-1.25%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
20.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-1.25%
EV
With an impressive 68.0% Adjusted Completion% (84th percentile) this year, Sam Darnold has been among the most on-target passers in the league.. Opposing teams have completed passes at the highest clip in football vs. the New England Patriots defense this year (73.2% Adjusted Completion%).
o19.5
-130
PASSING ATTEMPTS
SEA @ NE
30.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
-1.64%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
30.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
-1.64%
EV
There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.
o29.5
-108
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
SEA @ NE
2.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-2.22%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
2.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-2.22%
EV
At the present time, the 6th-slowest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Seahawks.. The leading projections forecast Sam Darnold to earn 2.5 carries in this contest, on balance: the fewest among all quarterbacks.. After making up 10.9% of his offense's carries last year, Sam Darnold has had a smaller role in the ground game this year, now making up just 5.2%.. When it comes to the safeties' role in defending against the run, New England's safety corps has been great this year, ranking as the best in the NFL.
u2.5
-115
94.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.1
DIFFERENCE
-4.77%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
94.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.1
DIFFERENCE
-4.77%
EV
In this contest, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is expected by the model to land in the 100th percentile among wide receivers with 11.3 targets.. Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 35.5% Target% this year represents an impressive improvement in his pass game volume over last year's 24.2% mark.. Jaxon Smith-Njigba has accrued significantly more air yards this year (107.0 per game) than he did last year (73.0 per game).. Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 85.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year conveys a noteable boost in his pass-catching talent over last year's 69.0 rate.. Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been one of the most reliable receivers in the NFL, catching a fantastic 75.5% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 92nd percentile among WRs.
o93.5
-110
3.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-4.85%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
3.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-4.85%
EV
There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.
o2.5
-155
SCORE A TOUCHDOWN
SEA @ NE
0.28 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.22
DIFFERENCE
-6.76%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.28 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.22
DIFFERENCE
-6.76%
EV
Opposing teams have completed passes at the highest clip in football vs. the New England Patriots defense this year (73.2% Adjusted Completion%).. This year, the imposing Patriots run defense has allowed a measly 0.55 rushing touchdowns per game to opposing squads: the 3rd-smallest rate in the NFL.. When it comes to the safeties' role in defending against the run, New England's safety corps has been great this year, ranking as the best in the NFL.
+240
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
SEA @ NE
18.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-7.22%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
18.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-7.22%
EV
With a 4.5-point advantage, the Seahawks are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on running than their standard game plan.. The leading projections forecast the Seattle Seahawks to be the 10th-most run-focused offense in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 41.1% run rate.. Our trusted projections expect Kenneth Walker III to accrue 20.9 carries in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 100th percentile among RBs.. The projections expect Kenneth Walker III to be much more involved in his offense's run game in this game (72.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (48.7% in games he has played).
o18.5
-115
7.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-8.24%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
7.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-8.24%
EV
With a 4.5-point advantage, the Seahawks are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on running than their standard game plan.. The leading projections forecast the Seattle Seahawks as the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 54.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. At the present time, the 6th-slowest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Seahawks.. Opposing quarterbacks teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the New England Patriots, averaging the fewest attempts in football (just 26.6 per game) this year.. When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, New England's group of LBs has been terrific this year, ranking as the 4th-best in the NFL.
u7.5
-149
3.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.0
DIFFERENCE
-11.95%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
3.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.0
DIFFERENCE
-11.95%
EV
The Patriots are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.. At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in football (65.0% adjusted for context) according to the model is the New England Patriots.. The Seahawks defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (32.3 per game) this year.. The predictive model expects Hunter Henry to garner 5.3 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 100th percentile when it comes to TEs.. The Patriots O-line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
o3.5
-110
SCORE A TOUCHDOWN
SEA @ NE
0.11 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.39
DIFFERENCE
-30%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
0.11 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.39
DIFFERENCE
-30%
EV
The Patriots are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.. At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in football (65.0% adjusted for context) according to the model is the New England Patriots.. The Seahawks defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (32.3 per game) this year.. The Patriots O-line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.. This year, the stout Seahawks run defense has conceded a mere 0.47 rushing TDs per game to the opposing side: the 2nd-smallest rate in the league.
+330
SCORE A TOUCHDOWN
SEA @ NE
0.02 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.48
DIFFERENCE
-30%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
0.02 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.48
DIFFERENCE
-30%
EV
There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.
+1050