The leading projections forecast this game to have the most plays run among all games this week at 133.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
A running game script is implied by the Texans being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest. The projections expect this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.5 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics. The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Houston Texans this year (a colossal 60.4 per game on average).
A running game script is implied by the Texans being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest. C.J. Stroud has thrown for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (179.0) this year than he did last year (205.0). With a feeble 63.2% Adjusted Completion% (25th percentile) this year, C.J. Stroud ranks among the least on-target passers in the NFL. When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Pittsburgh's group of CBs has been excellent this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.
The Chargers are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chargers to pass on 59.6% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest clip among all teams this week. The Chargers have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 60.2 plays per game. The New England Patriots pass defense has been gouged for the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (67.3%) vs. wideouts this year (67.3%). The Patriots pass defense has exhibited weak efficiency against WRs this year, allowing 8.45 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-most in the league.
Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Bills to pass on 55.5% of their downs: the 4th-lowest frequency on the slate this week. James Cook's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season shows a noteable regression in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last season's 8.1% rate. The Jaguars linebackers profile as the 2nd-best unit in football this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Chargers are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chargers to pass on 59.6% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest clip among all teams this week. The Chargers have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 60.2 plays per game. The New England Patriots pass defense has conceded the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (86%) versus running backs this year (86.0%).
The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite this week, indicating a running game script. The projections expect the Eagles as the most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 48.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have only 127.5 total plays run: the 3rd-lowest number among all games this week. The weather report calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness. In this game, Jalen Hurts is predicted by the projections to accrue the most rush attempts among all quarterbacks with 9.0.
The Buffalo Bills may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more carries) since they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Josh Allen. Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to see just 125.5 offensive plays called: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week. Opposing QBs have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Jaguars defense this year: most in the league. The model projects Khalil Shakir to accumulate 6.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 80th percentile when it comes to wide receivers. With a sizeable 20.5% Target Rate (79th percentile) this year, Khalil Shakir has been as one of the wideouts with the biggest workloads in the NFL.
The projections expect the New England Patriots to be the 5th-most pass-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 64.1% pass rate. The New England Patriots O-line grades out as the 7th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all pass game statistics across the board.
The weather report calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
The projections expect this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.5 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics. The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Houston Texans this year (a colossal 60.4 per game on average). Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in the league. The Steelers pass defense has been torched for the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (85.6%) vs. running backs this year (85.6%). The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers grade out as the worst collection of LBs in the league this year in covering receivers.
The Philadelphia Eagles may take to the air less in this week's contest (and call more carries) because they be rolling out backup QB Tanner McKee. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have only 127.5 total plays run: the 3rd-lowest number among all games this week. The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (34.1 per game) this year. Saquon Barkley has run a route on 59.9% of his team's passing plays this year, placing him in the 95th percentile among RBs. Our trusted projections expect Saquon Barkley to garner 3.3 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 95th percentile among running backs.
A running game script is implied by the Texans being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest. The projections expect this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.5 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics. The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Houston Texans this year (a colossal 60.4 per game on average).
A running game script is implied by the Texans being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest. Nico Collins has put up quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (62.0) this season than he did last season (75.0). Nico Collins's ball-catching skills have declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 67.1% to 59.5%. Nico Collins's ability to grind out extra yardage has declined this season, compiling a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 5.18 mark last season. When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Pittsburgh's group of CBs has been excellent this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.
The Philadelphia Eagles may take to the air less in this week's contest (and call more carries) because they be rolling out backup QB Tanner McKee. The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 5th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 55.0 plays per game. Saquon Barkley has run for many fewer adjusted yards per game (63.0) this season than he did last season (118.0). Saquon Barkley's 3.8 adjusted yards per carry this year signifies a noteworthy regression in his running ability over last year's 5.5 mark. Saquon Barkley has been one of the weakest running backs in football at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging a lowly 2.71 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 24th percentile.
A rushing game script is implied by the Patriots being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest. The projections expect this game to have the fewest plays run on the slate this week at 125.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Los Angeles Chargers, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in football (just 29.2 per game) this year. This year, the formidable Los Angeles Chargers defense has surrendered a mere 185.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing quarterbacks: the 6th-fewest in the NFL. Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 3rd-lowest rate in the league vs. the Chargers defense this year (65.7% Adjusted Completion%).
The weather report calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness. In this game, Christian McCaffrey is forecasted by the predictive model to position himself in the 92nd percentile among RBs with 18.1 carries. Christian McCaffrey has been much more involved in his offense's ground game this season (68.4% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (58.1%). With a stellar record of 68.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (94th percentile), Christian McCaffrey rates among the best running backs in football this year.
The leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 3rd-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 59.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The Jaguars have run the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 58.9 plays per game. As it relates to safeties getting after the quarterback, Buffalo's safety corps has been terrible this year, projecting as the 3rd-worst in the league.
The leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 3rd-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 59.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The Jaguars have run the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 58.9 plays per game. Brenton Strange's 73.9% Route Participation Rate this season represents a remarkable boost in his passing game utilization over last season's 45.2% mark. The leading projections forecast Brenton Strange to total 5.5 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 87th percentile when it comes to TEs. Brenton Strange has posted far more air yards this year (38.0 per game) than he did last year (23.0 per game).
The leading projections forecast this game to have the most plays run among all games this week at 133.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. After making up 11.4% of his team's rushing play calls last season, Kenneth Gainwell has had a larger role in the rushing attack this season, now sitting at 28.8%. Kenneth Gainwell's 29.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year shows a significant gain in his running proficiency over last year's 18.0 mark. Kenneth Gainwell's rushing effectiveness has gotten a boost this year, notching 4.77 adjusted yards-per-carry vs just 3.84 rate last year.
The model projects the Jaguars to call the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. Opposing offenses have averaged 28.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Buffalo Bills defense this year: fewest in the NFL. With a lackluster 60.5% Adjusted Completion% (16th percentile) this year, Trevor Lawrence ranks as one of the least accurate passers in the league. This year, the fierce Bills defense has yielded a mere 172.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing quarterbacks: the 2nd-fewest in the NFL. Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 8th-lowest level in football vs. the Buffalo Bills defense this year (67.4% Adjusted Completion%).
Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the San Francisco 49ers are anticipated by the projections to call just 62.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week. The weather report calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness. Brock Purdy has thrown for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (208.0) this year than he did last year (258.0). Opposing offenses have completed passes at the lowest rate in the NFL versus the Eagles defense this year (64.3% Adjusted Completion%). The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has displayed strong efficiency this year, conceding 7.05 adjusted yards-per-target: the 4th-fewest in football.
The Philadelphia Eagles may take to the air less in this week's contest (and call more carries) because they be rolling out backup QB Tanner McKee. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have only 127.5 total plays run: the 3rd-lowest number among all games this week. The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (34.1 per game) this year. In this week's contest, A.J. Brown is anticipated by the projection model to position himself in the 97th percentile among wideouts with 8.8 targets. A.J. Brown has accumulated a staggering 95.0 air yards per game this year: 92nd percentile when it comes to WRs.
The Buffalo Bills may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more carries) since they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Josh Allen. This year, the formidable Jacksonville Jaguars run defense has yielded a paltry 87.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to the opposing side: the best in the NFL. The Jaguars linebackers project as the 3rd-best unit in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars to run on 41.0% of their chances: the 3rd-lowest rate among all teams this week. The model projects the Jaguars to call the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
A running game script is implied by the Texans being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest. Dalton Schultz's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season indicates a noteworthy drop-off in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last season's 3.9% rate.
The Chargers are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script. The model projects the Chargers as the 2nd-least run-focused team on the slate this week with a 40.4% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to have just 125.1 offensive plays run: the lowest number on the slate this week. This year, the daunting New England Patriots run defense has yielded a puny 97.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the 5th-fewest in football. The Patriots safeties profile as the best safety corps in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.
The Steelers are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script. The model projects the Steelers to be the most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.6% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The leading projections forecast this game to have the most plays run among all games this week at 133.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. This week, DK Metcalf is forecasted by the projections to place in the 93rd percentile among wideouts with 8.4 targets. DK Metcalf slots into the 90th percentile when it comes to wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive involvement) with a staggering 63.6 figure this year.
The Chargers are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script. Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chargers to pass on 59.6% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest clip among all teams this week. The Chargers have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 60.2 plays per game. This year, the porous New England Patriots defense has been torched for a whopping 57.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing tight ends: the 6th-most in the league.
Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Bills to pass on 55.5% of their downs: the 4th-lowest frequency on the slate this week. The Jaguars linebackers profile as the 2nd-best unit in football this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Philadelphia Eagles may take to the air less in this week's contest (and call more carries) because they be rolling out backup QB Tanner McKee. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have only 127.5 total plays run: the 3rd-lowest number among all games this week. The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (34.1 per game) this year. The Philadelphia Eagles O-line ranks as the 5th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong influence on all passing game stats across the board. This year, the weak San Francisco 49ers defense has conceded a colossal 227.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing offenses: the 6th-most in the league.
Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the San Francisco 49ers are anticipated by the projections to call just 62.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week. The weather report calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness. After accumulating 56.0 air yards per game last season, George Kittle has been a disappointment this season, now boasting 45.0 per game. George Kittle has posted quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (50.0) this season than he did last season (76.0). The Eagles defense has surrendered the 2nd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 34.0) to tight ends this year.
The model projects the Patriots to be the 3rd-least run-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 35.9% run rate. The projections expect this game to have the fewest plays run on the slate this week at 125.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing offenses have rushed for the 9th-fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 107.0 per game) versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year. The Los Angeles defensive tackles project as the 3rd-best group of DTs in the league this year in regard to defending the run.
The Buffalo Bills may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more carries) since they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Josh Allen. Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to see just 125.5 offensive plays called: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week. Opposing QBs have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Jaguars defense this year: most in the league. As it relates to pass protection (and the strong impact it has on all air attack statistics), the O-line of the Bills ranks as the best in the NFL this year. Josh Allen's passing accuracy has gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 64.7% to 71.1%.
This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the 49ers, who are -5.5-point underdogs. In this contest, Jauan Jennings is predicted by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 85th percentile among wideouts with 7.0 targets.
The Buffalo Bills may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more carries) since they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Josh Allen. This year, the formidable Jacksonville Jaguars run defense has yielded a paltry 87.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to the opposing side: the best in the NFL. The Jaguars linebackers project as the 3rd-best unit in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.
Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Bills to pass on 55.5% of their downs: the 4th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
The Steelers are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script. The model projects the Steelers to be the most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.6% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The leading projections forecast this game to have the most plays run among all games this week at 133.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The projections expect Kenneth Gainwell to garner 6.6 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 97th percentile among RBs. Kenneth Gainwell's 16.0% Target Share this season marks an impressive boost in his passing attack utilization over last season's 5.0% mark.
The Steelers are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script. The model projects the Steelers to be the most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.6% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The leading projections forecast this game to have the most plays run among all games this week at 133.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The projections expect Aaron Rodgers to attempt 37.5 passes this week, on balance: the most among all QBs.
The projections expect this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.5 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics. The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Houston Texans this year (a colossal 60.4 per game on average). Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in the league. This year, the imposing Steelers run defense has surrendered a puny 0.59 rushing touchdowns per game to the opposing side: the 3rd-best rate in the league. The Steelers defensive ends profile as the 2nd-best group of DEs in football this year with their run defense.
The leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 3rd-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 59.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The Jaguars have run the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 58.9 plays per game. Our trusted projections expect Travis Etienne to earn 3.0 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 86th percentile when it comes to running backs. Travis Etienne has been a key part of his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 9.1% this year, which ranks him in the 78th percentile among RBs. Travis Etienne profiles as one of the top pass-game running backs this year, averaging an excellent 16.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 79th percentile.
The model projects the Jaguars to call the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. Opposing offenses have averaged 28.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Buffalo Bills defense this year: fewest in the NFL. With a lackluster 60.5% Adjusted Completion% (16th percentile) this year, Trevor Lawrence ranks as one of the least accurate passers in the league. Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 8th-lowest level in football vs. the Buffalo Bills defense this year (67.4% Adjusted Completion%).
Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the San Francisco 49ers are anticipated by the projections to call just 62.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week. The weather report calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness. Opposing offenses have completed passes at the lowest rate in the NFL versus the Eagles defense this year (64.3% Adjusted Completion%). The Philadelphia Eagles linebackers profile as the best collection of LBs in football this year in covering receivers.
The Buffalo Bills may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more carries) since they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Josh Allen. Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to see just 125.5 offensive plays called: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week. Opposing QBs have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Jaguars defense this year: most in the league. With a remarkable 20.0% Red Zone Target% (84th percentile) this year, Khalil Shakir stands as one of the wideouts with the most usage near the end zone in the NFL. As it relates to pass protection (and the strong impact it has on all air attack statistics), the O-line of the Bills ranks as the best in the NFL this year.
The Steelers are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script. The model projects the Steelers to be the most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.6% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The leading projections forecast this game to have the most plays run among all games this week at 133.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The projections expect Aaron Rodgers to attempt 37.5 passes this week, on balance: the most among all QBs. The Steelers offensive line grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
The Buffalo Bills may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more carries) since they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Josh Allen. Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to see just 125.5 offensive plays called: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week. Opposing QBs have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Jaguars defense this year: most in the league. Our trusted projections expect Dalton Kincaid to earn 4.8 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 77th percentile when it comes to TEs. Dalton Kincaid has accumulated a colossal 39.0 air yards per game this year: 88th percentile when it comes to TEs.
A running game script is implied by the Texans being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest. With a feeble 63.2% Adjusted Completion% (25th percentile) this year, C.J. Stroud ranks among the least on-target passers in the NFL. When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Pittsburgh's group of CBs has been excellent this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.
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