NFL Player Props and Best Projections

Our trusted projections expect Rhamondre Stevenson to notch 14.5 rush attempts in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 80th percentile when it comes to RBs.. While Rhamondre Stevenson has received 36.7% of his team's run game usage in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more integral piece of New England's run game in this game at 57.1%.. Rhamondre Stevenson's ground effectiveness has gotten better this year, notching 4.80 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a mere 3.86 rate last year.. With a stellar rate of 3.52 yards after contact (91st percentile), Rhamondre Stevenson has been as one of the best running backs in the league this year.

With a 4.5-point advantage, the Seahawks are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on running than their standard game plan.. The leading projections forecast the Seattle Seahawks as the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 54.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. At the present time, the 6th-slowest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Seahawks.. Opposing quarterbacks teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the New England Patriots, averaging the fewest attempts in football (just 26.6 per game) this year.. Kenneth Walker III has been a less important option in his offense's pass game this year (8.5% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (14.0%).

The Patriots are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.. The projections expect the Patriots to be the least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 40.9% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect the Patriots to run the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.. The smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the New England Patriots this year (a mere 47.2 per game on average).. When it comes to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Seattle's DE corps has been terrific this year, projecting as the best in the NFL.

The Patriots are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.. At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in football (65.0% adjusted for context) according to the model is the New England Patriots.. The Seahawks defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (32.3 per game) this year.. The Patriots O-line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.. Stefon Diggs's receiving reliability have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 73.7% to 85.4%.

The Patriots are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.. At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in football (65.0% adjusted for context) according to the model is the New England Patriots.. The Seahawks defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (32.3 per game) this year.. Rhamondre Stevenson has accrued significantly more air yards this season (10.0 per game) than he did last season (-3.0 per game).. Rhamondre Stevenson's 18.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 12.8.

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With a 4.5-point advantage, the Seahawks are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on running than their standard game plan.. The leading projections forecast the Seattle Seahawks as the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 54.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Right now, the least pass-heavy offense in football in the red zone (49.3% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Seattle Seahawks.. At the present time, the 6th-slowest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Seahawks.. Opposing quarterbacks teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the New England Patriots, averaging the fewest attempts in football (just 26.6 per game) this year.

Our trusted projections expect the Patriots to run the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.. The smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the New England Patriots this year (a mere 47.2 per game on average).. When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Seattle's collection of safeties has been great this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in football.

The Patriots are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.. At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in football (65.0% adjusted for context) according to the model is the New England Patriots.. The Seahawks defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (32.3 per game) this year.. With a sizeable 30.6% Red Zone Target% (97th percentile) this year, Hunter Henry rates as one of the tight ends with the highest volume near the end zone in football.. Hunter Henry has notched a whopping 42.0 air yards per game this year: 92nd percentile among tight ends.

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Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been a big part of his team's offense near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 26.2% this year, which ranks in the 96th percentile among wideouts.. Jaxon Smith-Njigba has accrued significantly more air yards this year (107.0 per game) than he did last year (73.0 per game).. Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 86.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 57.4.. Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been one of the most reliable receivers in the NFL, catching a fantastic 75.5% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 92nd percentile among WRs.. With an impressive rate of 0.50 per game through the air (95th percentile), Jaxon Smith-Njigba stands as one of the top receiving TD-scorers in the NFL when it comes to wideouts this year.

With an impressive 68.0% Adjusted Completion% (84th percentile) this year, Sam Darnold has been among the most on-target passers in the league.. Opposing teams have completed passes at the highest clip in football vs. the New England Patriots defense this year (73.2% Adjusted Completion%).

With an impressive 68.0% Adjusted Completion% (84th percentile) this year, Sam Darnold has been among the most on-target passers in the league.. With an impressive 8.21 adjusted yards-per-target (94th percentile) this year, Sam Darnold rates among the most efficient quarterbacks in the league.. Opposing teams have completed passes at the highest clip in football vs. the New England Patriots defense this year (73.2% Adjusted Completion%).

The Patriots are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.. At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in football (65.0% adjusted for context) according to the model is the New England Patriots.. The Seahawks defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (32.3 per game) this year.. The Patriots O-line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

At the present time, the 6th-slowest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Seahawks.. The leading projections forecast Sam Darnold to earn 2.5 carries in this contest, on balance: the fewest among all quarterbacks.. After making up 10.9% of his offense's carries last year, Sam Darnold has had a smaller role in the ground game this year, now making up just 5.2%.. When it comes to the safeties' role in defending against the run, New England's safety corps has been great this year, ranking as the best in the NFL.

The Patriots are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.. The projections expect the Patriots to be the least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 40.9% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect the Patriots to run the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.. The smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the New England Patriots this year (a mere 47.2 per game on average).. When it comes to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Seattle's DE corps has been terrific this year, projecting as the best in the NFL.

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Our trusted projections expect the Patriots to run the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.. The smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the New England Patriots this year (a mere 47.2 per game on average).. This year, the daunting Seahawks defense has yielded a puny 66.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 5th-best rate in football.. The Seattle Seahawks defense has allowed the 6th-fewest TDs through the air in football: 1.05 per game this year.. When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Seattle's collection of safeties has been great this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in football.

In this contest, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is expected by the model to land in the 100th percentile among wide receivers with 11.3 targets.. Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 35.5% Target% this year represents an impressive improvement in his pass game volume over last year's 24.2% mark.. Jaxon Smith-Njigba comes in as one of the best wide receivers in the game this year, averaging an impressive 5.9 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 98th percentile.. Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been one of the most reliable receivers in the NFL, catching a fantastic 75.5% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 92nd percentile among WRs.. This year, the feeble Patriots pass defense has allowed a monstrous 67.2% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the highest rate in the league.

The Patriots are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.. At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in football (65.0% adjusted for context) according to the model is the New England Patriots.. The Seahawks defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (32.3 per game) this year.

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The Patriots are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.. At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in football (65.0% adjusted for context) according to the model is the New England Patriots.. The Seahawks defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (32.3 per game) this year.. In this week's contest, Stefon Diggs is predicted by the predictive model to find himself in the 90th percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.3 targets.. The Patriots O-line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

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Opposing teams have completed passes at the highest clip in football vs. the New England Patriots defense this year (73.2% Adjusted Completion%).. This year, the imposing Patriots run defense has allowed a measly 0.55 rushing touchdowns per game to opposing squads: the 3rd-smallest rate in the NFL.. When it comes to the safeties' role in defending against the run, New England's safety corps has been great this year, ranking as the best in the NFL.

The Patriots are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.. At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in football (65.0% adjusted for context) according to the model is the New England Patriots.. The Seahawks defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (32.3 per game) this year.. The predictive model expects Hunter Henry to garner 5.3 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 100th percentile when it comes to TEs.. The Patriots O-line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

The Patriots are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.. At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in football (65.0% adjusted for context) according to the model is the New England Patriots.. The Seahawks defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (32.3 per game) this year.. The Patriots O-line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.. This year, the stout Seahawks run defense has conceded a mere 0.47 rushing TDs per game to the opposing side: the 2nd-smallest rate in the league.

Comprising a mere 0.0% of his offense's red zone rush attempts this year (2nd percentile when it comes to QBs), Sam Darnold's lack of mobility makes him no threat on the ground near the end zone.. With an impressive 68.0% Adjusted Completion% (84th percentile) this year, Sam Darnold has been among the most on-target passers in the league.. With a very bad ratio of just 0.00 TDs on the ground per game (2nd percentile), Sam Darnold ranks as one of the worst running quarterbacks in the league this year.. Opposing teams have completed passes at the highest clip in football vs. the New England Patriots defense this year (73.2% Adjusted Completion%).. This year, the imposing Patriots run defense has allowed a measly 0.55 rushing touchdowns per game to opposing squads: the 3rd-smallest rate in the NFL.