An extreme passing game script is implied by the Falcons being a giant -7.5-point underdog in this week's game. The projections expect the Atlanta Falcons as the 6th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. The Rams defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inducing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (37.7 per game) this year.
An extreme passing game script is implied by the Falcons being a giant -7.5-point underdog in this week's game. The projections expect the Atlanta Falcons as the 6th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. The Rams defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inducing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (37.7 per game) this year.
The leading projections forecast the Rams as the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 62.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the model to see 133.7 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off. This week, Matthew Stafford is forecasted by the projections to average the most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 39.4. With an outstanding tally of 254.0 adjusted passing yards per game (95th percentile), Matthew Stafford places as one of the top quarterbacks in the NFL this year.
The leading projections forecast the Rams as the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 62.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the model to see 133.7 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off. This week, Colby Parkinson is predicted by the model to place in the 93rd percentile among tight ends with 6.8 targets. While Colby Parkinson has garnered 9.9% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a much bigger part of Los Angeles's passing offense in this week's game at 18.0%.
The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a running game script. This year, the fierce Chicago Bears run defense has allowed a feeble 5.04 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing teams: the 28th-best rate in the league. As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Chicago's unit has been terrible this year, ranking as the 5th-worst in football. in football.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. Christian McCaffrey has been used more as a potential pass-catcher this year (81.1% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (68.1%). In this week's game, Christian McCaffrey is predicted by the projections to land in the 100th percentile among running backs with 8.3 targets. Christian McCaffrey has notched a staggering 22.0 air yards per game this year: 100th percentile among running backs. (That may not sound like very many, but most RBs have negative air yards due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage). Christian McCaffrey rates as one of the leading pass-game RBs this year, averaging an exceptional 54.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 100th percentile.
At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Bears are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their typical approach. At only 28.00 seconds per play, the Bears offense profiles as the 6th-fastest paced in the league (in a neutral context) this year. The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency. The 49ers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (35.8 per game) this year. In this week's game, D'Andre Swift is anticipated by the model to place in the 78th percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.1 targets.
The leading projections forecast the Rams as the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 62.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the model to see 133.7 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off. Kyren Williams's 69.4% snap rate this season illustrates a noteable reduction in his offensive usage over last season's 86.6% rate. As it relates to air yards, Kyren Williams ranks in the towering 98th percentile among running backs this year, accruing a massive 7.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more notable than it appears since most RBs average negative air yards).
The Bears rank as the 8th-most run-oriented team in the league (in a neutral context) this year with a 42.3% run rate. At only 28.00 seconds per play, the Bears offense profiles as the 6th-fastest paced in the league (in a neutral context) this year. When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, San Francisco's unit has been awful this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in the league. in the league.
An extreme passing game script is implied by the Falcons being a giant -7.5-point underdog in this week's game. The projections expect the Atlanta Falcons as the 6th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. The Rams defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inducing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (37.7 per game) this year.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. The predictive model expects Brock Purdy to attempt 35.8 passes in this game, on balance: the 9th-most out of all QBs. Brock Purdy's throwing accuracy has improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 66.2% to 69.8%. With a remarkable 8.14 adjusted yards-per-target (87th percentile) this year, Brock Purdy stands among the most efficient passers in the league. Opposing teams have completed passes at the 2nd-highest level in the NFL versus the Chicago Bears defense this year (74.3% Adjusted Completion%).
The leading projections forecast the Rams as the 4th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 62.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the model to see 133.2 offensive plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off. In this contest, Puka Nacua is forecasted by the predictive model to rank in the 100th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 12.8 targets. Puka Nacua has been a big part of his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 30.6% this year, which ranks him in the 96th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
An extreme passing game script is implied by the Falcons being a giant -7.5-point underdog in this week's game. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Atlanta Falcons to run on 38.6% of their opportunities: the 4th-lowest frequency among all teams this week. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. Bijan Robinson has rushed for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (68.0) this year than he did last year (82.0). The Rams defense boasts the 5th-best efficiency against opposing ground games this year, conceding just 4.08 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. In this game, Jauan Jennings is expected by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 85th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 7.6 targets. The Bears pass defense has allowed the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (68.4%) to WRs this year (68.4%). The Chicago Bears pass defense has exhibited poor efficiency vs. WRs this year, surrendering 9.70 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-most in the league. When it comes to linebackers pass-rushing, Chicago's unit has been easily exploitable this year, profiling as the worst in football.
Right now, the 8th-most sluggish paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the 49ers. The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
An extreme passing game script is implied by the Falcons being a giant -7.5-point underdog in this week's game. The projections expect the Atlanta Falcons as the 6th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. The Rams defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inducing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (37.7 per game) this year.
The leading projections forecast the Rams as the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 62.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the model to see 133.7 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off. This week, Matthew Stafford is forecasted by the projections to average the most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 39.4.
At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Bears are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their typical approach. The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency. D'Andre Swift has been a much smaller piece of his team's ground game this season (49.6% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (62.1%). This year, the imposing San Francisco 49ers run defense has conceded a puny 103.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the 9th-best in the NFL.
Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Rams to run on 37.6% of their opportunities: the lowest rate among all teams this week. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off. After taking on 77.4% of his team's rush attempts last season, Kyren Williams has been less involved in the running game this season, now sitting at just 61.8%. Kyren Williams's 72.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year illustrates a meaningful decrease in his rushing talent over last year's 85.0 figure.
The leading projections forecast the Rams as the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 62.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the model to see 133.7 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off. This week, Matthew Stafford is forecasted by the projections to average the most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 39.4. When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Atlanta's unit has been lousy this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in the league.
At a -3-point disadvantage, the Bears are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their typical approach. At only 28.00 seconds per play, the Bears offense profiles as the 6th-fastest paced in the league (in a neutral context) this year. The 49ers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (35.8 per game) this year. This week, DJ Moore is forecasted by the projection model to secure a spot in the 76th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 6.5 targets. DJ Moore has earned a staggering 22.2% of his offense's air yards this year: 76th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
An extreme passing game script is implied by the Falcons being a giant -7.5-point underdog in this week's game. The projections expect the Atlanta Falcons as the 6th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. The Rams defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inducing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (37.7 per game) this year.
An extreme passing game script is implied by the Falcons being a giant -7.5-point underdog in this week's game. The projections expect the Atlanta Falcons as the 6th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The Rams defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inducing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (37.7 per game) this year. Drake London profiles as one of the top wide receivers in the league this year, averaging a remarkable 5.6 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 95th percentile.
Bijan Robinson's receiving reliability have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 87.5% to 78.2%. Bijan Robinson's skills in picking up extra yardage have diminished this season, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 8.70 mark last season. The Rams pass defense has given up the 9th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (78.8%) versus RBs this year (78.8%). The Rams linebackers rank as the 3rd-best unit in football this year in pass coverage.
At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Bears are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their typical approach. At only 28.00 seconds per play, the Bears offense profiles as the 6th-fastest paced in the league (in a neutral context) this year. The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency. The 49ers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (35.8 per game) this year. The Chicago Bears offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
The leading projections forecast the Rams as the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 62.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the model to see 133.7 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off. This week, Colby Parkinson is predicted by the model to place in the 93rd percentile among tight ends with 6.8 targets. Colby Parkinson's possession skills have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 65.2% to 78.6%.
An extreme passing game script is implied by the Falcons being a giant -7.5-point underdog in this week's game. The projections expect the Atlanta Falcons as the 6th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The Rams defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inducing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (37.7 per game) this year. Kyle Pitts's 4.7 adjusted receptions per game this year illustrates a substantial growth in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 2.7 mark.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. The predictive model expects Brock Purdy to attempt 35.8 passes in this game, on balance: the 9th-most out of all QBs.
At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Bears are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their typical approach. At only 28.00 seconds per play, the Bears offense profiles as the 6th-fastest paced in the league (in a neutral context) this year. The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency. The 49ers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (35.8 per game) this year. The Chicago Bears offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
An extreme passing game script is implied by the Falcons being a giant -7.5-point underdog in this week's game. The projections expect the Atlanta Falcons as the 6th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. The Rams defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inducing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (37.7 per game) this year.
The Bears have been the 7th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 57.7% pass rate. The 49ers pass defense has given up the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (70.3%) versus TEs this year (70.3%).
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. The predictive model expects Brock Purdy to attempt 35.8 passes in this game, on balance: the 9th-most out of all QBs. Brock Purdy's throwing accuracy has improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 66.2% to 69.8%. Opposing teams have completed passes at the 2nd-highest level in the NFL versus the Chicago Bears defense this year (74.3% Adjusted Completion%). When it comes to linebackers pass-rushing, Chicago's unit has been easily exploitable this year, profiling as the worst in football.
At a -3-point disadvantage, the Bears are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their typical approach. At only 28.00 seconds per play, the Bears offense profiles as the 6th-fastest paced in the league (in a neutral context) this year. The 49ers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (35.8 per game) this year. DJ Moore has earned a staggering 22.2% of his offense's air yards this year: 76th percentile when it comes to wideouts. The Chicago Bears offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Bears are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their typical approach. At only 28.00 seconds per play, the Bears offense profiles as the 6th-fastest paced in the league (in a neutral context) this year. The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency. The 49ers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (35.8 per game) this year. In this week's game, D'Andre Swift is anticipated by the model to place in the 78th percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.1 targets.
The leading projections forecast the Rams as the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 62.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the model to see 133.7 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off. In this contest, Puka Nacua is forecasted by the predictive model to rank in the 100th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 12.9 targets. With a fantastic 7.2 adjusted receptions per game (99th percentile) this year, Puka Nacua places among the leading wide receivers in the game in football.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. Christian McCaffrey has been used more as a potential pass-catcher this year (81.1% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (68.1%). In this week's game, Christian McCaffrey is predicted by the projections to land in the 100th percentile among running backs with 8.3 targets. With an outstanding 5.4 adjusted receptions per game (100th percentile) this year, Christian McCaffrey ranks as one of the leading pass-catching RBs in the NFL. Christian McCaffrey's possession skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 80.9% to 84.7%.
The leading projections forecast the Rams as the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 62.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the model to see 133.7 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off. Kyren Williams's 69.4% snap rate this season illustrates a noteable reduction in his offensive usage over last season's 86.6% rate. When it comes to defensive tackles rushing the passer, Atlanta's group of DTs has been terrible this year, profiling as the 2nd-worst in football.
The leading projections forecast the Rams as the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 62.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the model to see 133.7 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off. With a high 9.3% Red Zone Target% (76th percentile) this year, Kyren Williams rates among the pass-game running backs with the biggest workloads near the end zone in football. As it relates to air yards, Kyren Williams ranks in the towering 98th percentile among running backs this year, accruing a massive 7.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more notable than it appears since most RBs average negative air yards).
This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Rams, who are a massive favorite by 7.5 points. Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Falcons, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.2 per game) this year. The Los Angeles offensive line ranks as the 8th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative influence on all passing offense metrics across the board. This year, the tough Falcons defense has surrendered a puny 68.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 10th-smallest rate in football.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. With a sizeable 26.9% Red Zone Target Share (100th percentile) this year, Christian McCaffrey rates as one of the pass-catching running backs with the biggest workloads near the goal line in the NFL. Christian McCaffrey has notched a staggering 22.0 air yards per game this year: 100th percentile among running backs. (That may not sound like very many, but most RBs have negative air yards due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage). Christian McCaffrey's 41.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 33.9. Christian McCaffrey's possession skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 80.9% to 84.7%.
At a -3-point disadvantage, the Bears are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their typical approach. At only 28.00 seconds per play, the Bears offense profiles as the 6th-fastest paced in the league (in a neutral context) this year. The 49ers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (35.8 per game) this year. This week, DJ Moore is forecasted by the projection model to secure a spot in the 76th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 6.5 targets. The Chicago Bears offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Bears are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their typical approach. At only 28.00 seconds per play, the Bears offense profiles as the 6th-fastest paced in the league (in a neutral context) this year. The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency. The 49ers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (35.8 per game) this year. The Chicago Bears offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Bears are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their typical approach. At only 28.00 seconds per play, the Bears offense profiles as the 6th-fastest paced in the league (in a neutral context) this year. The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency. The 49ers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (35.8 per game) this year. The Chicago Bears offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
An extreme passing game script is implied by the Falcons being a giant -7.5-point underdog in this week's game. The projections expect the Atlanta Falcons as the 6th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. The Rams defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inducing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (37.7 per game) this year.
An extreme passing game script is implied by the Falcons being a giant -7.5-point underdog in this week's game. The projections expect the Atlanta Falcons as the 6th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. The Rams defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inducing opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (37.7 per game) this year.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. In this game, Jauan Jennings is expected by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 85th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 7.6 targets. The Bears pass defense has allowed the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (68.4%) to WRs this year (68.4%). When it comes to linebackers pass-rushing, Chicago's unit has been easily exploitable this year, profiling as the worst in football.
The projections expect the Falcons to be the 9th-least pass-focused offense in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 52.3% red zone pass rate. Kirk Cousins's passing precision has declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 65.6% to 62.3%. With an atrocious ratio of only 0.89 per game (19th percentile), Kirk Cousins has been as one of the worst touchdown throwers in the league this year. The Rams linebackers rank as the 3rd-best unit in football this year in pass coverage.
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