Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the model to see 133.8 offensive plays run: the highest number among all games this week.
The Panthers are an enormous 10-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see 129.5 plays on offense called: the 2nd-most on the slate this week. The Rams defense has been something of pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.4 per game) this year. The Panthers offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing attack stats across the board. This year, the deficient Rams defense has been gouged for a whopping 151.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing wideouts: the worst in the NFL.
The Panthers are an enormous 10-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see 129.5 plays on offense called: the 2nd-most on the slate this week. The Rams defense has been something of pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.4 per game) this year. While Tommy Tremble has garnered 7.9% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more integral piece of Carolina's pass game in this week's contest at 13.0%. The Panthers offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
The Chargers are a 3.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script. The model projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 2nd-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 59.6% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. The Chargers have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 60.2 plays per game.
The Panthers are an enormous 10-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see 129.5 plays on offense called: the 2nd-most on the slate this week. The model projects Bryce Young to attempt 35.7 passes in this contest, on average: the 3rd-most among all QBs. The Rams defense has been something of pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.4 per game) this year. The Panthers offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
The Philadelphia Eagles may take to the air less in this week's contest (and call more carries) because they be rolling out backup QB Tanner McKee. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have only 126.9 total plays run: the 3rd-lowest number among all games this week. The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (34.1 per game) this year. The Philadelphia Eagles O-line ranks as the 5th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong influence on all passing game stats across the board. This year, the weak San Francisco 49ers defense has conceded a colossal 227.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing offenses: the 6th-most in the league.
A rushing game script is implied by the Texans being a 3.5-point favorite in this game. C.J. Stroud has passed for many fewer adjusted yards per game (179.0) this year than he did last year (205.0). C.J. Stroud checks in as one of the worst precision passers in the league this year with a 63.2% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 25th percentile. The Pittsburgh cornerbacks rank as the 2nd-best CB corps in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
The leading projections forecast the Bears to call the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.9 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Bears this year (a whopping 60.7 per game on average). The Packers defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (33.5 per game) this year. The Chicago offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all pass attack metrics across the board. The Green Bay Packers pass defense has been torched for the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (67.2%) vs. wide receivers this year (67.2%).
At the present time, the 3rd-most pass-focused team in football (64.7% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Los Angeles Rams. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to have 129.5 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. Colby Parkinson's 30.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season illustrates a remarkable gain in his receiving proficiency over last season's 19.0 mark. Colby Parkinson's 76.5% Adjusted Catch% this year signifies a meaningful growth in his pass-catching talent over last year's 65.2% mark. Colby Parkinson's 8.3 adjusted yards per target this season represents an impressive gain in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 6.2 figure.
The Philadelphia Eagles may take to the air less in this week's contest (and call more carries) because they be rolling out backup QB Tanner McKee. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have only 126.9 total plays run: the 3rd-lowest number among all games this week. The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (34.1 per game) this year. Saquon Barkley has run a route on 59.9% of his team's passing plays this year, placing him in the 95th percentile among RBs. Our trusted projections expect Saquon Barkley to garner 3.4 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 95th percentile among running backs.
The Buffalo Bills may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more carries) since they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Josh Allen. Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to see just 125.3 offensive plays called: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week. Opposing QBs have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Jaguars defense this year: most in the league. The model projects Khalil Shakir to accumulate 6.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 81st percentile when it comes to wide receivers. With a sizeable 20.5% Target Rate (79th percentile) this year, Khalil Shakir has been as one of the wideouts with the biggest workloads in the NFL.
In this game, Christian McCaffrey is forecasted by the predictive model to position himself in the 95th percentile among RBs with 17.9 carries. Christian McCaffrey has been much more involved in his offense's ground game this season (68.4% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (58.1%). With a stellar record of 68.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (94th percentile), Christian McCaffrey rates among the best running backs in football this year.
An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Rams being a huge 10-point favorite in this week's game. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to have 129.5 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. When it comes to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Carolina's collection of LBs has been awful this year, profiling as the 2nd-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.
The Patriots offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing game statistics across the board.
The Philadelphia Eagles may take to the air less in this week's contest (and call more carries) because they be rolling out backup QB Tanner McKee. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have only 126.9 total plays run: the 3rd-lowest number among all games this week. The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (34.1 per game) this year. In this week's contest, A.J. Brown is anticipated by the projection model to position himself in the 98th percentile among wideouts with 9.1 targets. A.J. Brown has accumulated a staggering 95.0 air yards per game this year: 92nd percentile when it comes to WRs.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to see only 127.5 offensive plays called: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week. The highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Bears this year (a whopping 60.7 per game on average). The Packers defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (33.5 per game) this year. The Chicago offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all pass attack metrics across the board. The Green Bay Packers pass defense has been torched for the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (67.2%) vs. wide receivers this year (67.2%).
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to have 133.8 offensive plays called: the most on the slate this week. The Houston Texans have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 60.4 plays per game. Opposing offenses have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in football. This year, the anemic Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has yielded a staggering 85.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 5th-highest rate in football. The Steelers linebackers profile as the worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.
A rushing game script is implied by the Texans being a 3.5-point favorite in this game. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to have 133.8 offensive plays called: the most on the slate this week. The Houston Texans have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 60.4 plays per game.
The Philadelphia Eagles may take to the air less in this week's contest (and call more carries) because they be rolling out backup QB Tanner McKee. The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 5th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 55.0 plays per game. Saquon Barkley has run for many fewer adjusted yards per game (63.0) this season than he did last season (118.0). Saquon Barkley's 3.8 adjusted yards per carry this year signifies a noteworthy regression in his running ability over last year's 5.5 mark. Saquon Barkley has been one of the weakest running backs in football at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging a lowly 2.71 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 24th percentile.
The leading projections forecast the Bears to call the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.9 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Bears this year (a whopping 60.7 per game on average). The Packers defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (33.5 per game) this year. With a remarkable 48.1% Route Participation Rate (83rd percentile) this year, D'Andre Swift rates as one of the pass-catching running backs with the biggest workloads in the league. This week, D'Andre Swift is forecasted by the projections to place in the 78th percentile when it comes to RBs with 2.8 targets.
A rushing game script is implied by the Texans being a 3.5-point favorite in this game. Nico Collins's 62.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year conveys a remarkable decline in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 75.0 rate. Nico Collins's ball-catching skills have declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 67.1% to 59.5%. Nico Collins's ability to grind out extra yardage has declined this season, accumulating a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 5.18 rate last season. The Pittsburgh cornerbacks rank as the 2nd-best CB corps in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Green Bay Packers may pass less this week (and call more rushes) given that they be starting backup QB Clayton Tune. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the model to see just 127.5 plays on offense called: the 3rd-fewest among all games this week. The model projects Josh Jacobs to notch 3.3 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to RBs. With a top-tier 10.3% Target% (85th percentile) this year, Josh Jacobs rates among the pass-catching RBs with the highest volume in the NFL. With a stellar 18.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (86th percentile) this year, Josh Jacobs has been as one of the best pass-catching RBs in football.
The leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 3rd-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 59.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The Jaguars have run the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 58.9 plays per game. As it relates to safeties getting after the quarterback, Buffalo's safety corps has been terrible this year, projecting as the 3rd-worst in the league.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the model to see 133.8 offensive plays run: the highest number among all games this week. After comprising 11.4% of his offense's carries last year, Kenneth Gainwell has been more involved in the rushing attack this year, now sitting at 28.8%. Kenneth Gainwell has run for significantly more adjusted yards per game (29.0) this season than he did last season (18.0). Kenneth Gainwell's running efficiency has improved this season, averaging 4.77 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a measly 3.84 figure last season.
At the present time, the 3rd-most pass-focused team in football (64.7% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Los Angeles Rams. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to have 129.5 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. Kyren Williams's 69.2% Snap% this season signifies a material reduction in his offensive usage over last season's 86.6% rate. Kyren Williams has notched quite a few more air yards this season (8.0 per game) than he did last season (-2.0 per game). With an excellent 16.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (79th percentile) this year, Kyren Williams has been as one of the leading running backs in the pass game in the league.
The Eagles are a 4.5-point favorite this week, indicating a running game script. The projections expect the Eagles as the most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 47.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have only 126.9 total plays run: the 3rd-lowest number among all games this week. In this game, Jalen Hurts is predicted by the projections to accrue the most rush attempts among all quarterbacks with 8.7. Our trusted projections expect Jalen Hurts to be a less important option in his team's ground game in this week's contest (7.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (22.1% in games he has played).
The leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 3rd-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 59.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The Jaguars have run the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 58.9 plays per game. Brenton Strange's 73.9% Route Participation Rate this season represents a remarkable boost in his passing game utilization over last season's 45.2% mark. The leading projections forecast Brenton Strange to total 5.5 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 87th percentile when it comes to TEs. Brenton Strange has posted far more air yards this year (38.0 per game) than he did last year (23.0 per game).
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars to run on 40.8% of their chances: the 3rd-lowest rate among all teams this week. The model projects the Jaguars to call the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 61.9 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Patriots are favored this week, suggesting more of an emphasis on rushing than their normal approach. Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New England Patriots to pass on 55.9% of their downs: the 4th-lowest clip among all teams this week. The projections expect this game to see the smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 125.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see 129.5 plays on offense called: the 2nd-most on the slate this week. The predictive model expects Rico Dowdle to accrue 13.4 carries in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 76th percentile when it comes to RBs. Rico Dowdle has received 54.9% of his offense's carries this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile when it comes to RBs. Rico Dowdle has generated 55.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the largest figures in the NFL among running backs (87th percentile).
The Chargers are a 3.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers to run on 40.4% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week. Our trusted projections expect this game to see the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Buffalo Bills may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more carries) since they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Josh Allen. Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to see just 125.3 offensive plays called: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week. Opposing QBs have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Jaguars defense this year: most in the league. Our trusted projections expect Dalton Kincaid to earn 4.9 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 77th percentile when it comes to TEs. Dalton Kincaid has accumulated a colossal 39.0 air yards per game this year: 88th percentile when it comes to TEs.
The Buffalo Bills may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more carries) since they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Josh Allen. Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to see just 125.3 offensive plays called: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week. Opposing QBs have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Jaguars defense this year: most in the league. As it relates to pass protection (and the strong impact it has on all air attack statistics), the O-line of the Bills ranks as the best in the NFL this year. Josh Allen's passing accuracy has gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 64.7% to 71.1%.
The leading projections forecast the Bears to call the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.9 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics. The highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Bears this year (a whopping 60.7 per game on average). The Packers defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (33.5 per game) this year. The Chicago offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.
The Buffalo Bills may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more carries) since they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Josh Allen. This year, the formidable Jacksonville Jaguars run defense has yielded a paltry 87.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to the opposing side: the best in the NFL. The Jaguars linebackers project as the 3rd-best unit in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.
A rushing game script is implied by the Texans being a 3.5-point favorite in this game. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to have 133.8 offensive plays called: the most on the slate this week. The Houston Texans have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 60.4 plays per game.
This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the 49ers, who are -4.5-point underdogs. In this contest, Jauan Jennings is predicted by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 86th percentile among wideouts with 7.1 targets.
A rushing game script is implied by the Texans being a 3.5-point favorite in this game. Dalton Schultz's skills in picking up extra yardage have declined this season, notching just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 3.94 rate last season.
Right now, the least run-focused team in football (35.3% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Rams. Kyren Williams has been much less involved in his offense's ground game this year (60.5% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (77.4%). Kyren Williams has rushed for many fewer adjusted yards per game (73.0) this year than he did last year (85.0).
The Philadelphia Eagles may take to the air less in this week's contest (and call more carries) because they be rolling out backup QB Tanner McKee. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have only 126.9 total plays run: the 3rd-lowest number among all games this week. The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (34.1 per game) this year. In this game, Dallas Goedert is forecasted by the projections to find himself in the 90th percentile when it comes to TEs with 6.2 targets. Dallas Goedert has accrued a whopping 37.0 air yards per game this year: 86th percentile when it comes to TEs.
The Chargers are a 3.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script. The model projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 2nd-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 59.6% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. The Chargers have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 60.2 plays per game.
The Panthers are an enormous 10-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see 129.5 plays on offense called: the 2nd-most on the slate this week. The model projects Bryce Young to attempt 35.7 passes in this contest, on average: the 3rd-most among all QBs. The Rams defense has been something of pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.4 per game) this year.
This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the 49ers, who are -4.5-point underdogs. Christian McCaffrey has been used more as a potential pass-catcher this year (81.0% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (68.1%). Our trusted projections expect Christian McCaffrey to total 7.6 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 100th percentile when it comes to RBs. Christian McCaffrey has accumulated a monstrous 21.0 air yards per game this year: 100th percentile when it comes to running backs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage). The Eagles defense has conceded the 3rd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (36.0) vs. running backs this year.
At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their usual approach. Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.9% of their chances: the greatest frequency among all teams this week. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the model to see 133.8 offensive plays run: the highest number among all games this week. The predictive model expects DK Metcalf to accumulate 8.2 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among wideouts. DK Metcalf rates in the 90th percentile among WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive involvement) with a colossal 63.6 mark this year.
The Green Bay Packers may pass less this week (and call more rushes) given that they be starting backup QB Clayton Tune. The 4th-fewest plays in football have been called by the Packers this year (only 54.9 per game on average). The projections expect Jordan Love to total 2.8 carries in this week's contest, on balance: the 4th-fewest among all quarterbacks.
The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (a measly 53.9 per game on average). Kenneth Gainwell's ability to grind out extra yardage has declined this season, notching a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 6.75 rate last season. The Houston Texans pass defense has allowed the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (78.3%) versus running backs this year (78.3%). When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Houston's group of safeties has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 9th-best in the league.
The Panthers are an enormous 10-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see 129.5 plays on offense called: the 2nd-most on the slate this week. The Rams defense has been something of pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.4 per game) this year. While Tommy Tremble has garnered 7.9% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more integral piece of Carolina's pass game in this week's contest at 13.0%. The Panthers offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
The leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 3rd-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 59.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The Jaguars have run the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 58.9 plays per game. Our trusted projections expect Travis Etienne to earn 3.0 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 84th percentile when it comes to running backs. Travis Etienne has been a key part of his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 9.1% this year, which ranks him in the 78th percentile among RBs. Travis Etienne profiles as one of the top pass-game running backs this year, averaging an excellent 16.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 79th percentile.
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