NFL Player Props and Best Projections

Right now, the 2nd-most run-heavy team in the league (44.3% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Colts. The San Francisco defensive tackles rank as the 2nd-worst group of DTs in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

The Colts are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline. The 49ers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (35.9 per game) this year. The leading projections forecast Michael Pittman to total 7.9 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 88th percentile among wide receivers. Michael Pittman has been an integral part of his team's offense, posting a Target Share of 23.8% this year, which ranks in the 85th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

The Colts are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline. The 49ers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (35.9 per game) this year. When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Colts ranks as the best in football this year. When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, San Francisco's unit has been dreadful this year, profiling as the 4th-worst in the NFL.

A running game script is suggested by the 49ers being a 5.5-point favorite in this week's game. The San Francisco 49ers have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 59.4 plays per game. When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Indianapolis's collection of DTs has been very bad this year, ranking as the 9th-worst in the league. in the league.

The Colts are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline. The 49ers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (35.9 per game) this year. When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Colts ranks as the best in football this year. Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 10th-highest rate in football vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year (72.6% Adjusted Completion%).

The San Francisco 49ers have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 59.4 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL. Christian McCaffrey has been more involved as a potential target this season (81.2% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (68.1%). The leading projections forecast Christian McCaffrey to accrue 7.2 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 100th percentile when it comes to RBs.

The Colts are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline. The 49ers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (35.9 per game) this year. With a top-tier 70.1% Route% (96th percentile) this year, Jonathan Taylor rates among the pass-catching running backs with the biggest workloads in the league. The projections expect Jonathan Taylor to earn 4.2 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 92nd percentile among RBs.

The San Francisco 49ers have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 59.4 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL. Brock Purdy grades out as one of the most accurate quarterbacks in the NFL this year with a fantastic 69.1% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 86th percentile. Brock Purdy ranks as one of the most efficient quarterbacks in the NFL this year, averaging an outstanding 8.04 adjusted yards-per-target while grading out in the 86th percentile.

The Colts are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline. The 49ers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (35.9 per game) this year. The leading projections forecast Michael Pittman to total 7.9 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 88th percentile among wide receivers. Michael Pittman is positioned as one of the leading WRs in the league this year, averaging an outstanding 4.5 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 93rd percentile.

The Colts are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline. The 49ers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (35.9 per game) this year. When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Colts ranks as the best in football this year. Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 10th-highest rate in football vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year (72.6% Adjusted Completion%).

The Colts are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline. The 49ers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (35.9 per game) this year.

The San Francisco 49ers have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 59.4 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL. Our trusted projections expect Jauan Jennings to accumulate 7.2 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to wideouts. This year, the weak Indianapolis Colts defense has surrendered a staggering 178.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing wideouts: the worst in the NFL.

The Colts are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline. The 49ers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (35.9 per game) this year. When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Colts ranks as the best in football this year. When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, San Francisco's unit has been dreadful this year, profiling as the 4th-worst in the NFL.

The Colts are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline. The 49ers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (35.9 per game) this year. When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Colts ranks as the best in football this year. The 49ers defense has been gouged for the 3rd-most receiving TDs in the NFL to TEs: 0.64 per game this year.

A running game script is suggested by the 49ers being a 5.5-point favorite in this week's game. The San Francisco 49ers have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 59.4 plays per game. In this game, Christian McCaffrey is anticipated by our trusted projection set to finish in the 87th percentile when it comes to RBs with 16.6 carries. After taking on 58.1% of his team's rushing play calls last year, Christian McCaffrey has played a bigger part in the run game this year, now making up 68.2%. With an excellent rate of 61.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (90th percentile), Christian McCaffrey places as one of the leading pure rushers in the NFL this year.

A running game script is suggested by the 49ers being a 5.5-point favorite in this week's game. Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to have only 125.5 total plays run: the 2nd-fewest out of all the games this week.

A running game script is suggested by the 49ers being a 5.5-point favorite in this week's game. Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to have only 125.5 total plays run: the 2nd-fewest out of all the games this week. George Kittle's 4.1 adjusted catches per game this season conveys a significant drop-off in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 5.3 rate.

The Colts are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline. The 49ers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (35.9 per game) this year. Our trusted projections expect Michael Pittman to be a more integral piece of his offense's pass attack near the goal line in this game (20.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (15.3% in games he has played). Michael Pittman slots into the 77th percentile for WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive usage) with a remarkable 52.4 figure this year.

The San Francisco 49ers have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 59.4 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL. With an impressive 84.9% Route Participation% (97th percentile) this year, George Kittle places as one of the tight ends with the highest volume in the league. Our trusted projections expect George Kittle to total 7.5 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 94th percentile among tight ends.

A running game script is suggested by the 49ers being a 5.5-point favorite in this week's game. Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to have only 125.5 total plays run: the 2nd-fewest out of all the games this week. Jauan Jennings's 20.1% Target Share this year marks an impressive decline in his passing game volume over last year's 25.3% rate. Jauan Jennings's receiving skills have diminished this year, averaging a mere 3.3 adjusted catches vs 5.2 last year. Jauan Jennings's possession skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 70.1% to 62.6%.

The Colts are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline. The 49ers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (35.9 per game) this year. When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Colts ranks as the best in football this year. Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 10th-highest rate in football vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year (72.6% Adjusted Completion%).

The San Francisco 49ers have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 59.4 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL. With a remarkable 26.5% Red Zone Target% (100th percentile) this year, Christian McCaffrey ranks as one of the pass-game running backs with the biggest workloads near the goal line in the league. Christian McCaffrey has accumulated a massive 19.0 air yards per game this year: 100th percentile when it comes to RBs. (That may not sound too impressive, but most RBs average negative air yards considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage).

The Colts are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline. The 49ers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (35.9 per game) this year. With a top-tier 70.1% Route% (96th percentile) this year, Jonathan Taylor rates among the pass-catching running backs with the biggest workloads in the league. Jonathan Taylor's play as a receiver has improved this year, accumulating 2.4 adjusted receptions vs a measly 1.2 last year.

The San Francisco 49ers have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 59.4 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL. Brock Purdy grades out as one of the most accurate quarterbacks in the NFL this year with a fantastic 69.1% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 86th percentile. The Indianapolis Colts linebackers grade out as the worst unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

Right now, the 2nd-most run-heavy team in the league (44.3% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Colts. The leading projections forecast Jonathan Taylor to garner 22.7 rush attempts this week, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to running backs. Jonathan Taylor has garnered 82.9% of his team's carries this year, placing him in the 100th percentile among RBs. With an impressive rate of 94.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (100th percentile), Jonathan Taylor ranks as one of the leading pure runners in the league this year. Jonathan Taylor's rushing efficiency has been refined this year, averaging 5.51 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a mere 4.61 figure last year.

The San Francisco 49ers have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 59.4 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL. Christian McCaffrey has been more involved as a potential target this season (81.2% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (68.1%). Christian McCaffrey profiles as one of the top pass-catching RBs this year, averaging an exceptional 5.4 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 100th percentile.

The San Francisco 49ers have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 59.4 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL. Jauan Jennings has been a big part of his team's offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 25.0% this year, which ranks in the 93rd percentile when it comes to wideouts. With a stellar rate of 0.50 per game through the air (94th percentile), Jauan Jennings stands as one of the leading receiving TD-scorers in the league among WRs this year.

The San Francisco 49ers have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 59.4 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL. Brock Purdy grades out as one of the most accurate quarterbacks in the NFL this year with a fantastic 69.1% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 86th percentile. With a remarkable rate of 1.50 per game (82nd percentile), Brock Purdy ranks among the top TD throwers in football this year.

The San Francisco 49ers have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 59.4 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL. With an exceptional 20.8% Red Zone Target Rate (90th percentile) this year, George Kittle has been among the tight ends with the highest volume near the goal line in football. George Kittle places in the 96th percentile among tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive volume) with an astounding 46.0 figure this year.

The Colts are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline. The 49ers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (35.9 per game) this year. While Jonathan Taylor has accounted for 5.1% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be much more involved in Indianapolis's pass game near the end zone in this week's game at 10.8%. When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Colts ranks as the best in football this year.

The San Francisco 49ers have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 59.4 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL. Brock Purdy grades out as one of the most accurate quarterbacks in the NFL this year with a fantastic 69.1% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 86th percentile. With a remarkable rate of 1.50 per game (82nd percentile), Brock Purdy ranks among the top TD throwers in football this year.