MLB Player Props and Best Projections

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Matchups
Projections
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

James Wood Total RBIs Props • Washington

James Wood
J. Wood
left outfield LF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total RBIs
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. James Wood has made notable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 10.7% rate last year to 18% this season. This season, James Wood has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 100.4 mph compared to last year's 96.6 mph mark. James Wood has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 105-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 100.4-mph. Posting a .392 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, James Wood is positioned in the 93rd percentile.

James Wood

Prop: 0.5 Total RBIs
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total RBIs
Projection:
0.6

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. James Wood has made notable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 10.7% rate last year to 18% this season. This season, James Wood has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 100.4 mph compared to last year's 96.6 mph mark. James Wood has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 105-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 100.4-mph. Posting a .392 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, James Wood is positioned in the 93rd percentile.

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James Wood Hits, Runs, and RBIs Props • Washington

James Wood
J. Wood
left outfield LF • Washington
Prop
1.5
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection
2.2
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection
2.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. James Wood has made notable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 10.7% rate last year to 18% this season. This season, James Wood has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 100.4 mph compared to last year's 96.6 mph mark. James Wood has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 105-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 100.4-mph. Posting a .392 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, James Wood is positioned in the 93rd percentile.

James Wood

Prop: 1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection: 2.2
Prop:
1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection:
2.2

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. James Wood has made notable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 10.7% rate last year to 18% this season. This season, James Wood has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 100.4 mph compared to last year's 96.6 mph mark. James Wood has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 105-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 100.4-mph. Posting a .392 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, James Wood is positioned in the 93rd percentile.

All Matchup props

Alex Verdugo Total Bases Props • Atlanta

Alex Verdugo
A. Verdugo
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Bases
Projection
1.8
Best Odds

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Alex Verdugo has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .237 mark is deflated compared to his .260 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Sporting a 1.84 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Alex Verdugo has shown impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 83rd percentile.

Alex Verdugo

Prop: 1.5 Total Bases
Projection: 1.8
Prop:
1.5 Total Bases
Projection:
1.8

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Alex Verdugo has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .237 mark is deflated compared to his .260 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Sporting a 1.84 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Alex Verdugo has shown impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 83rd percentile.

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Josh Bell Total RBIs Props • Washington

Josh Bell
J. Bell
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total RBIs
Projection
0.5
Best Odds

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. This season, Josh Bell has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.5 mph compared to last year's 92.8 mph mark. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.216) implies that Josh Bell has experienced some negative variance this year with his .155 actual batting average.

Josh Bell

Prop: 0.5 Total RBIs
Projection: 0.5
Prop:
0.5 Total RBIs
Projection:
0.5

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. This season, Josh Bell has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.5 mph compared to last year's 92.8 mph mark. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.216) implies that Josh Bell has experienced some negative variance this year with his .155 actual batting average.

All Matchup props

Josh Bell Hits, Runs, and RBIs Props • Washington

Josh Bell
J. Bell
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
1.5
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection
1.8
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection
1.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. This season, Josh Bell has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.5 mph compared to last year's 92.8 mph mark. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.216) implies that Josh Bell has experienced some negative variance this year with his .155 actual batting average.

Josh Bell

Prop: 1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection: 1.8
Prop:
1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection:
1.8

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. This season, Josh Bell has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.5 mph compared to last year's 92.8 mph mark. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.216) implies that Josh Bell has experienced some negative variance this year with his .155 actual batting average.

All Matchup props

Nathaniel Lowe Hits, Runs, and RBIs Props • Washington

Nathaniel Lowe
N. Lowe
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
1.5
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection
1.9
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection
1.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Nathaniel Lowe's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 45.2% to 50.8%.

Nathaniel Lowe

Prop: 1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection: 1.9
Prop:
1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection:
1.9

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Nathaniel Lowe's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 45.2% to 50.8%.

All Matchup props

Matt Olson Hits, Runs, and RBIs Props • Atlanta

Matt Olson
M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection
2.4
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection
2.4
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Matt Olson has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 94.7-mph average to last season's 91.3-mph figure. Matt Olson has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 105.2-mph average in the past week to his seasonal figure of 98.5-mph. In the past two weeks, Matt Olson's 26.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 21.3%. Matt Olson has posted a .349 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 83rd percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Matt Olson

Prop: 1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection: 2.4
Prop:
1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection:
2.4

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Matt Olson has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 94.7-mph average to last season's 91.3-mph figure. Matt Olson has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 105.2-mph average in the past week to his seasonal figure of 98.5-mph. In the past two weeks, Matt Olson's 26.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 21.3%. Matt Olson has posted a .349 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 83rd percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

All Matchup props

Matt Olson Total RBIs Props • Atlanta

Matt Olson
M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total RBIs
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Matt Olson has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 94.7-mph average to last season's 91.3-mph figure. Matt Olson has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 105.2-mph average in the past week to his seasonal figure of 98.5-mph. In the past two weeks, Matt Olson's 26.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 21.3%. Matt Olson has posted a .349 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 83rd percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Matt Olson

Prop: 0.5 Total RBIs
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total RBIs
Projection:
0.7

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Matt Olson has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 94.7-mph average to last season's 91.3-mph figure. Matt Olson has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 105.2-mph average in the past week to his seasonal figure of 98.5-mph. In the past two weeks, Matt Olson's 26.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 21.3%. Matt Olson has posted a .349 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 83rd percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

All Matchup props

AJ Smith-Shawver Outs Recorded Props • Atlanta

AJ Smith-Shawver
A. Smith-Shawver
starter SP • Atlanta
Prop
16.5
Outs Recorded
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Prop
16.5 Outs Recorded
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Nationals Park as the 9th-best park in MLB for walks. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest LF fences among all major league parks. Among all SPs, AJ Smith-Shawver's fastball spin rate of 2101 rpm grades out in the 4th percentile this year. AJ Smith-Shawver has been lucky this year, compiling a 2.33 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.75 — a 2.42 difference. AJ Smith-Shawver has displayed weak control this year, putting up a 11th percentile BB% of 11.2%.

AJ Smith-Shawver

Prop: 16.5 Outs Recorded
Projection: 15.2
Prop:
16.5 Outs Recorded
Projection:
15.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Nationals Park as the 9th-best park in MLB for walks. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest LF fences among all major league parks. Among all SPs, AJ Smith-Shawver's fastball spin rate of 2101 rpm grades out in the 4th percentile this year. AJ Smith-Shawver has been lucky this year, compiling a 2.33 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.75 — a 2.42 difference. AJ Smith-Shawver has displayed weak control this year, putting up a 11th percentile BB% of 11.2%.

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Keibert Ruiz Total Bases Props • Washington

Keibert Ruiz
K. Ruiz
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Bases
Projection
1.4
Best Odds

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs.

Keibert Ruiz

Prop: 0.5 Total Bases
Projection: 1.4
Prop:
0.5 Total Bases
Projection:
1.4

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs.

All Matchup props

CJ Abrams Total Bases Props • Washington

CJ Abrams
C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
1.5
Total Bases
Projection
1.7
Best Odds

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 14.6% to 20.8%. CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, rising from 20.8% on the season to 25.7% in the last two weeks. Posting a .400 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, CJ Abrams grades out in the 95th percentile. CJ Abrams has compiled a .569 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, checking in at the 96th percentile.

CJ Abrams

Prop: 1.5 Total Bases
Projection: 1.7
Prop:
1.5 Total Bases
Projection:
1.7

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 14.6% to 20.8%. CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, rising from 20.8% on the season to 25.7% in the last two weeks. Posting a .400 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, CJ Abrams grades out in the 95th percentile. CJ Abrams has compiled a .569 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, checking in at the 96th percentile.

All Matchup props

Nathaniel Lowe Total RBIs Props • Washington

Nathaniel Lowe
N. Lowe
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total RBIs
Projection
0.5
Best Odds

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Nathaniel Lowe's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 45.2% to 50.8%.

Nathaniel Lowe

Prop: 0.5 Total RBIs
Projection: 0.5
Prop:
0.5 Total RBIs
Projection:
0.5

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Nathaniel Lowe's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 45.2% to 50.8%.

All Matchup props

Drake Baldwin Total Bases Props • Atlanta

Drake Baldwin
D. Baldwin
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Bases
Projection
1.6
Best Odds

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Drake Baldwin has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 13.8% seasonal rate to 20% in the last two weeks. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Drake Baldwin's 30% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.5%.

Drake Baldwin

Prop: 1.5 Total Bases
Projection: 1.6
Prop:
1.5 Total Bases
Projection:
1.6

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Drake Baldwin has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 13.8% seasonal rate to 20% in the last two weeks. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Drake Baldwin's 30% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.5%.

All Matchup props

Matt Olson Total Bases Props • Atlanta

Matt Olson
M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Bases
Projection
1.9
Best Odds

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Matt Olson has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 94.7-mph average to last season's 91.3-mph figure. Matt Olson has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 105.2-mph average in the past week to his seasonal figure of 98.5-mph. In the past two weeks, Matt Olson's 26.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 21.3%. Matt Olson has posted a .349 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 83rd percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Matt Olson

Prop: 1.5 Total Bases
Projection: 1.9
Prop:
1.5 Total Bases
Projection:
1.9

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Matt Olson has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 94.7-mph average to last season's 91.3-mph figure. Matt Olson has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 105.2-mph average in the past week to his seasonal figure of 98.5-mph. In the past two weeks, Matt Olson's 26.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 21.3%. Matt Olson has posted a .349 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 83rd percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

All Matchup props

Austin Riley Total RBIs Props • Atlanta

Austin Riley
A. Riley
third base 3B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total RBIs
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Last season, Austin Riley had an average launch angle of 13° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 17.4°. Austin Riley's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (14.2° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is significantly worse than his 17.4° seasonal mark. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (31.1) suggests that Austin Riley has experienced some negative variance this year with his 22.5 actual HR/600. By putting up a .345 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Austin Riley finds himself in the 78th percentile for offensive skills.

Austin Riley

Prop: 0.5 Total RBIs
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total RBIs
Projection:
0.7

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Last season, Austin Riley had an average launch angle of 13° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 17.4°. Austin Riley's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (14.2° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is significantly worse than his 17.4° seasonal mark. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (31.1) suggests that Austin Riley has experienced some negative variance this year with his 22.5 actual HR/600. By putting up a .345 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Austin Riley finds himself in the 78th percentile for offensive skills.

All Matchup props

Ozzie Albies Total RBIs Props • Atlanta

Ozzie Albies
O. Albies
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total RBIs
Projection
0.5
Best Odds

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Ozzie Albies's launch angle this season (21.2°) is a significant increase over his 18.2° figure last season. Ozzie Albies's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 20.3% on the season to 45.5% over the past 7 days. Ozzie Albies has been unlucky this year, compiling a .274 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .321 — a .047 difference.

Ozzie Albies

Prop: 0.5 Total RBIs
Projection: 0.5
Prop:
0.5 Total RBIs
Projection:
0.5

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Ozzie Albies's launch angle this season (21.2°) is a significant increase over his 18.2° figure last season. Ozzie Albies's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 20.3% on the season to 45.5% over the past 7 days. Ozzie Albies has been unlucky this year, compiling a .274 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .321 — a .047 difference.

All Matchup props

Keibert Ruiz Total RBIs Props • Washington

Keibert Ruiz
K. Ruiz
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total RBIs
Projection
0.5
Best Odds

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs.

Keibert Ruiz

Prop: 0.5 Total RBIs
Projection: 0.5
Prop:
0.5 Total RBIs
Projection:
0.5

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs.

All Matchup props

Marcell Ozuna Total RBIs Props • Atlanta

Marcell Ozuna
M. Ozuna
designated hitter DH • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total RBIs
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Marcell Ozuna has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 12.8% seasonal rate to 21.4% over the last two weeks. Marcell Ozuna has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.1-mph to 95.4-mph over the last two weeks. By putting up a .389 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Marcell Ozuna is ranked in the 98th percentile for offensive skills. Marcell Ozuna has displayed strong plate discipline this year, checking in at the 96th percentile with a 1.05 K/BB rate.

Marcell Ozuna

Prop: 0.5 Total RBIs
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total RBIs
Projection:
0.7

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Marcell Ozuna has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 12.8% seasonal rate to 21.4% over the last two weeks. Marcell Ozuna has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.1-mph to 95.4-mph over the last two weeks. By putting up a .389 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Marcell Ozuna is ranked in the 98th percentile for offensive skills. Marcell Ozuna has displayed strong plate discipline this year, checking in at the 96th percentile with a 1.05 K/BB rate.

All Matchup props

Marcell Ozuna Hits, Runs, and RBIs Props • Atlanta

Marcell Ozuna
M. Ozuna
designated hitter DH • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection
2.2
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection
2.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Marcell Ozuna has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 12.8% seasonal rate to 21.4% over the last two weeks. Marcell Ozuna has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.1-mph to 95.4-mph over the last two weeks. By putting up a .389 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Marcell Ozuna is ranked in the 98th percentile for offensive skills. Marcell Ozuna has displayed strong plate discipline this year, checking in at the 96th percentile with a 1.05 K/BB rate.

Marcell Ozuna

Prop: 1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection: 2.2
Prop:
1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection:
2.2

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Marcell Ozuna has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 12.8% seasonal rate to 21.4% over the last two weeks. Marcell Ozuna has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.1-mph to 95.4-mph over the last two weeks. By putting up a .389 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Marcell Ozuna is ranked in the 98th percentile for offensive skills. Marcell Ozuna has displayed strong plate discipline this year, checking in at the 96th percentile with a 1.05 K/BB rate.

All Matchup props

Alex Verdugo Hits, Runs, and RBIs Props • Atlanta

Alex Verdugo
A. Verdugo
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection
2.2
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection
2.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Alex Verdugo has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .237 mark is deflated compared to his .260 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Sporting a 1.84 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Alex Verdugo has shown impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 83rd percentile.

Alex Verdugo

Prop: 1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection: 2.2
Prop:
1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection:
2.2

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Alex Verdugo has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .237 mark is deflated compared to his .260 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Sporting a 1.84 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Alex Verdugo has shown impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 83rd percentile.

All Matchup props

Drake Baldwin Total RBIs Props • Atlanta

Drake Baldwin
D. Baldwin
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total RBIs
Projection
0.5
Best Odds

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Drake Baldwin has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 13.8% seasonal rate to 20% in the last two weeks. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Drake Baldwin's 30% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.5%.

Drake Baldwin

Prop: 0.5 Total RBIs
Projection: 0.5
Prop:
0.5 Total RBIs
Projection:
0.5

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Drake Baldwin has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 13.8% seasonal rate to 20% in the last two weeks. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Drake Baldwin's 30% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.5%.

All Matchup props

CJ Abrams Hits, Runs, and RBIs Props • Washington

CJ Abrams
C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
1.5
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection
2.1
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection
2.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 14.6% to 20.8%. CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, rising from 20.8% on the season to 25.7% in the last two weeks. Posting a .400 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, CJ Abrams grades out in the 95th percentile. CJ Abrams has compiled a .569 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, checking in at the 96th percentile.

CJ Abrams

Prop: 1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection: 2.1
Prop:
1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection:
2.1

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 14.6% to 20.8%. CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, rising from 20.8% on the season to 25.7% in the last two weeks. Posting a .400 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, CJ Abrams grades out in the 95th percentile. CJ Abrams has compiled a .569 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, checking in at the 96th percentile.

All Matchup props

Ozzie Albies Total Bases Props • Atlanta

Ozzie Albies
O. Albies
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Bases
Projection
1.5
Best Odds

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Ozzie Albies's launch angle this season (21.2°) is a significant increase over his 18.2° figure last season. Ozzie Albies's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 20.3% on the season to 45.5% over the past 7 days. Ozzie Albies has been unlucky this year, compiling a .274 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .321 — a .047 difference.

Ozzie Albies

Prop: 1.5 Total Bases
Projection: 1.5
Prop:
1.5 Total Bases
Projection:
1.5

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Ozzie Albies's launch angle this season (21.2°) is a significant increase over his 18.2° figure last season. Ozzie Albies's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 20.3% on the season to 45.5% over the past 7 days. Ozzie Albies has been unlucky this year, compiling a .274 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .321 — a .047 difference.

All Matchup props

Ozzie Albies Hits, Runs, and RBIs Props • Atlanta

Ozzie Albies
O. Albies
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection
1.9
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection
1.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Ozzie Albies's launch angle this season (21.2°) is a significant increase over his 18.2° figure last season. Ozzie Albies's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 20.3% on the season to 45.5% over the past 7 days. Ozzie Albies has been unlucky this year, compiling a .274 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .321 — a .047 difference.

Ozzie Albies

Prop: 1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection: 1.9
Prop:
1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection:
1.9

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Ozzie Albies's launch angle this season (21.2°) is a significant increase over his 18.2° figure last season. Ozzie Albies's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 20.3% on the season to 45.5% over the past 7 days. Ozzie Albies has been unlucky this year, compiling a .274 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .321 — a .047 difference.

All Matchup props

Keibert Ruiz Hits, Runs, and RBIs Props • Washington

Keibert Ruiz
K. Ruiz
catcher C • Washington
Prop
1.5
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection
1.8
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection
1.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs.

Keibert Ruiz

Prop: 1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection: 1.8
Prop:
1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection:
1.8

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs.

All Matchup props

Drake Baldwin Hits, Runs, and RBIs Props • Atlanta

Drake Baldwin
D. Baldwin
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection
2
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection
2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Drake Baldwin has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 13.8% seasonal rate to 20% in the last two weeks. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Drake Baldwin's 30% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.5%.

Drake Baldwin

Prop: 1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection: 2
Prop:
1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection:
2

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Drake Baldwin has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 13.8% seasonal rate to 20% in the last two weeks. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Drake Baldwin's 30% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.5%.

All Matchup props

Michael Harris II Total Bases Props • Atlanta

Michael Harris II
M. Harris II
center outfield CF • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Bases
Projection
1.6
Best Odds

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Michael Harris II has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .258 rate is a good deal lower than his .319 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Michael Harris II

Prop: 1.5 Total Bases
Projection: 1.6
Prop:
1.5 Total Bases
Projection:
1.6

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Michael Harris II has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .258 rate is a good deal lower than his .319 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

All Matchup props

Austin Riley Total Home Runs Props • Atlanta

Austin Riley
A. Riley
third base 3B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Home Runs
Projection
0.2
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Home Runs
Projection
0.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Austin Riley's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 16.5% down to 8.6%. Austin Riley has displayed weak plate discipline this year, placing in the 14th percentile with a 4.34 K/BB rate.

Austin Riley

Prop: 0.5 Total Home Runs
Projection: 0.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Home Runs
Projection:
0.2

Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Austin Riley's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 16.5% down to 8.6%. Austin Riley has displayed weak plate discipline this year, placing in the 14th percentile with a 4.34 K/BB rate.

All Matchup props

Austin Riley Total Bases Props • Atlanta

Austin Riley
A. Riley
third base 3B • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Bases
Projection
1.9
Best Odds

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Last season, Austin Riley had an average launch angle of 13° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 17.4°. Austin Riley's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (14.2° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is significantly worse than his 17.4° seasonal mark. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (31.1) suggests that Austin Riley has experienced some negative variance this year with his 22.5 actual HR/600. By putting up a .345 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Austin Riley finds himself in the 78th percentile for offensive skills.

Austin Riley

Prop: 1.5 Total Bases
Projection: 1.9
Prop:
1.5 Total Bases
Projection:
1.9

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Last season, Austin Riley had an average launch angle of 13° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 17.4°. Austin Riley's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (14.2° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is significantly worse than his 17.4° seasonal mark. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (31.1) suggests that Austin Riley has experienced some negative variance this year with his 22.5 actual HR/600. By putting up a .345 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Austin Riley finds himself in the 78th percentile for offensive skills.

All Matchup props

Matt Olson Total Home Runs Props • Atlanta

Matt Olson
M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Home Runs
Projection
0.2
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Home Runs
Projection
0.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.

Matt Olson

Prop: 0.5 Total Home Runs
Projection: 0.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Home Runs
Projection:
0.2

Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.

All Matchup props

Michael Harris II Hits, Runs, and RBIs Props • Atlanta

Michael Harris II
M. Harris II
center outfield CF • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection
2
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection
2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Michael Harris II has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .258 rate is a good deal lower than his .319 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Michael Harris II

Prop: 1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection: 2
Prop:
1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection:
2

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Michael Harris II has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .258 rate is a good deal lower than his .319 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

All Matchup props

Austin Riley Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Austin Riley
A. Riley
third base 3B • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Austin Riley's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 16.5% down to 8.6%. Austin Riley has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .283 mark is quite a bit higher than his .262 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Austin Riley has displayed weak plate discipline this year, placing in the 14th percentile with a 4.34 K/BB rate.

Austin Riley

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Austin Riley's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 16.5% down to 8.6%. Austin Riley has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .283 mark is quite a bit higher than his .262 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Austin Riley has displayed weak plate discipline this year, placing in the 14th percentile with a 4.34 K/BB rate.

All Matchup props

Marcell Ozuna Total Bases Props • Atlanta

Marcell Ozuna
M. Ozuna
designated hitter DH • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Bases
Projection
1.7
Best Odds

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Marcell Ozuna has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 12.8% seasonal rate to 21.4% over the last two weeks. Marcell Ozuna has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.1-mph to 95.4-mph over the last two weeks. By putting up a .389 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Marcell Ozuna is ranked in the 98th percentile for offensive skills. Marcell Ozuna has displayed strong plate discipline this year, checking in at the 96th percentile with a 1.05 K/BB rate.

Marcell Ozuna

Prop: 1.5 Total Bases
Projection: 1.7
Prop:
1.5 Total Bases
Projection:
1.7

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Marcell Ozuna has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 12.8% seasonal rate to 21.4% over the last two weeks. Marcell Ozuna has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.1-mph to 95.4-mph over the last two weeks. By putting up a .389 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Marcell Ozuna is ranked in the 98th percentile for offensive skills. Marcell Ozuna has displayed strong plate discipline this year, checking in at the 96th percentile with a 1.05 K/BB rate.

All Matchup props

Michael Harris II Total Home Runs Props • Atlanta

Michael Harris II
M. Harris II
center outfield CF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Home Runs
Projection
0.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Home Runs
Projection
0.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Michael Harris II has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.2% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last 7 days. In the past week, Michael Harris II's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal figure of 90.7 mph to 84.4 mph. In the last week's worth of games, Michael Harris II's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.3%. Michael Harris II has notched a .249 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 8th percentile.

Michael Harris II

Prop: 0.5 Total Home Runs
Projection: 0.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Home Runs
Projection:
0.1

Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Michael Harris II has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.2% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last 7 days. In the past week, Michael Harris II's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal figure of 90.7 mph to 84.4 mph. In the last week's worth of games, Michael Harris II's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.3%. Michael Harris II has notched a .249 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 8th percentile.

All Matchup props

James Wood Total Bases Props • Washington

James Wood
J. Wood
left outfield LF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Bases
Projection
1
Best Odds

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. James Wood has made notable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 10.7% rate last year to 18% this season. This season, James Wood has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 100.4 mph compared to last year's 96.6 mph mark. James Wood has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 105-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 100.4-mph. Posting a .392 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, James Wood is positioned in the 93rd percentile.

James Wood

Prop: 0.5 Total Bases
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Bases
Projection:
1

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. James Wood has made notable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 10.7% rate last year to 18% this season. This season, James Wood has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 100.4 mph compared to last year's 96.6 mph mark. James Wood has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 105-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 100.4-mph. Posting a .392 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, James Wood is positioned in the 93rd percentile.

All Matchup props

Marcell Ozuna Total Home Runs Props • Atlanta

Marcell Ozuna
M. Ozuna
designated hitter DH • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Home Runs
Projection
0.2
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Home Runs
Projection
0.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Marcell Ozuna's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, decreasing from 16.6% to 11%. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Marcell Ozuna's true offensive talent to be a .356, indicating that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .028 gap between that figure and his actual .384 wOBA.

Marcell Ozuna

Prop: 0.5 Total Home Runs
Projection: 0.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Home Runs
Projection:
0.2

Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Marcell Ozuna's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, decreasing from 16.6% to 11%. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Marcell Ozuna's true offensive talent to be a .356, indicating that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .028 gap between that figure and his actual .384 wOBA.

All Matchup props

CJ Abrams Total RBIs Props • Washington

CJ Abrams
C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total RBIs
Projection
0.5
Best Odds

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 14.6% to 20.8%. CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, rising from 20.8% on the season to 25.7% in the last two weeks. Posting a .400 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, CJ Abrams grades out in the 95th percentile. CJ Abrams has compiled a .569 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, checking in at the 96th percentile.

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total RBIs
Projection: 0.5
Prop:
0.5 Total RBIs
Projection:
0.5

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 14.6% to 20.8%. CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, rising from 20.8% on the season to 25.7% in the last two weeks. Posting a .400 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, CJ Abrams grades out in the 95th percentile. CJ Abrams has compiled a .569 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, checking in at the 96th percentile.

All Matchup props

James Wood Total Hits Props • Washington

James Wood
J. Wood
left outfield LF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. James Wood has made notable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 10.7% rate last year to 18% this season. This season, James Wood has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 100.4 mph compared to last year's 96.6 mph mark. James Wood has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 105-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 100.4-mph. Posting a .392 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, James Wood is positioned in the 93rd percentile.

James Wood

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. James Wood has made notable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 10.7% rate last year to 18% this season. This season, James Wood has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 100.4 mph compared to last year's 96.6 mph mark. James Wood has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 105-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 100.4-mph. Posting a .392 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, James Wood is positioned in the 93rd percentile.

All Matchup props

Josh Bell Total Home Runs Props • Washington

Josh Bell
J. Bell
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Home Runs
Projection
0.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Home Runs
Projection
0.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Josh Bell's average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 87.9-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 83.8-mph over the last 7 days. Over the last week, Josh Bell's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.2%. Josh Bell has posted a .247 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 7th percentile. Sporting a .293 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Josh Bell finds himself in the 12th percentile.

Josh Bell

Prop: 0.5 Total Home Runs
Projection: 0.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Home Runs
Projection:
0.1

Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Josh Bell's average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 87.9-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 83.8-mph over the last 7 days. Over the last week, Josh Bell's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.2%. Josh Bell has posted a .247 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 7th percentile. Sporting a .293 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Josh Bell finds himself in the 12th percentile.

All Matchup props

Ozzie Albies Total Home Runs Props • Atlanta

Ozzie Albies
O. Albies
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Home Runs
Projection
0.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Home Runs
Projection
0.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. In the past week's worth of games, Ozzie Albies's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal mark of 88.2 mph to 77.2 mph. Ozzie Albies has put up a .286 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 17th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Sporting a .265 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Ozzie Albies is ranked in the 17th percentile. Ozzie Albies has recorded a .158 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, grading out in the 19th percentile.

Ozzie Albies

Prop: 0.5 Total Home Runs
Projection: 0.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Home Runs
Projection:
0.1

Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. In the past week's worth of games, Ozzie Albies's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal mark of 88.2 mph to 77.2 mph. Ozzie Albies has put up a .286 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 17th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Sporting a .265 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Ozzie Albies is ranked in the 17th percentile. Ozzie Albies has recorded a .158 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, grading out in the 19th percentile.

All Matchup props

Michael Harris II Total RBIs Props • Atlanta

Michael Harris II
M. Harris II
center outfield CF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total RBIs
Projection
0.5
Best Odds

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Michael Harris II has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .258 rate is a good deal lower than his .319 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Michael Harris II

Prop: 0.5 Total RBIs
Projection: 0.5
Prop:
0.5 Total RBIs
Projection:
0.5

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Michael Harris II has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .258 rate is a good deal lower than his .319 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

All Matchup props

Nathaniel Lowe Total Home Runs Props • Washington

Nathaniel Lowe
N. Lowe
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Home Runs
Projection
0.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Home Runs
Projection
0.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Nathaniel Lowe's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal figure of 93 mph to 90 mph. Nathaniel Lowe's launch angle lately (6.4° over the last two weeks) is a significant dropoff from his 10.4° seasonal figure. Nathaniel Lowe's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, falling from 14.8% to 10.8%. In terms of his home runs, Nathaniel Lowe has been lucky this year. His 23.4 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 15.9.

Nathaniel Lowe

Prop: 0.5 Total Home Runs
Projection: 0.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Home Runs
Projection:
0.1

Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Nathaniel Lowe's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal figure of 93 mph to 90 mph. Nathaniel Lowe's launch angle lately (6.4° over the last two weeks) is a significant dropoff from his 10.4° seasonal figure. Nathaniel Lowe's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, falling from 14.8% to 10.8%. In terms of his home runs, Nathaniel Lowe has been lucky this year. His 23.4 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 15.9.

All Matchup props

Drake Baldwin Total Home Runs Props • Atlanta

Drake Baldwin
D. Baldwin
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Home Runs
Projection
0.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Home Runs
Projection
0.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 5th-lowest temperature on the slate today at 59°. Drake Baldwin will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Drake Baldwin's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 94.5-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 91.3-mph over the past 7 days. Despite posting a .421 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Drake Baldwin has been lucky given the .107 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .314.

Drake Baldwin

Prop: 0.5 Total Home Runs
Projection: 0.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Home Runs
Projection:
0.1

Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 5th-lowest temperature on the slate today at 59°. Drake Baldwin will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Drake Baldwin's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 94.5-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 91.3-mph over the past 7 days. Despite posting a .421 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Drake Baldwin has been lucky given the .107 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .314.

All Matchup props

Nick Allen Total Home Runs Props • Atlanta

Nick Allen
N. Allen
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Home Runs
Projection
0
Best Odds

Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Compared to his seasonal mark of 12°, Nick Allen has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-9.5°) in the last two weeks. Over the past 7 days, Nick Allen has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power). Nick Allen has notched a .247 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 13th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Nick Allen has paced 1.7 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, grading out in the 7th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Nick Allen

Prop: 0.5 Total Home Runs
Projection: 0
Prop:
0.5 Total Home Runs
Projection:
0

Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Compared to his seasonal mark of 12°, Nick Allen has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-9.5°) in the last two weeks. Over the past 7 days, Nick Allen has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power). Nick Allen has notched a .247 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 13th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Nick Allen has paced 1.7 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, grading out in the 7th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

All Matchup props

Jose Tena Hits, Runs, and RBIs Props • Washington

Jose Tena
J. Tena
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
1.5
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection
1.5
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection
1.5
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Jose Tena has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 99.1-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 95.5-mph. When it comes to his home runs, Jose Tena has been unlucky since the start of last season. His 6.7 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been considerably lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 13.2. Grading out in the 86th percentile, Jose Tena has put up a .331 BABIP since the start of last season.

Jose Tena

Prop: 1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection: 1.5
Prop:
1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection:
1.5

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Jose Tena has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 99.1-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 95.5-mph. When it comes to his home runs, Jose Tena has been unlucky since the start of last season. His 6.7 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been considerably lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 13.2. Grading out in the 86th percentile, Jose Tena has put up a .331 BABIP since the start of last season.

All Matchup props

Alex Call Hits, Runs, and RBIs Props • Washington

Alex Call
A. Call
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
1.5
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection
1.5
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection
1.5
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. In the past week's worth of games, Alex Call's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.3-mph over the course of the season to 95.9-mph recently. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.2°, Alex Call has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 26.3° mark in the past week. In notching a .322 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Alex Call is positioned in the 76th percentile for hitting ability. Alex Call has put up a .374 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 96th percentile.

Alex Call

Prop: 1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection: 1.5
Prop:
1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection:
1.5

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. In the past week's worth of games, Alex Call's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.3-mph over the course of the season to 95.9-mph recently. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.2°, Alex Call has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 26.3° mark in the past week. In notching a .322 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Alex Call is positioned in the 76th percentile for hitting ability. Alex Call has put up a .374 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 96th percentile.

All Matchup props

Jose Tena Total RBIs Props • Washington

Jose Tena
J. Tena
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total RBIs
Projection
0.3
Best Odds

Nationals Park profiles as the #22 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. There has been a significant decline in Jose Tena's launch angle from last season's 8° to -1.9° this year. Jose Tena's launch angle of late (-5.3° in the last two weeks) is a considerable dropoff from his -1.9° seasonal figure. Jose Tena has posted a .155 Isolated Power rate (ISO) since the start of last season, checking in at the 8th percentile.

Jose Tena

Prop: 0.5 Total RBIs
Projection: 0.3
Prop:
0.5 Total RBIs
Projection:
0.3

Nationals Park profiles as the #22 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. There has been a significant decline in Jose Tena's launch angle from last season's 8° to -1.9° this year. Jose Tena's launch angle of late (-5.3° in the last two weeks) is a considerable dropoff from his -1.9° seasonal figure. Jose Tena has posted a .155 Isolated Power rate (ISO) since the start of last season, checking in at the 8th percentile.

All Matchup props

Keibert Ruiz Total Home Runs Props • Washington

Keibert Ruiz
K. Ruiz
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Home Runs
Projection
0.1
Best Odds

Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Over the last two weeks, Keibert Ruiz's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal EV of 85.7 mph to 82.5 mph. Keibert Ruiz's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (3.2°) is quite a bit lower than his 14.2° angle last year. Keibert Ruiz's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, falling from 8.9% on the season to 0% in the last two weeks. Keibert Ruiz has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .306 mark is considerably higher than his .277 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Keibert Ruiz

Prop: 0.5 Total Home Runs
Projection: 0.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Home Runs
Projection:
0.1

Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Over the last two weeks, Keibert Ruiz's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal EV of 85.7 mph to 82.5 mph. Keibert Ruiz's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (3.2°) is quite a bit lower than his 14.2° angle last year. Keibert Ruiz's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, falling from 8.9% on the season to 0% in the last two weeks. Keibert Ruiz has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .306 mark is considerably higher than his .277 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

All Matchup props

Alex Verdugo Total Home Runs Props • Atlanta

Alex Verdugo
A. Verdugo
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Home Runs
Projection
0.1
Best Odds

Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. In the past week's worth of games, Alex Verdugo's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal EV of 88.1 mph to 85 mph. Compared to his seasonal mark of 10°, Alex Verdugo has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-1°) in the last two weeks' worth of games. Alex Verdugo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, decreasing from 12.1% to 7.8%. Based on Statcast data, Alex Verdugo grades out in the 19th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 11.500.

Alex Verdugo

Prop: 0.5 Total Home Runs
Projection: 0.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Home Runs
Projection:
0.1

Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. In the past week's worth of games, Alex Verdugo's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal EV of 88.1 mph to 85 mph. Compared to his seasonal mark of 10°, Alex Verdugo has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-1°) in the last two weeks' worth of games. Alex Verdugo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, decreasing from 12.1% to 7.8%. Based on Statcast data, Alex Verdugo grades out in the 19th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 11.500.

All Matchup props

Austin Riley Hits, Runs, and RBIs Props • Atlanta

Austin Riley
A. Riley
third base 3B • Atlanta
Prop
2.5
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection
2.4
Best Odds
Prop
2.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection
2.4
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nationals Park profiles as the #22 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Austin Riley's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 16.5% down to 8.6%. Austin Riley has displayed weak plate discipline this year, placing in the 14th percentile with a 4.34 K/BB rate.

Austin Riley

Prop: 2.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection: 2.4
Prop:
2.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection:
2.4

Nationals Park profiles as the #22 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Austin Riley's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 16.5% down to 8.6%. Austin Riley has displayed weak plate discipline this year, placing in the 14th percentile with a 4.34 K/BB rate.

All Matchup props

Jose Tena Total Home Runs Props • Washington

Jose Tena
J. Tena
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Home Runs
Projection
0.1
Best Odds

Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. There has been a significant decline in Jose Tena's launch angle from last season's 8° to -1.9° this year. Jose Tena's launch angle of late (-5.3° in the last two weeks) is a considerable dropoff from his -1.9° seasonal figure. Jose Tena has posted a .155 Isolated Power rate (ISO) since the start of last season, checking in at the 8th percentile.

Jose Tena

Prop: 0.5 Total Home Runs
Projection: 0.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Home Runs
Projection:
0.1

Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. There has been a significant decline in Jose Tena's launch angle from last season's 8° to -1.9° this year. Jose Tena's launch angle of late (-5.3° in the last two weeks) is a considerable dropoff from his -1.9° seasonal figure. Jose Tena has posted a .155 Isolated Power rate (ISO) since the start of last season, checking in at the 8th percentile.

All Matchup props

Nick Allen Total Bases Props • Atlanta

Nick Allen
N. Allen
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Bases
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Nick Allen has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85.8-mph to 90.3-mph over the past 7 days.

Nick Allen

Prop: 0.5 Total Bases
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Bases
Projection:
0.8

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Nick Allen has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85.8-mph to 90.3-mph over the past 7 days.

All Matchup props

CJ Abrams Total Home Runs Props • Washington

CJ Abrams
C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Home Runs
Projection
0.2
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Home Runs
Projection
0.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Over the last 7 days, CJ Abrams's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.4% down to 0%. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates CJ Abrams's true offensive talent to be a .325, indicating that he has had some very good luck this year given the .075 gap between that figure and his actual .400 wOBA.

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Home Runs
Projection: 0.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Home Runs
Projection:
0.2

Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Over the last 7 days, CJ Abrams's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.4% down to 0%. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates CJ Abrams's true offensive talent to be a .325, indicating that he has had some very good luck this year given the .075 gap between that figure and his actual .400 wOBA.

All Matchup props

Alex Call Total Home Runs Props • Washington

Alex Call
A. Call
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Home Runs
Projection
0.1
Best Odds

Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Alex Call has been cold of late, posting a 0% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power) over the last week. Alex Call has performed at a clip of 9.1 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 25th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Alex Call

Prop: 0.5 Total Home Runs
Projection: 0.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Home Runs
Projection:
0.1

Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Alex Call has been cold of late, posting a 0% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power) over the last week. Alex Call has performed at a clip of 9.1 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 25th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

All Matchup props

Nick Allen Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Nick Allen
N. Allen
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Nick Allen has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85.8-mph to 90.3-mph over the past 7 days.

Nick Allen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Nick Allen has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85.8-mph to 90.3-mph over the past 7 days.

All Matchup props

Nathaniel Lowe Total Bases Props • Washington

Nathaniel Lowe
N. Lowe
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Bases
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Nathaniel Lowe's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 45.2% to 50.8%.

Nathaniel Lowe

Prop: 0.5 Total Bases
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Bases
Projection:
0.9

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Nathaniel Lowe's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 45.2% to 50.8%.

All Matchup props

Nick Allen Total RBIs Props • Atlanta

Nick Allen
N. Allen
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total RBIs
Projection
0.3
Best Odds

Nationals Park profiles as the #22 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Compared to his seasonal mark of 12°, Nick Allen has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-9.5°) in the last two weeks. Over the past 7 days, Nick Allen has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power). Nick Allen has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .262 rate is significantly inflated relative to his .228 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Nick Allen

Prop: 0.5 Total RBIs
Projection: 0.3
Prop:
0.5 Total RBIs
Projection:
0.3

Nationals Park profiles as the #22 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Compared to his seasonal mark of 12°, Nick Allen has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-9.5°) in the last two weeks. Over the past 7 days, Nick Allen has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power). Nick Allen has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .262 rate is significantly inflated relative to his .228 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

All Matchup props

James Wood Total Home Runs Props • Washington

James Wood
J. Wood
left outfield LF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Home Runs
Projection
0.2
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Home Runs
Projection
0.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. James Wood has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .392 figure is considerably higher than his .357 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

James Wood

Prop: 0.5 Total Home Runs
Projection: 0.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Home Runs
Projection:
0.2

Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. James Wood has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .392 figure is considerably higher than his .357 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

All Matchup props

Alex Verdugo Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Alex Verdugo
A. Verdugo
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Alex Verdugo has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .237 mark is deflated compared to his .260 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Sporting a 1.84 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Alex Verdugo has shown impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 83rd percentile.

Alex Verdugo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Alex Verdugo has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .237 mark is deflated compared to his .260 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Sporting a 1.84 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Alex Verdugo has shown impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 83rd percentile.

All Matchup props

Nathaniel Lowe Total Hits Props • Washington

Nathaniel Lowe
N. Lowe
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Nathaniel Lowe's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 45.2% to 50.8%.

Nathaniel Lowe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Nathaniel Lowe's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 45.2% to 50.8%.

All Matchup props

Josh Bell Total Bases Props • Washington

Josh Bell
J. Bell
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Bases
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. This season, Josh Bell has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.5 mph compared to last year's 92.8 mph mark. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.216) implies that Josh Bell has experienced some negative variance this year with his .155 actual batting average.

Josh Bell

Prop: 0.5 Total Bases
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Bases
Projection:
0.8

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. This season, Josh Bell has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.5 mph compared to last year's 92.8 mph mark. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.216) implies that Josh Bell has experienced some negative variance this year with his .155 actual batting average.

All Matchup props

Nick Allen Hits, Runs, and RBIs Props • Atlanta

Nick Allen
N. Allen
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection
1.4
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection
1.4
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nationals Park profiles as the #22 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Compared to his seasonal mark of 12°, Nick Allen has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-9.5°) in the last two weeks. Over the past 7 days, Nick Allen has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power). Nick Allen has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .262 rate is significantly inflated relative to his .228 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Nick Allen

Prop: 1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection: 1.4
Prop:
1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Projection:
1.4

Nationals Park profiles as the #22 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Compared to his seasonal mark of 12°, Nick Allen has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-9.5°) in the last two weeks. Over the past 7 days, Nick Allen has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power). Nick Allen has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .262 rate is significantly inflated relative to his .228 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

All Matchup props

Jose Tena Total Bases Props • Washington

Jose Tena
J. Tena
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Bases
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Jose Tena has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 99.1-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 95.5-mph. When it comes to his home runs, Jose Tena has been unlucky since the start of last season. His 6.7 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been considerably lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 13.2. Grading out in the 86th percentile, Jose Tena has put up a .331 BABIP since the start of last season.

Jose Tena

Prop: 0.5 Total Bases
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Bases
Projection:
0.8

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Jose Tena has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 99.1-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 95.5-mph. When it comes to his home runs, Jose Tena has been unlucky since the start of last season. His 6.7 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been considerably lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 13.2. Grading out in the 86th percentile, Jose Tena has put up a .331 BABIP since the start of last season.

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Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Washington

Josh Bell
J. Bell
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. This season, Josh Bell has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.5 mph compared to last year's 92.8 mph mark. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.216) implies that Josh Bell has experienced some negative variance this year with his .155 actual batting average.

Josh Bell

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. This season, Josh Bell has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.5 mph compared to last year's 92.8 mph mark. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.216) implies that Josh Bell has experienced some negative variance this year with his .155 actual batting average.

All Matchup props

Keibert Ruiz Total Hits Props • Washington

Keibert Ruiz
K. Ruiz
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs.

Keibert Ruiz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs.

All Matchup props

Jose Tena Total Hits Props • Washington

Jose Tena
J. Tena
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Tena in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Jose Tena will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against AJ Smith-Shawver today. Jose Tena has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme flyball bats like Jose Tena usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like AJ Smith-Shawver. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jose Tena will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jose Tena

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Tena in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Jose Tena will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against AJ Smith-Shawver today. Jose Tena has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme flyball bats like Jose Tena usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like AJ Smith-Shawver. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jose Tena will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

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Alex Verdugo Total RBIs Props • Atlanta

Alex Verdugo
A. Verdugo
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total RBIs
Projection
0.4
Best Odds

Nationals Park profiles as the #22 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. In the past week's worth of games, Alex Verdugo's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal EV of 88.1 mph to 85 mph. Compared to his seasonal mark of 10°, Alex Verdugo has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-1°) in the last two weeks' worth of games. Alex Verdugo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, decreasing from 12.1% to 7.8%.

Alex Verdugo

Prop: 0.5 Total RBIs
Projection: 0.4
Prop:
0.5 Total RBIs
Projection:
0.4

Nationals Park profiles as the #22 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. In the past week's worth of games, Alex Verdugo's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal EV of 88.1 mph to 85 mph. Compared to his seasonal mark of 10°, Alex Verdugo has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-1°) in the last two weeks' worth of games. Alex Verdugo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, decreasing from 12.1% to 7.8%.

All Matchup props

Drake Baldwin Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Drake Baldwin
D. Baldwin
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Drake Baldwin is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Drake Baldwin will have the handedness advantage against Trevor Williams in today's matchup... and moreover, Williams has a large platoon split. Drake Baldwin has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams playing today. Drake Baldwin has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 13.8% seasonal rate to 20% in the last two weeks.

Drake Baldwin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Drake Baldwin is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Drake Baldwin will have the handedness advantage against Trevor Williams in today's matchup... and moreover, Williams has a large platoon split. Drake Baldwin has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams playing today. Drake Baldwin has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 13.8% seasonal rate to 20% in the last two weeks.

All Matchup props

Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Matt Olson
M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Matt Olson has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 94.7-mph average to last season's 91.3-mph figure. Matt Olson has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 105.2-mph average in the past week to his seasonal figure of 98.5-mph. In the past two weeks, Matt Olson's 26.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 21.3%. Matt Olson has posted a .349 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 83rd percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Matt Olson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Matt Olson has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 94.7-mph average to last season's 91.3-mph figure. Matt Olson has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 105.2-mph average in the past week to his seasonal figure of 98.5-mph. In the past two weeks, Matt Olson's 26.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 21.3%. Matt Olson has posted a .349 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 83rd percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

All Matchup props

Trevor Williams Outs Recorded Props • Washington

Trevor Williams
T. Williams
starter SP • Washington
Prop
15.5
Outs Recorded
Projection
15.3
Best Odds
Prop
15.5 Outs Recorded
Projection
15.3
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Atlanta Braves have been the 7th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better the rest of the season The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Nationals Park as the 9th-best park in MLB for walks. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest LF fences among all major league parks. Trevor Williams's 86.9-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a sizeable 1.9-mph decline from last season's 88.8-mph mark. Trevor Williams's 2207-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 19th percentile out of all starters.

Trevor Williams

Prop: 15.5 Outs Recorded
Projection: 15.3
Prop:
15.5 Outs Recorded
Projection:
15.3

The Atlanta Braves have been the 7th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better the rest of the season The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Nationals Park as the 9th-best park in MLB for walks. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest LF fences among all major league parks. Trevor Williams's 86.9-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a sizeable 1.9-mph decline from last season's 88.8-mph mark. Trevor Williams's 2207-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 19th percentile out of all starters.

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Michael Harris II Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Michael Harris II
M. Harris II
center outfield CF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Michael Harris II has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .258 rate is a good deal lower than his .319 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Michael Harris II

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Michael Harris II has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .258 rate is a good deal lower than his .319 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

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Alex Call Total Bases Props • Washington

Alex Call
A. Call
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Bases
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. In the past week's worth of games, Alex Call's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.3-mph over the course of the season to 95.9-mph recently. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.2°, Alex Call has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 26.3° mark in the past week. In notching a .322 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Alex Call is positioned in the 76th percentile for hitting ability. Alex Call has put up a .374 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 96th percentile.

Alex Call

Prop: 0.5 Total Bases
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Bases
Projection:
0.7

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. In the past week's worth of games, Alex Call's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.3-mph over the course of the season to 95.9-mph recently. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.2°, Alex Call has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 26.3° mark in the past week. In notching a .322 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Alex Call is positioned in the 76th percentile for hitting ability. Alex Call has put up a .374 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 96th percentile.

All Matchup props

Alex Call Total Hits Props • Washington

Alex Call
A. Call
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. In the past week's worth of games, Alex Call's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.3-mph over the course of the season to 95.9-mph recently. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.2°, Alex Call has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 26.3° mark in the past week. In notching a .322 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Alex Call is positioned in the 76th percentile for hitting ability. Alex Call has put up a .374 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 96th percentile.

Alex Call

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. In the past week's worth of games, Alex Call's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.3-mph over the course of the season to 95.9-mph recently. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.2°, Alex Call has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 26.3° mark in the past week. In notching a .322 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Alex Call is positioned in the 76th percentile for hitting ability. Alex Call has put up a .374 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 96th percentile.

All Matchup props

Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Ozzie Albies
O. Albies
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Ozzie Albies's launch angle this season (21.2°) is a significant increase over his 18.2° figure last season. Ozzie Albies's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 20.3% on the season to 45.5% over the past 7 days. Ozzie Albies has been unlucky this year, compiling a .274 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .321 — a .047 difference.

Ozzie Albies

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Ozzie Albies's launch angle this season (21.2°) is a significant increase over his 18.2° figure last season. Ozzie Albies's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 20.3% on the season to 45.5% over the past 7 days. Ozzie Albies has been unlucky this year, compiling a .274 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .321 — a .047 difference.

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CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

CJ Abrams
C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 14.6% to 20.8%. CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, rising from 20.8% on the season to 25.7% in the last two weeks. Posting a .400 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, CJ Abrams grades out in the 95th percentile. By putting up a .311 batting average this year, CJ Abrams is positioned in the 94th percentile.

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 14.6% to 20.8%. CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, rising from 20.8% on the season to 25.7% in the last two weeks. Posting a .400 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, CJ Abrams grades out in the 95th percentile. By putting up a .311 batting average this year, CJ Abrams is positioned in the 94th percentile.

All Matchup props

Alex Call Total RBIs Props • Washington

Alex Call
A. Call
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total RBIs
Projection
0.4
Best Odds

Nationals Park profiles as the #22 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Alex Call has been cold of late, posting a 0% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power) over the last week. Alex Call has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .308 figure is inflated compared to his .253 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Alex Call

Prop: 0.5 Total RBIs
Projection: 0.4
Prop:
0.5 Total RBIs
Projection:
0.4

Nationals Park profiles as the #22 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Alex Call has been cold of late, posting a 0% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power) over the last week. Alex Call has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .308 figure is inflated compared to his .253 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

All Matchup props

Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Marcell Ozuna
M. Ozuna
designated hitter DH • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Marcell Ozuna has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 12.8% seasonal rate to 21.4% over the last two weeks. Marcell Ozuna has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.1-mph to 95.4-mph over the last two weeks. By putting up a .389 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Marcell Ozuna is ranked in the 98th percentile for offensive skills. Marcell Ozuna has displayed strong plate discipline this year, checking in at the 96th percentile with a 1.05 K/BB rate.

Marcell Ozuna

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Marcell Ozuna has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 12.8% seasonal rate to 21.4% over the last two weeks. Marcell Ozuna has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.1-mph to 95.4-mph over the last two weeks. By putting up a .389 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Marcell Ozuna is ranked in the 98th percentile for offensive skills. Marcell Ozuna has displayed strong plate discipline this year, checking in at the 96th percentile with a 1.05 K/BB rate.

All Matchup props

AJ Smith-Shawver Strikeouts Thrown Props • Atlanta

AJ Smith-Shawver
A. Smith-Shawver
starter SP • Atlanta
Prop
4.5
Strikeouts Thrown
Projection
4.6
Best Odds

When estimating his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts AJ Smith-Shawver in the 80th percentile among all SPs in MLB. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 5th-lowest temperature on the slate today at 59°. Given his reverse platoon split, AJ Smith-Shawver will benefit from being matched up with 8 hitters in the projected offense of opposing handedness in today's outing. AJ Smith-Shawver's 94.7-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 77th percentile out of all starters.

AJ Smith-Shawver

Prop: 4.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Projection: 4.6
Prop:
4.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Projection:
4.6

When estimating his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts AJ Smith-Shawver in the 80th percentile among all SPs in MLB. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 5th-lowest temperature on the slate today at 59°. Given his reverse platoon split, AJ Smith-Shawver will benefit from being matched up with 8 hitters in the projected offense of opposing handedness in today's outing. AJ Smith-Shawver's 94.7-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 77th percentile out of all starters.

All Matchup props

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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September 16

Atlanta ATLat Washington WAS 13:05 ET
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