NFL Comeback Player of the Year Odds: McCaffrey Takes Center Stage

Christian McCaffrey had his 2024 season cut short by a PCL tear, but the San Francisco 49ers running back is a heavy favorite to win the 2025 NFL Comeback Player of the Year after posting a career-high workload.

Trevor Knapp - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Trevor Knapp • Betting Analyst
Jan 22, 2026 • 13:03 ET • 3 min read
Christian McCaffrey San Francisco 49ers NFL
Photo By - Imagn Images. San Francisco 49ers running back Christian McCaffrey (23).

With Super Bowl LX nearly two weeks away, five finalists have been announced for the 2025 NFL Comeback Player of the Year.

After a campaign in which Christian McCaffrey suited up for every game and posted a career-high 413 touches from scrimmage, the San Francisco 49ers running back is a heavy favorite to comeaway with the award. 

Here are the latest NFL odds ahead of the annual NFL Honors ceremony, scheduled for February 5 at the Palace of Fine Arts in San Francisco.

NFL Comeback Player of the Year odds

CPOY Finalists
49ers Christian McCaffrey (RB)
Jaguars Trevor Lawrence (QB)
Lions Aidan Hutchinson (DE)
Cowboys Dak Prescott (QB)
Patriots Stefon Diggs (WR)
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NFL Comeback Player of the Year betting trends

• Over the last seven years, the NFL CPOY Award has been handed out to a quarterback.

• From 2014 to 2018, every Comeback Player of the Year had suffered a season-ending injury during the previous year, and Alex Smith won in 2020 after recovering from a devastating leg injury that almost required amputation. 

• Joe Burrow joins Chad Pennington (2006 and 2008) as the only player to win this award twice.


Popular NFL futures markets

Previous NFL Comeback Player of the Year award winners

Year NFL CPOY winner Team
2024 Joe Burrow Bengals Cincinnati Bengals
2023 Joe Flacco Browns Cleveland Browns
2022 Geno Smith Seahawks Seattle Seahawks
2021 Joe Burrow Bengals Cincinnati Bengals
2020 Alex Smith Commanders Washington Commanders
2019 Ryan Tannehill Titans Tennessee Titans
2018 Andrew Luck Colts Indianapolis Colts
2017 Keenan Allen Chargers Los Angeles Chargers
2016 Jordy Nelson Packers Green Bay Packers
2015 Eric Berry Chiefs Kansas City Chiefs
2014 Rob Gronkowski Patriots New England Patriots
2013 Philip Rivers Chargers Los Angeles Chargers
2012 Peyton Manning Broncos Denver Broncos
2011 Matthew Stafford Lions Detroit Lions
2010 Michael Vick Eagles Philadelphia Eagles
2009 Tom Brady Patriots New England Patriots
2008 Chad Pennington Dolphins Miami Dolphins

How to bet on NFL awards odds

Here are a few tips to keep in mind when wagering on NFL awards betting odds.  

Change your strategy at different points in the season

Sportsbooks will adjust NFL awards odds as the season goes on. In the preseason and the early weeks of the regular season, betting on dark horses can prove very profitable. As the season continues, expect to see odds tighten around the favorites. At that point, it becomes wise to focus on the players near the top of the odds board, and betting big underdogs is unwise.

Look for value with underdogs

Live long shots can provide tremendous value. Look at younger players on the verge of breaking out, or guys that have already been playing at a high level but could take the next step now that they are in an ideal situation with a new team, coach, or system. Other players that can give a great payout are established stars coming off underperforming seasons due to injuries or other factors.  

Follow the narrative

When placing futures bets on individual awards, keep in mind that voters, not a scoreboard, are often the deciding factor. Voters can be influenced by a variety of factors, including media coverage and public opinion. Consider what the media narrative is for a particular season and which players they seem to be rooting for and against. 

Research historical trends

Historical trends, especially recent ones, can give you a good idea of which way voters tend to lean. For example, the NFL MVP has been handed out to a quarterback in 14 of the last 15 seasons. Identifying those trends is a good way to separate the true contenders from the pretenders. 

Comeback Player of the Year Odds FAQs

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Trevor Knapp - Covers
Betting Analyst

Trevor joined the Covers content team as a publishing editor in early 2022. Growing up in Vancouver, he studied Broadcast and Online Journalism at the British Columbia Institute of Technology (BCIT), and interned with TSN and Sportsnet Radio while also writing for the Daily Hive.

An avid bettor of the MLB, NFL, and CFL, Trevor advises his fellow sports bettors to leave their hearts at the door and not hesitate to fade their favorite team. It's a strategy he follows regularly as an apathetic Indianapolis Colts and Toronto Blue Jays fan.

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