It was just two short seasons ago that the New York Jets were the buzz at the sportsbook.
The addition of Aaron Rodgers lifted the Jets among the AFC contenders, and even last year, after shredding his Achilles in Week 1 of 2023, books were giving New York plenty of grace with a win total shaded toward 10 victories.
A 5-12 finish was enough. Rodgers is gone, and New York has tasked new head coach Aaron Glenn with mop-up duty.
Bookmakers have fallen out of love with Gang Green, pegging the Jets as underdogs in all but two games and setting their season win total at 5.5 O/U.
Long gone are the brief Super Bowl aspirations in East Rutherford, but could there be betting value salvaged from the rubble? Six spreads of +6.5 or higher are a good start.
Here’s my 2025 New York Jets betting preview.
New York Jets best bets
Read on for Jason's full analysis and New York Jets breakdown!
New York Jets odds for 2025
| Market |  |
|---|---|
| Win Super Bowl | +25000 |
| Win conference | +6000 |
| Win division | +1800 |
| Make playoffs | +475 |
| Over 5.5 wins | -150 |
| Under 5.5 wins | +120 |
Best futures bet: Over 5.5 wins (-150)
Hear me out. Don’t hit the “back button” just yet.
Aaron Glenn inherits pieces of a defense that finished No. 3 in EPA allowed per play in 2023 and held its own in 2024 before busting open like a piñata in the back half of the schedule. Glenn will breathe new life into this group, which will at least make the Jets competitive most Sundays.
I see New York splitting wins with Miami and New England and taking advantage of softer opposition at home, hosting Dallas, Carolina, Cleveland, and Atlanta. The Jets also get winnable road dates at Jacksonville and New Orleans.
We’re asking for six wins. Not a Super Bowl.
New York Jets at a glance: Fields of dreams (or nightmares)
The Jets are kicking the tires on Justin Fields in 2025. The dual-threat QB earns that title lightly, as his passing prowess lacks the same pop as his running ability.
Fields is surrounded by a sound offensive line and capable skill players, headlined by WR Garrett Wilson and RB Breece Hall.
New offensive coordinator Tanner Engstrand is utilizing a quick-hitting, simplified scheme, but reviews out of camp and preseason play are far from glowing for Fields.
What will win bets: Defense
Glenn was the brain behind the Lions’ defense and isn’t starting over from scratch in New York. He has standouts at all three levels, with exceptional talent in the secondary and linebacker corps.
His blitz-happy schemes should ignite the Jets’ pass rush and create chaos at the line of scrimmage. In turn, that means more takeaways — something the 2024 Jets lacked. New York forced only 17 turnovers, a year removed from 27 takeaways in 2023.
Preseason projections aren’t bullish on New York becoming a Top 5 stop unit again. If the defense can at least be dangerous, it will keep the Jets within those bigger point spreads.
What will lose bets: Passing offense
Beyond Wilson, the Jets' receiving options get a little thin. Hall has become a No. 2 option out of the backfield, and the 2025 depth chart isn’t bursting with downfield threats.
It might not matter anyway. Fields appears limited in preseason appearances, keeping his throws short and safe. That could be the order of business, as Fields told the media he would be happy completing 8-yard passes and wearing down foes with the run.
Despite what he can do with his legs, there will be times when New York needs Fields to make a throw beyond the sticks... and his career numbers get really sketchy beyond 10-yard tosses.
The Jets face top-shelf defenses in Pittsburgh, Buffalo, Denver, Cleveland, New England, and Baltimore in the first 11 games. There’s a good chance Fields might not be the starter by the time December rolls around.
New York Jets schedule + spot bet: Turbulence at times
The Jets’ schedule has peaks and valleys. The team opens with two straight at MetLife Stadium and plays only two true road games in the first seven weeks, thanks to an international affair in London in Week 6.
Beyond battling the dreaded defenses of Pittsburgh, Buffalo, and Denver early on, there is opportunity for this offense to grow against the likes of Tampa Bay, Miami, Dallas, Carolina, and Cincinnati. There’s a mid-season bye waiting in Week 9.
New York could also collect a couple of wins in a softer stretch between Week 13 and Week 16, taking on Atlanta, Miami, Jacksonville, and New Orleans.
Spot bet: Week 13 vs. Atlanta +1.5, 43.5
The Falcons close out a grueling travel schedule in Week 13, playing what will be their fourth away game in five weeks at MetLife Stadium.
Atlanta plays at New England in Week 9, then crosses the pond for a showcase in Germany versus Denver in Week 10.
Rather than getting a bye after the international appearance (as is the case with most teams), the Falcons have a home date with Carolina in Week 11 before heading to New Orleans in Week 12, and then finishing this slog in New Jersey in Week 13.
This November 30 contest could throw wintery weather at the Falcons.
Unleash Breece
| Market | |
|---|---|
| Win Offensive Player of the Year | +7500 |
| Lead NFL in rushing yards | +4000 |
| Over 900.5 rushing yards | -110 |
| Under 900.5 rushing yards | -110 |
| Over 5.5 rushing touchdowns | +100 |
| Under 5.5 rushing touchdowns | -130 |
Breece Hall best bet: Over 900.5 rushing yards (-110)
Hall was able to run for just shy of 900 yards in a playbook that passed at the fourth-highest rate (64%).
Some of that was Rodgers dictating things. Some of it was the team playing from behind.
And some of it was due to poor ball control, with Hall fumbling the ball five times.
I’m confident in the Jets' defense keeping things close, and with Fields not demanding dropbacks, New York will see an uptick in handoffs in 2025. Coach Glenn did say he wants to spread the love around to all the Jets’ RBs, but Hall is still the top option.
Projections range between 870 and 1,110 yards rushing from the Jets RB. I like what this promising O-line is doing in front of him, getting Hall over the 900.5-yard mark.
New York Jets trend: Divisional Duds
Mapping any betting trends with weight is tough considering the upheaval in East Rutherford this offseason.
One thing is for sure: if Aaron Glenn is going to make his mark, he needs to win some AFC East games.
Under Robert Salah (and including the remainder of 2024 after he was fired), New York was a dismal 6-18 SU and 9-15 ATS in divisional games. Put Gang Green on the road against an AFC East foe, and that record is a gruesome 1-11 SU and 4-8 ATS since 2021.
New York is getting spreads of +5.5, +5.5, and +9.5 at Miami, New England, and Buffalo this season.
More NFL team previews
Want to see Jason's forecast for the rest of the NFL? Check out all of his NFL team previews below!
| Bills | Ravens | Texans | Broncos |
| Dolphins | Bengals | Colts | Chiefs |
| Patriots | Browns | Jaguars | Raiders |
| Jets | Steelers | Titans | Chargers |
| Cowboys | Bears | Falcons | Cardinals |
| Giants | Lions | Panthers | Rams |
| Eagles | Packers | Saints | 49ers |
| Commanders | Vikings | Buccaneers | Seahawks |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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