The Seattle Seahawks are the long shots to win the NFC West in 2025 but even at +550 odds, a divisional crown isn’t out of the question.
Year 2 under defensive czar Mike Macdonald sees the Seahawks stop unit rating out among the Top 5 defenses in the land, especially with the way Seattle finished 2024.
It rode that stingy play to a 6-2 SU record in the final eight games but came away 4-4 against the spread, thanks to an underperforming offense.
Macdonald’s defense does the heavy lifting again in 2025 while the offense will be run-heavy after making a move at coordinator to Klint Kubiak. That simple approach could be enough, given the shaky state of the NFC West.
Here’s my 2025 Seattle Seahawks NFL betting preview.
Seattle Seahawks best bets
Read on for Jason's full analysis and Seattle Seahawks breakdown!
Seattle Seahawks odds for 2025
| Market |  |
|---|---|
| Win Super Bowl | +6000 |
| Win conference | +3000 |
| Win division | +550 |
| Make playoffs | +175 |
| Over 7.5 wins | -140 |
| Under 7.5 wins | +110 |
Best futures bet: Over 7.5 Wins (-140)
The Seattle Seahawks overcame early growing pains in Macdonald’s schemes but quickly took off in the second half of the schedule. The final eight games saw Seattle slam the door on the run, make QBs sweat under pressure, and rank No. 5 in EPA allowed per play.
That stop unit is going to keep the Seahawks in any game. Bookies have Seattle as a favorite in seven matchups but there’s a lot of wiggle room, with 12 spreads between -3 and +3.
I see the Seahawks splitting their six NFC West games and picking up at least five wins from the remainder of the sked, getting them past this 7.5-win bar.
Seattle Seahawks at a glance: Wonder about Unders
A top-tier defense and a new offensive scheme dedicated to running the ball. Mmm… smells like Unders.
Sam Darnold bought himself another season as a starter with the work he did in Minnesota, but this passing game isn’t the same. Kubiak will dial up the run at a high rate, leaning into a rushing corps with capable carriers in Kenneth Walker and Zach Charbonnet.
This will be a major change in gears after Seattle passed the ball on almost 63% of snaps in 2024. Short gains with the clock ticking will have Seattle playing possession football, limiting their opponents’ touches.
Nine of the 17 look-ahead totals come in below 45 points.
What will win bets: Defense
Macdonald’s schemes keep opponents guessing and the Seahawks have versatile defenders that can thrive at different spots. The group really came together in the second half of the schedule and offseason adds like DeMarcus Lawrence spice up a pass rush that sat Top 8 in pressure rate.
Getting after the quarterback is key, forcing poor throws into one of the better secondaries in the league. Seattle only scored 18 takeaways in 2024, including 13 interceptions. I suspect more “game changing” plays are on the way.
What will lose bets: Offensive line
Kubiak’s system asks a lot from the o-line, with outside zone blocking needing athletic blockers to set the edge and spring the rusher. The talent pool up front isn’t great for the Seahawks, with many preseason projections ranking this o-line among the weakest.
On top of iffy run blocking, the Seattle pass protection needs to give Sam Darnold time. The veteran QB sees his production tank under duress, and he doesn’t have Justin Jefferson as a “chuck and pray” option anymore.
Seattle Seahawks schedule + spot bet: On the fence
If there’s one team that has bookmakers firmly planted on the fence in 2025, it’s Seattle.
Twelve look-ahead spreads bounce between -3 and +3, pegging the Seahawks for plenty of close games including four of their six AFC West matchups falling into that tight window. Macdonald went 4-2 SU and 3-3 ATS in the division in his first season as head coach.
Seattle’s schedule is 22nd in SOS and most of its stiffest competition outside of the NFC West comes at home, hosting Tampa Bay, Houston, and Minnesota at Lumen Field. The infamous “12” didn’t help the Seahawks last season, with the team going 3-6 SU and 2-7 ATS at home.
Spot bet: Week 12 at Tennessee -1.5, 44.5
Seattle plays two straight on the road and three of four away from home in Week 12.
Not only does the schedule squeeze the Seahawks, but the lowly Tennessee Titans might be taken lightly.
Seattle is coming off an important divisional game at L.A. before hosting Minnesota in a big game for Darnold – the dreaded letdown/look-ahead sandwich.
Action Jaxson
| Market | |
|---|---|
| Win Offensive Player of the Year | +5000 |
| Lead NFL in Receiving Yards | +4000 |
| Over 925.5 Receiving Yards | -155 |
| Under 925.5 Receiving Yards | +125 |
| Over 5.5 Receiving Touchdowns | -130 |
| Under 5.5 Receiving Touchdowns | +100 |
Jaxon Smith-Njigba best bet: Over 925.5 Receiving Yards (-155)
The Seahawks aren’t going to pass as much as they did last season. However, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is no longer sharing catches with DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett.
He’s now the true No. 1 WR in this offense and will see the bulk of the targets when Darnold drops back. He’s been pegged for a step back by many fantasy touts but even a decline would get him Over this disrespectful prop total.
Smith-Njigba finished with 1,130 receiving yards in 2024 and season-long projections all sit at 1,100-plus in 2025.
Seattle Seahawks trend: Dirty Dozen
Lumen Field is among the loudest venues in the league and when the soggy fall weather in the Pacific Northwest hits just right, Seattle is a tough place to play.
Home field advantage and it’s worth to the spread is a deep debate among football bettors, but it would seem the shine has worn off on the Seahawks’ home edge. Or at least, point spreads are overvaluing the impact of the “12”.
The team is 13-13 SU at home in the regular season and 9-16-1 ATS inside Lumen the past three seasons, including a 3-6 SU count and 2-7 ATS wet fart in 2024.
More NFL team previews
Want to see Jason's forecast for the rest of the NFL? Check out all of his NFL team previews below!
| Bills | Ravens | Texans | Broncos |
| Dolphins | Bengals | Colts | Chiefs |
| Patriots | Browns | Jaguars | Raiders |
| Jets | Steelers | Titans | Chargers |
| Cowboys | Bears | Falcons | Cardinals |
| Giants | Lions | Panthers | Rams |
| Eagles | Packers | Saints | 49ers |
| Commanders | Vikings | Buccaneers | Seahawks |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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