Jahmyr Gibbs remains the centerpiece of the Detroit Lions’ offense, and with fellow running back David Montgomery dealt to Houston during the offseason, the dynamic playmaker has seen an even larger workload following Week 1 play.
Having become the highest-paid RB in NFL history, Gibbs headlines NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds after making an immediate statement in the Lions' home opener, piling up 186 total yards and two touchdowns in an overtime win over the Saints.
Let’s dive into the current NFL odds to win OPOY following the opening week of the new season.
- Key Takeaways:
- Gibbs gets the spotlight in Detroit
- Henry chasing history
- Walker dominates in KC debut
NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds
| Player Name |  Probability |
|---|---|
 Jahmyr Gibbs |
21% |
 Derrick Henry |
8% |
 Bijan Robinson |
8% |
 Puka Nacua |
7% |
 Justin Jefferson |
7% |
 Ja'Marr Chase |
6% |
 Jaxon Smith-Njigba |
5% |
 Jonathan Taylor |
5% |
 Christian McCaffrey |
4% |
 CeeDee Lamb |
4% |
Odds as of 9-15. Percentages courtesy of Kalshi.
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NFL Offensive Player of the Year favorites
Jahmyr Gibbs is coming off a breakout season with the Detroit Lions, topping 1,000 rushing yards while adding more than 500 receiving yards, and if Week 1 was any indication, he'll be blowing those numbers away this year. Gibbs gashed the Saints for 156 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 29 carries, adding 30 receiving yards on five catches.
Meanwhile, Derrick Henry opened the season in vintage fashion, powering the Baltimore Ravens' offense against Indianapolis. The veteran running back rushed for 144 yards and found the end zone three times, passing Marcus Allen for third in all-time rushing touchdowns.
Kenneth Walker III is another name to watch after an incredible debut with the Kansas City Chiefs. The reigning Super Bowl MVP finished Monday Night Football with 191 all-purpose yards and two TDs.
NFL Offensive Player of the Year futures predictions
Jonathan Taylor looked set to run away with OPOY honors last year, as the Indianapolis Colts running back was the odds-on favorite through the first half of the campaign.
Then came the collapse. The Colts stumbled down the stretch, losing nine of their final 10 regular-season games, which included noticeable dips in Taylor’s production.
Despite the team’s struggles, the Colts’ running back still finished with the second-most rushing yards in the NFL, falling just 26 short of James Cook.
Backed by a stout offensive line and a two-year, $44 million extension, Taylor remains a solid pick heading into a fresh campaign.
| Pick | Odds | Pick date | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Taylor |
5% | Aug. 1 | 1.5 |
Popular NFL futures markets
NFL Offensive Player of the Year betting trends
• Since this award was first given out in 1972, seven offensive players have claimed this award more than once. However, Jerry Rice is the only receiver to win it multiple times.
• Only five receivers have won OPOY since '72, but four of the five (Michael Thomas, Cooper Kupp, Justin Jefferson, and Jaxon Smith-Njigba) have won it in the last six years.
• Among the 52 Offensive Player of the Year winners, 28 were named Most Valuable Player in the same season.
• Running backs have won OPOY the most, with 29, and quarterbacks are second with 20.
NFL Offensive Player of the Year history
Here's a look at the recent award history (preseason favorite and winner odds courtesy of Sports Odds History):
| Year | NFL OPOY Award Winner | Position |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba |
WR |
| 2024 |  Saquon Barkley |
RB |
| 2023 | Christian McCaffrey |
RB |
| 2022 | Justin Jefferson |
WR |
| 2021 | Cooper Kupp |
WR |
| 2020 |  Derrick Henry |
RB |
| 2019 |  Michael Thomas |
WR |
| 2018 |  Patrick Mahomes |
QB |
| 2017 | Todd Gurley |
RB |
| 2016 | Matt Ryan |
QB |
| 2015 |  Cam Newton |
QB |
| 2014 | DeMarco Murray |
RB |
| 2013 |  Peyton Manning |
QB |
| 2012 | Adrian Peterson |
RB |
| 2011 | Drew Brees |
QB |
| 2010 |  Tom Brady |
QB |
| 2009 | Chris Johnson |
RB |
| 2008 | Drew Brees |
QB |
| 2007 | Tom Brady |
QB |
| 2006 |  LaDainian Tomlinson |
RB |
| 2005 | Shaun Alexander |
RB |
| 2004 | Peyton Manning |
QB |
| 2003 | Jamal Lewis |
RB |
| 2002 | Priest Holmes |
RB |
| 2001 | Marshall Faulk |
RB |
| 2000 | Marshall Faulk |
RB |
NFL OPOY Odds FAQs
Detroit Lions running back Jahmyr Gibbs is the current OPOY odds leader.
Seattle Seahawks wide receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba won the 2025 OPOY award.
