Rams vs Cardinals Prediction, Top Picks & TD Scorer: NFL Week 10

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Jason Logan • Senior Betting Analyst 21+ years betting experience
Updated: Nov 15, 2026 , 01:13 PM ET • 4 min read

Carson Beck’s first NFL start, a gutted Cardinals receiver room, and a Rams team eyeing the bye point toward the Under.

nfl

Nov 15 • 11:05 AM ET
Rams vs. Cardinals prediction. Custom image of Blake Corum and Tyler Allgeier
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Custom image of Blake Corum and Tyler Allgeier

My Rams vs. Cardinals prediction expects rookie quarterback Carson Beck to have a crazy story to tell his kids about his first NFL start... if he survives.

The Arizona Cardinals must march Beck out to face the Los Angeles Rams (-9.5) in Week 10, with both teams shorthanded at wide receiver and the Rams eyeing a much-needed bye in Week 11.

I'm also sorting out the shifting sands in the NFC West, highlighting some of my best NFL picks for Nov. 15.

TOP PICK
Rams vs Cardinals prediction: Under 39.5

This total has dropped a touchdown since opening last Sunday night. And it's not just the Arizona Cardinals' QB quandary dragging the number down.

Both teams will be without their WR1s, as Los Angeles Rams wideout Puka Nacua and Arizona standout Michael Wilson suffered injuries in Week 9.

The cupboard is very bare for Carson Beck, with no Wilson or Kendrick Bourne to throw to, nor does he have RBs Jeremiyah Love and James Conner to help shoulder the offensive load.

As for the Rams, their snake-bitten lineup is looking ahead to a much-needed bye in Week 11. With a spread this size, I expect Los Angeles to try and get up quick and then slow things down in the second half to avoid further casualties.

Los Angeles has seen a significant shift in play calling the past three games, upping its run rate from 36% in the first six outings to 48.5% during this current three-game win streak.

That's slimmed the Rams' yards per play from 5.9 to 5.2 but upped their average time of possession.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Under Brissett, Arizona was using the fifth-fewest seconds per play clock while running no-huddle at the sixth-highest rate. That pace slowed with the QB switch to Minshew and will dip again with a rookie at the wheel.

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Rams vs Cardinals combo

A lack of weapons, a rookie QB, and a Rams team trying to get to the bye week without suffering any more hurt. These are all reasons Arizona and Los Angeles stay below the total in Week 10.

Blake Corum has scored a touchdown in four straight games, including a receiving TD vs. Arizona in Week 6. He'll get a lot of love in the second half, given the big spread and game script.

Tyler Allgeier is now the Cardinals RB1 and is getting a ton of work, with injuries up and down this offense. He's drawn at least three targets in the past three games, and with a rookie QB under center, Allgeier will be a favorite option on short, safe throws.

Rams vs Cardinals combo

  • Under 39.5
  • Blake Corum anytime touchdown
  • Tyler Allgeier 10+ receiving yards

Rams vs Cardinals touchdown scorer: Blake Corum

Blake Corum has enjoyed the Rams' three-game winning streak. He's seen a spike in carries and has struck for a touchdown in each of those outings.

Corum does the bulk of his damage in the second half, providing relief for RB1 Kyren Williams, with four of his five total TDs this season coming in the closing 30 minutes.

His lone first-half strike was a 15-yard touchdown reception in the Week 6 upset loss to Arizona.

Given the beefy spread and the game-script attached to it, Corum will continue to see touches in the final two frames on Sunday. His touchdown forecasts range from 31% to 50% in Week 10.

For more Week 10 touchdown angles, including the Rams D/ST, see our NFL anytime touchdown picks.

Rams vs Cardinals player prop: Tyler Allgeier 10+ receiving yards

With the Cardinals running short on weapons and a rookie quarterback under fire, RB Tyler Allgeier is being asked to do a lot in Week 10.

He took part in 96% of the Cardinals' snaps in Week 9 and has stepped up his role as a receiver during Arizona's QB swap, drawing at least three targets in each of the last three games.

While he didn't record a single gain on two catches in the loss to Seattle last week, Allgeier went for 30 and 44 yards in the two games prior. He caught one of two passes his way for 10 yards against Los Angeles in Week 6.

Beck will use Allgeier as a safety blanket against this big bad Rams pass rush and we'll see some designed passes to the RB early on, in an attempt to get the rookie comfortable with a couple easy completions.

Los Angeles just so happens to allow the most receiving yards to running backs entering Week 10, with 405 yards on 48 receptions – an average of 8.4 yards per catch by rival RBs.

Allgeier's receiving yard outlooks all sit well above 10 yards, with a ceiling of 20 yards. My projection calls for 16.6 receiving yards on Sunday.

Want more NFL player props? Check out our NFL player prop projections!

Jason Logan's 2026 Transparency Record
  • Top picks: 13-11, +0.19 units
  • Combos: 0-24, -24.0 units
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Rams vs Cardinals market trends

Here's how trusted traders at Kalshi are dealing on today's matchup. Follow the smart money via the widget below to help inform your Rams vs. Cardinals prediction.

Rams vs Cardinals odds

For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.

  • Spread: Rams -9.5 | Cardinals +9.5
  • Over/Under: Over 39.5 (50%) | Under 39.5 (51%)
  • Moneyline: Rams 80% | Cardinals 20%

Check the latest NFL odds for more on today's Rams vs. Cardinals matchup.


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Rams vs Cardinals weather

State Farm Stadium has a retractable roof and will open if conditions are nice in Glendale.

Check out our NFL weather page for up-to-date info on every matchup.

Rams vs Cardinals trend to know

Under Sean McVay, the Rams are 9-1 SU and 6-4 ATS as road favorites of more than a touchdown (since 2017). Find more NFL trends for Rams vs. Cardinals.

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How to watch Rams vs Cardinals

Location State Farm Stadium, Glendale, Ariz.
Date Sunday, Nov. 15, 2026
Kickoff 4:05 p.m. ET
TV FOX

Rams vs Cardinals latest injuries

Check out our NFL injuries page for updates on every team.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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Jason Logan Senior Industry Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst Jason Logan has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike.

Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet.

He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous NFL Underdogs column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jason's first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns.

On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast at stations like WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio, Jason's analysis has also been featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers' flagship podcast, The Sharp 600.

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