In a Sunday night showdown worthy of the primetime spotlight, the Cincinnati Bengals and Pittsburgh Steelers square off at Paycor Stadium with the top spot in the AFC North on the line.
Cincinnati's free-scoring offense dominates my Bengals vs. Steelers prop picks, including a wager on Tee Higgins to continue his touchdown streak, but don't overlook Jaylen Warren as a do-it-all spark for Pittsburgh.
Check out our NFL picks for this high-stakes Sunday, Nov. 15, battle, with kickoff set for 8:20 p.m. ET.
Best Steelers vs Bengals props
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| Pick |  Probability |
|---|---|
 Tee Higgins anytime touchdown |
45% |
 Jaylen Warren Over 89.5 rushing + receiving yards |
53% |
| Joe Burrow Under 299.5 passing yards |
54% |
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Prop pick #1: Tee Higgins anytime touchdown
Tee Higgins is on pace for a career year, thriving against more favorable coverages as defenses double-team Ja'Marr Chase. I'm buying into his touchdown hot streak. He's grabbed five TDs in the Cincinnati Bengals' last three games, while racking up 21 catches on 24 targets.
Higgins found the end zone against the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 3, and he consistently delivers in this matchup, having scored in five of his past six clashes with this AFC North rival.
The Steelers are more vulnerable through the air than on the ground, and at 6-foot-4, Higgins has a size and reach advantage over the Pittsburgh cornerbacks. With Joe Burrow tossing 16 touchdowns in his last four outings, expect Cincinnati to target Higgins in the red zone. I'd bet this up to 48%.
Prop pick #2: Jaylen Warren Over 89.5 rushing + receiving yards
In a breakout year, Jaylen Warren's role in Pittsburgh continues to grow. He's the Steelers' leading rusher and ranks second on the team in receiving yards.
This line feels too low for a versatile running back who's racked up 120+ yards from scrimmage in five of his last six outings, with 100+ rushing yards in four of those contests. I'd bet it up to 94.5 and 56%.
Sure, he'll split some carries with Rico Dowdle, but Warren is averaging 5.9 YPC, and he hurt the Bengals with chunk plays in their Week 3 matchup.
Cincinnati struggled to slow down Bijan Robinson (147 total yards on 25 touches) in Madrid last weekend, and Warren is an easy checkdown option for Aaron Rodgers here, especially with injuries depleting Pittsburgh's receiving corps.
Prop pick #3: Joe Burrow Under 299.5 passing yards
Burrow can still strengthen his MVP case without reaching this hefty passing yards total, and I'm fading the Cincinnati QB against a healthy Steelers defense that knows this divisional opponent well.
Even in such a prolific year, Burrow has fallen short of this number in six of his eight outings this season, and the Bengals are also dealing with the effects of last week's European travel.
The Steelers' four-man rush can generate enough pressure without overtaxing the back end of the defense against Cincinnati's star receivers, and the visitors haven't allowed a 300-yard passer all season. I'd play this up to 56% or down to 285.5 at a better price.
- Prop picks: 4-2, +2.15 units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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