Josh Allen still leads NFL MVP odds, but Brock Purdy jumped from 10% to 20% after the San Francisco 49ers' 3-0 start.
Brock Purdy and Lamar Jackson are now both trading ahead of Joe Burrow, while Dak Prescott has fallen from 5% to 3% after the trio in Rio.
Here are the latest NFL odds surrounding the prestigious award, as fans continue to make their NFL picks.
- Key Takeaways:
- Feeling Purdy good
- Lack of Dak
- Lamar from afar
NFL MVP odds
| Name |  Probability |
|---|---|
 Josh Allen |
28% |
 Brock Purdy |
20% |
 Lamar Jackson |
11% |
 Patrick Mahomes |
9% |
 Joe Burrow |
9% |
 Trevor Lawrence |
6% |
 Dak Prescott |
3% |
 Matthew Stafford |
3% |
 Jahmyr Gibbs |
3% |
 Tyler Shough |
3% |
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi.
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NFL MVP favorites
Through three weeks of the season, Josh Allen continues to stand tall on the NFL MVP odds board. However, after a shaky performance vs. L.A., his probability only moved from 27% to 28%.
The biggest move came from Brock Purdy, who now sits at 20% following another stellar performance.
Lamar Jackson rounds out the Top 3 after leading his Ravens to a leadoff win in Brazil.
NFL MVP prediction
Maye made an MVP push thanks to a weak 2025 schedule. Burrow follows that same smooth path in 2026, but is a far more talented QB. If Cincy makes good on the oddsmakers’ expectations and wins 11+ games, Burrow is your MVP.
Pick: Joe Burrow (10%)
Pick made by Jason Logan on August 25.
NFL MVP winners by position
| Position | NFL MVP Awards |
|---|---|
| Quarterback | 49 |
| Running back | 13 |
| Fullback | 4 |
| Halfback | 1 |
| Kicker | 1 |
| Defensive tackle | 1 |
| Linebacker | 1 |
Offensive players have dominated the NFL MVP Award since its inception. Alan Page (1971) and Lawrence Taylor (1986) are the only defensive players to receive the honor since 1957.
NFL MVP winners by team
| Team | NFL MVP Awards |
|---|---|
 Green Bay Packers |
10 |
 Indianapolis Colts |
8 |
 San Francisco 49ers |
5 |
 Cleveland Browns |
4 |
 Los Angeles Rams |
5 |
 Las Vegas Raiders |
4 |
 New England Patriots |
3 |
 Washington Commanders |
3 |
 Kansas City Chiefs |
3 |
 Buffalo Bills |
3 |
The rest of the league has a way to go before catching up with the Packers. Green Bay's 10 NFL MVP trophies are split among Paul Hornung (1961), Jim Taylor (1962), Bart Starr (1966), Brett Favre (1995, 1996, 1997), and Aaron Rodgers (2011, 2014, 2020, 2021).
Former NFL MVP winners
| Player | Year | Opening Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Matthew Stafford |
2025 | +5000 |
| Josh Allen |
2024 | +850 |
 Lamar Jackson |
2023 | +1600 |
| Patrick Mahomes |
2022 | +700 |
| Aaron Rodgers |
2021 | +800 |
| Aaron Rodgers |
2020 | +3000 |
| Lamar Jackson |
2019 | +4000 |
| Patrick Mahomes |
2018 | +3525 |
| Tom Brady |
2017 | +385 |
 Matt Ryan |
2016 | +7500 |
 Cam Newton |
2015 | +5200 |
Listed above are the last 10 winners of the NFL MVP award, with Aaron Rodgers claiming three of them while on the Green Bay Packers.
NFL MVP Odds FAQs
Josh Allen is the current NFL MVP favorite.
Matthew Stafford won the NFL MVP award last year after leading the Los Angeles Rams to the NFC Championship Game.
Running back Adrian Peterson won the NFL MVP award in 2012 as a member of the Minnesota Vikings.
While it's rare, a defensive player can win the MVP. The most famous example is linebacker Lawrence Taylor, who won in 1986. However, offensive players, particularly quarterbacks, typically dominate the award.
Who Decides the NFL MVP Winner? The winner is determined by a vote from 50 sportswriters, broadcasters, and former players from each of the 32 NFL cities. Additionally, fans can submit votes via an online ballot. The player with the most points wins the award.
Yes, you can place multiple bets on different players for the MVP award, though your potential payout will depend on the odds at the time of your bet and the likelihood of each player's performance.
In the event of a tie, the NFL MVP will typically be awarded to multiple players, although this has only happened a few times in league history. Betting sites usually clarify the rules for tied outcomes in their terms and conditions.
A longshot MVP bet is a wager on a player who is considered an unlikely winner of the MVP award. These bets often have high odds, which means a larger payout if the player somehow wins.
