Two perennial Stanley Cup contenders go head-to-head at American Airlines Center tonight when the Dallas Stars welcome the Florida Panthers.
Despite dealing with several key injuries, Florida is scoring in bunches lately, and I foresee another high-scoring contest in my Panthers vs. Stars prediction and NHL picks for Sunday, Nov. 15.
TOP PICK
Panthers vs Stars prediction: Over 5.5
I'm playing the Over up to 59% tonight.
Tonight's total feels low for a game that's slated to feature two backup goaltenders and a Florida Panthers offense that's scoring at will.
Florida has logged 4-plus goals in three straight games while averaging 3.89 goals per game over its last six contests. The Panthers' depth has been key to their success, as six players are averaging at least one point per game during that stretch.
The Dallas Stars are just two games removed from an 8-3 blowout loss to the Winnipeg Jets, while Casey DeSmith holds a 3.34 GAA and .867 SV% over his last three appearances.
COVERS INTEL: The Panthers are averaging 4.29 goals per game and 3.29 gapg at home this season, the second-highest combined total (7.58) among all clubs.
Panthers vs Stars combo
Even though they're still missing Aleksander Barkov and Brad Marchand, the Panthers have been finding a way to pick up wins.
Florida has won three straight games and four of its last six on the road, while the Stars are expected to be without their ice-time leader and defensive stalwart Miro Heiskanen.
Tkachuk has logged 25 assists in 21 games, and he's tallied at least one helper in seven straight outings.
Panthers vs Stars combo
- Over 5.5
- Panthers moneyline
- Matthew Tkachuk 1+ assist
Panthers vs Stars player prop: Matthew Tkachuk 1+ assist
Matthew Tkachuk's 25 assists are second among all skaters behind only Connor McDavid (39), and it's no surprise given how much he's tilted the ice in his team's favor.
The Panthers control nearly 58% of the shot attempts and 57% of the expected goals when Tkachuk is on the ice at 5-on-5.
He's also collected at least one assist in five straight road games and eight of his last 10.
Panthers vs Stars goal scorer: Brady Tkachuk
If Matthew is the passer, Brady Tkachuk is definitely the shooter.
Brady ranks 10th in the league in shots (75), 12th in individual expected goals (10.25), and seventh in high-danger chances (46).
Brady found the back of the net last night in St. Louis and has registered four goals in his last five road contests.
- Top picks: 4-4, -0.62 units
- Combos: 1-4, -0.28 units
Panthers vs Stars odds
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
- Moneyline: Panthers 45% | Stars 56%
- Over/Under: Over 5.5 (56%) | Under 5.5 (47%)
- Spread: Panthers +1.5 (67%) | Stars -1.5 (34%)
For the full slate of NHL matchups, check out our NHL odds board!
Panthers vs Stars trend
Florida is 6-0-0 in the last six meetings vs. Dallas. Find more NHL betting trends.
How to watch Panthers vs Stars
| Location | American Airlines Center, Dallas, Texas |
| Date | Sunday, Nov. 15, 2026 |
| Puck drop | 8 p.m. ET |
| TV | NHL Network |
Panthers vs Stars latest injuries
Check out our NHL injuries page for updates on every team.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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