NE 2.5 o51.0
DET -2.5 u51.0
KC -3.5 o47.5
ATL 3.5 u47.5
BUF -7.5 o51.0
NYJ 7.5 u51.0
MIA 4.5 o37.5
IND -4.5 u37.5
MIN 2.5 o42.0
GB -2.5 u42.0
CAR 1.5 o49.0
NO -1.5 u49.0
JAC -10.5 o46.0
TEN 10.5 u46.0
HOU -3.5 o40.5
CLE 3.5 u40.5
SEA -6.5 o40.5
LV 6.5 u40.5
LA -9.5 o38.0
ARI 9.5 u38.0
SF -3.5 o55.5
DAL 3.5 u55.5
PIT 3.5 o49.0
CIN -3.5 u49.0
LAC 4.5 o39.0
BAL -4.5 u39.0
Final Nov 12
WAS 24 1.5 o40.5
NYG 21 -1.5 u40.5
Los Angeles 3rd NFC West5-4
Arizona 4th NFC West3-6

Rams vs Cardinals   Picks & Props

LA vs ARI Picks

NFL Picks
Total
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail u47.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 days ago
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

The Rams returned Myles Garrett in Week 9, and this stop unit instantly got a shot in the arm, scoring four sacks and two takeaways. Los Angeles took down Washington 20-13 and stayed well short of the closing total of 47.5 points. The Arizona Cardinals aren’t providing much push back. They’re fine with either Gardner Minshew or rookie Carson Beck under center after trading Jacoby Brissett last week. That’s asking a lot of those QBs, considering the porous pass protection.

Total
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail u39.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

Both of these offenses will play a much more methodical pace in Week 10. Los Angeles has seen a significant shift in playcalling the past three games, upping its run rate from 36% in the first six outings to 48.5% during this current three-game win streak. That’s slimmed the Rams’ yards per play from 5.9 to 5.2 but upped their average time of possession. Under Brissett, Arizona was using the fifth fewest seconds per play clock and running no-huddle at the sixth highest rate. That pace slowed with the QB switch to Minshew and will dip again with a rookie at QB.

Anytime Touchdown
Blake Corum logo Blake Corum Score a Touchdown (Yes: +120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

Blake Corum has enjoyed the Rams’ three-game winning streak. He’s seen a spike in carries and has struck for a touchdown in each of those outings. Corum does the bulk of his damage in the second half, providing relief for RB1 Kyren Williams, with four of his five total TDs this season coming in the closing 30 minutes. His lone first-half strike was a 15-yard touchdown reception in the upset loss to Arizona in Week 6.

Receiving Yards
Tyler Allgeier logo Tyler Allgeier o9.5 Receiving Yards (-127)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

Beck will use Allgeier as a safety blanket against this big bad Rams pass rush and we’ll see some designed passes to the RB early on, in an attempt to get the rookie comfortable with a couple easy completions. Allgeier’s receiving yard outlooks all sit well above 10 yards, with a ceiling of 20 yards. My projection calls for 16.6 receiving yards on Sunday. Los Angeles just so happens to allow the most receiving yards to running backs entering Week 10, with 405 yards on 48 receptions – an average of 8.4 yards per catch by rival RBs. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
u39.5
Total
Blake Corum profile picture
Blake Corum Score a Touchdown (Yes)
Anytime Touchdown
Tyler Allgeier profile picture
Tyler Allgeier o9.5 Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards
Bet now
Pick made: 2 days ago
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

A lack of weapons, a rookie QB, and a Rams team trying to get to the bye week without suffering any more hurt. These are all reasons Arizona and Los Angeles stay below the total in Week 10. Blake Corum has scored a touchdown in four straight games, including a receiving TD versus Arizona in Week 6. He’ll get a lot of love in the second half, given the big spread and game script. Tyler Allgeier is now the Cardinals RB1 and is playing a ton, with injuries up and down this offense. He’s drawn at least three targets the past three games and with a rookie QB under center, Allgeier will be a favorite option on short safe throws.

Passing Yards
Matthew Stafford logo
Matthew Stafford o212.5 Passing Yards (-113) Projection 246.34 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
Right now, the 5th-most pass-heavy offense in football (63.0% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Rams.. The model projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.68 seconds per snap.. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. Matthew Stafford has attempted 35.8 throws per game this year, grading out in the 89th percentile among QBs.. The Los Angeles O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all air attack stats across the board.
Rushing Yards
Matthew Stafford logo
Matthew Stafford o0.5 Rushing Yards (+113) Projection 2.36 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 hours ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Rams are a huge 9.5-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.. The model projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.68 seconds per snap.. Matthew Stafford's 6.84 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season conveys a significant progression in his rushing talent over last season's 6.06 mark.. This year, the feeble Cardinals run defense has been gouged for a colossal 132.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the 6th-worst in the NFL.
Rushing Yards
Tyler Allgeier logo
Tyler Allgeier o32.5 Rushing Yards (-115) Projection 46.46 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Arizona Cardinals have run the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 63.9 plays per game.. After comprising 30.2% of his team's rushing play calls last season, Tyler Allgeier has had a larger role in the run game this season, currently making up 41.6%.. Tyler Allgeier's 38.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year conveys a material gain in his rushing talent over last year's 27.0 mark.
Rushing Yards
Kyren Williams logo
Kyren Williams u70.5 Rushing Yards (-115) Projection 63.27 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 4 out of 5
The projections expect the Rams to be the 5th-least run-oriented offense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 37.0% run rate.. Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower run volume.. The Arizona Cardinals linebackers project as the 6th-best collection of LBs in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.
Receiving Yards
Tyler Allgeier logo
Tyler Allgeier o10.5 Receiving Yards (-115) Projection 18.49 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are enormous underdogs this week, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cardinals to pass on 62.2% of their chances: the 6th-highest clip among all teams this week.. The Arizona Cardinals have run the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 63.9 plays per game.. Tyler Allgeier's 14.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season marks a substantial boost in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 5.0 rate.. The Los Angeles Rams defense has been torched for the 7th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (39.0) vs. running backs this year.
Receiving Yards
Konata Mumpfield logo
Konata Mumpfield o29.5 Receiving Yards (-113) Projection 40.18 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
Right now, the 5th-most pass-heavy offense in football (63.0% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Rams.. The model projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.68 seconds per snap.. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. The Los Angeles O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all air attack stats across the board.. The Arizona Cardinals linebackers rank as the worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
Receiving Yards
Kyren Williams logo
Kyren Williams o20.5 Receiving Yards (-115) Projection 25.81 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 hours ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
Right now, the 5th-most pass-heavy offense in football (63.0% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Rams.. The model projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.68 seconds per snap.. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. In this week's game, Kyren Williams is anticipated by our trusted projection set to rank in the 93rd percentile when it comes to RBs with 4.7 targets.. Kyren Williams has compiled many more adjusted receiving yards per game (28.0) this year than he did last year (15.0).
Receiving Yards
Tutu Atwell logo
Tutu Atwell o28.5 Receiving Yards (-110) Projection 37.60 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
The model projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.68 seconds per snap.. Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower run volume.. While Tutu Atwell has received 5.0% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be much more involved in Los Angeles's passing offense in this week's contest at 15.0%.. The Los Angeles O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all air attack stats across the board.. The Arizona Cardinals linebackers rank as the worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
Receiving Yards
Tyler Higbee logo
Tyler Higbee o32.5 Receiving Yards (-120) Projection 43.46 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
The model projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.68 seconds per snap.. Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower run volume.. Our trusted projections expect Tyler Higbee to total 5.4 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 88th percentile among tight ends.. While Tyler Higbee has earned 11.3% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much more involved in Los Angeles's passing offense this week at 16.5%.. Tyler Higbee has accumulated far more air yards this year (33.0 per game) than he did last year (21.0 per game).
Receiving Yards
Trey McBride logo
Trey McBride o55.5 Receiving Yards (-115) Projection 68.39 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are enormous underdogs this week, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cardinals to pass on 62.2% of their chances: the 6th-highest clip among all teams this week.. The Arizona Cardinals have run the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 63.9 plays per game.. The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. With a fantastic 63.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (99th percentile) this year, Trey McBride has been as one of the best TEs in the pass game in the NFL.

LA vs ARI Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Spread

52% picking L.A. Rams

52%
48%

Total Picks LA 462, ARI 429

Spread
LA
ARI
Total

48% picking L.A. Rams vs Arizona to go Under

52%
48%

Total PicksLA 289, ARI 272

Total
Over
Under

LA vs ARI Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS PROJECTIONS ANALYSIS BEST ODDS
SPREAD
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
ARI +9.5 spread
9.03 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
2.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
ARI +9.5 spread

PROJECTION

9.03 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
2.78% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+9.5 -105
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
Over 38.5 Total
40.73 OVER PROJECTION
+2.2 DIFFERENCE
13.92% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
Over 38.5 Total

PROJECTION

40.73 OVER PROJECTION
+2.2 DIFFERENCE
13.92% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o38.5 -108
BetMGM logo
PASSING YARDS
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) o212.5 Passing Yards
246.34 OVER PROJECTION
+33.8 DIFFERENCE
26.09% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) o212.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

246.34 OVER PROJECTION
+33.8 DIFFERENCE
26.09% EV

ANALYSIS

Right now, the 5th-most pass-heavy offense in football (63.0% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Rams.. The model projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.68 seconds per snap.. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. Matthew Stafford has attempted 35.8 throws per game this year, grading out in the 89th percentile among QBs.. The Los Angeles O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all air attack stats across the board.

o208.5 -112
DraftKings logo
RUSHING YARDS
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) o0.5 Rushing Yards
2.36 OVER PROJECTION
+1.9 DIFFERENCE
27.06% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) o0.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

2.36 OVER PROJECTION
+1.9 DIFFERENCE
27.06% EV

ANALYSIS

The Rams are a huge 9.5-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.. The model projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.68 seconds per snap.. Matthew Stafford's 6.84 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season conveys a significant progression in his rushing talent over last season's 6.06 mark.. This year, the feeble Cardinals run defense has been gouged for a colossal 132.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the 6th-worst in the NFL.

o0.5 +118
FanDuel logo
RUSHING YARDS
Tyler Allgeier logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
T. Allgeier (RB) o32.5 Rushing Yards
46.46 OVER PROJECTION
+14.0 DIFFERENCE
26.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Tyler Allgeier logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
T. Allgeier (RB) o32.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

46.46 OVER PROJECTION
+14.0 DIFFERENCE
26.25% EV

ANALYSIS

The Arizona Cardinals have run the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 63.9 plays per game.. After comprising 30.2% of his team's rushing play calls last season, Tyler Allgeier has had a larger role in the run game this season, currently making up 41.6%.. Tyler Allgeier's 38.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year conveys a material gain in his rushing talent over last year's 27.0 mark.

o32.5 -115
BetMGM logo
RUSHING YARDS
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) u70.5 Rushing Yards
63.27 UNDER PROJECTION
-7.2 DIFFERENCE
21.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) u70.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

63.27 UNDER PROJECTION
-7.2 DIFFERENCE
21.49% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Rams to be the 5th-least run-oriented offense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 37.0% run rate.. Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower run volume.. The Arizona Cardinals linebackers project as the 6th-best collection of LBs in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

u70.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Tyler Allgeier logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
T. Allgeier (RB) o10.5 Receiving Yards
18.49 OVER PROJECTION
+8.0 DIFFERENCE
26.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Tyler Allgeier logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
T. Allgeier (RB) o10.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

18.49 OVER PROJECTION
+8.0 DIFFERENCE
26.2% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are enormous underdogs this week, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cardinals to pass on 62.2% of their chances: the 6th-highest clip among all teams this week.. The Arizona Cardinals have run the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 63.9 plays per game.. Tyler Allgeier's 14.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season marks a substantial boost in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 5.0 rate.. The Los Angeles Rams defense has been torched for the 7th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (39.0) vs. running backs this year.

o9.5 -113
DraftKings logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Konata Mumpfield logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Mumpfield (WR) o29.5 Receiving Yards
40.18 OVER PROJECTION
+10.7 DIFFERENCE
25.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Konata Mumpfield logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Mumpfield (WR) o29.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

40.18 OVER PROJECTION
+10.7 DIFFERENCE
25.67% EV

ANALYSIS

Right now, the 5th-most pass-heavy offense in football (63.0% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Rams.. The model projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.68 seconds per snap.. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. The Los Angeles O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all air attack stats across the board.. The Arizona Cardinals linebackers rank as the worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

o24.5 -125
BetRivers logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) o20.5 Receiving Yards
25.81 OVER PROJECTION
+5.3 DIFFERENCE
25.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) o20.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

25.81 OVER PROJECTION
+5.3 DIFFERENCE
25.54% EV

ANALYSIS

Right now, the 5th-most pass-heavy offense in football (63.0% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Rams.. The model projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.68 seconds per snap.. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. In this week's game, Kyren Williams is anticipated by our trusted projection set to rank in the 93rd percentile when it comes to RBs with 4.7 targets.. Kyren Williams has compiled many more adjusted receiving yards per game (28.0) this year than he did last year (15.0).

o19.5 -113
FanDuel logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Tutu Atwell logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
T. Atwell (WR) o28.5 Receiving Yards
37.60 OVER PROJECTION
+9.1 DIFFERENCE
25.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Tutu Atwell logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
T. Atwell (WR) o28.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

37.60 OVER PROJECTION
+9.1 DIFFERENCE
25.54% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.68 seconds per snap.. Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower run volume.. While Tutu Atwell has received 5.0% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be much more involved in Los Angeles's passing offense in this week's contest at 15.0%.. The Los Angeles O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all air attack stats across the board.. The Arizona Cardinals linebackers rank as the worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

o25.5 -124
BetRivers logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Tyler Higbee logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
T. Higbee (TE) o32.5 Receiving Yards
43.46 OVER PROJECTION
+11.0 DIFFERENCE
25.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Tyler Higbee logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
T. Higbee (TE) o32.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

43.46 OVER PROJECTION
+11.0 DIFFERENCE
25.17% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.68 seconds per snap.. Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower run volume.. Our trusted projections expect Tyler Higbee to total 5.4 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 88th percentile among tight ends.. While Tyler Higbee has earned 11.3% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much more involved in Los Angeles's passing offense this week at 16.5%.. Tyler Higbee has accumulated far more air yards this year (33.0 per game) than he did last year (21.0 per game).

o32.5 -120
BetRivers logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Trey McBride logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
T. McBride (TE) o55.5 Receiving Yards
68.39 OVER PROJECTION
+12.9 DIFFERENCE
25.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Trey McBride logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
T. McBride (TE) o55.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

68.39 OVER PROJECTION
+12.9 DIFFERENCE
25.05% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are enormous underdogs this week, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cardinals to pass on 62.2% of their chances: the 6th-highest clip among all teams this week.. The Arizona Cardinals have run the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 63.9 plays per game.. The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. With a fantastic 63.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (99th percentile) this year, Trey McBride has been as one of the best TEs in the pass game in the NFL.

o55.5 -115
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Konata Mumpfield logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Mumpfield (WR) o2.5 Receptions Made
3.00 OVER PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
13.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Konata Mumpfield logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Mumpfield (WR) o2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.00 OVER PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
13.19% EV

ANALYSIS

Right now, the 5th-most pass-heavy offense in football (63.0% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Rams.. The model projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.68 seconds per snap.. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. The Los Angeles O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all air attack stats across the board.. The Arizona Cardinals linebackers rank as the worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

o2.5 +115
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Tyler Allgeier logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
T. Allgeier (RB) o2.5 Receptions Made
2.74 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
8.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Tyler Allgeier logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
T. Allgeier (RB) o2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.74 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
8.49% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are enormous underdogs this week, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cardinals to pass on 63.8% of their chances: the 3rd-highest clip among all teams this week.. The Arizona Cardinals have run the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 63.9 plays per game.. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. Tyler Allgeier's 2.3 adjusted receptions per game this year illustrates a noteable growth in his receiving talent over last year's 0.7 rate.

o2.5 +127
DraftKings logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Trey McBride logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
T. McBride (TE) o6.5 Receptions Made
7.36 OVER PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
7.42% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Trey McBride logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
T. McBride (TE) o6.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

7.36 OVER PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
7.42% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are enormous underdogs this week, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cardinals to pass on 62.2% of their chances: the 6th-highest clip among all teams this week.. The Arizona Cardinals have run the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 63.9 plays per game.. The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. Trey McBride's 7.3 adjusted catches per game this year shows a noteworthy gain in his receiving skills over last year's 6.2 rate.

o6.5 -120
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RECEPTIONS MADE
Tutu Atwell logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
T. Atwell (WR) o2.5 Receptions Made
2.73 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
7.38% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Tutu Atwell logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
T. Atwell (WR) o2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.73 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
7.38% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.68 seconds per snap.. Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower run volume.. While Tutu Atwell has received 5.0% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be much more involved in Los Angeles's passing offense in this week's contest at 15.0%.. The Los Angeles O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all air attack stats across the board.. The Arizona Cardinals linebackers rank as the worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

o2.5 +115
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RECEPTIONS MADE
Tyler Higbee logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
T. Higbee (TE) o3.5 Receptions Made
3.91 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
6.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Tyler Higbee logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
T. Higbee (TE) o3.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.91 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
6.41% EV

ANALYSIS

Right now, the 5th-most pass-heavy offense in football (63.0% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Rams.. The model projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.68 seconds per snap.. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. Our trusted projections expect Tyler Higbee to total 5.6 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 87th percentile among tight ends.. With an excellent 3.1 adjusted catches per game (78th percentile) this year, Tyler Higbee ranks as one of the best TEs in the pass game in the league.

o3.5 -120
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RECEPTIONS MADE
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) o2.5 Receptions Made
3.25 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
2.15% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) o2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.25 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
2.15% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.68 seconds per snap.. Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower run volume.. In this week's game, Kyren Williams is anticipated by our trusted projection set to rank in the 93rd percentile when it comes to RBs with 4.6 targets.. Kyren Williams's 23.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 13.6.. Kyren Williams's 3.7 adjusted catches per game this season shows a meaningful growth in his pass-catching skills over last season's 1.8 mark.

o2.5 -145
BetMGM logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) u15.5 Rushing Attempts
13.71 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.8 DIFFERENCE
18.48% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) u15.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

13.71 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.8 DIFFERENCE
18.48% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Rams to be the 5th-least run-oriented offense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 37.0% run rate.. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. The Arizona Cardinals linebackers project as the 6th-best collection of LBs in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

u15.5 -110
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RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Tyler Allgeier logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
T. Allgeier (RB) o9.5 Rushing Attempts
11.37 OVER PROJECTION
+1.9 DIFFERENCE
16.66% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Tyler Allgeier logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
T. Allgeier (RB) o9.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

11.37 OVER PROJECTION
+1.9 DIFFERENCE
16.66% EV

ANALYSIS

The Arizona Cardinals have run the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 63.9 plays per game.. After comprising 30.2% of his team's rushing play calls last season, Tyler Allgeier has had a larger role in the run game this season, currently making up 41.6%.

o9.5 -121
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PASSING ATTEMPTS
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) o29.5 Passing Attempts
34.11 OVER PROJECTION
+4.6 DIFFERENCE
19.26% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) o29.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

34.11 OVER PROJECTION
+4.6 DIFFERENCE
19.26% EV

ANALYSIS

Right now, the 5th-most pass-heavy offense in football (63.0% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Rams.. The model projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.68 seconds per snap.. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. Matthew Stafford has attempted 35.8 throws per game this year, grading out in the 89th percentile among QBs.

o29.5 -130
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PASSING COMPLETIONS
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) o19.5 Passing Completions
22.18 OVER PROJECTION
+2.7 DIFFERENCE
18.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) o19.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

22.18 OVER PROJECTION
+2.7 DIFFERENCE
18.93% EV

ANALYSIS

Right now, the 5th-most pass-heavy offense in football (63.0% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Rams.. The model projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.68 seconds per snap.. Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower run volume.. Matthew Stafford has attempted 35.8 throws per game this year, grading out in the 89th percentile among QBs.. The Los Angeles O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all air attack stats across the board.

o19.5 -120
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ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.07 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
0% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.07 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
0% EV

ANALYSIS

Right now, the 5th-most pass-heavy offense in football (63.0% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Rams.. The model projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.68 seconds per snap.. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. The Los Angeles O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all air attack stats across the board.. 0: the number of touchdowns on the ground Matthew Stafford has scored this year.

+1900
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ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.72 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
15.37% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.72 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
15.37% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projections forecast the Rams to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 58.9% red zone pass rate.. The model projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.68 seconds per snap.. Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower run volume.. Kyren Williams has totaled a whopping 12.0 air yards per game this year: 99th percentile among RBs. (This may not sound like very many, but most RBs have negative air yards as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage).. Kyren Williams's 23.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 13.6.

-130
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Trey McBride logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
T. McBride (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.32 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
15.28% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Trey McBride logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
T. McBride (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.32 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
15.28% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are enormous underdogs this week, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cardinals to pass on 62.2% of their chances: the 6th-highest clip among all teams this week.. The Cardinals rank as the 5th-most pass-oriented offense in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year with a 62.6% red zone pass rate.. The Arizona Cardinals have run the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 63.9 plays per game.. The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

+300
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ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Tutu Atwell logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
T. Atwell (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.22 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
11.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Tutu Atwell logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
T. Atwell (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.22 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
11.24% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projections forecast the Rams to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 58.9% red zone pass rate.. The model projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.68 seconds per snap.. Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower run volume.. The model projects Tutu Atwell to be a much bigger part of his offense's pass game near the goal line this week (12.9% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).. The Los Angeles O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all air attack stats across the board.

+400
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ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Tyler Higbee logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
T. Higbee (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.27 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-0.6% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Tyler Higbee logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
T. Higbee (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.27 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-0.6% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projections forecast the Rams to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 58.9% red zone pass rate.. The model projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.68 seconds per snap.. Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower run volume.. The model projects Tyler Higbee to be much more involved in his offense's air attack near the goal line in this week's game (14.7% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (5.8% in games he has played).. Tyler Higbee has accumulated far more air yards this year (33.0 per game) than he did last year (21.0 per game).

+280
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Konata Mumpfield logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Mumpfield (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.23 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-2.47% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Konata Mumpfield logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Mumpfield (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.23 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-2.47% EV

ANALYSIS

Right now, the 5th-most pass-heavy offense in football (63.0% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Rams.. The model projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.68 seconds per snap.. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. The Los Angeles O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all air attack stats across the board.. The Arizona Cardinals defense has been torched for the 4th-most TDs through the air in football to wide receivers: 1.22 per game this year.

+360
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ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Tyler Allgeier logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
T. Allgeier (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.25 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-12.38% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Tyler Allgeier logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
T. Allgeier (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.25 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-12.38% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are enormous underdogs this week, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cardinals to pass on 62.2% of their chances: the 6th-highest clip among all teams this week.. The Cardinals rank as the 5th-most pass-oriented offense in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year with a 62.6% red zone pass rate.. The Arizona Cardinals have run the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 63.9 plays per game.. The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

+250
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INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.40 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.35% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.40 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.35% EV

ANALYSIS

The Rams are a huge 9.5-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.. The projections expect the Los Angeles Rams as the 8th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 56.6% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Opposing teams have averaged 29.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Cardinals defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

u0.5 -125
bet365 logo
  • Proj. Diff: Low to High
  • Proj. Diff: High to Low
  • Proj. Rating: Low to High
  • Proj. Rating: High to Low
  • +EV: Low to High
  • +EV: High to Low
SPREAD
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
ARI +9.5 spread
9.03 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
2.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
ARI +9.5 spread

PROJECTION

9.03 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
2.78% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+9.5 -105
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
Over 38.5 Total
40.73 OVER PROJECTION
+2.2 DIFFERENCE
13.92% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
Over 38.5 Total

PROJECTION

40.73 OVER PROJECTION
+2.2 DIFFERENCE
13.92% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o38.5 -108
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PASSING YARDS
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) o212.5 Passing Yards
246.34 OVER PROJECTION
+33.8 DIFFERENCE
26.09% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) o212.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

246.34 OVER PROJECTION
+33.8 DIFFERENCE
26.09% EV

ANALYSIS

Right now, the 5th-most pass-heavy offense in football (63.0% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Rams.. The model projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.68 seconds per snap.. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. Matthew Stafford has attempted 35.8 throws per game this year, grading out in the 89th percentile among QBs.. The Los Angeles O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all air attack stats across the board.

o208.5 -112
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RUSHING YARDS
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) o0.5 Rushing Yards
2.36 OVER PROJECTION
+1.9 DIFFERENCE
27.06% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) o0.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

2.36 OVER PROJECTION
+1.9 DIFFERENCE
27.06% EV

ANALYSIS

The Rams are a huge 9.5-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.. The model projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.68 seconds per snap.. Matthew Stafford's 6.84 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season conveys a significant progression in his rushing talent over last season's 6.06 mark.. This year, the feeble Cardinals run defense has been gouged for a colossal 132.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the 6th-worst in the NFL.

o0.5 +118
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RUSHING YARDS
Tyler Allgeier logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
T. Allgeier (RB) o32.5 Rushing Yards
46.46 OVER PROJECTION
+14.0 DIFFERENCE
26.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Tyler Allgeier logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
T. Allgeier (RB) o32.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

46.46 OVER PROJECTION
+14.0 DIFFERENCE
26.25% EV

ANALYSIS

The Arizona Cardinals have run the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 63.9 plays per game.. After comprising 30.2% of his team's rushing play calls last season, Tyler Allgeier has had a larger role in the run game this season, currently making up 41.6%.. Tyler Allgeier's 38.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year conveys a material gain in his rushing talent over last year's 27.0 mark.

o32.5 -115
BetMGM logo
RUSHING YARDS
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) u70.5 Rushing Yards
63.27 UNDER PROJECTION
-7.2 DIFFERENCE
21.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) u70.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

63.27 UNDER PROJECTION
-7.2 DIFFERENCE
21.49% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Rams to be the 5th-least run-oriented offense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 37.0% run rate.. Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower run volume.. The Arizona Cardinals linebackers project as the 6th-best collection of LBs in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

u70.5 -115
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RECEIVING YARDS
Tyler Allgeier logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
T. Allgeier (RB) o10.5 Receiving Yards
18.49 OVER PROJECTION
+8.0 DIFFERENCE
26.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Tyler Allgeier logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
T. Allgeier (RB) o10.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

18.49 OVER PROJECTION
+8.0 DIFFERENCE
26.2% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are enormous underdogs this week, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cardinals to pass on 62.2% of their chances: the 6th-highest clip among all teams this week.. The Arizona Cardinals have run the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 63.9 plays per game.. Tyler Allgeier's 14.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season marks a substantial boost in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 5.0 rate.. The Los Angeles Rams defense has been torched for the 7th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (39.0) vs. running backs this year.

o9.5 -113
DraftKings logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Konata Mumpfield logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Mumpfield (WR) o29.5 Receiving Yards
40.18 OVER PROJECTION
+10.7 DIFFERENCE
25.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Konata Mumpfield logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Mumpfield (WR) o29.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

40.18 OVER PROJECTION
+10.7 DIFFERENCE
25.67% EV

ANALYSIS

Right now, the 5th-most pass-heavy offense in football (63.0% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Rams.. The model projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.68 seconds per snap.. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. The Los Angeles O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all air attack stats across the board.. The Arizona Cardinals linebackers rank as the worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

o24.5 -125
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RECEIVING YARDS
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) o20.5 Receiving Yards
25.81 OVER PROJECTION
+5.3 DIFFERENCE
25.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) o20.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

25.81 OVER PROJECTION
+5.3 DIFFERENCE
25.54% EV

ANALYSIS

Right now, the 5th-most pass-heavy offense in football (63.0% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Rams.. The model projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.68 seconds per snap.. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. In this week's game, Kyren Williams is anticipated by our trusted projection set to rank in the 93rd percentile when it comes to RBs with 4.7 targets.. Kyren Williams has compiled many more adjusted receiving yards per game (28.0) this year than he did last year (15.0).

o19.5 -113
FanDuel logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Tutu Atwell logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
T. Atwell (WR) o28.5 Receiving Yards
37.60 OVER PROJECTION
+9.1 DIFFERENCE
25.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Tutu Atwell logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
T. Atwell (WR) o28.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

37.60 OVER PROJECTION
+9.1 DIFFERENCE
25.54% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.68 seconds per snap.. Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower run volume.. While Tutu Atwell has received 5.0% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be much more involved in Los Angeles's passing offense in this week's contest at 15.0%.. The Los Angeles O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all air attack stats across the board.. The Arizona Cardinals linebackers rank as the worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

o25.5 -124
BetRivers logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Tyler Higbee logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
T. Higbee (TE) o32.5 Receiving Yards
43.46 OVER PROJECTION
+11.0 DIFFERENCE
25.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Tyler Higbee logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
T. Higbee (TE) o32.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

43.46 OVER PROJECTION
+11.0 DIFFERENCE
25.17% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.68 seconds per snap.. Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower run volume.. Our trusted projections expect Tyler Higbee to total 5.4 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 88th percentile among tight ends.. While Tyler Higbee has earned 11.3% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much more involved in Los Angeles's passing offense this week at 16.5%.. Tyler Higbee has accumulated far more air yards this year (33.0 per game) than he did last year (21.0 per game).

o32.5 -120
BetRivers logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Trey McBride logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
T. McBride (TE) o55.5 Receiving Yards
68.39 OVER PROJECTION
+12.9 DIFFERENCE
25.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Trey McBride logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
T. McBride (TE) o55.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

68.39 OVER PROJECTION
+12.9 DIFFERENCE
25.05% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are enormous underdogs this week, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cardinals to pass on 62.2% of their chances: the 6th-highest clip among all teams this week.. The Arizona Cardinals have run the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 63.9 plays per game.. The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. With a fantastic 63.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (99th percentile) this year, Trey McBride has been as one of the best TEs in the pass game in the NFL.

o55.5 -115
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RECEPTIONS MADE
Konata Mumpfield logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Mumpfield (WR) o2.5 Receptions Made
3.00 OVER PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
13.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Konata Mumpfield logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Mumpfield (WR) o2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.00 OVER PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
13.19% EV

ANALYSIS

Right now, the 5th-most pass-heavy offense in football (63.0% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Rams.. The model projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.68 seconds per snap.. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. The Los Angeles O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all air attack stats across the board.. The Arizona Cardinals linebackers rank as the worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

o2.5 +115
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Tyler Allgeier logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
T. Allgeier (RB) o2.5 Receptions Made
2.74 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
8.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Tyler Allgeier logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
T. Allgeier (RB) o2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.74 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
8.49% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are enormous underdogs this week, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cardinals to pass on 63.8% of their chances: the 3rd-highest clip among all teams this week.. The Arizona Cardinals have run the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 63.9 plays per game.. This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. Tyler Allgeier's 2.3 adjusted receptions per game this year illustrates a noteable growth in his receiving talent over last year's 0.7 rate.

o2.5 +127
DraftKings logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Trey McBride logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
T. McBride (TE) o6.5 Receptions Made
7.36 OVER PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
7.42% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Trey McBride logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
T. McBride (TE) o6.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

7.36 OVER PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
7.42% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are enormous underdogs this week, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cardinals to pass on 62.2% of their chances: the 6th-highest clip among all teams this week.. The Arizona Cardinals have run the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 63.9 plays per game.. The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.. Trey McBride's 7.3 adjusted catches per game this year shows a noteworthy gain in his receiving skills over last year's 6.2 rate.

o6.5 -120
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Tutu Atwell logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
T. Atwell (WR) o2.5 Receptions Made
2.73 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
7.38% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Tutu Atwell logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
T. Atwell (WR) o2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.73 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
7.38% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.68 seconds per snap.. Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower run volume.. While Tutu Atwell has received 5.0% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be much more involved in Los Angeles's passing offense in this week's contest at 15.0%.. The Los Angeles O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all air attack stats across the board.. The Arizona Cardinals linebackers rank as the worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

o2.5 +115
BetRivers logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Tyler Higbee logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
T. Higbee (TE) o3.5 Receptions Made
3.91 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
6.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Tyler Higbee logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
T. Higbee (TE) o3.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.91 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
6.41% EV

ANALYSIS

Right now, the 5th-most pass-heavy offense in football (63.0% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Rams.. The model projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.68 seconds per snap.. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. Our trusted projections expect Tyler Higbee to total 5.6 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 87th percentile among tight ends.. With an excellent 3.1 adjusted catches per game (78th percentile) this year, Tyler Higbee ranks as one of the best TEs in the pass game in the league.

o3.5 -120
BetMGM logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) o2.5 Receptions Made
3.25 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
2.15% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) o2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.25 OVER PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
2.15% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.68 seconds per snap.. Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower run volume.. In this week's game, Kyren Williams is anticipated by our trusted projection set to rank in the 93rd percentile when it comes to RBs with 4.6 targets.. Kyren Williams's 23.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 13.6.. Kyren Williams's 3.7 adjusted catches per game this season shows a meaningful growth in his pass-catching skills over last season's 1.8 mark.

o2.5 -145
BetMGM logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) u15.5 Rushing Attempts
13.71 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.8 DIFFERENCE
18.48% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) u15.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

13.71 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.8 DIFFERENCE
18.48% EV

ANALYSIS

The projections expect the Rams to be the 5th-least run-oriented offense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 37.0% run rate.. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. The Arizona Cardinals linebackers project as the 6th-best collection of LBs in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

u15.5 -110
bet365 logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Tyler Allgeier logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
T. Allgeier (RB) o9.5 Rushing Attempts
11.37 OVER PROJECTION
+1.9 DIFFERENCE
16.66% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Tyler Allgeier logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
T. Allgeier (RB) o9.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

11.37 OVER PROJECTION
+1.9 DIFFERENCE
16.66% EV

ANALYSIS

The Arizona Cardinals have run the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 63.9 plays per game.. After comprising 30.2% of his team's rushing play calls last season, Tyler Allgeier has had a larger role in the run game this season, currently making up 41.6%.

o9.5 -121
BetRivers logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) o29.5 Passing Attempts
34.11 OVER PROJECTION
+4.6 DIFFERENCE
19.26% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) o29.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

34.11 OVER PROJECTION
+4.6 DIFFERENCE
19.26% EV

ANALYSIS

Right now, the 5th-most pass-heavy offense in football (63.0% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Rams.. The model projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.68 seconds per snap.. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. Matthew Stafford has attempted 35.8 throws per game this year, grading out in the 89th percentile among QBs.

o29.5 -130
FanDuel logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) o19.5 Passing Completions
22.18 OVER PROJECTION
+2.7 DIFFERENCE
18.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) o19.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

22.18 OVER PROJECTION
+2.7 DIFFERENCE
18.93% EV

ANALYSIS

Right now, the 5th-most pass-heavy offense in football (63.0% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Rams.. The model projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.68 seconds per snap.. Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower run volume.. Matthew Stafford has attempted 35.8 throws per game this year, grading out in the 89th percentile among QBs.. The Los Angeles O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all air attack stats across the board.

o19.5 -120
FanDuel logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.07 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
0% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.07 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
0% EV

ANALYSIS

Right now, the 5th-most pass-heavy offense in football (63.0% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Rams.. The model projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.68 seconds per snap.. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. The Los Angeles O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all air attack stats across the board.. 0: the number of touchdowns on the ground Matthew Stafford has scored this year.

+1900
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.72 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
15.37% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Kyren Williams logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Williams (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.72 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
15.37% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projections forecast the Rams to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 58.9% red zone pass rate.. The model projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.68 seconds per snap.. Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower run volume.. Kyren Williams has totaled a whopping 12.0 air yards per game this year: 99th percentile among RBs. (This may not sound like very many, but most RBs have negative air yards as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage).. Kyren Williams's 23.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 13.6.

-130
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Trey McBride logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
T. McBride (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.32 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
15.28% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Trey McBride logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
T. McBride (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.32 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
15.28% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are enormous underdogs this week, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cardinals to pass on 62.2% of their chances: the 6th-highest clip among all teams this week.. The Cardinals rank as the 5th-most pass-oriented offense in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year with a 62.6% red zone pass rate.. The Arizona Cardinals have run the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 63.9 plays per game.. The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

+300
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Tutu Atwell logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
T. Atwell (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.22 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
11.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Tutu Atwell logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
T. Atwell (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.22 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
11.24% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projections forecast the Rams to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 58.9% red zone pass rate.. The model projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.68 seconds per snap.. Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower run volume.. The model projects Tutu Atwell to be a much bigger part of his offense's pass game near the goal line this week (12.9% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).. The Los Angeles O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all air attack stats across the board.

+400
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Tyler Higbee logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
T. Higbee (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.27 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-0.6% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Tyler Higbee logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
T. Higbee (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.27 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-0.6% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projections forecast the Rams to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 58.9% red zone pass rate.. The model projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.68 seconds per snap.. Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower run volume.. The model projects Tyler Higbee to be much more involved in his offense's air attack near the goal line in this week's game (14.7% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (5.8% in games he has played).. Tyler Higbee has accumulated far more air yards this year (33.0 per game) than he did last year (21.0 per game).

+280
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Konata Mumpfield logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Mumpfield (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.23 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-2.47% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Konata Mumpfield logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
K. Mumpfield (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.23 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-2.47% EV

ANALYSIS

Right now, the 5th-most pass-heavy offense in football (63.0% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Rams.. The model projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.68 seconds per snap.. The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.. The Los Angeles O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all air attack stats across the board.. The Arizona Cardinals defense has been torched for the 4th-most TDs through the air in football to wide receivers: 1.22 per game this year.

+360
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Tyler Allgeier logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
T. Allgeier (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.25 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-12.38% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Tyler Allgeier logo
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail
T. Allgeier (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.25 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-12.38% EV

ANALYSIS

At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are enormous underdogs this week, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.. Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cardinals to pass on 62.2% of their chances: the 6th-highest clip among all teams this week.. The Cardinals rank as the 5th-most pass-oriented offense in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year with a 62.6% red zone pass rate.. The Arizona Cardinals have run the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 63.9 plays per game.. The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

+250
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.40 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.35% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Matthew Stafford logo
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail
M. Stafford (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.40 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.35% EV

ANALYSIS

The Rams are a huge 9.5-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.. The projections expect the Los Angeles Rams as the 8th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 56.6% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Opposing teams have averaged 29.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Cardinals defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

u0.5 -125
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LA vs ARI Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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'bctwitty' is picking Arizona to cover (+8.5)

bctwitty is #2 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (9-0-0) and +5850 units on the season.

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'bctwitty' picks L.A. Rams vs Arizona to go Over (40.5)

bctwitty is #2 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (9-0-0) and +5850 units on the season.

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Over
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'Kazual12' is picking Arizona to cover (+7.0)

Kazual12 is #3 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +4800 units on the season.

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'Kazual12' picks L.A. Rams vs Arizona to go Under (40.5)

Kazual12 is #3 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +4800 units on the season.

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'Geothrogrrc' is picking Arizona to cover (+7.5)

Geothrogrrc is #4 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (7-0-0) and +4900 units on the season.

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'Geothrogrrc' picks L.A. Rams vs Arizona to go Over (40.5)

Geothrogrrc is #4 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (7-0-0) and +4900 units on the season.

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'Seoul4Real' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-8.5)

Seoul4Real is #4 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +4800 units on the season.

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'Seoul4Real' picks L.A. Rams vs Arizona to go Under (38.5)

Seoul4Real is #4 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +4800 units on the season.

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'udmkid' is picking Arizona to cover (+8.5)

udmkid is #7 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (5-1-0) and +4350 units on the season.

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'Laker2223' picks L.A. Rams vs Arizona to go Under (40.5)

Laker2223 is #7 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (5-1-0) and +3850 units on the season.

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'Laker2223' is picking L.A. Rams to cover (-8.5)

Laker2223 is #7 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (5-1-0) and +3850 units on the season.

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'jizzy66' picks L.A. Rams vs Arizona to go Under (40.5)

jizzy66 is #8 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (5-1-0) and +3850 units on the season.

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'jizzy66' is picking Arizona to cover (+8.5)

jizzy66 is #8 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (5-1-0) and +3850 units on the season.

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'hpoorman' is picking Arizona to cover (+8.5)

hpoorman is #9 on picking games that L.A. Rams are in with a record of (1-0-0) and +4000 units on the season.

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