My Knicks vs. Raptors prediction believes history is destined to repeat itself, with the reigning NBA champions going on cruise control against an opponent they've thoroughly dominated for three seasons in a row.
The Toronto Raptors are listed as 4.5-point underdogs, with superstar Scottie Barnes (groin) questionable to return after a four-game absence.
Let's dive into my analysis and NBA picks for Sunday, Nov. 15, ahead of the 6 p.m. ET tipoff at Scotiabank Arena.
TOP PICK
Knicks vs Raptors prediction: Knicks -4.5
I'm confidently buying New York up to -6.5.
The New York Knicks have defeated the Toronto Raptors 13 times in a row dating back to Dec. 1, 2023, winning by an average margin of 17.4 points and covering the spread 12 times.
That's a huge mental hurdle for the Raptors, who have seen their net rating flip to -9.6 in their last three home games, down from a +9.4 season average.
This is the type of opponent New York needs right now, as its offense sputtered (108.8 points per 100 possessions) over its last two losses. Toronto's defense offers a prime bounce-back opportunity, allowing 119.3 points per 100 possessions (24th) over its last four games.
The healthy Knicks have a distinct advantage shooting the rock (sixth in 3-pointers made), as Toronto ranks in the bottom third across all major 3-point categories, including 23rd in opponent 3-point percentage (36.9%).
COVERS INTEL: New York has held opponents to 100 points or less five times, which is tied for the league lead. Toronto is 0-4 SU against top-10 defenses this season, losing by an average of 13.7 points. 
Knicks vs Raptors combo
Seven of the Raptors' 12 opponents have broken 110.5 points in a game, thus far, and five of those have come this month alone.
New York has failed to score at least that many in five of its last seven games. The confidence for an Over on this team total prop stems from Toronto's recent defensive woes and the Knicks' offensive talent, which makes it hard for them to stay cold and stagnant for long.
This is still a top 5 offense over their last five games (120.7 points per 100 possessions), after all.
Now is the time to get back in on Mikal Bridges, as oddsmakers clearly feel his recent 18-point outburst against Indiana was a one-and-done.
He had totaled just 15 points in his three prior appearances combined, which explains the low number. Bridges is averaging 16.6 points over his last five looks at the Raptors, so hopefully that inspires another big scoring night.
Knicks vs Raptors combo
- Knicks -4.5
- Knicks team total Over 110.5 points
- Mikal Bridges Over 8.5 points
Knicks vs Raptors player props
Knicks player prop: Karl-Anthony Towns Over 1.5 threes
Play up to 55%.
If there's one thing plodding center Jakob Poeltl won't do much for the Raptors, it's leave the painted area to guard the 3-point line.
That makes taking the Over on a 3-pointers made prop for Karl-Anthony Towns even more enticing, on top of the fact that the All-Star big man has converted two or more triples in five-straight games.
That's the type of hot streak and matchup advantage that makes this number an uncomplicated play.
Raptors player prop: RJ Barrett Under 20.5 points
Play up to 57%.
This prop becomes even more intriguing should Barnes return to the rotation for Toronto. Even if he doesn't, RJ Barrett would be one of the few remaining options capable of above-average scoring numbers, simply by output.
The Canadian guard is averaging 16.3 points over his last three games against New York, and he'll have Bridges and O.G. Anunoby draped all over him more often than not.
Barrett is coming off a season-high 31 points against the 76ers, on 13 of 20 shooting. He had shot 42.9% or worse in his four prior outings, though, and that's more in line with what I expect from him tonight.
- Top picks: 10-17, -9.28 units
- Combos: 4-23, -1.04 units
- Props: 28-24, +0.99
Knicks vs Raptors odds
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
- Spread: Knicks -4.5 (50%) | Raptors +4.5 (51%)
- Over/Under: Over 217.5 (51%) | Under 217.5 (50%)
- Moneyline: Knicks (63%) | Raptors (38%)
Check out the latest NBA odds ahead of tonight's Knicks vs. Raptors matchup.
Knicks vs Raptors trend
The Under is 5-0 in Raptors' last five vs. a team with a winning straight-up record. Find more NBA betting trends.
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How to watch Knicks vs Raptors
| Location | Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON |
| Date | Sunday, Nov. 15, 2026 |
| Tip off | 6 p.m. ET |
| TV | TSN |
Knicks vs Raptors latest injuries
Check out our NBA injuries page for updates on every team.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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