AFC North rivals put their winning streaks on the line when the Cincinnati Bengals host the Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday Night Football.
Cincinnati is on a four-game run, coming off a one-sided win in Spain last weekend, laying just over a field goal at Paycor Stadium. Pittsburgh enjoyed a bye in Week 9 and hopes that break didn’t kill the momentum of its own four-game streak.
My Steelers vs. Bengals predictions rank these respective runs, giving you my early leans and NFL picks for SNF on Nov. 15. See why Pittsburgh can keep it close in a low-scoring tilt.
Steelers vs Bengals predictions
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Early Steelers vs Bengals spread pick: Steelers +3.5
No division does rivalry like the AFC North. Regardless of record, this group always seems to compete against each other.
The Pittsburgh Steelers drew first blood against the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 3. They won a 30-27 shootout as 3.5-point home underdogs. That kicked off a 4-1 SU and ATS run for Pittsburgh.
The Steelers have tightened the bolts on their defense during this successful stretch, entering Week 10 among the Top 10 in marquee analytics like Defensive DVOA and EPA allowed per play.
This is arguably the best stop unit the Bengals have faced during their four-game streak, in which Cincy has sliced up opponents to rate as the No. 1 attack in EPA per play since Week 5.
That said, the Bengals have a daunting turnaround after playing in Spain last Sunday, and it looks like this spread is growing with some markets showing Cincinnati -4.
I’m leaning toward the Steelers but want to get them at +4 or higher later in the week.
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Early Steelers vs Bengals total pick: Under 48.5
The Week 3 result and the Bengals blowing away their recent foes with offense is powering this tall total. It’s a significant jump from the closing total of 42.5 O/U when these AFC North foes last met.
Should it close here or above, it would currently tie the high-water mark of this rivalry, which has seen only one Over/Under above 47.5 points in the last 13 meetings between these foes (8-5 O/U).
Pittsburgh is settled into the new defensive schemes of coordinator Patrick Graham, looking far stronger than it was back in Week 3. The Steelers ranked 23rd in opponent success rate (46%) in the opening four weeks but have slimmed that metric to 38.7% during this four-game run.
Pittsburgh has also boasted a strong rushing offense in that stretch, ranked No. 1 in EPA per handoff. The last thing the Steelers want is to get into an up-tempo shootout with Cincinnati, so I expect them to drop their pace and play “keep away” from Joe Burrow & Co.
Steelers vs Bengals odds
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- Steelers vs Bengals spread: Bengals -3.5
- Steelers vs Bengals moneyline: Steelers 37%, Bengals 63%
- Steelers vs Bengals Over/Under: 48.5
How to watch Steelers vs Bengals
- Date: Sunday, Nov. 15, 2026, 8:15 p.m. ET
- City: Cincinnati, OH
- Venue: Paycor Stadium
- TV: NBC
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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