The Montreal Alouettes are looking for revenge after last year's Grey Cup loss, and they're rightfully favored by 3.5 points heading into Sunday's Grey Cup matchup against the Edmonton Elks.
My Alouettes vs. Elks predictions and CFL picks break down why Davis Alexander is poised to lead Montreal past Cody Fajardo and the Elks on Nov. 15.
Kickoff in the Grey Cup odds is set for 6 p.m. at McMahon Stadium in Calgary, with the game airing on TSN.
Who will win the 2026 Grey Cup: Alouettes (-170)
The Montreal Alouettes have been unstoppable offensively all season, averaging 34.7 points per game during the regular season while leading the league in yards per play (7.53) and posting a 28% touchdown drive rate.
With OC Anthony Calvillo calling plays from the booth and HC Jason Maas providing input from the sideline, MOP winner Davis Alexander has thrived, sporting a league-best 122.7 passer rating and a 35:4 TD-to-INT ratio, while Tyson Philpot and Tyler Snead finished first and second in the league in receiving yards, respectively.
Montreal crushed the Edmonton Elks 48-30 in their last meeting back in Week 10, with Alexander throwing for 352 yards and four touchdowns.
Despite how effective Cody Fajardo has been under center for Edmonton, Maas knows Fajardo and his limitations quite well, having coached him during stints in both Saskatchewan and La Belle Province.
I'll take the Als to get the job done on the moneyline, playable to -190.
COVERS INTEL: Montreal finished the regular season tied with Toronto for the league lead in big plays (59), which includes passes of 30+ yards and runs of 20+.
Alouettes vs Elks total prediction: Under 56.5 (-112)
Edmonton's defence has been the driving force behind its year-over-year turnaround, going from allowing a league-worst 390.4 yards per game last season to a CFL-best 340.2 in 2026.
Montreal's stop unit has also been stout under DC Noel Thorpe, whose tenure with the Als since 2022 has helped the team maintain continuity and limit opponents to just 26.4 points per game.
Scoring tends to be at more of a premium in the big game. The last 10 Grey Cups have finished with an average total of 52.1, and only three have surpassed Sunday's O/U of 56.5.
Alouettes vs Elks same-game parlay
Alexander completed an ungodly 72.1% of his passes in 2026, and even Edmonton's elite defense will have trouble keeping the MOP winner at bay.
However, with Montreal's defense remaining formidable, I have a tough time seeing Edmonton contributing enough offensively to push this game Over the total.
I expect Maas to have his team ready to roll, especially with Alexander now fully healthy after battling through a hamstring injury in last year's GC.
Alouettes vs Elks SGP
- Alouettes moneyline
- Under 56.5
Alouettes vs Elks weather
Partly cloudy skies and temperatures around 12°C are expected around kickoff, with little chance of precipitation.
Alouettes vs Elks odds
- Spread: Alouettes -3.5 (+100) | Elks +3.5 (-130)
- Moneyline: Alouettes -170 | Elks +142
- Over/Under: Over 56.5 (-108) | Under 56.5 (-112)
Alouettes vs Elks key injuries
Alouettes: OL Braydon Noll, DB Jonathan Sutherland, RB Travis Theis, WR Devonte Dedmon, WR Alexander Hollins, WR Cole Spieker, RB Liam Talbot, DB Faion Hicks, DB Kabion Ento, LB Gabriel Lessard, OL Reuben Fatheree II, FB Marco Dubois, DL Bryce Ganious, DL Mustafa Johnson, LB Tyrell Richards.
Elks: DL DK Bonhomme, OL Brett Boyko, DB Lenny Johnson, WR Carter Kettyle, LB Brock Mogensen, OL Jordan Murray, WR TJ Luther, DB Benjamin Sangmuah, RB Javon Leake, RB Isaiah Knight, DB Royce Metchie, DL Gavin Meyer, LB Tyron Vrede, FB Jacob Plamondon.
Alouettes vs Elks trend
Montreal is 6-2 SU over the last eight head-to-head matchups.
How to watch Alouettes vs Elks and game info
| Location | McMahon Stadium, Calgary, AB |
| Date | Sunday, Nov. 15, 2026 |
| Kick-off | 6 p.m. ET |
| TV | TSN |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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