A big divisional clash awaits as the Pittsburgh Steelers travel to Paycor Stadium to face the Cincinnati Bengals.
My Steelers vs. Bengals anytime touchdown scorer predictions lean heavily on the home team, which is in excellent offensive form this season.
Don't miss our NFL picks for selections on this game and others this weekend.
Best Steelers vs Bengals anytime touchdown picks
For help understanding Kalshi probabilities, see our odds calculator.
| Pick |  Probability |
|---|---|
 Rico Dowdle |
34% |
 Ja'Marr Chase |
53% |
| First TD: Chase Brown |
15% |
| Long shot: Joe Burrow |
15% |
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.
Start trading with Kalshi today!
Sign up now using our exclusive Kalshi promo code 'MAX60' and trade $25 on any event contracts to get $60!
*Eligible U.S. locations only
Steelers touchdown pick: Rico Dowdle
Jaylen Warren has been the best running back on the Pittsburgh Steelers roster this year but has only found the end zone three times. Instead, I’m taking Rico Dowdle to score, just like he did before the bye when he got his first of the season.
That was his third game back from injury, and the team leaned heavily on him, giving him 15 carries.
Dowdle isn’t as efficient as Warren, or as dangerous in the open field, but he’s better between the tackles and earning those hard yards, which is why his role will continue to grow and he’ll vulture some of Warren's goal-line carries.
They are actually level in rushing attempts inside the 10, and with increased usage, he’s the smartest value play for the Steelers on SNF.
Bengals touchdown pick: Ja'Marr Chase
To say Ja’Marr Chase is playing well is an understatement, and he’s without a doubt the best player to back for scoring on Sunday.
He’s been on the field constantly, running a route on 97% of the team’s dropbacks last week, and he has an elite target-per-route run percentage of 39%, with Joe Burrow looking for him at every opportunity.
He’s now scored seven touchdowns in eight games and found the end zone in his last four appearances. Not to mention that he scored when these teams met in Week Three, with an impressive 98-yard day.
He also leads the team in red zone targets, nearly double those of Tee Higgins: 13 to seven.
First touchdown scorer pick: Chase Brown
The numbers don’t look good at first glance for Chase Brown, with just one touchdown all season, which came all the way back in Week One, but I urge you to look past that.
Positive regression is coming his way because he’s been very efficient lately. Last week, he finished with +11 rushing yards over expected.
Samaje Perine doesn’t look like much of a factor either; even if he had an increased workload last week, he simply isn’t as efficient.
The Steelers’ run defense is good, but with Burrow playing at MVP levels and the passing game thriving, it might open the box slightly, giving Brown some chances.
Long-shot touchdown pick: Joe Burrow
As much as I think Brown will score on Sunday, I can’t help but think it’s his quarterback who offers the best long shot on the board.
We’ve seen the Cincinnati Bengals QB pick up three rushing touchdowns this season, including one TD in each of the past weeks.
He’s had five rushing attempts inside the 10 this season, which doesn’t sound like much, but it’s one more than Perine, who is a 29% chance to score, and only three less than Brown, who is nearly a pick’em.
Steelers vs Bengals touchdown combo
The Chase-Higgins combination is arguably the best receiving duo in football, and they've already racked up 13 touchdowns this season.
In eight games, they've had four games in which they've both found the end zone. With Burrow continuing to put up great numbers, I'm keen to back them finding the end zone together again, much like they did when they played the Steelers in Week Three.
- TD picks: 6-14, +4.27 units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
