Talk about your best-laid plans going to waste.
The NFL Week 10 finale was supposed to be an AFC heavyweight bout with playoff seeding on the line, when the Baltimore Ravens welcome the Los Angeles Chargers on Monday Night Football.
But with Baltimore’s QBs cursed and L.A.’s offense a no-show, my Ravens vs. Chargers predictions are picking through the rubble of these faulty franchises.
Here are my early leans and NFL picks for MNF on Nov. 16.
Chargers vs Ravens predictions
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Early Chargers vs Ravens spread pick: Ravens -5.5
The Baltimore Ravens traded for veteran quarterback Jacoby Brissett and plan on marching him out for Monday’s matchup.
Brissett is seeing the Los Angeles Chargers for a second time after passing for 277 yards and a touchdown in Arizona’s Week 1 win over the Chargers. This time, Brissett may have a better team around him, including RB Derrick Henry.
Baltimore will lean on its star running back versus the Bolts, facing a Chargers defense that’s been bullied on the ground in the past three outings. Los Angeles is permitting 4.7 yards per carry over that stretch, dropping to 26th in EPA allowed per handoff since Week 6.
The Ravens have been enjoying a mini bye to refocus and rest after getting throttled last Thursday. While this defense has been busted bad in the last two games, those outcomes came against top-tier offenses in Jacksonville and Buffalo.
The Chargers are not that.
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Early Chargers vs Ravens total pick: Under 38.5
Ravens head coach Jesse Minter is using this mini bye to retool his struggling defense, telling the media that he’s especially focused on limiting the explosive plays allowed.
Los Angeles has been far from “explosive” with the football. Mike McDaniel’s scuffling schemes have produced the fifth-fewest passing plays of 20-plus yards. On top of Justin Herbert nursing an injury to his non-throwing hand, top wide receiver Ladd McConkey is questionable with a bad back.
The Ravens' attack will be short and methodical, with Brissett still learning the playbook. Baltimore burns through the eighth-most seconds per play clock on the season, with that pace getting even slower the last two weeks due to QB ailments.
When the ball isn’t in Henry’s hands, expect short passes to slot receiver Zay Flowers and TE Mark Andrews. Brissett ranked among the bottom in air yards – both intended and completed – during his time in Arizona.
Chargers vs Ravens odds
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- Chargers vs Ravens spread: Ravens -5.5
- Chargers vs Ravens moneyline: Chargers 33%, Ravens 67%
- Chargers vs Ravens Over/Under: 38.5
How to watch Chargers vs Ravens
- Date: Monday, Nov. 16, 2026, 8:15 p.m. ET
- City: Baltimore, MD
- Venue: M&T Bank Stadium
- TV: ESPN
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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