“Cap’n Kirk is coming back!”
That was the text message I sent my brother — a Minnesota Vikings fan — when news broke that veteran quarterback Kirk Cousins was traded to his former franchise earlier this week.
Cousins is a “break glass in case of emergency” move for the Vikings after watching a floundering offense waste the efforts of Brian Flores’ dominant defense.
My Vikings vs. Packers predictions believe Minnesota needs to be sharp on both sides of the ball when it visits the rival Green Bay Packers as a 3.5-point road underdog at Lambeau Field in Week 10.
My NFL picks take the pulse of this NFC North showdown on Sunday, Nov. 15, telling you why the Packers will prevail behind the efforts of Tucker Kraft and Savion Williams.
TOP Pick
Vikings vs Packers prediction: Green Bay moneyline
The move to bring back Kirk Cousins is an upgrade for the Minnesota Vikings offense. But a half-cooked Cousins isn’t going to be enough at Lambeau Field. Not with the tread wearing thin on this Minnesota defense.
The Vikings stop unit is playing on a short week after logging more than 42 minutes of work in Monday’s loss to Buffalo.
Minnesota has spent an average of 36:41 on the field over the last three weeks, and the wear and tear is starting to show. Linebackers Blake Cashman (concussion) and Kyle Van Noy (calf) run the risk of missing Week 10.
The Green Bay Packers are a long way removed from the team that lost to the Vikings in Week 1. Green Bay has been one of the best two-way teams since Week 6, ranking Top 10 in both EPA per play and EPA allowed in that span.
There are some injury concerns for the Cheeseheads, which is why I’m going with the outright price and not laying -3.5.
COVERS INTEL: Jordan Love has been surgical when it comes to taking apart blitzing defenses. Love torched the Patriots’ blitz-centric schemes for 372 yards in Week 9 and ranks No. 3 at PFF when blitzed, including a 10 to 2 TD-to-INT count.
Vikings vs Packers combo
The Cousins deal doesn’t do much for me, and only offers better return on the Packers’ moneyline at home. This Vikes stop unit is great but it’s possibly down some key guys and playing on a short week after logging major minutes on MNF.
Tucker Kraft had a nice day against the Vikings in Week 1 and has been a red zone threat in recent weeks, with two TDs in his last three games.
Savion Williams could be just what the Packers need to bust this Vikings defense. The burly slot receiver is a quick hitter who can pick up yards after the catch. His projections sit as high as 24+ yards in Week 10.
Vikings vs Packers combo
- Packers moneyline
- Tucker Kraft touchdown
- Savion Williams 20+ receiving yards
Vikings vs Packers touchdown scorer: Tucker Kraft
The Packers have been able to strike for some home run touchdowns in recent weeks, but things shorten up against this Vikings defense.
The Cheeseheads will have to work for six points when they enter the red zone. Kraft is popular target, drawing nine passes inside the 20-yard line for seven receptions and three touchdowns.
Kraft does his best work against zone coverage — which is something Brian Flores utilizes almost exclusively — and may catch a break if Cashman sits, as he’s Minnesota’s top coverage linebacker.
Touchdown forecasts for Green Bay’s TE range from 30% to 40% in Week 10.
- Top picks: 13-11, +0.19 units
- Combos: 0-24, -24.0 units
Vikings vs Packers odds
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
- Spread: Vikings +3.5 | Packers -3.5
- Over/Under: Over 41.5 (53%) | Under 41.5 (48%)
- Moneyline: Vikings 41% | Packers 59%
For the full slate of NFL matchups, check out our NFL odds board!
More Covers NFL trading tools
Vikings vs Packers weather
It’s a nice day in Cheese Country. The forecast calls for temperatures in the high 40s with light winds topping out at 9 mph.
Check out our NFL weather page for up-to-date info on every matchup.
Vikings vs Packers trend to know
The Packers are 26-8 SU and 21-13 ATS when laying more than field goal at home since 2020. Find more NFL betting trends for Vikings vs. Packers.
or our BET99 promo code COVERS99 if you're in Canada.
How to watch Vikings vs Packers
| Location | Lambeau Field, Green Bay, Wis. |
| Date | Sunday, Nov. 15, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 1 p.m. ET |
| TV | FOX |
Vikings vs Packers latest injuries
Check out our NFL injuries page for updates on every team.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
