Gimme the Over! NFL Week 10 Over/Under Predictions & Totals Combo

Joe Osborne: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Joe Osborne • Senior Betting Analyst 16+ years betting experience
Updated: Nov 12, 2026 , 02:55 PM ET • 4 min read

An AFC East rivalry match between the Bills and Jets is earmarked for a high-scoring final in Joe Osborne's Gimme the Over! for NFL Week 10.

Gimme the Over! NFL Week 10. James Cook III (Bills) Darren Waller (Panthers) Emanuel Wilson (Seahawks)
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Custom image of James Cook III (Bills) Darren Waller (Panthers) Emanuel Wilson (Seahawks)

My Week 10 Over/Under picks feature a Bills offense against a Jets defense that keeps finding new ways to embarrass itself, two NFC South defenses allergic to making stops, and a Raiders team that's making every opposing offense look like the Greatest Show on Turf.

Let's dig into three games where my NFL picks expect plenty of points on Sunday, Nov. 15. 

NFL Week 10 Over picks

For help understanding Kalshi probabilities, please see our odds calculator.

Matchup Kalshi
Bills BUF vs Jets NYJ o50.5
Panthers CAR vs Saints NO  o48.5
Seahawks SEA vs Raiders LV  o40.5

Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.

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Bills vs Jets: Over 50.5

Buffalo Bills games have averaged 55.38 combined points this season. And if you think their defense is improving after allowing just 16 points over the last two weeks, consider the competition: Joe Fagnano and Carson Wentz, who was so bad Minnesota pulled him for Max Brosmer. Congratulations on surviving that murderer's row.

The New York Jets are somehow getting worse, allowing 33.7 points per game over their last three contests, including letting the Dolphins come into New York and score a season-high 28 points.

The Jets have gone Over in 11 of their last 14 divisional games, Buffalo is 4-1 to the Over in its last five road games.

Panthers vs Saints: Over 48.5

Two awful defenses, two capable offenses, a dome, and a total below 50. What's not to like?

The Carolina Panthers and New Orleans Saints rank 28th and 27th in points allowed, 31st and 28th in opponent third-down conversion percentage, and both rank in the bottom nine in yards allowed per rush attempt. Aside from that, there's still plenty to complain about!

The Panthers defense has completely fallen apart, allowing 26-plus points in three straight games, while four Saints games have featured at least 51 combined points.

This has all the ingredients for an NFC South shootout. A disgusting one, but a shootout nonetheless.

Seahawks vs Raiders: Over 40.5

The Las Vegas Raiders have gone Over in seven straight games, with every game producing at least 55 combined points. Yet here we are with a total of just 40.5.

This is an overreaction to rookie Fernando Mendoza taking over and the Seattle Seahawks' 17-3 snoozefest against Arizona last week.

Let's not pretend every Seahawks game is a low-scoring grind. They've allowed three separate opponents to score 32-plus points.

Drew Lock is expected to start and has been solid when called upon. He should have opportunities against a Raiders defense that's dead last in points allowed (29.8 PPG) and 31st in yards allowed per play.

I'm convinced you could assemble an offense from 11 guys who just got kicked out of a Vegas bachelor party and still hang 30 on this Raiders defense.

Week 10 Over/Under combo

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Joe Osborne Senior Betting Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

Joe is an industry veteran who loves the entertainment aspect of the sports betting industry. His opinions are always backed by data and he enjoys digging into the numbers and coming up with interesting nuggets to share with sports bettors.

Joe takes a high-energy and fun approach to covering his favorite sports which include the NFL, MLB, UFC, NBA and NHL, and there’s no bet type he loves more than an NFL six-point teaser. Joe is the host of our daily sports betting program, Before You Bet, while he also leads our weekly UFC show, P4P Picks, and our 'Covers on the Ground' series where he's covered many UFC, NFL and NBA games in person. A monthly highlight for Joe is conducting interviews with UFC legend Georges St-Pierre ahead of every UFC PPV.

Outside of his work at Covers, Joe has appeared on many top media brands including ESPN Radio, Mad Dog Sports Radio, VSIN, TSN, and SportsNet. He always recommends not reading too much into narratives when placing your bets as those factors are already cooked into the lines set by oddsmakers.

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