No. 8 Tennessee heads to Texas A&M's Kyle Field, looking to send the Aggies to their third straight loss. My Tennessee vs. Texas A&M prediction and college football picks think the Vols will take care of business as a road favorite.
It all gets started today, Nov. 14, at 3 p.m. ET on ESPN. See the latest Tennessee-Texas A&M lines on Kalshi, where Tennessee carries a 57% win probability, plus our Week 11 Top Picks and Brad Powers' Week 11 predictions.
TOP PICK
Who will win Tennessee vs Texas A&M today: Tennessee -2.5
I'll take Tennessee to cover, even if I have to give up another point.
Texas A&M's offense has produced yards but not points. The Aggies have been held to single digits in three SEC games this year, including last week, when they managed just nine points against South Carolina despite gaining 450 yards.
Tennessee is not the defense to try to get well against. The Vols lead the nation in sacks and are second in passing touchdowns allowed. Tennessee is at or near the top of the SEC in most defensive categories. UT's offense isn't at the same elite level, but the Vols have strung together 24-plus points against SEC foes for five straight games.
The outlook is bleak for A&M, which has blown fourth-quarter leads in its last two SEC games.
See our college football picks against the spread for more Week 11 sides.
COVERS INTEL: The Aggies ran for just one touchdown against South Carolina, Alabama, Missouri, and LSU combined. Against the latter three, they managed just 2.4 yards per carry and 58 ground yards per game.
Tennessee vs Texas A&M Over/Under pick today: Under 43.5
Both teams run more than pass, and Tennessee nearly twice as often. A&M averages nearly five minutes more time of possession this season and produced a 38:00-22:00 time-of-possession edge against Arkansas, which is the highest in the SEC this year.
Tennessee has held an eight-minute advantage in two of its last three games. UT has put up eight scoring drives of 10-plus plays in the last three games and seven that lasted 4:45 or longer, including two nine-minute drives. A&M has put up seven 10-play and 4:45-plus drives in its last three outings, too.
Both teams will try to control the ball, which means fewer possessions and fewer points.
See our college football Over/Under picks for more Week 11 totals.
Tennessee vs Texas A&M combo
It's too bad this game is being played on a mild Texas afternoon, because it would make for a great bad-weather contest. Both teams will run the ball and gear up to stop the run. This is a game designed to be played in the mud or with the yard lines covered in snow. Expect a physical, low-scoring rock fight, with most passes being dump-offs near the line.
See our college football player props for more Week 11 player angles.
Tennessee vs Texas A&M combo
- Tennessee -2.5
- Under 43.5
- George MacIntyre Under 163.5 passing yards
Tennessee vs Texas A&M prop: George MacIntyre Under 163.5 passing yards
Tennessee has been below 150 passing yards in each of the last two games. The Volunteers have topped 150 yards three times in SEC play, including once against last-place Arkansas and once against Texas and Alabama.
Head coach Josh Heupel doesn’t seem satisfied at quarterback, where he’s already changed starters once. George MacIntyre's passing attempts dropped each of the last three weeks. Look for the unsettled quarterback position to lead to more running plays against a solid A&M defense.
Tennessee vs Texas A&M market trends
Here is how trusted traders at Kalshi are dealing on today’s matchup. Follow the smart money via the widget below to help inform your Tennessee vs. Texas A&M prediction.
- Top picks: 15-12, +18.6 units
- Combos: 2-6, +2.5 units
More Week 11 college football picks and predictions
- Week 11 college football Top Picks for Saturday, Nov. 14: Top pick from every game preview
- College football predictions Week 11: Brad Powers' CFB picks
- Week 11 college football AI predictions
- College football Top 25 predictions Week 11: watchability ratings and picks
- College football Week 11 picks against the spread
- College football Week 11 moneyline picks
- College football Over/Under picks: Week 11
- College football underdog picks and upset predictions: Week 11
- College football player props: Week 11
- Our favorite college football Group of 6 predictions: Week 11
Tennessee vs Texas A&M odds today
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
- Spread: Tennessee -2.5 (53%) | Texas A&M +2.5 (48%)
- Over/Under: Over 43.5 (52%) | Under 43.5 (49%)
- Moneyline: Tennessee 57% | Texas A&M 44%
Follow the Tennessee vs. Texas A&M market prices on Kalshi up to kickoff. See our college football moneyline picks for more win probabilities.
See our college football odds board for the full slate of college football matchups.
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Tennessee vs Texas A&M weather
There won't be severe Texas heat for this November game. Temperatures should be in the low 60s throughout. It will be cloudy with a 10% chance of rain. Winds will be 11 mph, which is enough to account for on kicks and long passes, but it shouldn't cause major problems.
See our college football weather page for up-to-date info on every matchup.
Tennessee vs Texas A&M trend to know
The Under has hit eight times in Tennessee's last 10 games. Find more college football betting trends for Tennessee vs. Texas A&M, and see our college football AI predictions.
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How to watch Tennessee vs Texas A&M
| Location | Kyle Field, College Station, Texas |
| Date | Today, Saturday, Nov. 14, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 3 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
Tennessee vs Texas A&M latest injuries
See our college football injuries page for updates on every team.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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