CFP National Championship Odds & Betting Lines 2025: Georgia Favored, Saban-Less Bama Shifts Down

Despite finishing the year with an unbeaten record and a National Championship, Michigan finds itself seventh in the futures market for next season behind some familiar programs like Georgia and Ohio State. Read more for the full odds run down.

Mar 28, 2024 • 14:18 ET • 4 min read
Carson Beck Georgia Bulldogs NCAAF
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Despite an unbeaten record and capturing their program's first National Championship since 1997, the Michigan Wolverines are not the college football odds favorite to repeat as champions. 

That would be Georgia, and with the recent news of Nick Saban leaving Alabama, the Crimson Tide have seen their futures odds drop. 

With the college football playoff set to expand to 12 teams, it'll be interesting to see how much more/less movement we see in the college football futures market. 

Join me as I run down the 2024-25 National Championship futures odds. 

Odds to win 2025 CFP National Championship

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Favorites to win the 2025 CFP National Championship

Georgia Bulldogs (+300 to +400)

While the 2023-24 season certainly didn't go as planned for Kirby Smart & Co., there's a real case to be made that the Georgia Bulldogs were still the best team in the nation.

Their 29-game winning streak came to an end in the SEC title game in a loss that ultimately kept them out of the CFP. However, they responded with a 63-3 statement win over Florida State in the Orange Bowl.

Either way, the Bulldogs will have another strong defense and an even better offense led by quarterback Carson Beck. That makes them the clear favorites next season.

Ohio State Buckeyes (+425 to +800)

The Ohio State Buckeyes fell short of the CFP for the second time in three years in a season that included a third straight rivalry loss to Michigan.

The defense was among the best in the country, but despite having Biletnikoff winner and Heisman finalist Marvin Harrison Jr. to throw to, the offense was clearly limited with Kyle McCord under center.

Harrison Jr. is off to the NFL but McCord has jumped ship and will be replaced by Kansas State transfer Will Howard. Combine that with Mississippi transfer running back Quinshon Judkins and No. 1 recruit Jeremiah Smith, and you're looking at an offense that should improve in 2024.

Texas Longhorns (+750 to +850)

The Texas Longhorns won the Big 12 for the first time since 2009 and made its first appearance in the CFP this season.

They ultimately fell short to the buzzsaw that was Washington's offense in the Sugar Bowl but the season is certainly a step in the right direction for a program that's been mired in mediocrity for more than a decade.

This edition will get another bite at the apple in 2024, with Quinn Ewers back for his junior season and Texas built to win now as the program transitions into the SEC.

Understanding college football futures odds

Sportsbooks release college football futures odds pretty much as soon the clock hits zero in the previous season's national championship game. There are many ways to wager on NCAA football futures but picking the outright winner of the national championship is definitely the most popular. During the offseason and preseason, you'll be able to get a plus-money price on basically any team in the nation as there is so much uncertainty around what will happen next year.

NCAA football championship odds will usually look like this:

  • Alabama Crimson Tide +700

This means that on a $100 bet, you'll stand to win $700 if the Crimson Tide win the national title. If it's close to the end of the regular season and there is a particularly dominant program, you might see that a team is has a minus sign (-) ahead of its odds. 

  • Georgia Bulldogs -145

This means that if you bet on Georgia you would need to bet $145 to profit $100 if the Bulldogs won the championship.

Of course, futures odds are a fluid market. They can change every day based on news, injuries, suspensions, transfers, etc. In college football there generally isn't too much movement in the futures market during the offseason, but once the season begins, look for huge changes week-to-week based on wins and losses.

All the odds seen above are in American format. Should you find decimal format or fractional format easier to read, simply convert the odds using our simple odds converter tool.

College Football Playoff odds

NCAA College Football Playoff odds are determined by professional oddsmakers at sportsbooks or betting sites. The odds reflect the probability of a particular outcome and are set to attract balanced betting action on both sides of a wager. Here are some of the factors oddsmakers consider before releasing lines to the public:

Team Performance: Oddsmakers assess the performance of the teams throughout the season, including their win-loss records and strength of schedule

Injuries: The status of key players, especially quarterbacks and other impact positions, can have a major impact on the odds.

Head-to-head matchups: The historical performance of teams against each other, as well as their most recent matchups, can influence the odds.

Public perception: Oddsmakers take into account public sentiment and betting patterns. If a popular team like Notre Dame or Ohio State is playing, odds may be adjusted to limit the sportsbook's risk.

Venue: The location of the game (neutral site or home field advantage) can affect the odds.

Coaching: The reputation and experience of the coaches can play a big role in setting odds.

Once these factors are considered, oddsmakers set an initial line, known as the opening line. This line is adjusted based on betting activity to ensure the sportsbook has a balanced amount of money on both sides of the wager. If too much money is coming in on one side, the odds may be adjusted to encourage betting on the other side.

College Football National Championship trends

  • The CFP National Championship has been won by an SEC team in six of the last nine years. 
  • An SEC team has played in the National Championship game in seven of the last eight years.
  • The No. 1-ranked team has won just four of the last 10 National Championships.
  • Only two teams outside of the SEC, Big Ten, Big 12, and ACC have made an appearance in the National Championship (2014 Oregon, 2023 Washington).

College Football National Championship history

Season Team Record Rank
2023 Michigan 15-0 1
2022 Georgia 15-0 1
2021 Georgia 14-1 3
2020 Alabama 13-0 1
2019 LSU 15-0 1
2018 Clemson 15-0 2
2017 Alabama 13-1 4
2016 Clemson 14-1 2
2015 Alabama 14-1 2
2014 Ohio State 14-1 4

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