Today's Pac-12 football brings a banged-up Oregon State squad to Albertsons Stadium as a 14.5-point underdog against one of the nation's most explosive rushing attacks. Kickoff is 6 p.m. ET (USA Network).
My Oregon State vs. Boise State prediction and college football picks back the Broncos to handle business and cover the number on Nov. 14. See the latest Oregon State-Boise State lines on Kalshi, where Boise State carries an 84% win probability, plus our Week 11 Top Picks and Brad Powers' Week 11 predictions.
TOP PICK
Who will win Oregon State vs Boise State today: Boise State -14.5
Oregon State will likely be without starting quarterback Braden Atkinson, who is listed as doubtful with a hand injury. Senior backup Maalik Murphy is expected to get the start.
Murphy has attempted just 19 passes this season, completing 16 for 156 yards. He made eight starts for the Beavers last season, but it's been well over a year since his last one. It'll be interesting to see how he performs with that much time between starts.
The Broncos should take care of business, as they've been rolling since their Week 1 loss to Oregon. Boise State ranks 15th in scoring margin, winning by an average of 13.8 points per game. Drawing a defense that's allowing over 180 rushing yards per game, while ranking seventh nationally in rushing yards per game, should have this offense foaming at the mouth.
Dig for -13.5, or -14, as getting the key number is crucial, especially with both defenses being a bit shaky.
See our college football picks against the spread for more Week 11 sides.
COVERS INTEL: Oregon State runs one of the fastest-paced offenses in the country, ranking just outside the Top 10 in seconds per play. The Beavers should speed things up enough that even Boise State's painfully slow offense will have plenty of scoring opportunities.
Oregon State vs Boise State Over/Under pick today: Over 64.5
Boise State running back Dylan Riley should look like Ashton Jeanty today.
The junior has averaged nearly 140 rushing yards per game this season and now draws his easiest matchup since rushing for 206 yards against Memphis. The Tigers rank 123rd nationally in rushing yards allowed per game, while the Beavers rank 107th.
Even with Oregon State turning to its backup quarterback to keep pace with Boise State's explosive offense, neither defense has been particularly effective at stopping opponents from moving the ball. The Broncos are still allowing 25 points and 390 yards per game, along with 6.3 yards per play.
Points shouldn't be at a premium in this matchup, but don't take this total any higher.
See our college football Over/Under picks for more Week 11 totals.
Oregon State vs Boise State combo
We're backing Boise State -14.5 and the Over 64.5 for a 3.73x payout. Riley should have plenty of running room against a vulnerable Beavers defense.
Expect points on both sides, making this a fun sweat today! See our college football Top 25 predictions for more on this matchup.
Oregon State vs Boise State combo
- Boise State -14.5
- Over 64.5
Oregon State vs Boise State prop: Boise State team total Over 41.5
If Dylan Riley is humming, this offense will likely see plenty of scoring opportunities.
Boise State is very familiar with putting up points, averaging nearly 40 per game this season. The Broncos have reached the 40-point mark only twice, and both times came in their last two games: 46 against Texas State and 64 against Colorado State.
If you want to get real sweaty, take Dylan Riley to record 200+ rushing yards.
Oregon State vs Boise State market trends
Here is how trusted traders at Kalshi are dealing on today’s matchup. Follow the smart money via the widget below to help inform your Oregon State vs. Boise State prediction.
- Top picks: 79-60, +17.70 units
More Week 11 college football picks and predictions
- Week 11 college football Top Picks for Saturday, Nov. 14: Top pick from every game preview
- College football predictions Week 11: Brad Powers' CFB picks
- Week 11 college football AI predictions
- College football Top 25 predictions Week 11: watchability ratings and picks
- College football Week 11 picks against the spread
- College football Week 11 moneyline picks
- College football Over/Under picks: Week 11
- College football underdog picks and upset predictions: Week 11
- College football player props: Week 11
- Our favorite college football Group of 6 predictions: Week 11
Oregon State vs Boise State odds today
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
- Spread: Oregon State +14.5 | Boise State -14.5
- Over/Under: Over 64.5 (52%) | Under 64.5 (49%)
- Moneyline: Oregon State 16% | Boise State 84%
Follow the Oregon State vs. Boise State market prices on Kalshi up to kickoff. See our college football moneyline picks for more win probabilities.
See our college football odds board for the full slate of college football matchups.
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Oregon State vs Boise State weather
Temperatures will sit in the high 40s for this matchup, but wind and rain shouldn't be factors.
See our college football weather page for up-to-date info on every matchup.
Oregon State vs Boise State trend to know
Boise State has hit the 1H Over in 10 of its last 14 games (+5.47 Units / 35% ROI). Find more college football betting trends for Oregon State vs. Boise State, and see our college football AI predictions.
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How to watch Oregon State vs Boise State
| Location | Albertsons Stadium, Boise, Idaho |
| Date | Today, Saturday, Nov. 14, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 6 p.m. ET |
| TV | USA Network |
Oregon State vs Boise State latest injuries
See our college football injuries page for updates on every team.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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