My top Missouri vs. Georgia prediction will back a Bulldogs team coming off its most impressive win of the season vs. a down-on-its-luck Tigers team.
The Bulldogs are 14.5-point favorites "between the hedges" at Sanford Stadium in Athens, Ga., today, with kickoff set for 3:30 p.m. ET on ABC.
See the latest Missouri-Georgia lines on Kalshi, where Georgia carries an 87% win probability, and check out our college football picks for more analysis.
TOP PICK
Who will win Missouri vs Georgia today: Georgia -14.5
Though this is one of five ranked matchups in college football this week, it's not among the must-watch games in my Top 25 predictions because I don't think Missouri stands a chance. Georgia is a well-oiled machine that has steamrolled ranked opponents. I'd take the Bulldogs to cover as much as -16.5.
Missouri is 1-3 ATS against Top 25 teams this season, 0-2 on the road, and was outscored in its last two ranked matchups 65-23. Georgia has a far better defense than Ole Miss, ranking 20th in defensive success rate (40.1%), and a far better offense than Texas, ranking third in offensive success rate (51.7%).
The Bulldogs are the most well-rounded team in college football and have gone 3-0 ATS in ranked matchups, allowing just 10.7 points per game in those games.
See our college football picks against the spread for more Week 11 sides.
COVERS INTEL: Missouri's issues on money downs will be a massive problem against Georgia. The Tigers are ranked 94th in third/fourth-down success rate on offense (40.8%) and 72nd in third/fourth-down success rate on defense (44.7%).
Missouri vs Georgia Over/Under pick today: Over 47.5
With how impressive Georgia's defense has been against ranked opponents this season, I would only play the Over at 47.5 or better. I expect the Bulldogs to do most of the scoring in this matchup, but Missouri has one of the most talented QBs in the country in Austin Simmons.
The potential first-round pick played a clean game last week against a Texas defense ranked No. 1 nationally in adjusted EPA per play, with two TD passes, zero turnover-worthy plays, and a 75.6 QBR. If he's that efficient against Georgia, Missouri should be able to score 13+ points, and I like the Bulldogs to do the rest.
Georgia has scored 38+ points in six of nine games this season and is ranked third nationally in points per opportunity (4.91). When the Bulldogs put together a quality drive, they come away with points.
See our college football Over/Under picks for more Week 11 totals.
Missouri vs Georgia prop: Georgia TT Over 31.5
With Gunner Stockton's plethora of weapons, I would play the Over on Georgia's team total at 32.5 or better. This is Georgia's best offense in years, and the Bulldogs are averaging 33.9 points per game in SEC play.
Stockton has been as good as any QB in the country this season, ranking top 10 nationally in big-time throw rate (7%) and adjusted completion percentage (81.9%). Missouri's defense has slipped to 42nd in EPA per dropback, and Talyn Taylor emergence as Georgia's big-play threat should make things even easier on Stockton.
Georgia has one of the best money-down offenses in college football, ranking seventh in the country in third/fourth down success rate (55%), so expect Missouri's defense to struggle to get off the field.
Missouri vs Georgia combo
Missouri has struggled to finish games against quality opponents and lacks the talent to keep this game close against a Georgia defense full of NFL prospects.
The Bulldogs' defense is ranked top 25 nationally in havoc rate (19.4%), points allowed per opportunity (2.68), and available yards percentage (33.5%), and this matchup isn't ideal for Missouri's offense.
Georgia's defense ranks third in the country in early down EPA per play and seventh in average third-down distance (7.92), and the Tigers have struggled to convert on money downs.
The Bulldogs have outscored their three ranked opponents by an average of 19 points this season.
Missouri vs Georgia combo
- Georgia -14.5
- Georgia TT Over 31.5
- Missouri TT Under 16.5
Missouri vs Georgia market trends
Here's how trusted traders at Kalshi are dealing on today’s matchup. Follow the smart money via the widget below to help inform your Missouri vs. Georgia prediction.
- Top picks: 23-17, +3.2 units
- Combos: 10-30, -0.14 units
More Week 11 college football picks and predictions
- Week 11 college football Top Picks for Saturday, Nov. 14: Top pick from every game preview
- College football predictions Week 11: Brad Powers' CFB picks
- Week 11 college football AI predictions
- College football Top 25 predictions Week 11: watchability ratings and picks
- College football Week 11 picks against the spread
- College football Week 11 moneyline picks
- College football Over/Under picks: Week 11
- College football underdog picks and upset predictions: Week 11
- College football player props: Week 11
- Our favorite college football Group of 6 predictions: Week 11
Missouri vs Georgia odds today
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
- Spread: Missouri +14.5 | Georgia -14.5
- Over/Under: Over 47.5 (53%) | Under 47.5 (47%)
- Moneyline: Missouri 13% | Georgia 87%
Follow the Missouri vs. Georgia market prices on Kalshi up to kickoff. See our college football moneyline picks for more win probabilities.
See our college football odds board for the full slate of college football matchups.
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Missouri vs Georgia weather
Weather isn't expected to affect the game in Athens, Ga., this afternoon.
See our college football weather page for up-to-date info on every matchup.
Missouri vs Georgia trend to know
Georgia has covered the spread in nine of its last 14 games. Find more college football betting trends for Missouri vs. Georgia, and see our college football AI predictions.
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How to watch Missouri vs Georgia today
| Location | Sanford Stadium, Athens, Ga. |
| Date | Today, Saturday, Nov. 14, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 3:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | ABC |
Missouri vs Georgia latest injuries
See our college football injuries page for updates on every team.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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