Ole Miss vs Oklahoma Prediction, Top Picks & Odds for Sunday: College Football Week 11

Nick Galaida - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Nick Galaida • Betting Analyst 8+ years betting experience
Updated: Nov 15, 2026 , 09:49 AM ET • 4 min read

Oklahoma’s surging defense should bury Ole Miss’ playoff hopes and keep this rescheduled Sunday showdown Under.

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Nov 15 • 8:00 AM ET
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma predictions. Custom image of Trinidad Chambliss and John Mateer.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Custom image of Trinidad Chambliss and John Mateer.

The No. 19 Ole Miss Rebels visit the Oklahoma Sooners at Gaylord Family — Oklahoma Memorial Stadium in Week 11 for a massive clash.

My top Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma predictions and free college football picks expect the Sooners' surging defense to officially extinguish the Rebels' slim playoff hopes while keeping this rescheduled tilt comfortably Under the number ahead of today's 1 p.m. ET kickoff on SEC Network.

TOP PICK
Who will win Ole Miss vs Oklahoma Sunday: Oklahoma -1.5

Playable to 54%.

Following a promising start to the 2026 campaign, Ole Miss has done potentially irreversible damage to its playoff hopes with two losses in the last three weeks.

Last weekend, Georgia dominated Ole Miss from the opening kickoff (91.9% win probability at the end of the first quarter), to the point that head coach Pete Golding told his team at the half that he wasn't worried about the score — he only wanted his players to focus on putting good effort on tape in the final two quarters.

Ole Miss' defense has been nowhere to be found against quality opponents, most recently getting outgained 481-252 at home by Georgia last weekend.

Oklahoma's strength is its stop unit, but John Mateer & Co. are also coming off a 10-for-18 showing on third down against Florida, dominating time of possession in the process. They should have a field day against the Rebels in Norman.

See our college football picks against the spread for more Week 11 sides.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Ole Miss quarterback Trinidad Chambliss has struggled to a 4-to-5 TD-to-INT ratio across his last three games. He's been increasingly unproductive when under duress — completing only 37.5% of his pass attempts when pressured this season.
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Ole Miss vs Oklahoma Over/Under pick Sunday: Under 49.5

Playable to 54%.

The Sooners dominated Florida last weekend, holding them to 203 yards of total offense and only 11 first downs. They had a similarly dominant showing against No. 15 Kentucky earlier this year, too, limiting them to 230 yards of offense.

Oklahoma generated a 46.2% pressure rate last weekend against Florida. If the Sooners can get anywhere close to that number again in Week 11, Chambliss' struggles will continue, making it difficult for Ole Miss to move the ball consistently.

See our college football Over/Under picks for more Week 11 totals.

Ole Miss vs Oklahoma combo

Playable to 28%.

Oklahoma is coming off a 23-7 win over Florida and has been competitive in lower-scoring matchups against No. 1 Texas (27-24 win), No. 15 Kentucky (21-13 loss), and Michigan (17-10).

However, the Sooners have struggled to keep pace in games where the combined score approaches 60 points.

Taking OU on the side and the Under is a correlated combo in this SEC showdown. See our college football Top 25 predictions for more on this matchup.

Ole Miss vs Oklahoma combo

  • Oklahoma moneyline
  • Under 49.5
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  • Top picks: 10-8 +1.40 units
  • Combos: 8-12, +6.57 units
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Ole Miss vs Oklahoma odds Sunday

For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.

  • Spread: Ole Miss -1.5 | Oklahoma +1.5
  • Over/Under: Over 49.5 (49%) | Under 49.5 (52%)
  • Moneyline: Ole Miss 50% | Oklahoma 51%

Check the latest college football odds for more on today's Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma matchup, and see our college football moneyline picks for more win probabilities.

More Covers college football betting tools


Ole Miss vs Oklahoma weather

The forecast for Sunday's game between Ole Miss and Oklahoma looks uneventful.

Cooler temperatures and wind gusts could have a minimal impact on downfield passing, but there is no precipitation expected, which should result in a relatively clean game.

See our college football weather page for up-to-date info on every matchup.

Ole Miss vs Oklahoma trend to know

Oklahoma has hit the moneyline in seven of its last 12 games (+1.65 Units / 4% ROI). Find more college football betting trends for Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma, and see our college football AI predictions.

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How to watch Ole Miss vs Oklahoma

Location Memorial Stadium, Norman, Okla.
Date Sunday, Nov. 15, 2026 (moved from Saturday, Nov. 14)
Kickoff 1 p.m. ET (moved from 4:15 p.m. ET)
TV SEC Network

Ole Miss vs Oklahoma latest injuries

See our college football injuries page for updates on every team.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Nick Galaida
Betting Analyst

Nick Galaida is a failed high school pitcher who attended Baldwin Wallace University, where he figured out he's better at analyzing sports than playing them.

Following a brief stint in corporate consulting after graduation, he left for the betting industry and hasn't looked back. Over the last 10 years, he's contributed to Phil Steele, RotoGrinders, FTN, Action Network, VegasInsider, PropBomb, FantasyLabs, and Pickswise.

To his friends, he's better known as "The Commish." He covers MLB, NBA, NFL, college football, and the WNBA.

When he's not making a bet or writing about one, he's usually nose-deep in a book — further illustrating that his niche in this world is as a nerd rather than an athlete.

Nick prefers betting at Novig and Kalshi and believes prediction markets are the future of the industry, mostly because exchanges don't punish winners.

You can find all of his plays and more @CommishFilmRoom on Twitter/X.

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