Mississippi vs Oklahoma Picks & Props
MISS vs OKLA Picks
NCAAF PicksPlayable to 54%.
Following a promising start to the 2026 campaign, Ole Miss has done potentially irreversible damage to their playoff hopes with two losses in the last three weeks. Last weekend, Georgia dominated Ole Miss from the opening kickoff (91.9% win probability at the end of the 1st quarter), to the point that head coach Pete Golding told his team at the half that he wasn't worried about the score -- he only wanted his players to focus on putting good effort on tape in the final two quarters.
Playable to 54%.
The strength of the Oklahoma team is their defense, which is their key to success against Ole Miss. Oklahoma generated a 46.2% pressure rate last weekend against Florida. If they can get anywhere close to that number again in Week 11, Chambliss' struggles are likely to continue, contributing to a lower-scoring game.
Playable to 28%.
Oklahoma's path to winning in Week 11 is a low-scoring defensive battle.
They emerged victorious last weekend 23-7 against Florida. They have been competitive against No. 1 Texas (27-24 win), No. 15 Kentucky (21-13 loss) and Michigan (17-10) in lower-scoring games, but haven't been able to put up much of a fight in any game that gets close to 60 combined points.
MISS vs OKLA Consensus Picks
MISS vs OKLA Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PASSING YARDS
J. Mateer
(QB)
u235.5 Passing Yards
225.18 UNDER
PROJECTION
-10.3
DIFFERENCE
21.16%
EV
|
|||||||
|
PASSING YARDS
T. Chambliss
(QB)
o244.5 Passing Yards
247.31 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.8
DIFFERENCE
8.96%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
J. Mateer
(QB)
o29.5 Rushing Yards
38.95 OVER
PROJECTION
+9.4
DIFFERENCE
26.99%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
OKLA
L. Avant
(RB)
o39.5 Rushing Yards
50.50 OVER
PROJECTION
+11.0
DIFFERENCE
25.93%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
T. Chambliss
(QB)
o14.5 Rushing Yards
15.60 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.1
DIFFERENCE
-30%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
OKLA
I. Sategna III
(WR)
o62.5 Receiving Yards
79.18 OVER
PROJECTION
+16.7
DIFFERENCE
26.14%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
OKLA
R. Beers
(TE)
o41.5 Receiving Yards
50.76 OVER
PROJECTION
+9.3
DIFFERENCE
25.07%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
MISS
H. Fields
(WR)
o45.5 Receiving Yards
53.88 OVER
PROJECTION
+8.4
DIFFERENCE
24.55%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
MISS
C. Odom
(TE)
o39.5 Receiving Yards
44.50 OVER
PROJECTION
+5.0
DIFFERENCE
22.43%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
MISS
D. Alexander
(WR)
o65.5 Receiving Yards
72.62 OVER
PROJECTION
+7.1
DIFFERENCE
20.6%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
OKLA
R. Beers
(TE)
u4.5 Receptions
3.83 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.7
DIFFERENCE
10.77%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
OKLA
I. Sategna III
(WR)
u5.5 Receptions
5.50 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
5.42%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
J. Mateer
(QB)
o11.5 Carries
13.39 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.9
DIFFERENCE
15.5%
EV
|
|||||||
|
COMPLETIONS
J. Mateer
(QB)
u20.5 Completions
19.64 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.9
DIFFERENCE
7.4%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
Recent Form Trends
Over is 7-0 in Rebels last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 7-0 in Rebels last 7 games as a road underdog.
Rebels are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Rebels are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Rebels are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Rebels last 4 road games.
Rebels are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Over is 4-1 in Rebels last 5 games overall.