Sunday college football! The best day of the week to sweat out college props!
Before we dive into this Sunday's SEC showdown, we have some of our best college football picks on deck for Week 11.
Let's dive into my Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma prop picks, where I am heavy on the quarterbacks in this Sunday, Nov. 15 matchup.
Best Ole Miss vs Oklahoma props
Prop pick #1: John Mateer Over 229.5 passing yards
With Jason Witten taking over play-calling duties for the Oklahoma Sooners, John Mateer appears to be in great hands after a spectacular performance against the Gators a week ago. The senior quarterback threw for 207 yards and two touchdowns, completing 63.6% of his passes while adding 56 yards on the ground.
Despite surpassing this prop just five times this season, the threat of Mateer's legs should help open up the passing game. While Ole Miss has kept several stud quarterbacks below this number, none of them brought the same dual-threat ability to the table. The Rebels are still allowing 229.6 pass yards per game.
If firing their offensive coordinator was the answer all along, in Witten we trust.
Prop pick #2: Makhi Frazier Under 49.5 rush yards
Makhi Frazier should stay well under this number unless he breaks off a massive gain. For starters, his workload is wildly inconsistent, averaging roughly nine carries per game while seeing as few as two attempts.
He's listed as questionable, so even if he does play, I don't expect a significant workload, especially with Trinidad Chambliss and Shekai Mills-Knight also involved in the rushing attack.
The Sooners' defense has held opponents to just 122.7 rushing yards per game this season. Meanwhile, Ole Miss is running the ball on just 45% of its plays, averaging 33.3 attempts per game.
Between the injury uncertainty, inconsistent workload, and difficult matchup, I'm backing Frazier to finish below this number.
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Prop pick #3: Trinidad Chambliss anytime touchdown
This writer is one of the biggest suckers for a quarterback scramble in the red zone, especially when it ends with a trip to paydirt. There's no better quarterback to back than one of the nation's most dynamic playmakers, Ole Miss star Trinidad Chambliss.
The senior has found the end zone seven times this season, but hasn't crossed the goal line since late October against Auburn.
With Brent Venables' aggressive, blitz-heavy defense likely to pressure Chambliss, I expect the Ole Miss quarterback to have opportunities to leave the pocket and find open grass.
Sometimes, you just have to let the playmaker make a play.
If you're looking for a side bet, I'd also consider the over on Chambliss' longest rush. Sacks can eat into a quarterback's rushing yardage, making the longest rush an appealing alternative to his standard rushing yards prop.
- Top Picks: 81-61, +18.30 units
- Prop picks: 11-9, +2.40 units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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