Missouri vs Georgia Picks & Props
MIZZ vs UGA Picks
NCAAF PicksGeorgia is a well-oiled machine, and I would take them to cover up to -16.5 against Missouri. The Bulldogs are 3-0 ATS in three ranked matchups and are allowing just 10.6 points per game in those games. Their offense is No. 3 in offensive success rate (51.7%). This is the most well-rounded team in college football.
For as dominant as Georgia's defense has been, the Bulldogs are a sneaky solid Over team, and I'd play it up to 47.5. Georgia is ranked No. 3 in offensive success rate (51.7%) and has scored 38+ six times this season. If the offense performs as it did against Ole Miss, Missouri would only need about 10 points for this Over to hit.
Georgia has scored 38+ points in six of nine games and is averaging 33.9 ppg in SEC play. I would take the Over up to 33.5 with Missouri giving up 34 to Texas last week and this Bulldogs offense ranking third nationally in points per opportunity (4.91).
Georgia is the best team in the country, and Missouri simply doesn't have the talent to keep this close. For as good as Austin Simmons is, he's going to have a heck of a time moving the ball against a defense ranked top 25 in success rate (40.1%), havoc rate (19.4%), and points allowed per opportunity (2.68). And Missouri's defense has allowed 65 points in its last two ranked matchups.
MIZZ vs UGA Consensus Picks
63% picking Georgia
Total Picks MIZZ 140, UGA 237
MIZZ vs UGA Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PASSING YARDS
UGA
G. Stockton
(QB)
o212.5 Passing Yards
235.09 OVER
PROJECTION
+22.6
DIFFERENCE
25.27%
EV
|
|||||||
|
PASSING YARDS
MIZZ
A. Simmons
(QB)
u207.5 Passing Yards
193.94 UNDER
PROJECTION
-13.6
DIFFERENCE
23.41%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
MIZZ
J. Roberts
(RB)
o64.5 Rushing Yards
75.53 OVER
PROJECTION
+11.0
DIFFERENCE
24.51%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
N. Frazier
(RB)
u58.5 Rushing Yards
52.74 UNDER
PROJECTION
-5.8
DIFFERENCE
23.96%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
UGA
D. Phillips Jr.
(RB)
u42.5 Rushing Yards
41.72 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
6.73%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
MIZZ
C. Lee
(WR)
o51.5 Receiving Yards
76.33 OVER
PROJECTION
+24.8
DIFFERENCE
27.2%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
UGA
L. Humphreys
(WR)
o19.5 Receiving Yards
28.55 OVER
PROJECTION
+9.1
DIFFERENCE
26.64%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
UGA
T. Taylor
(WR)
o41.5 Receiving Yards
60.74 OVER
PROJECTION
+19.2
DIFFERENCE
26.43%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
MIZZ
D. Olugbode
(WR)
o50.5 Receiving Yards
59.84 OVER
PROJECTION
+9.3
DIFFERENCE
25.49%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
UGA
C. Dandridge
(WR)
o29.5 Receiving Yards
38.64 OVER
PROJECTION
+9.1
DIFFERENCE
25.44%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
UGA
L. Luckie
(TE)
o20.5 Receiving Yards
21.80 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.3
DIFFERENCE
16.61%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
MIZZ
J. Roberts
(RB)
o19.5 Carries
20.13 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
7.24%
EV
|
|||||||
|
COMPLETIONS
MIZZ
A. Simmons
(QB)
u20.5 Completions
18.75 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.7
DIFFERENCE
15.02%
EV
|
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- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
Recent Form Trends
Tigers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite.
Under is 5-0 in Bulldogs last 5 games as an underdog.
Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 games on grass.
Over is 4-0 in Bulldogs last 4 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Under is 7-1 in Tigers last 8 road games.
Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games following a straight up win.
Over is 6-1 in Bulldogs last 7 home games.
Tigers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
ROI Trends
MIZZ vs UGA Top User Picks
'stjula' is picking Georgia to cover (-14.0)
stjula is #1 on picking games that Missouri is in with a record of (8-1-0) and +5850 units on the season.
'mlevine' is picking Georgia to cover (-15.5)
mlevine is #1 on picking games that Georgia is in with a record of (9-0-0) and +6900 units on the season.
'hotvegas' is picking Georgia to cover (-15.5)
hotvegas is #2 on picking games that Georgia is in with a record of (7-0-0) and +5950 units on the season.
'Haloman' is picking Georgia to cover (-15.5)
Haloman is #3 on picking games that Georgia is in with a record of (9-0-0) and +5850 units on the season.
'goobero' is picking Missouri to cover (+15.5)
goobero is #3 on picking games that Missouri is in with a record of (8-1-0) and +4800 units on the season.
'dcgmt' is picking Georgia to cover (-15.5)
dcgmt is #8 on picking games that Georgia is in with a record of (6-3-0) and +4800 units on the season.
'hammerhead66' is picking Georgia to cover (-14.0)
hammerhead66 is #9 on picking games that Georgia is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +4800 units on the season.