NFL odds Week 11: Opening lines, sharp money & line movement

Nov 23, 2020 |

NFL Week 10 is in the books, while NFL Week 11 odds are on the betting board and already getting some action. The week starts strong with a Thursday night clash between the Arizona Cardinals and Seattle Seahawks, and the Kansas City Chiefs have a revenge game Sunday night against the Las Vegas Raiders.

Multiple oddsmakers provided insights on NFL Week 11 opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting. Covers will update this report with NFL sharp picks vs. public bets and line movement throughout the week.

These are the current NFL Week 11 odds, as of November 15. Click on each matchup in the table below to get updated in-depth information on the opening lines, sharp money, public betting and odds movement as we get closer to kickoff.

Matchup Time Spread Over/Under
Cardinals at Seahawks 8:20 p.m. ET Thursday Seahawks -3 57
Eagles at Browns 1 p.m. ET Sunday Browns -2.5 45.5
Falcons at Saints 1 p.m. ET Sunday Saints -3.5 49.5
Lions at Panthers 1 p.m. ET Sunday Panthers +3 47.5
Patriots at Texans 1 p.m. ET Sunday Texans +2.5 49.5
Steelers at Jaguars 1 p.m. ET Sunday Jaguars +10.5 47.5
Packers at Colts 4:25 p.m. ET Sunday Colts -2 52.5
Bengals at Washington 1 p.m. ET Sunday Washington -1.5 47.5
Titans at Ravens 1 p.m. ET Sunday Ravens -6 50.5
Cowboys at Vikings 4:25 p.m. ET Sunday Vikings -7 50
Chiefs at Raiders 8:20 p.m. ET Sunday Raiders +7.5 56
Rams at Buccaneers 8:15 p.m. ET Monday Buccaneers -4.5 47.5
Dolphins at Broncos 4:05 p.m. ET Sunday Broncos +4 46
Jets at Chargers 4:05 p.m. ET Sunday Chargers -9.5 47.5

Odds courtesy of The SuperBook

Teams on bye: San Francisco 49ers, New York Giants, Buffalo Bills, Chicago

Opening line

Seahawks -4.5, Over/Under 57.5

Why the line moved

UPDATE 7:30 P.M. ET THURSDAY: Seattle opened -3.5 at PointsBet USA and quickly moved to -3, where the line stuck all week, with 57 percent of point-spread tickets on the Seahawks, but 82 percent of spread money on the underdog Cardinals. The total moved from 56.5 to 58.5 and back to 56.5, and it's 57 as kickoff approaches, with ticket count 2/1 and money more than 3/1 on the Over. And the always-popular prop bet of who scores the first touchdown tonight is seeing Seattle wideout D.K. Metcalf (+800) lead the way with 13 percent of all tickets, followed closely by Arizona wideout Christian Kirk (+1,600) and Cards QB Kyler Murray (+700).

UPDATE 1 P.M. ET THURSDAY: DraftKings opened the Seahawks -3.5 and spent most of the past three days at -3, then dipped to -2.5 a couple of hours ago. Seattle is attracting 56 percent of bets and 70 percent of money on the point spread. The total opened at 56.5, peaked at 58 and is now 57, with tickets and money running about 3/1 on the Over.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: FanDuel opened the Seahawks -4.5 and quickly dropped to -3.5 Sunday night, then went to -3 this morning. It's very much a two-way action game, with 58 percent of tickets on the Cardinals and 55 percent of money on the Seahawks. The total for the Thursday nighter went from 56.5 to 58.5, then peeled back to 57.5, with 73 percent of tickets/68 percent of money on the Over.

UPDATE 8:30 P.M. ET TUESDAY: The Seahawks are already down to -3 at The SuperBook. "No sharp action on the Cardinals here yet, but the market is moving that way," SuperBook manager/oddsmaker Eric Osterman said. "Seattle did not look all that great against the Rams, and the Cardinals will have momentum after a big win against Buffalo."

---

Arizona converted a Hail Mary from Kyler Murray to DeAndre Hopkins to notch a stunning 32-30 home victory over Buffalo, while a lackluster Seattle unit fell to the host Los Angeles Rams 23-16 Sunday.

"We opened Seattle -4.5 and quickly moved down to Seahawks -3.5," Murray said Sunday evening. "The move makes sense. People don’t trust the Seahawks. Their defense is no good, and even Russell Wilson has looked human the last couple of weeks. I expect very good handle on this game. This should be one of the better Thursday games of the season."

Opening line

Browns -3, Over/Under 45.5

Why the line moved

UPDATE 9 A.M. SUNDAY: Cleveland is down to -2.5 from an opener of -3.5 at BetMGM Nevada, but the book will still need Philadelphia today, in a big way. That's because one customer during the week put $250,000 on the Browns -2.5, buying a half-point off of -3, and on Friday night, another customer put $105,000 on the Browns -3 (-105). "We've taken some big bets on the Browns, but the line has gone the other way," BetMGM's Scott Shelton said. "Sharps are definitely on the Eagles, the public is on the Browns. Tickets are 3/1 and money 15/1 Cleveland."

UPDATE 9 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Cleveland bounced between -3.5 and -3 throughout the week and is currently -3 at William Hill US. Opinion is certainly split, with 67 percent of bets on the Browns, but 62 percent of money on the Eagles.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Cleveland went up at -3 Sunday evening at FanDuel and stuck there, with 71 percent of bets and 81 percent of money going to the Browns. The total bounced around a bit, from 46 to 47.5 to 45.5, and it's now at 47, with 64 percent of bets on the Under, but 90 percent of money on the Over.

---

Philadelphia leads the NFC East, but that just makes it the least-awful team among a terrible bunch, as evidenced by its 27-17 road loss to the New York Giants on Sunday. Meanwhile, Cleveland got a much-need though unimpressive 10-7 win over Houston.

Eagles-Browns opened Cleveland -3 at The SuperBook and very briefly touched -3.5 Sunday night, before going back to -3.

"This game will be very one-sided. Nobody is looking to bet Philadelphia right now," Murray said. "The Eagles let bettors down in a big way today. This is already a lopsided ticket-count game, and I don’t expect that to change between now and next Sunday morning."

BACK TO TOP

Opening line

Saints -4.5, Over/Under 51.5

Why the line moved

UPDATE 10:50 A.M. ET SUNDAY: PointsBet USA opened New Orleans -4.5 and got to -5, then dipped as low as -3 before getting to -3.5. "Good two-way, with roughly 55 percent of tickets and handle backing Atlanta," PointsBet's Patrick Eichner said. The total opened at 51 and reached 52, then dropped to 49.5, though 72 percent of bets and 64 percent of dollars are on the Over.

UPDATE 8:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Earlier today, news broke that the Saints are going to start Taysom Hill in place of the injured Drew Brees, rather than Jameis Winston. The SuperBook then moved the Saints from -4 to -3.5, and the total is down three points today, to 49. "The majority of the public money has been on the Falcons, and we took some sharp money on the Falcons early as well," SuperBook manager/oddsmaker Eric Osterman said, adding that the Under is getting some small play, but the downward move was more in keeping with the market. "We are going to need the Saints to win and cover."

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: FanDuel opened the Drew Brees-less Saints -5.5 and dropped to -4.5 Monday, and the betting splits demonstrate why: ticket count and money are both nearly 2/1 on the Falcons. So apparently early bettors aren't high on New Orleans backup Jameis Winston. The total is down to 50 from 51.5, with ticket count running 3/1 on the Over, but money dead even.

UPDATE 9 P.M. ET MONDAY: This afternoon brought the news that Saints quarterback Drew Brees is out this week and probably a few more with several cracked ribs and a collapsed lung. So Jameis Winston will start for New Orleans, and with that in mind, The SuperBook opened the Saints as 4.5-point favorites. Jay Kornegay, who oversees The SuperBook as Westgate's vice president of race and sports, said Brees is worth 2-2.5 points to the spread, meaning the Saints would have been touchdown favorites with a healthy Brees. The first move on this line was actually up to -5.5, but the number then went down to -4 before returning to -4.5 late Monday afternoon. The total is stable at 51.5.

---

Atlanta is coming off a bye week, and New Orleans probably wishes it had a bye week coming up. That's because quarterback Drew Brees suffered a rib injury and sat out the second half of the Saints' 27-17 home win over San Francisco.

Because of the Saints' uncertainty at QB, The SuperBook did not post this game Sunday night.

Opening line

Panthers -2.5, Over/Under OFF

Why the line moved

UPDATE 10:50 A.M. ET SUNDAY: PointsBet USA held steady all week at Lions -1, and it appears Panthers QB Teddy Bridgewater (knee) is a game-time decision on whether he'll play. Ticket count and money are in the 2/1 range on the Lions. The total went from 46.5 to 47, with 69 percent of bets/61 percent of money on the Over.

UPDATE 12:05 A.M. ET SUNDAY: Several books kept this game off the board all week, with the uncertain status of Carolina QB Teddy Bridgewater (knee). But FanDuel opened the Panthers -2.5, and the line jumped the fence to Lions -2.5 Thursday, and it's currently Lions -1.5. Ticket count is dead even, and Detroit is getting 52 percent of money on the spread. The total moved from 48 to 46.5, though 79 percent of bets/92 percent of dollars are on the Under.

---

This is another game The SuperBook is holding off on, after Carolina QB Teddy Bridgewater suffered a knee injury in Sunday's 46-23 home loss to Tampa Bay. Detroit, meanwhile, squeaked by Washington 30-27 on a 59-yard Matt Prater field goal as time expired. 

Opening line

Texans -2.5, Over/Under 47

Why the line moved

UPDATE 10:50 A.M. ET SUNDAY: New England opened -2.5 at PointsBet USA, fell to -1.5 and is now -2, with 83 percent of bets and 64 percent of money on the Patriots. The total moved from 47.5 to 48.5 on interesting betting splits: 67 percent of tickets are on the Under, but 61 percent of money is on the Over.

UPDATE 8:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: This line began the week at Houston -2.5 and it's now New England -2 at The SuperBook. "Big public money on the Patriots," SuperBook manager/oddsmaker Eric Osterman said. "The perception is that the Patriots have figured something out, while the Texans are in disarray. We need the Texans to win outright."

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: This line jumped the fence in pretty short order at FanDuel, from Texans -1 to Patriots -2.5 on Monday, with point-spread ticket count 4/1 and money more than 5/1 on New England. The total opened at 47.5 and fell to 47, then went up to 49 by this afternoon, but the betting splits tell a different tale: 56 percent of tickets and 53 percent of dollars are on the Under.

---

New England stunned visiting Baltimore in the Week 10 Sunday nighter, winning 23-17 as a touchdown underdog. On the flip side, Houston mustered just one score in a 10-7 road loss to Cleveland. The SuperBook opened at Texans -2.5, and the game came off the board once the Ravens-Patriots game kicked off. The line will go back up Monday morning.

BACK TO TOP

Opening line

Jaguars +10.5, Over/Under 46

Why the line moved

UPDATE 10 A.M. SUNDAY: BetMGM Nevada opened Pittsburgh -10 and has been at -10.5 since Thursday. "Not much there. Tickets 2/1 and money 2/1 Steelers. Pretty lightly played," BetMGM's Scott Shelton said.

UPDATE 9 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Pittsburgh moved from -10.5 to -10 Monday at William Hill US, then returned to -10.5 Thursday, with point-spread ticket count and money both in the 3/1 range on the Steelers.

UPDATE 8:30 P.M. ET TUESDAY: This matchup bounced back-and-forth a bit over its first 24 hours or so on the board, with the Steelers going from -10.5 to -9.5, then to -10 at The SuperBook. "We took some sharp money on the Jags at +10.5," manager/oddsmaker Eric Osterman said. "At 9.5, we were taking a lot of Steelers money from the public. Ten seems to be a good booking number for this game."

---

Pittsburgh remained perfect with a 36-10 home rout of Cincinnati, improving to 9-0 SU, and the Steelers are tied with Miami for the league's ATS lead at 7-2. Jacksonville is almost the polar opposite at 1-8 SU (4-5 ATS), but challenged Green Bay and even led in the fourth quarter of a 24-20 road loss. The Steelers-Jags line ticked down a half-point Sunday night to -10 at The SuperBook, and there was no movement on the total.

Opening line

Colts -1, Over/Under 48.5

Why the line moved

UPDATE 2:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: This line has bounced around quite a bit at FanDuel, opening at Packers -1.5 and quickly flipping to Colts -1.5, then stretching to Indianapolis -2.5 for a couple of days, and it's been Indy -1.5 pretty much all weekend. Ticket count is approaching 4/1 on the Packers and money is 3/1 on the Packers. The total went from 49 to 52 to 51, then got to 52.5 today, with 56 percent of bets and 69 percent of cash on the Over.

UPDATE 9 P.M. ET FRIDAY: William Hill US opened Indianapolis -1 and got to -2.5 early in the week, but the line dialed down to -1.5 by Thursday. WillHill director of trading Nick Bogdanovich said the Packers are public 'dogs this week, taking 71 percent of bets and 72 percent of money. "We’ve got more money on the Packers, more parlays on the Packers. So we need to be on the lower end for this line compared to the market. Green Bay is the biggest public 'dog this week."

UPDATE 8:30 P.M. ET TUESDAY: Indianapolis got out to -2.5 by Monday morning at The SuperBook and is still there now. "The Packers did not look good against a team that they were expected to beat easily," SuperBook manager/oddsmaker Eric Osterman said, alluding to Green Bay's tight win over Jacksonville. "The market moved hard against the Packers after that game." The total sprinted from 48.5 to 52, then ticked back a notch to 51.5 late Monday morning. "We did take sharp money on the total Over 48.5."

---

Green Bay got all it could handle in a 24-20 home win over hapless Jacksonville, while Indianapolis topped Tennessee 34-17 in the Thursday nighter.

"This may have been the game we discussed the most. Some had Green Bay favored, others had Indianapolis favored. We talked about just opening it pick’em and seeing where the market took us," Murray said. "Ultimately, we opened the Colts -1, because we know the wiseguys are very pro-Indianapolis. They bet the Colts hard on Thursday night and they hammered the Colts a week earlier in the game they lost to Baltimore.

"The Colts are a team that gets a lot of support from sharp players. This game sets up to be a huge Pros vs. Joes type game."

The first move came a couple of hours after the line went up, with The SuperBook shifting to Colts -1.5.

Opening line

Pick, Over/Under 46

Why the line moved

UPDATE 12:55 A.M. ET SUNDAY: Surprisingly, this game has become a big decision for BetMGM Nevada. Washington moved from -1.5 to -2 to -2 and is now -1.5, but tickets are 2/1 Bengals and money 5/1 Bengals. BetMGM Nevada's Jeff Stoneback said this is the second-biggest decision of the day at this point, behind Eagles-Browns. "We need Washington really big."

UPDATE 10:50 A.M. ET SUNDAY: Washington moved from -1.5 to -1, then to -2 and back to -1 at PointsBet USA. "Overwhelming action on the Bengals, with 87 percent of spread bets and 84 percent of spread handle," PointsBet's Patrick Eichner said. The total moved from 46 to 47.5, with ticket count almost 4/1 and money 2/1 on the Over.

UPDATE 9 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Washington opened -1 at William Hill US and has spent most of the week at -1.5, with the Bengals taking 72 percent of tickets, but Washington landing 68 percent of money on the spread.

UPDATE 8:30 P.M. ET TUESDAY: Early bettors backed the home team, moving this game from pick to Washington -1.5. "We took some sharp money on Washington at pick, but not a ton," SuperBook manager/oddsmaker Eric Osterman said. "The market continued to push that line up. It seems to have settled at Washington -1.5."

---

Cincinnati got rolled 36-10 at Pittsburgh in Week 10, and Washington was dealt a 30-27 road loss in the waning seconds on a 59-yard Detroit field goal. Early movement showed a little more interest in Washington, which ticked to -1 Sunday night at The SuperBook. The total also adjusted a tick, from 46 to 45.5.

BACK TO TOP

 

Opening line

Ravens -7, Over/Under 47

Why the line moved

UPDATE 10:50 A.M. ET SUNDAY: PointsBet USA opened Baltimore -6 and moved out to -6.5, then dialed down to -5, and the line is now -6. "Sixty percent of bets and 75 percent of handle backing the road dogs in Tennessee," PointsBet's Patrick Eichner said. The total went from 47 to 49 early in the week and is now 50, with 57 percent of bets on Over, and the money is dead even.

UPDATE 9 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Baltimore dropped from -7 to -5.5 by Thursday at William Hill US, then inched up to -6 earlier this evening. Tennessee is attracting 57 percent of bets and 81 percent of money on the spread.

UPDATE 8:30 P.M. ET TUESDAY: The SuperBook opened the total at 47 Sunday afternoon and got to 49 by Monday afternoon, which is where the number is tonight. "There were multiple sharp bets on Over 47 as soon as we put that total up. Nothing since the total has been at 49," SuperBook manager/oddsmaker Eric Osterman said. "I wouldn't be surprised if it goes even higher."

---

Tennessee roared out of the gate this season, winning its first five, but the Titans dropped three of four since then, including a 34-17 home setback to Indianapolis on Thursday. The Ravens had their hands more than full with the Patriots on Sunday night, losing 23-17 on the road.

"We opened the Ravens -7 and closed it when the Sunday night game kicked off," Murray said. "The Titans are in a freefall right now and are on the outside of the playoff picture looking in. Baltimore will get a lot of public play." 

Opening line

Vikings -7.5, Over/Under 49.5

Why the line moved

UPDATE 2:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Minnesota opened -9.5 at FanDuel, dipped to -7 by midweek and is now -6.5, with ticket count 2/1 and money just shy of 2/1 on the Vikings. The total is up to 49.5 from an opener of 47, with 62 percent of tickets and 57 percent of money on the Over.

UPDATE 9 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Minnesota is down to -7 from an opener of -8.5 at William Hill US, where the Vikings are getting 69 percent of spread bets, but just 55 percent of spread dollars. Andy Dalton returns as quarterback for Dallas, after going through concussion protocol, then battling COVID-19.

UPDATE 10:45 PM. ET THURSDAY: The total is down to 48 from 49.5 at William Hill US, despite 64 percent of bets and 95 percent of money landing on the Over. This game is seeing a higher percentage of Over money than any other game on the Week 11 slate.

UPDATE 8:30 P.M. ET TUESDAY: The line is pinned to Minnesota -7.5 at The SuperBook, but the total is bouncing around, first tumbling to 46.5 by early this morning, then climbing to 48 later in the morning. "The market has been dictating our total in this game, for the most part," SuperBook manager/oddsmaker Eric Osterman said. "We have one sharp bet on Over 46.5, but that's the extent of our action on that."

---

Dallas is coming off a bye, while Minnesota still has Week 10 work to do in the Monday nighter at Chicago. Still, Murray and The SuperBook odds team opened the Vikings -7.5, and there was no line movement Sunday night.

BACK TO TOP

Opening line

Raiders +6.5, Over/Under 54.5

Why the line moved

UPDATE 6 P.M. ET SUNDAY: A couple of hours before kickoff, Kansas City sits -7.5 at FanDuel, where the line opened -7, dipped to -6.5 and got as high as -8 over the course of the week. It's all Chiefs on the point spread, with 84 percent of tickets and 87 percent of dollars backing Kansas City. The total opened at 55, moved to 56.5 Monday and stuck there through this afternoon, with tickets and money both about 4/1 on the Over.

UPDATE 9 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Kansas City opened -7 at William Hill US and made a couple treks to -6.5, but this line is now up to -8.5, with several Las Vegas defensive starters needing to clear COVID protocols in order to play Sunday night. Point-spread ticket count is 4/1 and money more than 6/1 on the Chiefs.

UPDATE 10:45 P.M. ET THURSDAY: William Hill US opened the total at 54.5, and it's now up to 57. "I do know that this total went up because all (the Raiders') defensive players are on the COVID list, and (bettors) figured that Kansas City will go through them like a hot knife through butter."

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: The SuperBook on Wednesday afternoon moved the Chiefs from -7 to -7.5 as news was breaking about a developing COVID situation with the Raiders. Once there was clarity – defensive end Clelin Ferrell tested positive, and subsequently several more defensive starters went on the reserve/COVID list – the game came off the board altogether.

---

Las Vegas rolled over Denver 37-12 Sunday, while Kansas City rested during its bye week. Playing under the Sunday night spotlight, the Chiefs seek to avenge a 40-32 home loss to the Raiders in Week 5.

"It's painful to even talk about this game when we think about how great this night would’ve been for Chiefs and Raiders fans at Allegiant Stadium," Murray said, lamenting fanless games as COVID continues to soil the 2020 season. "We opened Chiefs -6.5 and quickly moved to -7 (even). This game will be just like Ravens-Patriots. All the parlays will roll to K.C. and K.C. moneyline. The Over will be a very, very public play as well. If the favorites cover all weekend – like they did today – then the books will be big-time Raiders fans next Sunday night."

Opening line

Buccaneers -4, Over/Under 49

Why the line moved

UPDATE 7:55 P.M. ET MONDAY: PointsBet USA opened the Bucs -3 and stretched to -4.5, then ticked to -4 on some interesting point-spread betting splits: 63 percent of tickets are on Tampa Bay, but 68 percent of money is on underdog Los Angeles. The total is back at the opener of 47.5, after peaking at 48.5, with 68 percent of bets/54 percent of money on the Over. On the prop of which player scores the first touchdown, Bucs wideout Mike Evans (+800) and running back Ronald Jones (+900) are taking the most tickets.

UPDATE 5:15 P.M. ET MONDAY: The Buccaneers opened -3.5 at FanDuel and got to -4.5 by Sunday morning, where the line remains now. It's two-way action with a lean toward Tampa Bay, which is attracting 57 percent of bets and 55 percent of money on the point spread. The total opened at 48.5 and dipped to 47, then returned to 48.5, with 62 percent of tickets and 58 percent of money on the Over.

UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET MONDAY: DraftKings has Tampa Bay -4.5 for the Monday nighter, from an opener of -3.5 and a low point of -3 early last week. The Bucs are landing 57 percent of bets and 64 percent of money on the spread. The total went from 48.5 to 47.5, then up to 49, and it's currently at 48, with 72 percent of bets/76 percent of cash on the Over.

UPDATE 9:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Tampa Bay is out to -4.5 from an opener of -3.5 at FanDuel, which is seeing two-way action with a lean toward the Bucs. Tampa is taking 57 percent of tickets and 60 percent of money on the spread. The total bounced from 48.5 to 47 and back to 48.5, and it's now at 48, with ticket count and money both running 2/1 on the Over.

UPDATE 8:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: "The Bucs have been either -3.5 or -4 most of the week," SuperBook manager/oddsmaker Eric Osterman said, noting the current line is -4. "We are seeing some good two-way action, with most of the parlay money on the Bucs. We have some liability on Rams moneyline. We need the Bucs to win but not cover."

---

The Week 11 Monday nighter is a key NFC clash, and both teams are coming off wins: Los Angeles stymied Seattle 23-16 and Tampa Bay drubbed Carolina 46-23.

"We opened Bucs -4 and moved quickly to Bucs -3.5," Murray said. "We will need the Rams in this game, but how big remains to be seen. People may hesitate to bet the Bucs with both hands after their performance on Monday Night Football vs. the Giants and that Sunday Night Football disaster a week ago (against the Saints). There will be support for the Rams, too." 

BACK TO TOP

Opening line

Broncos +3, Over/Under 44.5

Why the line moved

UPDATE 2:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Miami opened -1.5 at FanDuel, hit -3.5 by Tuesday and even touched -4 a couple of times, and the Dolphins are currently -3.5. It's an absolute landslide on Tua Tagovailoa and Co., with Miami attracting 93 percent of tickets and money on the point spread. The total opened at 44.5, peaked at 46.5 and is now 46, with the Under actually getting the bulk of play, at 57 percent of tickets/52 percent of money.

UPDATE 9 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Miami is up to -3.5 from -2.5 at William Hill US, where bettors are hammering the Dolphins to the tune of 88 percent of spread bets and 97 percent of spread money. "I’d say this game is going to be our biggest decision this week. I don’t see any other way around it,” WillHill director of trading Nick Bogdanovich said. “I think that line is going to go up even more. It should close at a minimum of Dolphins -4."

UPDATE 10:45 P.M. ET THURSDAY: The total at William Hill US moved from 44.5 to 46, then back to 45 on some interesting betting splits: 61 percent of tickets are on the Over, but 80 percent of money is on the Under, the highest percentage of Under cash for any Week 11 contest.

---

Miami is 3-0 SU and ATS with Tua Tagovailoa starting, including Sunday's 29-21 home win over the Los Angeles Chargers, and the Dolphins have won five in a row SU and ATS overall. The Broncos got boat raced by Las Vegas 37-12 on the road Sunday and have lost three of their last four. The number was stable at Dolphins -3 Sunday night, though the price moved from -110 to even money.

Opening line

Chargers -9.5, Over/Under 46.5

Why the line moved

UPDATE 2:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: The Chargers dropped from -10 to -7.5 by Monday, then steadily climbed back to -10 by Saturday, and the number is still -10 now at FanDuel. However, this is a two-way action game, with 51 percent of bets and 55 percent of money on Los Angeles. The total opened at 47 and first went to 48, then down to 46, and it's now 47, with 71 percent of tickets/65 percent of money on the Over.

UPDATE 9 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Los Angeles fell from -9.5 to -8 by Monday afternoon, then crept back to -9.5 by Thursday afternoon, with 62 percent of tickets and 59 percent of money on the Chargers.

UPDATE 8:30 P.M. ET TUESDAY: Los Angeles dipped two points to -7.5 by Monday afternoon at The SuperBook, but the line quickly rebounded to -9 and is now -8.5. "We had the Chargers as high as -10.5 on our (look-ahead) line, and we have seen sharp money on the Jets at +10.5, +10 and +9.5. We also have some sharp money on the Jets moneyline," SuperBook manager/oddsmaker Eric Osterman said.

---

New York (0-9 SU, 2-7 ATS) found a way to not lose in Week 10—by having a bye. Los Angeles has got to be the hardest-luck team in the league, sitting at 2-7, with all seven losses coming in one-score games. The SuperBook opened the Chargers -9.5 and didn't move Sunday night.

Where can I bet on the NFL?

Whether it’s in Las Vegas or online, every sportsbook under the sun offers Week 9 NFL point spreads, plus a cornucopia of other NFL odds. Check out the NFL football odds at the best sportsbooks available where you live.

Get the best sports betting information delivered straight to your inbox for free.
By signing up for the Covers newsletter, you agree to receive electronic communications from Covers about our products and services, as well as other content that may be of interest to you
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo