NFL Week 10 is almost entirely in the rearview mirror, NFL Week 11 odds are on the board, and several betting factors are already in play. That includes the typical injury information, most notably some bad news out of New Orleans on Saints quarterback Drew Brees.
This week’s NFL Cheat Sheet serves as one-stop shopping for that information and more. Covers checks in on NFL Week 11 injuries, weather, consensus picks, Pros vs Joes and more. Check back throughout the week for NFL injury updates, popular picks, and notable contrasts between sharp bets and public money.
Week 11 Injuries
Cleveland Browns: Superstar defensive end Myles Garrett has been away from the team all week with illness. While he wasn't suspected of being connected to any of the team's positive COVID-19 tests, the Browns decided to play it safe and placed him on the Reserve/COVID list Friday morning, making him unavailable for Sunday's matchup against the Philadelphia Eagles. That didn't impact the line, which remained -3 at The SuperBook, though the price adjusted from -110 to even money.
New Orleans Saints: The early best-case scenario is that Brees will miss two to three weeks, but it could be longer, after a Monday MRI revealed multiple rib fractures and a collapsed lung. Brees didn't play the second half of Sunday's home win over San Francisco. When the news hit Monday afternoon that Brees was out, The SuperBook at Westgate posted the Saints -4.5 for Sunday's home game against Atlanta. Jay Kornegay, vice president of race and sports for Westgate, said Brees is worth 2-2.5 points to the spread, meaning the Saints would have been touchdown favorites against Atlanta.
Additionally, running back Alvin Kamara (foot) did not practice Thursday, and The SuperBook moved from Saints -4.5 to -4 Thursday afternoon. However, Kamara was not on Friday's injury report, so it appears he's good to go. Interestingly, the total on Thursday moved from 50.5 to 52. And Friday morning brought word that Taysom Hill, not Jameis Winston, would start at QB in place of Brees. The line dipped to -3.5 and the total fell three points to 49.
Carolina Panthers: Quarterback Teddy Bridgewater apparently eluded a serious knee injury Sunday against Tampa Bay, spraining an MCL, but on Friday was still listed as questionable to play Sunday against Detroit. Bridgewater will be a game-time decision. After having the game off the board all week, The SuperBook went ahead and posted this game early Sunday morning at pick.
Detroit Lions: QB Matthew Stafford played through an injury to his right thumb in Sunday's win over Washington, and he was not on Friday's injury report, so he's good to go at Carolina. The SuperBook doesn't have the line on the board, due to the uncertain status of Panthers QB Teddy Bridgewater. Lions running back D'Andre Swift (concussion) is out for Sunday's game.
Kansas City Chiefs: Left tackle Erik Fisher and right tackle Mitchell Schwartz were activated from the reserve/COVID list Thursday, so they'll play Sunday night at Las Vegas. Running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire (illness) missed practice Thursday. The SuperBook opened the Chiefs -6.5 and quickly went to -7, then dipped to -6 Monday afternoon before returning to the opening number. The line then got to -7.5 on news that the Raiders have COVID issues, and then the game came off the board Wednesday. It was still not back up Friday morning.
Las Vegas Raiders: Defensive end Clelin Ferrell tested positive for COVID-19, and reports followed Wednesday afternoon that the team placed at least eight defensive starters on the reserve/COVID list as close contacts. The Raiders were sitting at +7 as news broke, and The SuperBook first went to +7.5, then took the game off the board.
Green Bay Packers: Wideout Davante Adams (ankle) didn't practice Thursday, but he was not on Friday's injury report, so he's set to play Sunday at Indianapolis. Wideout Allen Lazard (core injury) could return after missing the previous six games, but he's listed as questionable. The SuperBook has been at Packers +1.5 since Wednesday. On Friday, the total ticked from 51.5 to 51, but that's still up 2.5 points from the opener of 48.
New England Patriots: Saturday brought positive injury news, with running back Sony Michel (quad) set to play for the first time since Week 3. The Patriots ticked up to -2.5 Saturday at The SuperBook, then went back to -2 a few hours later. The total was stable Saturday at 48.5.
Tennessee Titans: Wideout Adam Humphries (concussion) and defensive end Jadeveon Clowney (knee) are among a few Titans who won't play Sunday at Baltimore. The SuperBook moved Tennessee from +5.5 to +6 Friday.
Denver Broncos: QB Drew Lock, who threw four interceptions in Sunday's loss at Las Vegas, has a minor rib injury and on Friday was listed as questionable for Sunday's home game against Miami. Reports Saturday indicated Lock would start, and there was some fluctuation in the line: The SuperBook went from Denver +3.5 to +4, then receded to -3 a couple of hours later before getting back to +3.5.
Cincinnati Bengals: Running back Joe Mixon (foot) went on injured reserve Saturday, meaning he'll be out at least another three weeks, after missing the last three games. With Mixon never expected to play this week, there was no move in the line, which remained Bengals +1.5 at The SuperBook.
Week 11 Weather
Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks: Thursday night calls for a 50 percent chance of showers and light winds of 5-10 mph. The total moved from 57 to 58.5 early in the week, but it's now back to the opener of 57 at The SuperBook.
Philadelphia Eagles at Cleveland Browns: The forecast for Cleveland projects a 100 percent chance of rain, along with winds of 10-15 mph. This total bounced around all week at The SuperBook, going from 45.5 to 48, then back to 45.5, and on Thursday afternoon, it was back up to 47.5. It's sitting at 47 as of Sunday morning.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Jacksonville Jaguars: As of Sunday morning, there is a 20 percent chances of rain in Jacksonville, with temperatures in the mid-70s and winds blowing up to 10 mph. The total is at 46 points.
Week 11 Consensus
Week 11 Pros vs Joes
Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens: The SuperBook at Westgate is seeing sharp action on the visiting Titans. "We're getting public money on the Ravens, but the line moved from Ravens -7 to Ravens -5.5," SuperBook manager/oddsmaker Eric Osterman said Friday afternoon. A little later, the Ravens ticked back up to -6.
Dallas Cowboys at Minnesota Vikings: "This line opened at Minnesota -9 (-105)," PointsBet USA's Patrick Eichner said. "Early sharp action helped bet that number all the way down to -7. Joes are on the Vikes, while pros are on the Cowboys from +9 to +7.5. We are currently seeing 78 percent of spread bets on Minnesota, but handle is actually heavier on the Cowboys."
Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints: The total is creating the Pros vs Joes divide in this game, while moving from 51 to 50. "Some sharps liking the Under," PointsBet USA's Eichner said. "The public is all on the Over, per usual. More than 70 percent of bets and 80 percent of handle are on the Over."
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