The NFL betting board for Week 11 might have more exciting games than the mediocre matchup between the Dallas Cowboys and Minnesota Vikings, but don't underestimate the betting value in fading America's Team this season.
The Cowboys are coming off a bye week after losing 24-19 to the Steelers in Week 9, but that was just the first time this year that they have covered the spread.
Dallas opened as 8.5-point road underdogs against a Vikings squad fresh off a hard-fought victory against the Bears on Monday Night Football.
We break down the NFL odds with our best free Cowboys vs Vikings picks and predictions for Sunday, November 22, with kickoff at 4:25 p.m. ET.
Dallas Cowboys at Minnesota Vikings Betting Preview
This game will take place at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, Minnesota so weather will not impact play. Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions for other Week 11 games with our NFL weather info.
Cowboys: Trevon Diggs CB (Out), Tyler Biadasz (Out), Trysten Hill DT (Out), Dak Prescott QB (Out), Tyron Smith T (Out), La'el Collins T (Out), Blake Jarwin TE (Out).
Vikings: Holton Hill CB (Out), Mike Hughes CB (Out), George Iloka DB (Out), Danielle Hunter DE (Out), Anthony Barr LB (Out), Michael Pierce DT (Out).
Find our latest NFL injury reports.
Betting Trend to Know
The Cowboys are 0-6 ATS in their last six road games. Find more NFL betting trends for Cowboys vs. Vikings.
Against the Spread (ATS) Pick
The Cowboys entered their Week 9 matchup with the unbeaten Steelers as 14-point underdogs but shockingly took a 19-9 lead into the fourth quarter before collapsing. That was arguably the best performance of the year for a Cowboys team that is now 2-7 SU and 1-8 ATS.
The Cowboys offense has been terrible ever since they lost starting quarterback Dak Prescott to a season-ending injury on October 11, averaging just 10.3 points per game in four contests since.
The Cowboys defense has been terrible all year, surrendering a league-high 32.2 ppg. They've been particularly poor at stopping the run, giving up 157 rushing yards per game and 5.0 yards per carry.
That's bad news against a Minnesota team that has steamrolled opponents to the tune of 182.3 rushing yards per game over the last three weeks. The Vikings have won three in a row while going 6-1 ATS over their previous seven games. With the playoffs still a very real possibility, look for them to win and cover at home.
PREDICTION: Minnesota -7 (-110)
The Cowboys have cashed the Under in each of their previous four contests, but they didn't play that poorly against the Steelers' tough defense in their last game and now get Andy Dalton back at QB.
Sure, Dalton was terrible against Washington before being knocked out of the game, but he's still an experienced passer surrounded by weapons and will be facing a Minnesota defense that gives up a league-worst 462.2 yards per game at home.
As for the Vikings offense, they've moved the chains in recent weeks and average 424.5 yards per game at home. Running back Dalvin Cook will shred the Cowboys' weak run defense, while Kirk Cousins should be able to pick his spots against a Dallas secondary that allows opposing QBs to put up a passer rating of 103.1.
With the total set at a modest 47.5 and the Over going 5-0 in the Vikings' last five home games, we're taking it again on Sunday.
PREDICTION: Over 47.5 (-110)
Cook was held relatively in check by the Bears stout run defense last week...and he still rumbled for 96 yards on 30 carries. Now the Cook gets to feast against a Swiss cheese Dallas run defense that ranks 28th in the league in rushing DVOA.
The league's leading rusher had been on an absolute tear prior to that game against Chicago, shredding the Lions for 206 rushing yards and exploding for 163 yards versus the Packers in consecutive weeks. Look for Cook to go Over his rushing yards total of 96.5.
PREDICTION: Dalvin Cook rushing yards Over 96.5 (-115)
Cowboys vs Vikings Betting Card
- Minnesota -7 (-110)
- Over 47.5 (-110)
- Dalvin Cook rushing yards Over 96.5 (-115)
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