With the NFL preseason just a little over a week away, it's time to start taking a serious look at futures markets like NFL MVP odds.
Familiar names sit at the top of the board, with Josh Allen leading the way, followed by Lamar Jackson, Justin Herbert, and Joe Burrow.
Here are the latest NFL odds surrounding the prestigious award.
NFL MVP odds
| Name |  Probabillity |
|---|---|
| Josh Allen | 11% |
| Joe Burrow | 10% |
| Justin Herbert | 10% |
| Lamar Jackson | 10% |
| Caleb Williams | 7% |
| Patrick Mahomes | 7% |
| Drake Maye | 6% |
| Dak Prescott | 6% |
| Matthew Stafford | 6% |
| Brock Purdy | 5% |
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi.
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NFL MVP prediction
At this stage of the NFL offseason, I often prefer to look to longshot territory and plant an early flag with my futures bets. Carolina Panthers quarterback Bryce Young could generate NFL MVP buzz with improved play and another playoff appearance.
Panthers general manager Dan Morgan is hoping to attract impact free agents, and Carolina has seven picks in the 2026 NFL Draft to retool the roster.
So, if the defense takes a step forward alongside the Young-Tetairoa McMillan connection continuing to show off, I think enough boxes can be checked for the fourth-year quarterback to enter the MVP conversation.
Pick: Bryce Young (1%)
Stake: 0.2 units
NFL MVP winners by position
| Position | NFL MVP Awards |
|---|---|
| Quarterback | 49 |
| Running back | 13 |
| Fullback | 4 |
| Halfback | 1 |
| Kicker | 1 |
| Defensive tackle | 1 |
| Linebacker | 1 |
Offensive players have dominated the NFL MVP Award since its inception. Alan Page (1971) and Lawrence Taylor (1986) are the only defensive players to receive the honor since 1957.
NFL MVP winners by team
| Team | NFL MVP Awards |
|---|---|
 Green Bay Packers |
10 |
 Indianapolis Colts |
8 |
 San Francisco 49ers |
5 |
 Cleveland Browns |
4 |
 Los Angeles Rams |
5 |
 Las Vegas Raiders |
4 |
 New England Patriots |
3 |
 Washington Commanders |
3 |
 Kansas City Chiefs |
3 |
 Buffalo Bills |
3 |
The rest of the league has a way to go before catching up with the Packers. Green Bay's 10 NFL MVP trophies are split among Paul Hornung (1961), Jim Taylor (1962), Bart Starr (1966), Brett Favre (1995, 1996, 1997), and Aaron Rodgers (2011, 2014, 2020, 2021).
Former NFL MVP winners
| Player | Year | Opening Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Matthew Stafford |
2025 | +5000 |
| Josh Allen |
2024 | +850 |
 Lamar Jackson |
2023 | +1600 |
| Patrick Mahomes |
2022 | +700 |
| Aaron Rodgers |
2021 | +800 |
| Aaron Rodgers |
2020 | +3000 |
| Lamar Jackson |
2019 | +4000 |
| Patrick Mahomes |
2018 | +3525 |
| Tom Brady |
2017 | +385 |
 Matt Ryan |
2016 | +7500 |
 Cam Newton |
2015 | +5200 |
Listed above are the last 10 winners of the NFL MVP award, with Aaron Rodgers claiming three of them while on the Green Bay Packers.
NFL MVP Odds FAQs
Josh Allen is the current NFL MVP favorite.
Matthew Stafford won the NFL MVP award last year after leading the Los Angeles Rams to the NFC Championship Game.
Running back Adrian Peterson won the NFL MVP award in 2012 as a member of the Minnesota Vikings.
While it's rare, a defensive player can win the MVP. The most famous example is linebacker Lawrence Taylor, who won in 1986. However, offensive players, particularly quarterbacks, typically dominate the award.
Who Decides the NFL MVP Winner? The winner is determined by a vote from 50 sportswriters, broadcasters, and former players from each of the 32 NFL cities. Additionally, fans can submit votes via an online ballot. The player with the most points wins the award.
Yes, you can place multiple bets on different players for the MVP award, though your potential payout will depend on the odds at the time of your bet and the likelihood of each player's performance.
In the event of a tie, the NFL MVP will typically be awarded to multiple players, although this has only happened a few times in league history. Betting sites usually clarify the rules for tied outcomes in their terms and conditions.
A longshot MVP bet is a wager on a player who is considered an unlikely winner of the MVP award. These bets often have high odds, which means a larger payout if the player somehow wins.
