With Week 2 approaching, NFL MVP odds have already seen some major movement following Drake Maye's three-interception disaster in New England's season opener.
Meanwhile, Josh Allen sits atop the board after an electric performance in Houston, while Caleb Williams continues to ascend after Chicago's historic showing against Carolina.
Here are the latest NFL odds surrounding the prestigious award, as fans continue to make their NFL picks.
- Key Takeaways:
- Drake Maybe Not?
- We're living here in Allentown
- Williams shines in Bears' rout
NFL MVP odds
| Name |  Probability |
|---|---|
 Josh Allen |
17% |
 Caleb Williams |
12% |
 Lamar Jackson |
12% |
 Joe Burrow |
7% |
 Brock Purdy |
7% |
 Dak Prescott |
7% |
 Patrick Mahomes |
5% |
 Drake Maye |
5% |
 Jalen Hurts |
4% |
 Jordan Love |
4% |
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi.
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NFL MVP favorites
Drake Maye was an unmitigated disaster during last week's Super Bowl rematch, with the New England Patriots quarterback completing just 23 of 40 passes for 178 yards and turning the ball over three times in Seattle, including a costly game-sealing interception in the final moments of the fourth quarter.
JOSH JOBE TOE TAP INT
— NFL (@NFL) September 10, 2026
NEvsSEA on NBC/Peacock
Stream on @NFLPlus pic.twitter.com/MrmQx0a3fo
While Maye has seen his odds at Kalshi shrink to 5%, Josh Allen is right at the top of things following a phenomenal Week 1 performance (especially for fantasy owners), airing it out for 334 yards and two touchdowns while adding two rushing scores.
Meanwhile, Caleb Williams has risen to 12% after being front and center in Chicago's 59-37 win over Carolina, throwing for 269 yards and two TDs while, like Allen, finding paydirt twice himself.
Williams is now even with Lamar Jackson, who just beat the brakes off the Colts, highlighted by an incredible scramble on third-and-16.
NFL MVP prediction
Maye made an MVP push thanks to a weak 2025 schedule. Burrow follows that same smooth path in 2026, but is a far more talented QB. If Cincy makes good on the oddsmakers’ expectations and wins 11+ games, Burrow is your MVP.
Pick: Joe Burrow (10%)
Pick made by Jason Logan on August 25.
NFL MVP winners by position
| Position | NFL MVP Awards |
|---|---|
| Quarterback | 49 |
| Running back | 13 |
| Fullback | 4 |
| Halfback | 1 |
| Kicker | 1 |
| Defensive tackle | 1 |
| Linebacker | 1 |
Offensive players have dominated the NFL MVP Award since its inception. Alan Page (1971) and Lawrence Taylor (1986) are the only defensive players to receive the honor since 1957.
NFL MVP winners by team
| Team | NFL MVP Awards |
|---|---|
 Green Bay Packers |
10 |
 Indianapolis Colts |
8 |
 San Francisco 49ers |
5 |
 Cleveland Browns |
4 |
 Los Angeles Rams |
5 |
 Las Vegas Raiders |
4 |
 New England Patriots |
3 |
 Washington Commanders |
3 |
 Kansas City Chiefs |
3 |
 Buffalo Bills |
3 |
The rest of the league has a way to go before catching up with the Packers. Green Bay's 10 NFL MVP trophies are split among Paul Hornung (1961), Jim Taylor (1962), Bart Starr (1966), Brett Favre (1995, 1996, 1997), and Aaron Rodgers (2011, 2014, 2020, 2021).
Former NFL MVP winners
| Player | Year | Opening Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Matthew Stafford |
2025 | +5000 |
| Josh Allen |
2024 | +850 |
 Lamar Jackson |
2023 | +1600 |
| Patrick Mahomes |
2022 | +700 |
| Aaron Rodgers |
2021 | +800 |
| Aaron Rodgers |
2020 | +3000 |
| Lamar Jackson |
2019 | +4000 |
| Patrick Mahomes |
2018 | +3525 |
| Tom Brady |
2017 | +385 |
 Matt Ryan |
2016 | +7500 |
 Cam Newton |
2015 | +5200 |
Listed above are the last 10 winners of the NFL MVP award, with Aaron Rodgers claiming three of them while on the Green Bay Packers.
NFL MVP Odds FAQs
Josh Allen is the current NFL MVP favorite.
Matthew Stafford won the NFL MVP award last year after leading the Los Angeles Rams to the NFC Championship Game.
Running back Adrian Peterson won the NFL MVP award in 2012 as a member of the Minnesota Vikings.
While it's rare, a defensive player can win the MVP. The most famous example is linebacker Lawrence Taylor, who won in 1986. However, offensive players, particularly quarterbacks, typically dominate the award.
Who Decides the NFL MVP Winner? The winner is determined by a vote from 50 sportswriters, broadcasters, and former players from each of the 32 NFL cities. Additionally, fans can submit votes via an online ballot. The player with the most points wins the award.
Yes, you can place multiple bets on different players for the MVP award, though your potential payout will depend on the odds at the time of your bet and the likelihood of each player's performance.
In the event of a tie, the NFL MVP will typically be awarded to multiple players, although this has only happened a few times in league history. Betting sites usually clarify the rules for tied outcomes in their terms and conditions.
A longshot MVP bet is a wager on a player who is considered an unlikely winner of the MVP award. These bets often have high odds, which means a larger payout if the player somehow wins.
