NFL MVP Odds: Stafford Favored at -750 Following Finalists Announcement

The NFL MVP odds strongly suggest that Matthew Stafford will win this prestigious honor for the first time over Drake Maye and three other finalists.

Robert Criscola - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Robert Criscola • Betting Analyst
Jan 22, 2026 • 12:36 ET • 4 min read
NFL MVP odds Matthew Stafford
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Los Angeles Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford (9) throws a pass.

The NFL MVP odds saw a back-and-forth between Matthew Stafford and Drake Maye down the stretch of the regular season. When the music stopped, Stafford was the -175 favorite.

It's been all Stafford since, as his price was slashed to -450 following his being named to the All-Pro First Team. He's taken another hit to -750 with the five finalists for NFL MVP being announced, with Drake Maye rising to +600.

Here are the latest NFL odds surrounding the prestigious award.

NFL MVP odds

Here is a look at updated NFL MVP odds. Matthew Stafford (-750) is the betting favorite.

Player FanDuel
Texans Matthew Stafford -750
Texans Drake Maye +600
Jaguars Trevor Lawrence +50000
Bills Josh Allen +50000
49ers Christian McCaffrey +50000

Odds as of 1-22.

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NFL MVP opening odds

Here is a look at NFL MVP opening odds. Lamar Jackson (+550) and Josh Allen (+550) opened as the betting favorites. 

  • Lamar Jackson (+550)
  • Josh Allen (+550)
  • Joe Burrow (+650)
  • Patrick Mahomes (+750)
  • Jayden Daniels (+900)
  • Jalen Hurts (+1700)
  • Justin Herbert (+1800)
  • Jordan Love (+220)
  • CJ Stroud (+2500)
  • Baker Mayfield (+2500)
  • Caleb Williams (+2800)
  • Kyler Murray (+2800)
  • Jared Goff (+3000)
  • Dak Prescott (+3500)
  • Brock Purdy (+3500)
  • Bo Nix (+3500)
  • Drake Maye (+4500)
  • Trevor Lawrence (+4500)

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NFL MVP winners by position

Position NFL MVP Awards
Quarterback 48
Running back 13
Fullback 4
Halfback 1
Kicker 1
Defensive tackle 1
Linebacker 1

Offensive players have dominated the NFL MVP Award since its inception. Alan Page (1971) and Lawrence Taylor (1986) are the only defensive players to receive the honor since 1957.

NFL MVP winners by team

Team NFL MVP Awards
Packers Green Bay Packers 10
Colts Indianapolis Colts 8
49ers San Francisco 49ers 5
Browns Cleveland Browns 4
Rams Los Angeles Rams 4
Raiders Las Vegas Raiders 4
Patriots New England Patriots 3
Commanders Washington Commanders 3
Chiefs Kansas City Chiefs 3
Bills Buffalo Bills 3

The rest of the league has a way to go before catching up with the Packers. Green Bay's 10 NFL MVP trophies are split among Paul Hornung (1961), Jim Taylor (1962), Bart Starr (1966), Brett Favre (1995, 1996, 1997), and Aaron Rodgers (2011, 2014, 2020, 2021).

Former NFL MVP winners

Player Year Opening Odds
Bills Josh Allen 2024 +850
Ravens Lamar Jackson 2023 +1600
Chiefs Patrick Mahomes 2022 +700
Jets Aaron Rodgers 2021 +800
Jets Aaron Rodgers 2020 +3000
Ravens Lamar Jackson 2019 +4000
Chiefs Patrick Mahomes 2018 +3525
Dolphins Tom Brady 2017 +385
Cowboys Matt Ryan 2016 +7500
Cowboys Cam Newton 2015 +5200

Listed above are the last 10 winners of the NFL MVP award, with Aaron Rodgers claiming three of them while on the Green Bay Packers.

NFL MVP Odds FAQs

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Robert Criscola - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Robert M. Criscola’s road to becoming a Covers publishing editor began with an internship at Metro New York, which eventually turned into a freelance job at MetroBet covering many sports from a wagering angle, including horse racing. He continued to focus on “The Sport of Kings” by writing for shapperdacapper.com, danonymousracing.com, and informer.fanxt.com before joining the team at the TwinSpires Edge in 2019 as a regular contributor and weekend editor. “Crisco” began writing game previews for Covers in 2022 and joined the editing team in 2023.

His best advice for sports bettors? Bet with your head, not over it.

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