NFL MVP Odds & Prediction: Josh Allen Favored to Win Second MVP Award

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst 16+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 24, 2026 , 03:16 PM ET • 4 min read

Josh Allen opened with the shortest odds to win the NFL MVP award, but Neil Parker is eyeing a dark horse candidate in the NFC South.

Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen (17) drops to throw during the fourth quarter of an AFC Divisional Round playoff game against the Denver Broncos at Empower Field at Mile High.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen (17) drops to throw during the fourth quarter of an AFC Divisional Round playoff game against the Denver Broncos at Empower Field at Mile High.

With the NFL Draft underway, marking the unofficial start of the season, sportsbooks are already shaping the 2027 NFL MVP odds.

Familiar names sit at the top of the board, with Josh Allen leading the way, followed by Lamar Jackson and rising star Drake Maye. As rosters take shape and new pieces come in, this market will start to move quickly.

Here are the latest NFL odds surrounding the prestigious award.

NFL MVP odds

Here is a look at updated NFL MVP odds. Josh Allen (+600) is the betting favorite.

Player FanDuel
Bills Josh Allen +600
Ravens Lamar Jackson +750
Texans Drake Maye +850
Bengals Joe Burrow +1000
Chargers Justin Herbert +1100
Chiefs Patrick Mahomes +1100
Cowboys Dak Prescott +1300
Texans Matthew Stafford +1400
Packers Jordan Love +1500
Jaguars Trevor Lawrence +1600

Odds as of 4-24, courtesy of FanDuel, one of our best betting sites. Sign up with our FanDuel promo code, or get one of our other sportsbook promos.

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NFL MVP opening odds

Here is a look at NFL MVP opening odds. Josh Allen (+600) opened as the betting favorite. 

  • Josh Allen (+600)
  • Lamar Jackson (+750)
  • Drake Maye (+850)
  • Joe Burrow (+1000)
  • Justin Herbert (+1100)
  • Patrick Mahomes (+1100)
  • Dak Prescott (+1300)
  • Matthew Stafford (+1400)
  • Jordan Love (+1500)
  • Trevor Lawrence (+1600)
  • Caleb Williams (+1600)
  • Brock Purdy (+2000)
  • Jayden Daniels (+2000)
  • Sam Darnold (+2700)
  • Jalen Hurts (+3500)
  • Bo Nix (+3500)
  • Jared Goff (+4000)
  • C.J. Stroud (+5500)
  • Baker Mayfield (+6000)
  • Jaxson Dart (+7000)
  • Cam Ward (+8000)
  • Daniel Jones (+8000)
  • Fernando Mendoza (+15000)
  • Jeremiyah Love (+50000)

NFL MVP prediction

At this stage of the NFL offseason, I often prefer to look to longshot territory and plant an early flag with my futures bets. Carolina Panthers quarterback Bryce Young could generate NFL MVP buzz with improved play and another playoff appearance.

Panthers general manager Dan Morgan is hoping to attract impact free agents, and Carolina has seven picks in the 2026 NFL Draft to retool the roster.

So, if the defense takes a step forward alongside the Young-Tetairoa McMillan connection continuing to show off, I think enough boxes can be checked for the fourth-year quarterback to enter the MVP conversation.

Pick: Bryce Young (+12500 at FanDuel)
Stake: 0.2 units

NFL MVP longshots to watch: Fernando Mendoza & Jeremiyah Love

Fernando Mendoza

The newest No. 1 overall pick has hit the board at +15000 to win MVP in his rookie season; a number that sounds big, but probably still isn’t big enough.

The reality is simple: it almost never happens. Only one rookie in NFL history has won MVP (Jim Brown in 1957), and Fernando Mendoza now lands with a Las Vegas Raiders team that still has major holes.

He has the tools — size, arm talent, mobility — to put together a strong rookie year. But asking him to elevate a roster like this into MVP territory is a completely different conversation. This price should be longer.

Jeremiyah Love

Jeremiyah Love is listed at +50000 to win MVP, and even that feels generous given the position he plays.

The former Notre Dame standout was taken third overall by the Arizona Cardinals and is already owed over $50 million in guaranteed money before taking a snap.

However, an MVP season is far from guaranteed. He steps into a crowded backfield and, more importantly, into a team that isn’t built to contend right now. MVP is a quarterback-driven award tied to wins, and in a loaded NFC West, Arizona faces an uphill climb.

Even with a heavy workload, Love would need a historic, outlier season to even enter the conversation.


NFL MVP winners by position

Position NFL MVP Awards
Quarterback 49
Running back 13
Fullback 4
Halfback 1
Kicker 1
Defensive tackle 1
Linebacker 1

Offensive players have dominated the NFL MVP Award since its inception. Alan Page (1971) and Lawrence Taylor (1986) are the only defensive players to receive the honor since 1957.

NFL MVP winners by team

Team NFL MVP Awards
Packers Green Bay Packers 10
Colts Indianapolis Colts 8
49ers San Francisco 49ers 5
Browns Cleveland Browns 4
Rams Los Angeles Rams 5
Raiders Las Vegas Raiders 4
Patriots New England Patriots 3
Commanders Washington Commanders 3
Chiefs Kansas City Chiefs 3
Bills Buffalo Bills 3

The rest of the league has a way to go before catching up with the Packers. Green Bay's 10 NFL MVP trophies are split among Paul Hornung (1961), Jim Taylor (1962), Bart Starr (1966), Brett Favre (1995, 1996, 1997), and Aaron Rodgers (2011, 2014, 2020, 2021).

Former NFL MVP winners

Player Year Opening Odds
Rams Matthew Stafford 2025 +5000
Bills Josh Allen 2024 +850
Ravens Lamar Jackson 2023 +1600
Chiefs Patrick Mahomes 2022 +700
Jets Aaron Rodgers 2021 +800
Jets Aaron Rodgers 2020 +3000
Ravens Lamar Jackson 2019 +4000
Chiefs Patrick Mahomes 2018 +3525
Dolphins Tom Brady 2017 +385
Cowboys Matt Ryan 2016 +7500
Cowboys Cam Newton 2015 +5200

Listed above are the last 10 winners of the NFL MVP award, with Aaron Rodgers claiming three of them while on the Green Bay Packers.

NFL MVP Odds FAQs

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Neil Parker - Covers
Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs at some of the top websites in the industry.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

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