The NFL MVP odds race is quickly becoming a two-man race between Brock Purdy and Josh Allen.
Purdy (29%) remains ahead of Allen (25%), but one slip-up from either QB could open the door for Patrick Mahomes to break into the Top 2.
Here are the latest NFL odds surrounding the prestigious award, as fans continue to make their NFL picks.
- Key Takeaways:
- Feeling Purdy good
- Allen bounces back
- Mahomes mighty once more
NFL MVP odds
| Name |  Probability |
|---|---|
 Brock Purdy |
29% |
 Josh Allen |
25% |
 Patrick Mahomes |
11% |
 Joe Burrow |
7% |
 Lamar Jackson |
7% |
 Drake Maye |
6% |
 Trevor Lawrence |
6% |
 Jared Goff |
4% |
 Bijan Robinson |
2% |
| Jahmyr Gibbs |
2% |
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi.
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NFL MVP favorites
Brock Purdy saw his NFL MVP odds rise from 20% to 29% after the 49ers' fifth straight win, but Josh Allen's MNF heroics kept the Buffalo QB within swinging distance.
If Allen and the Bills had lost to the Rams and fell to 3-2, he might have fallen out of the Top 3. But as Kanye once said "I guess we'll never know."
Speaking of the Top 3, Mahomes remains there at 11% following the Chiefs bye week, while Joe Burrow moved from 6% to 7% after a win in Miami.
NFL MVP prediction
Maye made an MVP push thanks to a weak 2025 schedule. Burrow follows that same smooth path in 2026, but is a far more talented QB. If Cincy makes good on the oddsmakers’ expectations and wins 11+ games, Burrow is your MVP.
Pick: Joe Burrow (10%)
Pick made by Jason Logan on Aug. 25.
NFL MVP winners by position
| Position | NFL MVP Awards |
|---|---|
| Quarterback | 49 |
| Running back | 13 |
| Fullback | 4 |
| Halfback | 1 |
| Kicker | 1 |
| Defensive tackle | 1 |
| Linebacker | 1 |
Offensive players have dominated the NFL MVP Award since its inception. Alan Page (1971) and Lawrence Taylor (1986) are the only defensive players to receive the honor since 1957.
NFL MVP winners by team
| Team | NFL MVP Awards |
|---|---|
 Green Bay Packers |
10 |
 Indianapolis Colts |
8 |
 San Francisco 49ers |
5 |
 Cleveland Browns |
4 |
 Los Angeles Rams |
5 |
 Las Vegas Raiders |
4 |
 New England Patriots |
3 |
 Washington Commanders |
3 |
 Kansas City Chiefs |
3 |
 Buffalo Bills |
3 |
The rest of the league has a way to go before catching up with the Packers. Green Bay's 10 NFL MVP trophies are split among Paul Hornung (1961), Jim Taylor (1962), Bart Starr (1966), Brett Favre (1995, 1996, 1997), and Aaron Rodgers (2011, 2014, 2020, 2021).
Former NFL MVP winners
Odds courtesy of SportsOddsHistory.
| Player | Year | Opening Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Matthew Stafford |
2025 | +5000 |
| Josh Allen |
2024 | +850 |
 Lamar Jackson |
2023 | +1600 |
| Patrick Mahomes |
2022 | +700 |
| Aaron Rodgers |
2021 | +800 |
| Aaron Rodgers |
2020 | +3000 |
| Lamar Jackson |
2019 | +4000 |
| Patrick Mahomes |
2018 | +3525 |
| Tom Brady |
2017 | +385 |
 Matt Ryan |
2016 | +7500 |
 Cam Newton |
2015 | +5200 |
Listed above are the last 10 winners of the NFL MVP award, with Aaron Rodgers claiming three of them while on the Green Bay Packers.
NFL MVP Odds FAQs
Brock Purdy is the current NFL MVP favorite.
Matthew Stafford won the NFL MVP award last year after leading the Los Angeles Rams to the NFC Championship Game.
Running back Adrian Peterson won the NFL MVP award in 2012 as a member of the Minnesota Vikings.
While it's rare, a defensive player can win the MVP. The most famous example is linebacker Lawrence Taylor, who won in 1986. However, offensive players, particularly quarterbacks, typically dominate the award.
Who Decides the NFL MVP Winner? The winner is determined by a vote from 50 sportswriters, broadcasters, and former players from each of the 32 NFL cities. Additionally, fans can submit votes via an online ballot. The player with the most points wins the award.
Yes, you can place multiple trades on different players for the MVP award, though your potential payout will depend on the odds at the time of your bet and the likelihood of each player's performance.
In the event of a tie, the NFL MVP will typically be awarded to multiple players, although this has only happened a few times in league history. Betting sites usually clarify the rules for tied outcomes in their terms and conditions.
A longshot MVP trad is a wager on a player who is considered an unlikely winner of the MVP award. These bets often have high odds, which means a larger payout if the player somehow wins.
