Dolphins @ Steelers Picks & Props

The Steelers offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.. This year, the poor Dolphins pass defense has been gouged for a whopping 79.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 3rd-largest rate in football.

The Steelers offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.. This year, the poor Dolphins pass defense has been gouged for a whopping 79.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 3rd-largest rate in football.

A rushing game script is implied by the Steelers being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 58.4% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by our trusted projection set to have only 125.8 offensive plays run: the lowest number out of all the games this week.. The smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a mere 50.8 per game on average).. Opposing offenses have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game against the Dolphins defense this year: fewest in football.

The projections expect the Dolphins to be the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 57.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to see just 125.8 plays on offense called: the lowest number out of all the games this week.. The Dolphins have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 52.4 plays per game.. As it relates to pass-blocking (and the impact it has on all passing game metrics), the offensive line of the Dolphins grades out as the worst in football this year.. De'Von Achane's 74.6% Adjusted Catch% this season conveys a remarkable regression in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 92.3% mark.

A rushing game script is implied by the Steelers being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 58.4% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by our trusted projection set to have only 125.8 offensive plays run: the lowest number out of all the games this week.. The smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a mere 50.8 per game on average).. Opposing offenses have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game against the Dolphins defense this year: fewest in football.

A passing game script is implied by the Dolphins being a -3-point underdog in this game.. Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in football.. Darren Waller's 31.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 83rd percentile for TEs.. This year, the feeble Steelers pass defense has been gouged for a colossal 80.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the largest rate in football.. When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Pittsburgh's unit has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the worst in the league.

A passing game script is implied by the Dolphins being a -3-point underdog in this game.. Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in football.. In this game, Jaylen Waddle is expected by the predictive model to slot into the 93rd percentile when it comes to WRs with 8.5 targets.. Jaylen Waddle's 65.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 43.8.. Jaylen Waddle checks in as one of the top wide receivers in the league this year, averaging a remarkable 4.1 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 85th percentile.

A rushing game script is implied by the Steelers being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 58.4% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by our trusted projection set to have only 125.8 offensive plays run: the lowest number out of all the games this week.. The smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a mere 50.8 per game on average).. Opposing offenses have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game against the Dolphins defense this year: fewest in football.

The projections expect the Dolphins to be the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 57.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to see just 125.8 plays on offense called: the lowest number out of all the games this week.. The Dolphins have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 52.4 plays per game.. The model projects Tua Tagovailoa to attempt 33.3 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the fewest out of all quarterbacks.. Tua Tagovailoa's 66.6% Adjusted Completion% this season represents a remarkable regression in his throwing accuracy over last season's 73.5% mark.

A passing game script is implied by the Dolphins being a -3-point underdog in this game.. Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in football.

A rushing game script is implied by the Steelers being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 58.4% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by our trusted projection set to have only 125.8 offensive plays run: the lowest number out of all the games this week.. The smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a mere 50.8 per game on average).. Opposing offenses have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game against the Dolphins defense this year: fewest in football.

A passing game script is implied by the Dolphins being a -3-point underdog in this game.. Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in football.

A passing game script is implied by the Dolphins being a -3-point underdog in this game.. Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in football.. Opposing offenses have thrown for the most adjusted yards in football (259.0 per game) against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year.

The Steelers offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.. Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the highest level in the NFL against the Miami Dolphins defense this year (74.4% Adjusted Completion%).

The projections expect the Dolphins to be the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 57.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to see just 125.8 plays on offense called: the lowest number out of all the games this week.. The Dolphins have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 52.4 plays per game.. The model projects Tua Tagovailoa to attempt 33.3 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the fewest out of all quarterbacks.. As it relates to pass-blocking (and the impact it has on all passing game metrics), the offensive line of the Dolphins grades out as the worst in football this year.

A rushing game script is implied by the Steelers being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 58.4% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by our trusted projection set to have only 125.8 offensive plays run: the lowest number out of all the games this week.. The smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a mere 50.8 per game on average).. Opposing offenses have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game against the Dolphins defense this year: fewest in football.

The Steelers offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.. The Dolphins defense has surrendered the most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (63.0) vs. tight ends this year.. This year, the poor Dolphins pass defense has been gouged for a whopping 79.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 3rd-largest rate in football.

The Steelers offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.. The Dolphins defense has surrendered the most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (63.0) vs. tight ends this year.. This year, the poor Dolphins pass defense has been gouged for a whopping 79.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 3rd-largest rate in football.

In this contest, Jaylen Warren is expected by the model to position himself in the 80th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.2 targets.. Jaylen Warren has been a big part of his team's offense, garnering a Target Share of 9.3% this year, which puts him in the 79th percentile among RBs.. The Steelers offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.. Jaylen Warren profiles as one of the top pass-game running backs this year, averaging an excellent 19.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 84th percentile.. Jaylen Warren's 94.2% Adjusted Completion Rate this season represents a material progression in his receiving proficiency over last season's 89.5% figure.

A passing game script is implied by the Dolphins being a -3-point underdog in this game.. Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in football.. De'Von Achane's 74.2% Route Participation% this year signifies a meaningful progression in his passing game usage over last year's 61.2% figure.. The leading projections forecast De'Von Achane to total 6.4 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 97th percentile among RBs.. De'Von Achane has compiled a staggering 3.0 air yards per game this year: 92nd percentile among RBs. (This might not seem too impressive, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

With an impressive 93.0% Route Participation Rate (92nd percentile) this year, DK Metcalf rates among the wideouts with the highest volume in the league.. The predictive model expects DK Metcalf to earn 7.8 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 88th percentile among wide receivers.. The Steelers offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.. The Miami Dolphins pass defense has allowed the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (66.6%) vs. wide receivers this year (66.6%).

A passing game script is implied by the Dolphins being a -3-point underdog in this game.. Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in football.. When talking about air yards, Darren Waller grades out in the towering 88th percentile among tight ends this year, totaling a staggering 40.0 per game.. Darren Waller's 31.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 83rd percentile for TEs.. With a stellar 37.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (79th percentile) this year, Darren Waller has been among the best pass-game tight ends in the league.

A passing game script is implied by the Dolphins being a -3-point underdog in this game.. Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in football.. In this game, Jaylen Waddle is expected by the predictive model to slot into the 93rd percentile when it comes to WRs with 8.5 targets.. After accumulating 56.0 air yards per game last season, Jaylen Waddle has shown good development this season, currently sitting at 84.0 per game.. Jaylen Waddle's 65.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 43.8.

A rushing game script is implied by the Steelers being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.. Opposing teams have rushed for the most adjusted yards in the NFL (134 per game) against the Miami Dolphins defense this year.

A rushing game script is implied by the Steelers being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.. In this week's contest, Jaylen Warren is projected by the predictive model to position himself in the 83rd percentile when it comes to RBs with 15.5 carries.. Jaylen Warren has been a more integral piece of his offense's rushing attack this season (62.4% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (25.6%).. Jaylen Warren has rushed for substantially more adjusted yards per game (50.0) this season than he did last season (33.0).. Opposing teams have rushed for the most adjusted yards in the NFL (134 per game) against the Miami Dolphins defense this year.

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A rushing game script is implied by the Steelers being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.. In this week's contest, Jaylen Warren is projected by the predictive model to position himself in the 83rd percentile when it comes to RBs with 15.5 carries.. Jaylen Warren has been a more integral piece of his offense's rushing attack this season (62.4% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (25.6%).

A passing game script is implied by the Dolphins being a -3-point underdog in this game.. Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins to run on 42.5% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest rate among all teams this week.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to see just 125.8 plays on offense called: the lowest number out of all the games this week.. The Dolphins have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 52.4 plays per game.. The Pittsburgh defensive ends project as the 2nd-best DE corps in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

A passing game script is implied by the Dolphins being a -3-point underdog in this game.. Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins to run on 42.5% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest rate among all teams this week.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to see just 125.8 plays on offense called: the lowest number out of all the games this week.. The Dolphins have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 52.4 plays per game.. The Pittsburgh defensive ends project as the 2nd-best DE corps in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Pittsburgh Steelers to run on 41.6% of their downs: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by our trusted projection set to have only 125.8 offensive plays run: the lowest number out of all the games this week.. The smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a mere 50.8 per game on average).. This week, Aaron Rodgers is predicted by the projection model to garner the fewest carries among all QBs with 1.6. . Taking on just 3.7% of his team's run game usage this year (12th percentile among QBs), Aaron Rodgers's immobility makes him no threat on the ground.

A passing game script is implied by the Dolphins being a -3-point underdog in this game.. Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins to run on 42.5% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest rate among all teams this week.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to see just 125.8 plays on offense called: the lowest number out of all the games this week.. The Dolphins have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 52.4 plays per game.. The projections expect Tua Tagovailoa to accumulate 1.8 carries in this game, on balance: the 3rd-fewest out of all quarterbacks.