Dolphins @ Steelers Picks & Props

The Steelers offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing attack statistics across the board. Jaylen Warren's 94.2% Adjusted Completion Rate this season represents a material progression in his receiving proficiency over last season's 89.5% figure. Jaylen Warren grades out in the 88th percentile among RBs when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging a fantastic 0.15 per game. The Miami Dolphins pass defense has been torched for the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (89.3%) vs. RBs this year (89.3%). The Miami Dolphins linebackers rank as the 6th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

The Steelers offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing attack statistics across the board. Pat Freiermuth ranks in the 82nd percentile among tight ends as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a stellar 0.33 per game. Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the highest level in the NFL against the Miami Dolphins defense this year (74.4% Adjusted Completion%). This year, the poor Dolphins defense has allowed a massive 0.54 receiving TDs per game to opposing TEs: the 3rd-worst rate in football. The Miami Dolphins linebackers rank as the 6th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

A passing game script is implied by the Dolphins being a -3-point underdog in this game. Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in football. With an extraordinary 23.4% Red Zone Target% (92nd percentile) this year, Jaylen Waddle has been among the wideouts with the biggest workloads near the goal line in the league. After accumulating 56.0 air yards per game last season, Jaylen Waddle has shown good development this season, currently sitting at 84.0 per game. Jaylen Waddle's 65.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 43.8.

The Steelers offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing attack statistics across the board. Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the highest level in the NFL against the Miami Dolphins defense this year (74.4% Adjusted Completion%). This year, the poor Dolphins defense has allowed a massive 0.54 receiving TDs per game to opposing TEs: the 3rd-worst rate in football. The Miami Dolphins linebackers rank as the 6th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

DK Metcalf's 65.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) ranks among the best in the league: 91st percentile for WRs. The Steelers offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing attack statistics across the board. DK Metcalf ranks in the 82nd percentile among WRs as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging an exceptional 0.36 per game. Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the highest level in the NFL against the Miami Dolphins defense this year (74.4% Adjusted Completion%). This year, the tough Miami Dolphins run defense has given up a feeble 0.77 TDs on the ground per game to opposing teams: the 10th-lowest rate in football.

A passing game script is implied by the Dolphins being a -3-point underdog in this game. Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in football. With an exceptional 20.4% Red Zone Target Rate (97th percentile) this year, De'Von Achane stands as one of the RB receiving threats with the biggest workloads near the goal line in the NFL. De'Von Achane has compiled a staggering 3.0 air yards per game this year: 92nd percentile among RBs. (This might not seem too impressive, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage). De'Von Achane's 33.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 22.4.

A passing game script is implied by the Dolphins being a -3-point underdog in this game. Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in football. When talking about air yards, Darren Waller grades out in the towering 88th percentile among tight ends this year, totaling a staggering 40.0 per game. Darren Waller's 31.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 83rd percentile for TEs. Darren Waller ranks in the 100th percentile among tight ends when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a fantastic 0.80 per game.