NE 2.5 o49.5
DET -2.5 u49.5
KC -3.5 o47.0
ATL 3.5 u47.0
BUF -7.5 o51.0
NYJ 7.5 u51.0
MIA 4.5 o37.5
IND -4.5 u37.5
MIN 2.5 o42.0
GB -2.5 u42.0
CAR 1.5 o49.0
NO -1.5 u49.0
JAC -10.5 o46.5
TEN 10.5 u46.5
HOU -4.5 o40.5
CLE 4.5 u40.5
SEA -6.5 o40.5
LV 6.5 u40.5
LA -9.5 o39.0
ARI 9.5 u39.0
SF -3.5 o55.5
DAL 3.5 u55.5
PIT 3.5 o49.0
CIN -3.5 u49.0
LAC 4.5 o39.0
BAL -4.5 u39.0
Final Nov 12
WAS 24 1.5 o40.5
NYG 21 -1.5 u40.5
Houston 2nd AFC South3-5
Cleveland 3rd AFC North5-4

Texans vs Browns   Picks & Props

HOU vs CLE Picks

NFL Picks
Spread
Houston Texans image thumbnail HOU -4.5 (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
Dustin Saracini logo
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst

I don't trust Deshaun Watson with the ball against this defense whatsoever, and with CJ Stroud balling and coming off the best game of his season (384 yards, five touchdowns), I'll comfortably ride with the Houston Texans. Quietly, this Texans offense is third in the NFL in passing yards per game (269) and has paired a potent offense with a serviceable defense this year. Meanwhile, the Cleveland Browns are the 24th-ranked offense in football. Houston should have no problem covering this.

Spread
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail CLE +4.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 days ago
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

The Browns are an elite pass defense, according to the holy trinity of advanced analytics. They’re No. 9 in EPA allowed per dropback and Pass Defense DVOA, while allowing the sixth lowest success rate per passing play to opponents. Houston Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud takes a crack at Cleveland’s air defenses in Week 10. He’s having a massive year so far, but his stats have been puffed up by piss-poor passing defenses and a cozy schedule. His career passer rating drops to 87.5 outside versus 98.8 in controlled climates, with his yards per attempt shrinking from 7.98 indoors to 6.68 outdoors.

Anytime Touchdown
Tank Dell logo Tank Dell Score a Touchdown (Yes: +355)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 days ago
Josh Inglis logo
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

Tank Dell is coming off a team-high nine targets on just a 55% route share last week, and head coach DeMeco Ryans is suggesting we should see more of him going forward. This offense is healthy and dangerous against a Cleveland defense that has allowed 23+ points in three straight weeks to struggling offenses in Tennessee, Pittsburgh, and New Orleans. I got Dell at 4.55x and would confidently play him down to 4x.

Anytime Touchdown
Nico Collins logo Nico Collins Score a Touchdown (Yes: +165)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
Dustin Saracini logo
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst

Nico Collins is an absolute nightmare to deal with, and Cleveland's middling secondary is going to have its issues. Collins has four touchdowns in six games this season, and with Stroud coming off a five-touchdown clinic, that connection is looking as dangerous as ever. Give Collins an inch in the red zone, and he'll make you pay. Despite missing time, Collins is still 10th in the NFL with 10 red-zone targets, let's see some volume inside the 20 here.

Passing Yards
C.J. Stroud logo C.J. Stroud o242.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
Dustin Saracini logo
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst

Stroud has gone over this number in six of eight games, and has silently been incredible - throwing 16 touchdowns against two interceptions. What does that mean? My man is dialed in this year. Houston is doing a great job keeping their quarterback upright, too, allowing just two sacks per game. A comfortable pocket means a comfortable Stroud, and that's a scary sight for Cleveland.

3 LEG PARLAY
C.J. Stroud profile picture
C.J. Stroud o243.5 Passing Yards
Passing Yards
Houston Texans image thumbnail
HOU -4.5
Spread
Deshaun Watson profile picture
Deshaun Watson u201.5 Passing Yards
Passing Yards
Bet now
Pick made: 2 days ago
Dustin Saracini logo
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst

Houston's offense is firing; Stroud put on an absolute clinic against the Chargers, and he's in a good spot to do so one more time. The Texans' defense is just as dangerous, piling up eight sacks last week, and now gets a Cleveland offensive line that's already allowed Watson to be taken down 33 times in eight games. With Houston clicking on both sides of the ball and Cleveland struggling to finish drives, this has all the makings of a long afternoon for the Browns.

Passing Yards
C.J. Stroud logo
C.J. Stroud u244.5 Passing Yards (-115) Projection 197.38 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Texans are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.. In regards to pocket protection (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Texans profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year.. This year, the fierce Browns defense has surrendered a meager 67.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 4th-smallest rate in the NFL.. This year, the stout Browns defense has given up the 3rd-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing teams: a meager 3.5 YAC.. The Cleveland Browns cornerbacks profile as the 3rd-best unit in the league this year in pass coverage.
Passing Yards
Deshaun Watson logo
Deshaun Watson u210.5 Passing Yards (-115) Projection 201.40 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 4 out of 5
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 7th-lowest rate in the league against the Texans defense this year (68.0% Adjusted Completion%).
Rushing Yards
C.J. Stroud logo
C.J. Stroud o10.5 Rushing Yards (+115) Projection 15.96 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Texans are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to have 133.5 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.. The Cleveland Browns defense owns the 8th-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, conceding 4.80 adjusted yards-per-carry.
Rushing Yards
Woody Marks logo
Woody Marks o61.5 Rushing Yards (-108) Projection 75.29 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Texans are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to have 133.5 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.. The Cleveland Browns defense owns the 8th-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, conceding 4.80 adjusted yards-per-carry.
Rushing Yards
Quinshon Judkins logo
Quinshon Judkins o44.5 Rushing Yards (-108) Projection 55.78 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Browns are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 67.7 total plays in this game: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.
Rushing Yards
Deshaun Watson logo
Deshaun Watson o25.5 Rushing Yards (+105) Projection 32.01 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Browns are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 67.7 total plays in this game: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.. Our trusted projections expect Deshaun Watson to earn 6.9 carries in this week's contest, on average: the 2nd-most among all QBs.. Comprising 23.0% of his team's rushing play calls this year (100th percentile among QBs), Deshaun Watson's mobility makes him a significant weapon with his legs.. Deshaun Watson checks in as one of the leading quarterbacks in football at grinding out extra running yardage, averaging an outstanding 2.87 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 95th percentile.
Receiving Yards
Quinshon Judkins logo
Quinshon Judkins o4.5 Receiving Yards (-125) Projection 10.12 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
This game's line implies a passing game script for the Browns, who are -4.5-point underdogs.. With a 62.4% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 9th-most pass-centric team in football has been the Cleveland Browns.. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Browns are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 67.7 total plays in this game: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.. In regards to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Browns profiles as the 5th-best in football this year.. The Texans linebackers profile as the 6th-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in defending receivers.
Receiving Yards
Nico Collins logo
Nico Collins u61.5 Receiving Yards (-115) Projection 51.25 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Texans are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.. After averaging 104.0 air yards per game last year, Nico Collins has produced significantly fewer this year, now averaging 78.0 per game.. Nico Collins's 47.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 63.3.. In regards to pocket protection (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Texans profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year.. This year, the tough Browns pass defense has conceded the least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing wide receivers: a measly 2.5 YAC.
Receiving Yards
Harold Fannin Jr. logo
Harold Fannin Jr. o38.5 Receiving Yards (-115) Projection 44.59 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
This game's line implies a passing game script for the Browns, who are -4.5-point underdogs.. With a 62.4% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 9th-most pass-centric team in football has been the Cleveland Browns.. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Browns are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 67.7 total plays in this game: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.. In regards to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Browns profiles as the 5th-best in football this year.. The Texans linebackers profile as the 6th-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in defending receivers.
Receiving Yards
KC Concepcion Jr. logo
KC Concepcion Jr. o45.5 Receiving Yards (-125) Projection 50.41 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 4 out of 5
This game's line implies a passing game script for the Browns, who are -4.5-point underdogs.. With a 62.4% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 9th-most pass-centric team in football has been the Cleveland Browns.. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Browns are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 67.7 total plays in this game: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.. In regards to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Browns profiles as the 5th-best in football this year.. This year, the deficient Texans defense has allowed the 3rd-most yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing WRs: a staggering 4.32 YAC.

HOU vs CLE Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Spread

53% picking Houston

53%
47%

Total Picks HOU 437, CLE 384

Spread
HOU
CLE
Total

49% picking Houston vs Cleveland to go Under

51%
49%

Total PicksHOU 248, CLE 242

Total
Over
Under

HOU vs CLE Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS PROJECTIONS ANALYSIS BEST ODDS
SPREAD
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
CLE +4.5 spread
3.59 PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
7.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars Odds
Best Odds
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
CLE +4.5 spread

PROJECTION

3.59 PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
7.78% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+4.5 -105
Caesars Odds logo
TOTAL
Houston Texans image thumbnail Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
Under 40.0 Total
38.95 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.0 DIFFERENCE
12.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Houston Texans image thumbnail Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
Under 40.0 Total

PROJECTION

38.95 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.0 DIFFERENCE
12.1% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

u40.5 -108
BetRivers logo
PASSING YARDS
C.J. Stroud logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
C. Stroud (QB) u244.5 Passing Yards
197.38 UNDER PROJECTION
-47.1 DIFFERENCE
26.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
C.J. Stroud logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
C. Stroud (QB) u244.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

197.38 UNDER PROJECTION
-47.1 DIFFERENCE
26.53% EV

ANALYSIS

The Texans are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.. In regards to pocket protection (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Texans profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year.. This year, the fierce Browns defense has surrendered a meager 67.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 4th-smallest rate in the NFL.. This year, the stout Browns defense has given up the 3rd-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing teams: a meager 3.5 YAC.. The Cleveland Browns cornerbacks profile as the 3rd-best unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

u246.5 -117
BetRivers logo
PASSING YARDS
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) u210.5 Passing Yards
201.40 UNDER PROJECTION
-9.1 DIFFERENCE
18.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) u210.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

201.40 UNDER PROJECTION
-9.1 DIFFERENCE
18.55% EV

ANALYSIS

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 7th-lowest rate in the league against the Texans defense this year (68.0% Adjusted Completion%).

u210.5 -115
theScore Bet logo
RUSHING YARDS
C.J. Stroud logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
C. Stroud (QB) o10.5 Rushing Yards
15.96 OVER PROJECTION
+5.5 DIFFERENCE
26.9% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
C.J. Stroud logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
C. Stroud (QB) o10.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

15.96 OVER PROJECTION
+5.5 DIFFERENCE
26.9% EV

ANALYSIS

The Texans are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to have 133.5 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.. The Cleveland Browns defense owns the 8th-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, conceding 4.80 adjusted yards-per-carry.

o8.5 -113
FanDuel logo
RUSHING YARDS
Woody Marks logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
W. Marks (RB) o61.5 Rushing Yards
75.29 OVER PROJECTION
+13.8 DIFFERENCE
26.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Woody Marks logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
W. Marks (RB) o61.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

75.29 OVER PROJECTION
+13.8 DIFFERENCE
26.07% EV

ANALYSIS

The Texans are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to have 133.5 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.. The Cleveland Browns defense owns the 8th-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, conceding 4.80 adjusted yards-per-carry.

o59.5 -115
Hard Rock Bet logo
RUSHING YARDS
Quinshon Judkins logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
Q. Judkins (RB) o44.5 Rushing Yards
55.78 OVER PROJECTION
+11.3 DIFFERENCE
25.99% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Quinshon Judkins logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
Q. Judkins (RB) o44.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

55.78 OVER PROJECTION
+11.3 DIFFERENCE
25.99% EV

ANALYSIS

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Browns are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 67.7 total plays in this game: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.

o41.5 -120
BetMGM logo
RUSHING YARDS
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) o25.5 Rushing Yards
32.01 OVER PROJECTION
+6.5 DIFFERENCE
25.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) o25.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

32.01 OVER PROJECTION
+6.5 DIFFERENCE
25.25% EV

ANALYSIS

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Browns are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 67.7 total plays in this game: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.. Our trusted projections expect Deshaun Watson to earn 6.9 carries in this week's contest, on average: the 2nd-most among all QBs.. Comprising 23.0% of his team's rushing play calls this year (100th percentile among QBs), Deshaun Watson's mobility makes him a significant weapon with his legs.. Deshaun Watson checks in as one of the leading quarterbacks in football at grinding out extra running yardage, averaging an outstanding 2.87 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 95th percentile.

o22.5 -112
DraftKings logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Quinshon Judkins logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
Q. Judkins (RB) o4.5 Receiving Yards
10.12 OVER PROJECTION
+5.6 DIFFERENCE
25.85% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Quinshon Judkins logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
Q. Judkins (RB) o4.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

10.12 OVER PROJECTION
+5.6 DIFFERENCE
25.85% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Browns, who are -4.5-point underdogs.. With a 62.4% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 9th-most pass-centric team in football has been the Cleveland Browns.. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Browns are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 67.7 total plays in this game: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.. In regards to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Browns profiles as the 5th-best in football this year.. The Texans linebackers profile as the 6th-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

o4.5 -125
BetRivers logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Nico Collins logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
N. Collins (WR) u61.5 Receiving Yards
51.25 UNDER PROJECTION
-10.3 DIFFERENCE
24.91% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Nico Collins logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
N. Collins (WR) u61.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

51.25 UNDER PROJECTION
-10.3 DIFFERENCE
24.91% EV

ANALYSIS

The Texans are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.. After averaging 104.0 air yards per game last year, Nico Collins has produced significantly fewer this year, now averaging 78.0 per game.. Nico Collins's 47.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 63.3.. In regards to pocket protection (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Texans profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year.. This year, the tough Browns pass defense has conceded the least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing wide receivers: a measly 2.5 YAC.

u62.5 -115
BetRivers logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Harold Fannin Jr. logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
H. Fannin Jr. (TE) o38.5 Receiving Yards
44.59 OVER PROJECTION
+6.1 DIFFERENCE
23.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Harold Fannin Jr. logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
H. Fannin Jr. (TE) o38.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

44.59 OVER PROJECTION
+6.1 DIFFERENCE
23.53% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Browns, who are -4.5-point underdogs.. With a 62.4% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 9th-most pass-centric team in football has been the Cleveland Browns.. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Browns are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 67.7 total plays in this game: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.. In regards to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Browns profiles as the 5th-best in football this year.. The Texans linebackers profile as the 6th-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

o38.5 -115
BetMGM logo
RECEIVING YARDS
KC Concepcion Jr. logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
K. Concepcion Jr. (WR) o45.5 Receiving Yards
50.41 OVER PROJECTION
+4.9 DIFFERENCE
19.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
KC Concepcion Jr. logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
K. Concepcion Jr. (WR) o45.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

50.41 OVER PROJECTION
+4.9 DIFFERENCE
19.02% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Browns, who are -4.5-point underdogs.. With a 62.4% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 9th-most pass-centric team in football has been the Cleveland Browns.. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Browns are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 67.7 total plays in this game: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.. In regards to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Browns profiles as the 5th-best in football this year.. This year, the deficient Texans defense has allowed the 3rd-most yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing WRs: a staggering 4.32 YAC.

o44.5 -115
BetRivers logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Dalton Schultz logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
D. Schultz (TE) u31.5 Receiving Yards
27.67 UNDER PROJECTION
-3.8 DIFFERENCE
18.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Dalton Schultz logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
D. Schultz (TE) u31.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

27.67 UNDER PROJECTION
-3.8 DIFFERENCE
18.19% EV

ANALYSIS

The Texans are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.. Dalton Schultz's 64.0% Route% this season reflects a noteworthy drop-off in his passing attack usage over last season's 77.8% mark.. In regards to pocket protection (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Texans profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year.. The Browns pass defense has given up the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (71.2%) vs. TEs this year (71.2%).. The Cleveland Browns linebackers project as the 4th-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

u31.5 -118
BetRivers logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Woody Marks logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
W. Marks (RB) o11.5 Receiving Yards
12.80 OVER PROJECTION
+1.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.39% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Woody Marks logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
W. Marks (RB) o11.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

12.80 OVER PROJECTION
+1.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.39% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Houston Texans to be the 5th-most pass-oriented team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 63.0% pass rate.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to have 133.9 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.. The Browns defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (36.6 per game) this year.

o9.5 -113
FanDuel logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Nico Collins logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
N. Collins (WR) u4.5 Receptions Made
3.59 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
19.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Nico Collins logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
N. Collins (WR) u4.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.59 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
19.74% EV

ANALYSIS

The Texans are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.. Nico Collins's 47.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 63.3.. In regards to pocket protection (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Texans profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year.. The Cleveland Browns cornerbacks profile as the 3rd-best unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

u4.5 -120
BetMGM logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Quinshon Judkins logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
Q. Judkins (RB) o1.5 Receptions Made
1.55 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.66% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Quinshon Judkins logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
Q. Judkins (RB) o1.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

1.55 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.66% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Browns, who are -4.5-point underdogs.. With a 62.4% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 9th-most pass-centric team in football has been the Cleveland Browns.. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Browns are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 67.4 total plays in this game: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.. In regards to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Browns profiles as the 5th-best in football this year.. The Texans linebackers profile as the 6th-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

o1.5 +154
FanDuel logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
KC Concepcion Jr. logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
K. Concepcion Jr. (WR) u4.5 Receptions Made
4.18 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
10.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
KC Concepcion Jr. logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
K. Concepcion Jr. (WR) u4.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

4.18 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
10.07% EV

ANALYSIS

The Houston Texans pass defense has allowed the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (60.9%) vs. wide receivers this year (60.9%).

u4.5 -125
BetMGM logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Dalton Schultz logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
D. Schultz (TE) u3.5 Receptions Made
2.97 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
8.87% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Dalton Schultz logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
D. Schultz (TE) u3.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.97 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
8.87% EV

ANALYSIS

The Texans are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.. Dalton Schultz's 64.0% Route% this season reflects a noteworthy drop-off in his passing attack usage over last season's 77.8% mark.. In regards to pocket protection (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Texans profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year.. The Browns pass defense has given up the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (71.2%) vs. TEs this year (71.2%).. The Cleveland Browns linebackers project as the 4th-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

u3.5 -145
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Woody Marks logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
W. Marks (RB) o1.5 Receptions Made
1.72 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-14.32% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars Odds
Best Odds
Woody Marks logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
W. Marks (RB) o1.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

1.72 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-14.32% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Houston Texans to be the 5th-most pass-oriented team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 63.0% pass rate.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to have 133.5 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.. The Browns defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (36.6 per game) this year.

o1.5 -150
Caesars Odds logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Woody Marks logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
W. Marks (RB) o16.5 Rushing Attempts
18.33 OVER PROJECTION
+1.8 DIFFERENCE
16.82% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Woody Marks logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
W. Marks (RB) o16.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

18.33 OVER PROJECTION
+1.8 DIFFERENCE
16.82% EV

ANALYSIS

The Texans are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to have 133.5 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.

o16.5 -104
BetRivers logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Quinshon Judkins logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
Q. Judkins (RB) o13.5 Rushing Attempts
14.31 OVER PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
15.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Quinshon Judkins logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
Q. Judkins (RB) o13.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

14.31 OVER PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
15.24% EV

ANALYSIS

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Browns are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 67.7 total plays in this game: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.

o13.5 +100
BetMGM logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) o6.5 Rushing Attempts
6.75 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-0.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) o6.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

6.75 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-0.49% EV

ANALYSIS

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Browns are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 67.7 total plays in this game: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.. Our trusted projections expect Deshaun Watson to earn 6.9 carries in this week's contest, on average: the 2nd-most among all QBs.. Comprising 23.0% of his team's rushing play calls this year (100th percentile among QBs), Deshaun Watson's mobility makes him a significant weapon with his legs.

o6.5 -110
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
C.J. Stroud logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
C. Stroud (QB) u34.5 Passing Attempts
32.81 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.7 DIFFERENCE
12.62% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
C.J. Stroud logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
C. Stroud (QB) u34.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

32.81 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.7 DIFFERENCE
12.62% EV

ANALYSIS

The Texans are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.

u34.5 -101
DraftKings logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) o31.5 Passing Attempts
32.51 OVER PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
11.64% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars Odds
Best Odds
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) o31.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

32.51 OVER PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
11.64% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Browns, who are -4.5-point underdogs.. With a 62.4% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 9th-most pass-centric team in football has been the Cleveland Browns.. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Browns are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 67.7 total plays in this game: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.

o31.5 -106
Caesars Odds logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
C.J. Stroud logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
C. Stroud (QB) u20.5 Passing Completions
16.95 UNDER PROJECTION
-3.5 DIFFERENCE
22.72% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
C.J. Stroud logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
C. Stroud (QB) u20.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

16.95 UNDER PROJECTION
-3.5 DIFFERENCE
22.72% EV

ANALYSIS

The Texans are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.. In regards to pocket protection (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Texans profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year.. This year, the fierce Browns defense has surrendered a meager 67.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 4th-smallest rate in the NFL.. The Cleveland Browns cornerbacks profile as the 3rd-best unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

u20.5 -110
bet365 logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) u19.5 Passing Completions
18.97 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) u19.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

18.97 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.24% EV

ANALYSIS

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 7th-lowest rate in the league against the Texans defense this year (68.0% Adjusted Completion%).

u19.5 -102
FanDuel logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.24 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
23.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.24 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
23.76% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Browns, who are -4.5-point underdogs.. With a 62.4% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 9th-most pass-centric team in football has been the Cleveland Browns.. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Browns are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 67.7 total plays in this game: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.. In regards to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Browns profiles as the 5th-best in football this year.. The Texans defensive ends grade out as the best DE corps in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

+575
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Woody Marks logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
W. Marks (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.65 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
23.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Woody Marks logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
W. Marks (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.65 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
23.41% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Houston Texans to be the 5th-most pass-oriented team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 63.0% pass rate.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to have 133.5 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.. The Browns defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (36.6 per game) this year.. As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Cleveland's unit has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

+145
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Nico Collins logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
N. Collins (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.43 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
13.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Nico Collins logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
N. Collins (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.43 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
13.19% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Houston Texans to be the 5th-most pass-oriented team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 63.0% pass rate.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to have 133.5 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.. The Browns defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (36.6 per game) this year.. Nico Collins's sure-handedness have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 59.1% to 73.9%.. With a remarkable ratio of 0.57 per game through the air (95th percentile), Nico Collins places among the best receiving touchdown-scorers in football among wideouts this year.

+180
FanDuel logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
KC Concepcion Jr. logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
K. Concepcion Jr. (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.3 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
10.14% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
KC Concepcion Jr. logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
K. Concepcion Jr. (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.3 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
10.14% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Browns, who are -4.5-point underdogs.. With a 62.4% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 9th-most pass-centric team in football has been the Cleveland Browns.. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Browns are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 67.7 total plays in this game: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.. In regards to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Browns profiles as the 5th-best in football this year.. The Texans defense has been torched for the 6th-most touchdowns through the air in football to wide receivers: 1.12 per game this year.

+285
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Quinshon Judkins logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
Q. Judkins (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.32 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-9.88% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Quinshon Judkins logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
Q. Judkins (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.32 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-9.88% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Browns, who are -4.5-point underdogs.. With a 62.4% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 9th-most pass-centric team in football has been the Cleveland Browns.. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Browns are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 67.7 total plays in this game: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.. In regards to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Browns profiles as the 5th-best in football this year.. The Houston Texans defense has allowed the 7th-most TDs through the air in the league to RBs: 0.25 per game this year.

+180
FanDuel logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Harold Fannin Jr. logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
H. Fannin Jr. (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.22 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-10.13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Harold Fannin Jr. logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
H. Fannin Jr. (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.22 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-10.13% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Browns, who are -5-point underdogs.. With a 62.4% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 9th-most pass-centric team in football has been the Cleveland Browns.. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Browns are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 67.5 total plays in this game: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.. In regards to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Browns profiles as the 5th-best in football this year.. The Texans defensive ends grade out as the best DE corps in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

+290
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
C.J. Stroud logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
C. Stroud (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.1 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-19.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
C.J. Stroud logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
C. Stroud (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.1 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-19.7% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Houston Texans to be the 5th-most pass-oriented team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 63.0% pass rate.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to have 133.5 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.. The Browns defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (36.6 per game) this year.. With a remarkable ratio of 1.78 per game (84th percentile), C.J. Stroud ranks as one of the best TD throwers in the league this year.. As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Cleveland's unit has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

+650
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Dalton Schultz logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
D. Schultz (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.2 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-19.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Dalton Schultz logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
D. Schultz (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.2 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-19.7% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Houston Texans to be the 5th-most pass-oriented team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 63.0% pass rate.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to have 133.5 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.. The Browns defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (36.6 per game) this year.. Dalton Schultz has been a big part of his team's pass game near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 12.2% this year, which puts him in the 76th percentile when it comes to tight ends.. When talking about air yards, Dalton Schultz grades out in the towering 95th percentile among tight ends this year, accruing an impressive 42.0 per game.

+275
DraftKings logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.42 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
17.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.42 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
17.24% EV

ANALYSIS

In registering a lowly 0.38 interceptions per game this year, Deshaun Watson rates among the best quarterbacks in football (76th percentile).

u0.5 +105
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
C.J. Stroud logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
C. Stroud (QB) o0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.78 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
C.J. Stroud logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
C. Stroud (QB) o0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.78 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.89% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Houston Texans to be the 5th-most pass-oriented team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 63.0% pass rate.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to have 133.5 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.. The Browns defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (36.6 per game) this year.

o0.5 -108
FanDuel logo
  • Proj. Diff: Low to High
  • Proj. Diff: High to Low
  • Proj. Rating: Low to High
  • Proj. Rating: High to Low
  • +EV: Low to High
  • +EV: High to Low
SPREAD
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
CLE +4.5 spread
3.59 PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
7.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars Odds
Best Odds
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
CLE +4.5 spread

PROJECTION

3.59 PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
7.78% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+4.5 -105
Caesars Odds logo
TOTAL
Houston Texans image thumbnail Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
Under 40.0 Total
38.95 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.0 DIFFERENCE
12.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Houston Texans image thumbnail Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
Under 40.0 Total

PROJECTION

38.95 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.0 DIFFERENCE
12.1% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

u40.5 -108
BetRivers logo
PASSING YARDS
C.J. Stroud logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
C. Stroud (QB) u244.5 Passing Yards
197.38 UNDER PROJECTION
-47.1 DIFFERENCE
26.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
C.J. Stroud logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
C. Stroud (QB) u244.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

197.38 UNDER PROJECTION
-47.1 DIFFERENCE
26.53% EV

ANALYSIS

The Texans are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.. In regards to pocket protection (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Texans profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year.. This year, the fierce Browns defense has surrendered a meager 67.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 4th-smallest rate in the NFL.. This year, the stout Browns defense has given up the 3rd-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing teams: a meager 3.5 YAC.. The Cleveland Browns cornerbacks profile as the 3rd-best unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

u246.5 -117
BetRivers logo
PASSING YARDS
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) u210.5 Passing Yards
201.40 UNDER PROJECTION
-9.1 DIFFERENCE
18.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) u210.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

201.40 UNDER PROJECTION
-9.1 DIFFERENCE
18.55% EV

ANALYSIS

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 7th-lowest rate in the league against the Texans defense this year (68.0% Adjusted Completion%).

u210.5 -115
theScore Bet logo
RUSHING YARDS
C.J. Stroud logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
C. Stroud (QB) o10.5 Rushing Yards
15.96 OVER PROJECTION
+5.5 DIFFERENCE
26.9% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
C.J. Stroud logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
C. Stroud (QB) o10.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

15.96 OVER PROJECTION
+5.5 DIFFERENCE
26.9% EV

ANALYSIS

The Texans are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to have 133.5 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.. The Cleveland Browns defense owns the 8th-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, conceding 4.80 adjusted yards-per-carry.

o8.5 -113
FanDuel logo
RUSHING YARDS
Woody Marks logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
W. Marks (RB) o61.5 Rushing Yards
75.29 OVER PROJECTION
+13.8 DIFFERENCE
26.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Woody Marks logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
W. Marks (RB) o61.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

75.29 OVER PROJECTION
+13.8 DIFFERENCE
26.07% EV

ANALYSIS

The Texans are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to have 133.5 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.. The Cleveland Browns defense owns the 8th-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, conceding 4.80 adjusted yards-per-carry.

o59.5 -115
Hard Rock Bet logo
RUSHING YARDS
Quinshon Judkins logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
Q. Judkins (RB) o44.5 Rushing Yards
55.78 OVER PROJECTION
+11.3 DIFFERENCE
25.99% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Quinshon Judkins logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
Q. Judkins (RB) o44.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

55.78 OVER PROJECTION
+11.3 DIFFERENCE
25.99% EV

ANALYSIS

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Browns are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 67.7 total plays in this game: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.

o41.5 -120
BetMGM logo
RUSHING YARDS
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) o25.5 Rushing Yards
32.01 OVER PROJECTION
+6.5 DIFFERENCE
25.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) o25.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

32.01 OVER PROJECTION
+6.5 DIFFERENCE
25.25% EV

ANALYSIS

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Browns are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 67.7 total plays in this game: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.. Our trusted projections expect Deshaun Watson to earn 6.9 carries in this week's contest, on average: the 2nd-most among all QBs.. Comprising 23.0% of his team's rushing play calls this year (100th percentile among QBs), Deshaun Watson's mobility makes him a significant weapon with his legs.. Deshaun Watson checks in as one of the leading quarterbacks in football at grinding out extra running yardage, averaging an outstanding 2.87 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 95th percentile.

o22.5 -112
DraftKings logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Quinshon Judkins logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
Q. Judkins (RB) o4.5 Receiving Yards
10.12 OVER PROJECTION
+5.6 DIFFERENCE
25.85% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Quinshon Judkins logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
Q. Judkins (RB) o4.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

10.12 OVER PROJECTION
+5.6 DIFFERENCE
25.85% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Browns, who are -4.5-point underdogs.. With a 62.4% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 9th-most pass-centric team in football has been the Cleveland Browns.. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Browns are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 67.7 total plays in this game: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.. In regards to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Browns profiles as the 5th-best in football this year.. The Texans linebackers profile as the 6th-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

o4.5 -125
BetRivers logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Nico Collins logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
N. Collins (WR) u61.5 Receiving Yards
51.25 UNDER PROJECTION
-10.3 DIFFERENCE
24.91% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Nico Collins logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
N. Collins (WR) u61.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

51.25 UNDER PROJECTION
-10.3 DIFFERENCE
24.91% EV

ANALYSIS

The Texans are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.. After averaging 104.0 air yards per game last year, Nico Collins has produced significantly fewer this year, now averaging 78.0 per game.. Nico Collins's 47.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 63.3.. In regards to pocket protection (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Texans profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year.. This year, the tough Browns pass defense has conceded the least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing wide receivers: a measly 2.5 YAC.

u62.5 -115
BetRivers logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Harold Fannin Jr. logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
H. Fannin Jr. (TE) o38.5 Receiving Yards
44.59 OVER PROJECTION
+6.1 DIFFERENCE
23.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Harold Fannin Jr. logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
H. Fannin Jr. (TE) o38.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

44.59 OVER PROJECTION
+6.1 DIFFERENCE
23.53% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Browns, who are -4.5-point underdogs.. With a 62.4% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 9th-most pass-centric team in football has been the Cleveland Browns.. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Browns are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 67.7 total plays in this game: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.. In regards to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Browns profiles as the 5th-best in football this year.. The Texans linebackers profile as the 6th-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

o38.5 -115
BetMGM logo
RECEIVING YARDS
KC Concepcion Jr. logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
K. Concepcion Jr. (WR) o45.5 Receiving Yards
50.41 OVER PROJECTION
+4.9 DIFFERENCE
19.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
KC Concepcion Jr. logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
K. Concepcion Jr. (WR) o45.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

50.41 OVER PROJECTION
+4.9 DIFFERENCE
19.02% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Browns, who are -4.5-point underdogs.. With a 62.4% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 9th-most pass-centric team in football has been the Cleveland Browns.. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Browns are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 67.7 total plays in this game: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.. In regards to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Browns profiles as the 5th-best in football this year.. This year, the deficient Texans defense has allowed the 3rd-most yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing WRs: a staggering 4.32 YAC.

o44.5 -115
BetRivers logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Dalton Schultz logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
D. Schultz (TE) u31.5 Receiving Yards
27.67 UNDER PROJECTION
-3.8 DIFFERENCE
18.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Dalton Schultz logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
D. Schultz (TE) u31.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

27.67 UNDER PROJECTION
-3.8 DIFFERENCE
18.19% EV

ANALYSIS

The Texans are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.. Dalton Schultz's 64.0% Route% this season reflects a noteworthy drop-off in his passing attack usage over last season's 77.8% mark.. In regards to pocket protection (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Texans profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year.. The Browns pass defense has given up the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (71.2%) vs. TEs this year (71.2%).. The Cleveland Browns linebackers project as the 4th-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

u31.5 -118
BetRivers logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Woody Marks logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
W. Marks (RB) o11.5 Receiving Yards
12.80 OVER PROJECTION
+1.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.39% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Woody Marks logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
W. Marks (RB) o11.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

12.80 OVER PROJECTION
+1.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.39% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Houston Texans to be the 5th-most pass-oriented team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 63.0% pass rate.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to have 133.9 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.. The Browns defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (36.6 per game) this year.

o9.5 -113
FanDuel logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Nico Collins logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
N. Collins (WR) u4.5 Receptions Made
3.59 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
19.74% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Nico Collins logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
N. Collins (WR) u4.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.59 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
19.74% EV

ANALYSIS

The Texans are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.. Nico Collins's 47.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 63.3.. In regards to pocket protection (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Texans profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year.. The Cleveland Browns cornerbacks profile as the 3rd-best unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

u4.5 -120
BetMGM logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Quinshon Judkins logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
Q. Judkins (RB) o1.5 Receptions Made
1.55 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.66% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Quinshon Judkins logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
Q. Judkins (RB) o1.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

1.55 OVER PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.66% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Browns, who are -4.5-point underdogs.. With a 62.4% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 9th-most pass-centric team in football has been the Cleveland Browns.. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Browns are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 67.4 total plays in this game: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.. In regards to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Browns profiles as the 5th-best in football this year.. The Texans linebackers profile as the 6th-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

o1.5 +154
FanDuel logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
KC Concepcion Jr. logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
K. Concepcion Jr. (WR) u4.5 Receptions Made
4.18 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
10.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
KC Concepcion Jr. logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
K. Concepcion Jr. (WR) u4.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

4.18 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
10.07% EV

ANALYSIS

The Houston Texans pass defense has allowed the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (60.9%) vs. wide receivers this year (60.9%).

u4.5 -125
BetMGM logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Dalton Schultz logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
D. Schultz (TE) u3.5 Receptions Made
2.97 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
8.87% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Dalton Schultz logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
D. Schultz (TE) u3.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.97 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
8.87% EV

ANALYSIS

The Texans are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.. Dalton Schultz's 64.0% Route% this season reflects a noteworthy drop-off in his passing attack usage over last season's 77.8% mark.. In regards to pocket protection (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Texans profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year.. The Browns pass defense has given up the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (71.2%) vs. TEs this year (71.2%).. The Cleveland Browns linebackers project as the 4th-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

u3.5 -145
bet365 logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Woody Marks logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
W. Marks (RB) o1.5 Receptions Made
1.72 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-14.32% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars Odds
Best Odds
Woody Marks logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
W. Marks (RB) o1.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

1.72 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-14.32% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Houston Texans to be the 5th-most pass-oriented team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 63.0% pass rate.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to have 133.5 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.. The Browns defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (36.6 per game) this year.

o1.5 -150
Caesars Odds logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Woody Marks logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
W. Marks (RB) o16.5 Rushing Attempts
18.33 OVER PROJECTION
+1.8 DIFFERENCE
16.82% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Woody Marks logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
W. Marks (RB) o16.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

18.33 OVER PROJECTION
+1.8 DIFFERENCE
16.82% EV

ANALYSIS

The Texans are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to have 133.5 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.

o16.5 -104
BetRivers logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Quinshon Judkins logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
Q. Judkins (RB) o13.5 Rushing Attempts
14.31 OVER PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
15.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Quinshon Judkins logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
Q. Judkins (RB) o13.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

14.31 OVER PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
15.24% EV

ANALYSIS

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Browns are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 67.7 total plays in this game: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.

o13.5 +100
BetMGM logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) o6.5 Rushing Attempts
6.75 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-0.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) o6.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

6.75 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-0.49% EV

ANALYSIS

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Browns are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 67.7 total plays in this game: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.. Our trusted projections expect Deshaun Watson to earn 6.9 carries in this week's contest, on average: the 2nd-most among all QBs.. Comprising 23.0% of his team's rushing play calls this year (100th percentile among QBs), Deshaun Watson's mobility makes him a significant weapon with his legs.

o6.5 -110
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
C.J. Stroud logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
C. Stroud (QB) u34.5 Passing Attempts
32.81 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.7 DIFFERENCE
12.62% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
C.J. Stroud logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
C. Stroud (QB) u34.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

32.81 UNDER PROJECTION
-1.7 DIFFERENCE
12.62% EV

ANALYSIS

The Texans are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.

u34.5 -101
DraftKings logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) o31.5 Passing Attempts
32.51 OVER PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
11.64% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars Odds
Best Odds
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) o31.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

32.51 OVER PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
11.64% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Browns, who are -4.5-point underdogs.. With a 62.4% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 9th-most pass-centric team in football has been the Cleveland Browns.. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Browns are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 67.7 total plays in this game: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.

o31.5 -106
Caesars Odds logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
C.J. Stroud logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
C. Stroud (QB) u20.5 Passing Completions
16.95 UNDER PROJECTION
-3.5 DIFFERENCE
22.72% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
C.J. Stroud logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
C. Stroud (QB) u20.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

16.95 UNDER PROJECTION
-3.5 DIFFERENCE
22.72% EV

ANALYSIS

The Texans are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.. In regards to pocket protection (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Texans profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year.. This year, the fierce Browns defense has surrendered a meager 67.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 4th-smallest rate in the NFL.. The Cleveland Browns cornerbacks profile as the 3rd-best unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

u20.5 -110
bet365 logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) u19.5 Passing Completions
18.97 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) u19.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

18.97 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.24% EV

ANALYSIS

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 7th-lowest rate in the league against the Texans defense this year (68.0% Adjusted Completion%).

u19.5 -102
FanDuel logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.24 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
23.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.24 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
23.76% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Browns, who are -4.5-point underdogs.. With a 62.4% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 9th-most pass-centric team in football has been the Cleveland Browns.. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Browns are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 67.7 total plays in this game: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.. In regards to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Browns profiles as the 5th-best in football this year.. The Texans defensive ends grade out as the best DE corps in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

+575
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Woody Marks logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
W. Marks (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.65 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
23.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Woody Marks logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
W. Marks (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.65 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
23.41% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Houston Texans to be the 5th-most pass-oriented team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 63.0% pass rate.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to have 133.5 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.. The Browns defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (36.6 per game) this year.. As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Cleveland's unit has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

+145
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Nico Collins logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
N. Collins (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.43 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
13.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Nico Collins logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
N. Collins (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.43 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
13.19% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Houston Texans to be the 5th-most pass-oriented team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 63.0% pass rate.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to have 133.5 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.. The Browns defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (36.6 per game) this year.. Nico Collins's sure-handedness have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 59.1% to 73.9%.. With a remarkable ratio of 0.57 per game through the air (95th percentile), Nico Collins places among the best receiving touchdown-scorers in football among wideouts this year.

+180
FanDuel logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
KC Concepcion Jr. logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
K. Concepcion Jr. (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.3 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
10.14% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
KC Concepcion Jr. logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
K. Concepcion Jr. (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.3 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
10.14% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Browns, who are -4.5-point underdogs.. With a 62.4% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 9th-most pass-centric team in football has been the Cleveland Browns.. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Browns are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 67.7 total plays in this game: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.. In regards to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Browns profiles as the 5th-best in football this year.. The Texans defense has been torched for the 6th-most touchdowns through the air in football to wide receivers: 1.12 per game this year.

+285
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Quinshon Judkins logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
Q. Judkins (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.32 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-9.88% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Quinshon Judkins logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
Q. Judkins (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.32 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-9.88% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Browns, who are -4.5-point underdogs.. With a 62.4% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 9th-most pass-centric team in football has been the Cleveland Browns.. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Browns are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 67.7 total plays in this game: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.. In regards to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Browns profiles as the 5th-best in football this year.. The Houston Texans defense has allowed the 7th-most TDs through the air in the league to RBs: 0.25 per game this year.

+180
FanDuel logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Harold Fannin Jr. logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
H. Fannin Jr. (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.22 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-10.13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Harold Fannin Jr. logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
H. Fannin Jr. (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.22 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-10.13% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Browns, who are -5-point underdogs.. With a 62.4% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 9th-most pass-centric team in football has been the Cleveland Browns.. Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Browns are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 67.5 total plays in this game: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.. In regards to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Browns profiles as the 5th-best in football this year.. The Texans defensive ends grade out as the best DE corps in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

+290
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
C.J. Stroud logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
C. Stroud (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.1 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-19.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
C.J. Stroud logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
C. Stroud (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.1 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-19.7% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Houston Texans to be the 5th-most pass-oriented team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 63.0% pass rate.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to have 133.5 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.. The Browns defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (36.6 per game) this year.. With a remarkable ratio of 1.78 per game (84th percentile), C.J. Stroud ranks as one of the best TD throwers in the league this year.. As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Cleveland's unit has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

+650
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Dalton Schultz logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
D. Schultz (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.2 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-19.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Dalton Schultz logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
D. Schultz (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.2 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-19.7% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Houston Texans to be the 5th-most pass-oriented team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 63.0% pass rate.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to have 133.5 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.. The Browns defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (36.6 per game) this year.. Dalton Schultz has been a big part of his team's pass game near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 12.2% this year, which puts him in the 76th percentile when it comes to tight ends.. When talking about air yards, Dalton Schultz grades out in the towering 95th percentile among tight ends this year, accruing an impressive 42.0 per game.

+275
DraftKings logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.42 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
17.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Deshaun Watson logo
Cleveland Browns image thumbnail
D. Watson (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.42 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
17.24% EV

ANALYSIS

In registering a lowly 0.38 interceptions per game this year, Deshaun Watson rates among the best quarterbacks in football (76th percentile).

u0.5 +105
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
C.J. Stroud logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
C. Stroud (QB) o0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.78 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
C.J. Stroud logo
Houston Texans image thumbnail
C. Stroud (QB) o0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.78 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.89% EV

ANALYSIS

The model projects the Houston Texans to be the 5th-most pass-oriented team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 63.0% pass rate.. Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to have 133.5 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.. The Browns defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (36.6 per game) this year.

o0.5 -108
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HOU vs CLE Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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'hudsoncty3344' is picking Cleveland to cover (+4.5)

hudsoncty3344 is #1 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +5350 units on the season.

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CLE
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'Geothrogrrc' is picking Houston to cover (-4.5)

Geothrogrrc is #1 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (5-2-0) and +4900 units on the season.

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'hudsoncty3344' picks Houston vs Cleveland to go Under (39.5)

hudsoncty3344 is #1 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +5350 units on the season.

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Under
Total

'Geothrogrrc' picks Houston vs Cleveland to go Under (39.5)

Geothrogrrc is #1 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (5-2-0) and +4900 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Spread

'jetfan4340' is picking Houston to cover (-4.5)

jetfan4340 is #10 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (7-1-0) and +3800 units on the season.

Spread
HOU
CLE
Total

'jetfan4340' picks Houston vs Cleveland to go Under (40.5)

jetfan4340 is #10 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (7-1-0) and +3800 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Spread

'seattle-8' is picking Houston to cover (-4.5)

seattle-8 is #2 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Spread
HOU
CLE
Total

'seattle-8' picks Houston vs Cleveland to go Over (39.5)

seattle-8 is #2 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Spread

'windowB' is picking Houston to cover (-4.5)

windowB is #3 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (6-2-0) and +4850 units on the season.

Spread
HOU
CLE
Total

'windowB' picks Houston vs Cleveland to go Over (39.5)

windowB is #3 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (6-2-0) and +4850 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Spread

'dl striker' is picking Houston to cover (-4.5)

dl striker is #4 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (4-1-0) and +3850 units on the season.

Spread
HOU
CLE
Spread

'fsudogfan85' is picking Houston to cover (-4.5)

fsudogfan85 is #4 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (0-0-0) and +4000 units on the season.

Spread
HOU
CLE
Total

'vwebb57' picks Houston vs Cleveland to go Over (39.5)

vwebb57 is #6 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (7-1-0) and +3800 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Spread

'vwebb57' is picking Cleveland to cover (+4.5)

vwebb57 is #6 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (7-1-0) and +3800 units on the season.

Spread
HOU
CLE
Spread

'twocoors' is picking Houston to cover (-4.5)

twocoors is #6 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (5-2-0) and +3850 units on the season.

Spread
HOU
CLE
Spread

'Tuppy' is picking Houston to cover (-4.5)

Tuppy is #7 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (5-2-0) and +3850 units on the season.

Spread
HOU
CLE
Total

'Tuppy' picks Houston vs Cleveland to go Over (40.5)

Tuppy is #7 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (5-2-0) and +3850 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Spread

'samua' is picking Houston to cover (-4.5)

samua is #8 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (5-3-0) and +3800 units on the season.

Spread
HOU
CLE
Total

'samua' picks Houston vs Cleveland to go Under (39.5)

samua is #8 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (5-3-0) and +3800 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Spread

'sportspicks' is picking Cleveland to cover (+4.5)

sportspicks is #8 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (5-1-0) and +3800 units on the season.

Spread
HOU
CLE
Total

'sportspicks' picks Houston vs Cleveland to go Over (40.5)

sportspicks is #8 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (5-1-0) and +3800 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total

'pardo3' picks Houston vs Cleveland to go Under (39.5)

pardo3 is #9 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (6-2-0) and +3800 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Spread

'pardo3' is picking Houston to cover (-4.5)

pardo3 is #9 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (6-2-0) and +3800 units on the season.

Spread
HOU
CLE

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