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Sam Farley

Sam Farley - Betting Analyst at Covers.com

Sam Farley

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Betting Analyst Years of Experience Icon8+ years experience
Betting Analyst
Years of Experience Icon8+ years experience Covers Email Icon Twitter Icon

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

Favorites
Team: Plymouth Argyle
Sport to bet on: NFL
Sports movie: Happy Gilmore
Sports snack: Buffalo wings
Covers feature: Line movement tracker
I saw an article on Alex Smith’s recovery and his ambition to play again, so I bet on Alex Smith to win Comeback Player of the Year. In my mind I was certain he’d win it even if he just made the field once for a kneel down at the end of a game. In the end he played a few games and performed well. It was super cool to win the bet (I had tickets from 33/1 to 16/1) and also to watch him make an amazing comeback.
Best Betting Memory Icon Best Betting Memory
I feel like I haven’t had any truly gut-wrenching bad beats. I’m normally most annoyed with my losing bets when I’ve just followed my heart and not done any research. Generally when the reasoning behind my bets is solid (because I’ve used tools like those on Covers), even if they lose, I don’t get too salty.
Best Betting Memory Icon Worst Beat

Tottenham vs Man City Predictions & Picks for Wednesday’s Carabao Cup Match

Oct 28, 2024 • 2:40 PM ET

Tottenham comes into this clash with the classy Man City in a bad way, and even if we see second-stringers galore in this non-EPL affair, the Citizens should do enough to walk away with the win.

NFL First Touchdown Props Week 8: Dobbins Strikes First for L.A.

Oct 26, 2024 • 12:55 PM ET

J.K. Dobbins only has three touchdowns this season, but he'll be set up for success in Week 8 against the putrid Panthers.

Dak Prescott Picks, Predictions, and Best Bets for Sunday Night Football

Oct 26, 2024 • 11:35 AM ET

Dak Prescott did a much better job of protecting the football during the first half of last season, but he's been incredibly irresponsible thus far. Expect another pick against the 49ers.

Everton vs Fulham Predictions & Picks for Saturday’s EPL Matchup

Oct 24, 2024 • 3:43 PM ET

Dwight McNeil has been in good form since being moved to the middle of the pitch, and Sam Farley's EPL picks will back the Everton man to give Fulham's keeper something to ponder.

Leicester City vs Nottingham Forest Predictions & Picks for Friday's EPL Matchup

Oct 23, 2024 • 10:09 AM ET

Leicester City tends to play higher-scoring games on the road, which has us going with the Under 2.5 as they host Nottingham Forest. That's not the only reason, though, as Forest have played very tight defense on the season as well.

Lamar Jackson Picks, Predictions, and Best Bets for Monday Night Football

Oct 20, 2024 • 6:00 PM ET

The one constant for the Baltimore Ravens has always been their ability to run the football and this season's been no different. However, our Lamar Jackson Monday Night Football picks believe he'll take to the air and rack up the yards vs. a weak Bucs secondary.

Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund Predictions & Picks for Tuesday's Champions League Match

Oct 20, 2024 • 12:39 PM ET

It's a rematch of last year's Champions League finals when Real Madrid and Borussia Dortmund hook up in Madrid. Given both team's positions in the standings and current form, a slow, cagey affair is the likeliest outcome with few opportunities to score.

Titans vs Bills Picks, Predictions, and Best Bets: Allen, Cooper Connection Comes to Hand Quickly

Oct 19, 2024 • 6:24 PM ET

Our NFL betting picks expect Amari Cooper to make an immediate impact for the Bills vs. a sketchy Titans team, but he won't outshine QB Josh Allen, who will help Buffalo turn this into a laugher.

NFL First Touchdown Props Week 7: Kittle Catches the Eye

Oct 19, 2024 • 12:15 PM ET

Find out why Sam Farley's trio of first TD props are excited about the juicy odds on offer for San Francisco 49ers tight end George Kittle vs. the Kansas City Chiefs.

Bournemouth vs Arsenal Predictions & Picks for Saturday's EPL Matchup

Oct 17, 2024 • 2:19 PM ET

As good as Arsenal have been to start the season, Bournemouth have proven to be a tough out at home and could be a challenge for the Gunners' banged-up lineup on Friday.

Aaron Rodgers Picks, Predictions, and Best Bets for Monday Night Football

Oct 13, 2024 • 9:53 AM ET

With a chance to turn the season around, Aaron Rodgers will need to be at his best when the Jets host the Bills on Monday Night Football.

NFL First Touchdown Props Week 6: Gibbs Gets Going Early

Oct 12, 2024 • 12:48 PM ET

Jahmyr Gibbs is one of the most versatile backs in the NFL, and he'll strike first for the Lions against Dallas.

Caleb Williams Picks, Predictions, & Best Bets for Jaguars vs Bears

Oct 12, 2024 • 12:07 PM ET

Caleb Williams has put things together over his last two outings, and he's about to shred Jacksonville's secondary.

Finland vs England Predictions & Picks for Sunday's Nations League Match

Oct 11, 2024 • 2:32 PM ET

The writing was on the wall for England in their last match as they fell 2-1 to Greece without their captain in the lineup. With his return imminent, Sam Farley believes Harry Kane will not only score but lead England to victory vs. Finland.

England vs Greece Predictions & Picks for Today's Nations League Match

Oct 8, 2024 • 2:12 PM ET

The post-Gareth Southgate era is off to a flying start as England have netted four times in two Nations League games. With goals expected vs. Greece, Sam Farley is backing the most in-form England striker to find the back of the net.

Patrick Mahomes Picks, Predictions, and Best Bets for Monday Night Football: Mahomes Magic

Oct 7, 2024 • 4:18 PM ET

Our Patrick Mahomes prop picks for Monday Night Football expect the superstar to have a big game with help from Travis Kelce.

Jets vs Vikings Prop Bets: Darnold Struggles in London

Oct 5, 2024 • 7:48 PM ET

The resurgence of Sam Darnold is one of the best stories in 2024, but his world will come crashing down against this Jets' secondary.

NFL First Touchdown Props Week 5: Etienne Gets the Jags Rolling

Oct 5, 2024 • 11:09 AM ET

A horrendous end to last season has bled into the start of this season for the Jaguars, and Travis Etienne will be called upon with his team staring down the barrel of an 0-5 start.

Aston Villa vs Manchester United Predictions & Picks for Today’s EPL Matchup

Oct 4, 2024 • 1:06 PM ET

Aston Villa are in much better form than Manchester United, and Villa will have no issues leaving with three points.

Aston Villa vs Bayern Munich Predictions & Picks for Wedneday's Champions League Match

Sep 30, 2024 • 10:10 AM ET

Harry Kane's been scoring goals with relative ease in recent weeks, and there's no reason to think that won't continue at Villa Park on Wednesday.