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Sam Farley

Sam Farley - Betting Analyst at Covers.com

Sam Farley

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Betting Analyst Article Icon388 Articles
Betting Analyst
Article Icon388 Articles Covers Email Icon Twitter Icon

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN. The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

Favorites
Team: Plymouth Argyle
Sport to bet on: NFL
Sports movie: Happy Gilmore
Sports snack: Buffalo wings
Covers feature: Line movement tracker
I saw an article on Alex Smith’s recovery and his ambition to play again, so I bet on Alex Smith to win Comeback Player of the Year. In my mind I was certain he’d win it even if he just made the field once for a kneel down at the end of a game. In the end he played a few games and performed well. It was super cool to win the bet (I had tickets from 33/1 to 16/1) and also to watch him make an amazing comeback.
Best Betting Memory Icon Best Betting Memory
I feel like I haven’t had any truly gut-wrenching bad beats. I’m normally most annoyed with my losing bets when I’ve just followed my heart and not done any research. Generally when the reasoning behind my bets is solid (because I’ve used tools like those on Covers), even if they lose, I don’t get too salty.
Best Betting Memory Icon Worst Beat

Vancouver Whitecaps vs Wrexham Predictions & Picks for Saturday's Club Friendly Match

Jul 26, 2024 • 5:29 PM ET

Ryan Reynolds may be from Vancouver, but our Whitecaps vs. Wrexham predictions don't expect the hosts to go easy on the visitors.

Man City vs AC Milan Predictions & Picks for Saturday's Club Friendly Match

Jul 26, 2024 • 4:02 PM ET

Man City and AC Milan continue their preseason play in the Bronx, and our Club Friendly picks expect these sides to put on a show with plenty of scoring.

Chelsea vs Wrexham Predictions & Picks for Wednesday’s Club Friendly Match

Jul 23, 2024 • 2:05 PM ET

Chelsea will kick off their preseason campaign against a storied Wrexham side that played to a 1-1 draw at the weekend. Our soccer betting picks expect tons of offense and it to come from both sides.

Spain vs England Odds, Picks & Predictions: Spanish Pile Up Shots in Euro 2024 Final

Jul 13, 2024 • 10:07 AM ET

England can guard their goal with the best of them, but Spain figures to win the possession battle once again and eventually generate their fair share of shots, even if they're from distance, per our soccer betting picks.

England vs Netherlands Odds, Picks & Predictions: Dutch Defeated in Euro Semifinal

Jul 9, 2024 • 4:28 PM ET

The Netherlands have proven that they're not among the elite teams in this year's Euro tournament, and the cream should rise to the top sooner or later with England prevailing, per our soccer betting picks.

Spain vs France Odds, Picks & Predictions: Both Teams Find Twine in Euro Semifinal

Jul 9, 2024 • 10:33 AM ET

Spain have looked like the most impressive team at Euro 2024 so far, while France has underwhelmed. But our soccer betting picks are not counting out Kylian Mbappe & Co. on Tuesday, and believe this semifinal will be anything but dull.

England vs Switzerland Odds, Picks & Predictions: Three Lions Roar Loudly in Euro Quarterfinal

Jul 5, 2024 • 10:00 AM ET

England and Switzerland meet on Saturday with the winner booking their place in the semifinals. Can England build off of a late dramatic win vs. Slovakia? Or does our betting expert believe the Swiss will poke holes in the England defense?

Spain vs Germany Odds, Picks & Predictions: Cucurella, Musiala Star in Euro Quarterfinal

Jul 4, 2024 • 12:00 PM ET

Spain vs. Germany promises to kick off the quarterfinal round of Euro 2024 with style. Our soccer betting picks see Spain surviving thanks to their typical tiki-taka style, spearheaded by Marc Cucurella.

France vs Belgium Odds, Picks & Predictions: Mbappe Shines on Day 16 of Euro 2024

Jun 30, 2024 • 12:39 PM ET

France had a disappointing showing during the group stage, but our Euro 2024 picks expect Les Bleus to put the pieces together and take care care of business against Belgium.

England vs Slovakia Odds, Picks & Predictions: Duda Makes No Friends on Day 15 of Euro 2024

Jun 28, 2024 • 4:47 PM ET

With England and Slovakia set to square off in a Round of 16 fixture on Sunday, our betting expert Sam Farley believes the way to bet this game is by forgoing the side and total in favor of the card market. Find out why he's backing Slovakia's Ondrej Duda to be booked.

Paraguay vs Brazil Odds, Picks & Predictions: Selecao Samba on Day 9 of Copa America 2024

Jun 27, 2024 • 7:13 PM ET

With three points a must for Brazil, our betting expert believes the level of play will be ratcheted up a notch and Paraguay will feel the brunt force of it. Find out why below.

Ukraine vs Belgium Odds, Picks & Predictions: Red Devils Excel on Day 13 of Euro 2024

Jun 24, 2024 • 1:30 PM ET

It's not been pretty at times for Belgium, but they enter the finale Group E game with a chance to top the group at the expense of Ukraine. Given the free-flowing nature of the game, our soccer expert believes we'll see goals from both sides in a high-scoring Belgium win.

England vs Slovenia Odds, Picks & Predictions: England Improves on Day 12 of Euro 2024

Jun 24, 2024 • 10:43 AM ET

England have been far from their best in two Group C games but some expected lineup changes could have them ready to bounce back against Slovenia on Tuesday. We break down the matchup and more in our Euro 2024 picks below.

France vs Poland Odds, Picks & Predictions: Mbappe Returns With a Vengeance on Day 12 of Euro 2024

Jun 24, 2024 • 9:40 AM ET

While Kylian Mbappe could technically be considered "questionable" with a broken nose, France need him to suit up to ensure safe passage to the next round. And though the French should topple Poland either way, Mbappe will play a role.

Albania vs Spain Odds, Picks & Predictions: Torres Finds Twine on Day 11 of Euro 2024

Jun 22, 2024 • 12:33 PM ET

Find out what the best bet according to our expert soccer picks is when a motivated Albania side takes on what figures to be a Spain team resting some key players in one of the final Group B fixtures at Euro 2024.

Switzerland vs Germany Odds, Picks & Predictions: Florian Wirtz Takes Aim on Day 10 of Euro 2024

Jun 21, 2024 • 9:15 AM ET

While Germany have been thoroughly dominant through two Euro games, Switzerland have been more of a mixed bag. A draw against Scotland exposed their limitations, which will be even more apparent vs. a German squad that crushed the Scots.

Uruguay vs Panama Odds, Picks & Predictions: Nunez Leads Way on Day 4 of Copa America 2024

Jun 21, 2024 • 9:00 AM ET

With Uruguay listed among the favorites, and Panama essentially in the tournament to just make up the numbers, our betting expert Sam Farley has Uruguay making quick work of their opponents. Find out more below!

Netherlands vs France Odds, Picks & Predictions: Thuram Steps up For Les Bleus on Day 8 of Euro 2024

Jun 19, 2024 • 12:13 PM ET

It was billed as one of the group-stage games to watch, but an injury to Kylian Mbappe may throw a wrench in that excitement. However, our soccer expert Sam Farley believes it won't throw a wrench into France's plan of attack as they collect another three points.

Denmark vs England Odds, Picks & Predictions: When It Rains It Pours

Jun 18, 2024 • 11:32 AM ET

It was all Serbia could do to limit Jude Bellingham to one goal in England's opening game at Euro 2024, and Denmark could be in the same boat on Thursday. Find out how that plays into a Morten Hjulmand prop in our Euro 2024 betting picks.

Germany vs Hungary Odds, Picks & Predictions: Germany Picks Up Win No. 2

Jun 17, 2024 • 11:58 AM ET

Germany disassembled Scotland in brutal fashion in their first game. Although Hungary won't hand them a loss, our Euro 2024 picks don't expect another blowout for the Germans.

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