NE 2.5 o49.5
DET -2.5 u49.5
KC -3.5 o47.0
ATL 3.5 u47.0
BUF -7.5 o51.0
NYJ 7.5 u51.0
MIA 4.5 o37.5
IND -4.5 u37.5
MIN 2.5 o42.0
GB -2.5 u42.0
CAR 1.5 o49.0
NO -1.5 u49.0
JAC -10.5 o46.5
TEN 10.5 u46.5
HOU -4.5 o40.5
CLE 4.5 u40.5
SEA -6.5 o40.5
LV 6.5 u40.5
LA -9.5 o39.0
ARI 9.5 u39.0
SF -3.5 o55.5
DAL 3.5 u55.5
PIT 3.5 o49.0
CIN -3.5 u49.0
LAC 4.5 o39.0
BAL -4.5 u39.0
Final Nov 12
WAS 24 1.5 o40.5
NYG 21 -1.5 u40.5
San Francisco 1st NFC West7-1
Dallas 2nd NFC East4-5

49ers vs Cowboys   Picks & Props

SF vs DAL Picks

NFL Picks
Spread
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail DAL +4.5 (-113)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
Neil Parker logo
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Cowboys above the key number of 4 is my preferred side in America’s Game of the Week.  Dallas has shown improvement on defense with middling marks in EPA per play, explosive play rate and DVOA over the past four games, and the offense can keep pace Sunday. San Fran has faced the eighth-easiest schedule by DVOA and fifth-easiest per PFF, so with starting cornerbacks Renardo Green (back) and Deommodore Lenoir (foot) both nursing injuries, I expect Dallas to put up enough points to cover the number.

Spread
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail SF -4.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 days ago
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

This spread is going to swell quickly with early play on the Niners pushing the line through dead numbers and likely landing on San Francisco -6 at some point this week. Dallas’ defense isn’t ready for the 49ers’ jelly and this Kyle Shanahan vs. Brian Schottenheimer/Christian Parker matchup is about as one-sided as Godzilla vs. Bambi (Google it). San Fran could also have some WRs back in action just time to shred the Cowboys’ Swiss-cheese secondary.

Moneyline
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail SF (-205)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

Dallas’ defense isn’t ready for the 49ers’ jelly, and this Kyle Shanahan vs. Brian Schottenheimer/Christian Parker matchup is about as one-sided as Godzilla vs. Bambi. San Francisco could also have some WRs back in action just in time to shred the Cowboys’ Swiss-cheese secondary.

Anytime Touchdown
JW Jordan Watkins Score a Touchdown (Yes: +317)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
Josh Inglis logo
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

This was available at 4.17x and could be as short as 3x if he continues to operate as a top wide receiver, with Deebo Samuel working his way back from a hamstring injury and Mike Evans opening the week with a DNP. Head coach Kyle Shanahan talked up Jordan Watkins this week, praising his work ethic, how he's taken advantage of his opportunities, and his mental toughness. Brock Purdy is taking notice, too. Watkins ran the most routes among 49ers receivers last week at an 87% rate and led the group in both targets and air yards against the Raiders. The matchup and indoor environment are also in his favour, with the Cowboys being one of just two defenses allowing more than 1.00 WR touchdown per game and 160+ receiving yards to the position. This is worth getting in on early, as Watkins could maintain a significant role even if Samuel returns.

Anytime Touchdown
George Kittle logo George Kittle Score a Touchdown (Yes: +110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
Neil Parker logo
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

This touchdown prop is in play up to 50%. The Cowboys have surrendered the fourth-highest catch rate to opposing tight ends, and Kittle has been a force this season with a high-end 12.7 yards per reception, 8.5 aDOT and five touchdowns. He's also garnered 30% of the red-zone targets for the 49ers, including at least one red-zone look in seven of eight games.

Score First Touchdown
Christian McCaffrey logo Christian McCaffrey Score First Touchdown (Yes: +376)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Sam Farley logo
Sam Farley
Betting Analyst

McCaffrey has 10 TDs already, scoring in all but one game this year, as well as opening the scoring in three games. The Cowboys have allowed 12 TDs to opposing RBs.

Rushing Yards
Brock Purdy logo Brock Purdy o19.5 Rushing Yards (-104)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
Neil Parker logo
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Purdy has rushed for 20 or more yards in six of eight games, and the Cowboys have allowed the second-most rushing yards to opposing QBs. Additionally, each of the four dual-threat quarterbacks Dallas has faced has picked up 20 or more rushing yards.

2 LEG PARLAY
CeeDee Lamb profile picture
CeeDee Lamb Score a Touchdown (Yes)
Anytime Touchdown
JW
Jordan Watkins Score a Touchdown (Yes)
Anytime Touchdown
Bet now
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Geoff Clark logo
Geoff Clark
Betting Analyst

CeeDee Lamb and Jordan Watkins anytime touchdowns. Both pass defenses are vulnerable, and Prescott excels at home while Purdy leads the NFL in QBR. Lamb is Dallas' top target, and Watkins brings upside after last week's touchdown.

3 LEG PARLAY
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
DAL +4.5
Spread
Dak Prescott profile picture
Dak Prescott o274.5 Passing Yards
Passing Yards
CeeDee Lamb profile picture
CeeDee Lamb o89.5 Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards
Bet now
Pick made: 2 days ago
Neil Parker logo
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Cowboys offense can score enough to hang with the 49ers thanks to the one-two punch of Prescott and Lamb. Both San Fran starting cornerbacks are nursing injuries, Prescott has thrown for 275 or more yards in five of eight games, while Lamb has garnered 57 targets over the past four weeks. Additionally, Prescott sports an impressive 110.9 NFL passer rating when targeting his go-to receiver, and Lamb’s 46.6% air yards share ranks in the 87th percentile among wideouts.

Passing Yards
Dak Prescott logo
Dak Prescott o269.5 Passing Yards (-115) Projection 305.08 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 hours ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
This game's line implies a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -4-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cowboys to pass on 64.3% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Dallas Cowboys have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a massive 60.6 plays per game.. The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (37.8 per game) this year.. With an impressive tally of 239.0 adjusted passing yards per game (89th percentile), Dak Prescott rates among the top QBs in football this year.
Passing Yards
Brock Purdy logo
Brock Purdy o261.5 Passing Yards (-113) Projection 275.00 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 hours ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 4 out of 5
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. When it comes to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the 49ers ranks as the best in football this year.. Brock Purdy's 220.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year indicates a substantial gain in his passing proficiency over last year's 190.0 rate.. Brock Purdy is positioned as one of the most on-target passers in football this year with an excellent 68.6% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 94th percentile.. Opposing quarterbacks have passed for the 6th-most adjusted yards in the league (249.0 per game) against the Dallas Cowboys defense this year.
Rushing Yards
Christian McCaffrey logo
Christian McCaffrey u66.5 Rushing Yards (-130) Projection 49.36 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 hours ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
Right now, the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the model is the 49ers.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. After making up 68.4% of his team's run game usage last season, Christian McCaffrey has been called on less the rushing attack this season, now making up just 48.0%.. As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Dallas's unit has been exceptional this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.
Rushing Yards
Dak Prescott logo
Dak Prescott o8.5 Rushing Yards (-117) Projection 14.79 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 hours ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Dallas Cowboys have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a massive 60.6 plays per game.
Rushing Yards
Brock Purdy logo
Brock Purdy o19.5 Rushing Yards (-113) Projection 28.02 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
A rushing game script is implied by the 49ers being a 4-point favorite in this week's game.. In this contest, Brock Purdy is projected by our trusted projection set to accumulate the 4th-most carries among all QBs with 5.1. . Accounting for 16.2% of his offense's rushing play calls this year (89th percentile when it comes to QBs), Brock Purdy's mobility makes him a dangerous threat in San Francisco's rushing attack.. Brock Purdy's 35.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year conveys a noteable boost in his rushing ability over last year's 14.0 figure.. Opposing teams have rushed for the most adjusted yards in the league (157 per game) against the Dallas Cowboys defense this year.
Receiving Yards
Deebo Samuel Sr. logo
Deebo Samuel Sr. o39.5 Receiving Yards (-110) Projection 45.77 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 hours ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. When it comes to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the 49ers ranks as the best in football this year.. With an outstanding 50.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (82nd percentile) this year, Deebo Samuel Sr. has been among the top WRs in the NFL in football.. Deebo Samuel Sr.'s receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 73.4% to 88.9%.. This year, the anemic Dallas Cowboys defense has conceded a colossal 164.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing wide receivers: the 7th-worst in the league.
Receiving Yards
Christian McCaffrey logo
Christian McCaffrey o32.5 Receiving Yards (-113) Projection 41.17 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. In this week's game, Christian McCaffrey is predicted by the projection model to find himself in the 100th percentile when it comes to RBs with 6.0 targets.. Christian McCaffrey has notched a whopping 13.0 air yards per game this year: 100th percentile among running backs. (This might not seem too impressive, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage).. Christian McCaffrey's ability to generate extra yardage has gotten better this year, compiling 5.50 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a mere 0.00 rate last year.. The Cowboys pass defense has been torched for the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (88.7%) versus RBs this year (88.7%).
Receiving Yards
Brevyn Spann-Ford logo
Brevyn Spann-Ford o23.5 Receiving Yards (-113) Projection 29.67 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 5 out of 5
This game's line implies a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -4-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cowboys to pass on 64.3% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Dallas Cowboys have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a massive 60.6 plays per game.. The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.. The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (37.8 per game) this year.
Receiving Yards
George Kittle logo
George Kittle o62.5 Receiving Yards (-115) Projection 67.98 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 4 out of 5
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. This week, George Kittle is forecasted by the model to land in the 97th percentile among tight ends with 7.9 targets.. George Kittle has put up significantly more air yards this season (60.0 per game) than he did last season (45.0 per game).. George Kittle's 56.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 48.4.. The Cowboys pass defense has been torched for the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (79%) to tight ends this year (79.0%).
Receiving Yards
CeeDee Lamb logo
CeeDee Lamb o89.5 Receiving Yards (-113) Projection 93.31 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating Star rating: 4 out of 5
This game's line implies a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -4-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cowboys to pass on 64.3% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Dallas Cowboys have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a massive 60.6 plays per game.. The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (37.8 per game) this year.. CeeDee Lamb has put up significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (92.0) this year than he did last year (73.0).

SF vs DAL Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Spread

71% picking San Francisco

71%
29%

Total Picks SF 602, DAL 251

Spread
SF
DAL
Total

41% picking San Francisco vs Dallas to go Under

59%
41%

Total PicksSF 288, DAL 198

Total
Over
Under

SF vs DAL Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS PROJECTIONS ANALYSIS BEST ODDS
SPREAD
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
DAL +4.5 spread
1.10 PROJECTION
-3.4 DIFFERENCE
16.46% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
DAL +4.5 spread

PROJECTION

1.10 PROJECTION
-3.4 DIFFERENCE
16.46% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+3.5 +100
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
Under 55.5 Total
54.74 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
11.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
Under 55.5 Total

PROJECTION

54.74 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
11.55% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

u56.5 -115
FanDuel logo
PASSING YARDS
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) o269.5 Passing Yards
305.08 OVER PROJECTION
+35.6 DIFFERENCE
26.06% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) o269.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

305.08 OVER PROJECTION
+35.6 DIFFERENCE
26.06% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -4-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cowboys to pass on 64.3% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Dallas Cowboys have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a massive 60.6 plays per game.. The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (37.8 per game) this year.. With an impressive tally of 239.0 adjusted passing yards per game (89th percentile), Dak Prescott rates among the top QBs in football this year.

o269.5 -115
BetMGM logo
PASSING YARDS
Brock Purdy logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
B. Purdy (QB) o261.5 Passing Yards
275.00 OVER PROJECTION
+13.5 DIFFERENCE
21.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Brock Purdy logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
B. Purdy (QB) o261.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

275.00 OVER PROJECTION
+13.5 DIFFERENCE
21.78% EV

ANALYSIS

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. When it comes to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the 49ers ranks as the best in football this year.. Brock Purdy's 220.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year indicates a substantial gain in his passing proficiency over last year's 190.0 rate.. Brock Purdy is positioned as one of the most on-target passers in football this year with an excellent 68.6% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 94th percentile.. Opposing quarterbacks have passed for the 6th-most adjusted yards in the league (249.0 per game) against the Dallas Cowboys defense this year.

o253.5 -115
BetMGM logo
RUSHING YARDS
Christian McCaffrey logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
C. McCaffrey (RB) u66.5 Rushing Yards
49.36 UNDER PROJECTION
-17.1 DIFFERENCE
26.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Christian McCaffrey logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
C. McCaffrey (RB) u66.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

49.36 UNDER PROJECTION
-17.1 DIFFERENCE
26.54% EV

ANALYSIS

Right now, the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the model is the 49ers.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. After making up 68.4% of his team's run game usage last season, Christian McCaffrey has been called on less the rushing attack this season, now making up just 48.0%.. As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Dallas's unit has been exceptional this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

u66.5 -130
theScore Bet logo
RUSHING YARDS
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) o8.5 Rushing Yards
14.79 OVER PROJECTION
+6.3 DIFFERENCE
25.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) o8.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

14.79 OVER PROJECTION
+6.3 DIFFERENCE
25.59% EV

ANALYSIS

The Dallas Cowboys have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a massive 60.6 plays per game.

o8.5 -115
bet365 logo
RUSHING YARDS
Brock Purdy logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
B. Purdy (QB) o19.5 Rushing Yards
28.02 OVER PROJECTION
+8.5 DIFFERENCE
25.56% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Brock Purdy logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
B. Purdy (QB) o19.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

28.02 OVER PROJECTION
+8.5 DIFFERENCE
25.56% EV

ANALYSIS

A rushing game script is implied by the 49ers being a 4-point favorite in this week's game.. In this contest, Brock Purdy is projected by our trusted projection set to accumulate the 4th-most carries among all QBs with 5.1. . Accounting for 16.2% of his offense's rushing play calls this year (89th percentile when it comes to QBs), Brock Purdy's mobility makes him a dangerous threat in San Francisco's rushing attack.. Brock Purdy's 35.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year conveys a noteable boost in his rushing ability over last year's 14.0 figure.. Opposing teams have rushed for the most adjusted yards in the league (157 per game) against the Dallas Cowboys defense this year.

o17.5 -118
BetRivers logo
RUSHING YARDS
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) u61.5 Rushing Yards
61.28 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) u61.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

61.28 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.96% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -4-point underdogs.. The model projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 2nd-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 35.7% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Cowboys are predicted by the projections to run just 62.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-fewest on the slate this week.. The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.. This year, the strong San Francisco 49ers run defense has given up a meager 78.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the best in the NFL.

u65.5 -120
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Deebo Samuel Sr. logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
D. Samuel Sr. (WR) o39.5 Receiving Yards
45.77 OVER PROJECTION
+6.3 DIFFERENCE
25.82% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Deebo Samuel Sr. logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
D. Samuel Sr. (WR) o39.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

45.77 OVER PROJECTION
+6.3 DIFFERENCE
25.82% EV

ANALYSIS

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. When it comes to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the 49ers ranks as the best in football this year.. With an outstanding 50.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (82nd percentile) this year, Deebo Samuel Sr. has been among the top WRs in the NFL in football.. Deebo Samuel Sr.'s receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 73.4% to 88.9%.. This year, the anemic Dallas Cowboys defense has conceded a colossal 164.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing wide receivers: the 7th-worst in the league.

o34.5 -115
BetMGM logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Christian McCaffrey logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
C. McCaffrey (RB) o32.5 Receiving Yards
41.17 OVER PROJECTION
+8.7 DIFFERENCE
24.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Christian McCaffrey logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
C. McCaffrey (RB) o32.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

41.17 OVER PROJECTION
+8.7 DIFFERENCE
24.89% EV

ANALYSIS

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. In this week's game, Christian McCaffrey is predicted by the projection model to find himself in the 100th percentile when it comes to RBs with 6.0 targets.. Christian McCaffrey has notched a whopping 13.0 air yards per game this year: 100th percentile among running backs. (This might not seem too impressive, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage).. Christian McCaffrey's ability to generate extra yardage has gotten better this year, compiling 5.50 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a mere 0.00 rate last year.. The Cowboys pass defense has been torched for the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (88.7%) versus RBs this year (88.7%).

o30.5 -135
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Brevyn Spann-Ford logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
B. Spann-Ford (TE) o23.5 Receiving Yards
29.67 OVER PROJECTION
+6.2 DIFFERENCE
24.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Brevyn Spann-Ford logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
B. Spann-Ford (TE) o23.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

29.67 OVER PROJECTION
+6.2 DIFFERENCE
24.01% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -4-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cowboys to pass on 64.3% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Dallas Cowboys have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a massive 60.6 plays per game.. The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.. The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (37.8 per game) this year.

o20.5 -140
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
George Kittle logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
G. Kittle (TE) o62.5 Receiving Yards
67.98 OVER PROJECTION
+5.5 DIFFERENCE
19.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
George Kittle logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
G. Kittle (TE) o62.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

67.98 OVER PROJECTION
+5.5 DIFFERENCE
19.89% EV

ANALYSIS

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. This week, George Kittle is forecasted by the model to land in the 97th percentile among tight ends with 7.9 targets.. George Kittle has put up significantly more air yards this season (60.0 per game) than he did last season (45.0 per game).. George Kittle's 56.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 48.4.. The Cowboys pass defense has been torched for the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (79%) to tight ends this year (79.0%).

o59.5 -115
BetRivers logo
RECEIVING YARDS
CeeDee Lamb logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
C. Lamb (WR) o89.5 Receiving Yards
93.31 OVER PROJECTION
+3.8 DIFFERENCE
17.37% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
CeeDee Lamb logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
C. Lamb (WR) o89.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

93.31 OVER PROJECTION
+3.8 DIFFERENCE
17.37% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -4-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cowboys to pass on 64.3% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Dallas Cowboys have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a massive 60.6 plays per game.. The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (37.8 per game) this year.. CeeDee Lamb has put up significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (92.0) this year than he did last year (73.0).

o88.5 -114
DraftKings logo
RECEIVING YARDS
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) o16.5 Receiving Yards
16.80 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
12.34% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) o16.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

16.80 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
12.34% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -4-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cowboys to pass on 64.3% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Dallas Cowboys have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a massive 60.6 plays per game.. The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (37.8 per game) this year.. Javonte Williams has notched quite a few more adjusted receiving yards per game (14.0) this season than he did last season (9.0).

o12.5 -120
BetRivers logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
George Kittle logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
G. Kittle (TE) o5.5 Receptions Made
5.72 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
8.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
George Kittle logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
G. Kittle (TE) o5.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

5.72 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
8.04% EV

ANALYSIS

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. This week, George Kittle is forecasted by the model to land in the 97th percentile among tight ends with 8.0 targets.. George Kittle's 56.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 48.4.. When it comes to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the 49ers ranks as the best in football this year.. The Cowboys pass defense has been torched for the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (79%) to tight ends this year (79.0%).

o4.5 -152
BetRivers logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) u3.5 Receptions Made
2.85 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
5.63% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) u3.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.85 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
5.63% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Cowboys are predicted by the projections to run just 62.7 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-fewest on the slate this week.. The San Francisco 49ers linebackers project as the 2nd-best group of LBs in football this year in covering receivers.

u3.5 -168
DraftKings logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
CeeDee Lamb logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
C. Lamb (WR) u7.5 Receptions Made
7.12 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
CeeDee Lamb logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
C. Lamb (WR) u7.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

7.12 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.7% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Cowboys are predicted by the projections to run just 62.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-fewest on the slate this week.. The San Francisco 49ers linebackers project as the 2nd-best group of LBs in football this year in covering receivers.

u7.5 -135
BetMGM logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Deebo Samuel Sr. logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
D. Samuel Sr. (WR) u3.5 Receptions Made
3.33 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-0.63% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Deebo Samuel Sr. logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
D. Samuel Sr. (WR) u3.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.33 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-0.63% EV

ANALYSIS

A rushing game script is implied by the 49ers being a 4-point favorite in this week's game.. The leading projections forecast the 49ers as the 9th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 56.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Right now, the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the model is the 49ers.. Deebo Samuel Sr.'s 13.7% Target Share this season illustrates a noteworthy diminishment in his passing game workload over last season's 25.1% rate.

u3.5 -135
BetMGM logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Brevyn Spann-Ford logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
B. Spann-Ford (TE) o2.5 Receptions Made
2.94 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-0.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Brevyn Spann-Ford logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
B. Spann-Ford (TE) o2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.94 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-0.84% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -4-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cowboys to pass on 64.3% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Dallas Cowboys have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a massive 60.6 plays per game.. The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.. The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (37.8 per game) this year.

o2.5 -134
DraftKings logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Christian McCaffrey logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
C. McCaffrey (RB) u4.5 Receptions Made
4.30 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-1.15% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Christian McCaffrey logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
C. McCaffrey (RB) u4.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

4.30 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-1.15% EV

ANALYSIS

A rushing game script is implied by the 49ers being a 4-point favorite in this week's game.. The leading projections forecast the 49ers as the 9th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 56.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Right now, the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the model is the 49ers.. Christian McCaffrey's 69.2% Route Participation% this year illustrates a substantial drop-off in his air attack usage over last year's 81.0% rate.. Christian McCaffrey's 4.0 adjusted receptions per game this year marks a noteworthy decrease in his receiving prowess over last year's 5.1 rate.

u4.5 -130
bet365 logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Christian McCaffrey logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
C. McCaffrey (RB) u14.5 Rushing Attempts
11.97 UNDER PROJECTION
-2.5 DIFFERENCE
20% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Christian McCaffrey logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
C. McCaffrey (RB) u14.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

11.97 UNDER PROJECTION
-2.5 DIFFERENCE
20% EV

ANALYSIS

Right now, the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the model is the 49ers.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. After making up 68.4% of his team's run game usage last season, Christian McCaffrey has been called on less the rushing attack this season, now making up just 48.0%.. As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Dallas's unit has been exceptional this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

u14.5 -125
BetMGM logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) u16.5 Rushing Attempts
14.49 UNDER PROJECTION
-2.0 DIFFERENCE
19.9% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) u16.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

14.49 UNDER PROJECTION
-2.0 DIFFERENCE
19.9% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -4-point underdogs.. The model projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 2nd-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 35.7% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Cowboys are predicted by the projections to run just 62.7 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-fewest on the slate this week.. The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.. The San Francisco 49ers linebackers rank as the best LB corps in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

u16.5 +106
FanDuel logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Brock Purdy logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
B. Purdy (QB) o3.5 Rushing Attempts
5.12 OVER PROJECTION
+1.6 DIFFERENCE
17.81% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Brock Purdy logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
B. Purdy (QB) o3.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

5.12 OVER PROJECTION
+1.6 DIFFERENCE
17.81% EV

ANALYSIS

A rushing game script is implied by the 49ers being a 4-point favorite in this week's game.. In this contest, Brock Purdy is projected by our trusted projection set to accumulate the 4th-most carries among all QBs with 5.1. . Accounting for 16.2% of his offense's rushing play calls this year (89th percentile when it comes to QBs), Brock Purdy's mobility makes him a dangerous threat in San Francisco's rushing attack.

o3.5 -140
Hard Rock Bet logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) o2.5 Rushing Attempts
2.78 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) o2.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

2.78 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.01% EV

ANALYSIS

The Dallas Cowboys have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a massive 60.6 plays per game.

o2.5 -115
bet365 logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Brock Purdy logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
B. Purdy (QB) o31.5 Passing Attempts
32.83 OVER PROJECTION
+1.3 DIFFERENCE
11.29% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Brock Purdy logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
B. Purdy (QB) o31.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

32.83 OVER PROJECTION
+1.3 DIFFERENCE
11.29% EV

ANALYSIS

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

o30.5 -125
FanDuel logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) u37.5 Passing Attempts
36.61 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
-1.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) u37.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

36.61 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
-1.96% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Cowboys are predicted by the projections to run just 62.7 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-fewest on the slate this week.

u37.5 -114
FanDuel logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Brock Purdy logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
B. Purdy (QB) o21.5 Passing Completions
22.73 OVER PROJECTION
+1.2 DIFFERENCE
13.33% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Brock Purdy logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
B. Purdy (QB) o21.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

22.73 OVER PROJECTION
+1.2 DIFFERENCE
13.33% EV

ANALYSIS

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. When it comes to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the 49ers ranks as the best in football this year.. Brock Purdy is positioned as one of the most on-target passers in football this year with an excellent 68.6% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 94th percentile.. Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 7th-highest rate in the NFL vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year (71.8% Adjusted Completion%).. The Cowboys cornerbacks rank as the 4th-worst group of CBs in the league this year in covering receivers.

o21.5 -105
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) o24.5 Passing Completions
25.52 OVER PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
12.26% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) o24.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

25.52 OVER PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
12.26% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -4-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cowboys to pass on 64.3% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Dallas Cowboys have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a massive 60.6 plays per game.. The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.. The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (37.8 per game) this year.

o24.5 +101
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Deebo Samuel Sr. logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
D. Samuel Sr. (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.47 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
0% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Deebo Samuel Sr. logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
D. Samuel Sr. (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.47 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
0% EV

ANALYSIS

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. When it comes to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the 49ers ranks as the best in football this year.. Deebo Samuel Sr.'s receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 73.4% to 88.9%.. With a remarkable ratio of 0.40 per game through the air (87th percentile), Deebo Samuel Sr. ranks as one of the best receiving touchdown-scorers in the league when it comes to WRs this year.. Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 7th-highest rate in the NFL vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year (71.8% Adjusted Completion%).

+185
theScore Bet logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Demarcus Robinson logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
D. Robinson (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.34 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
16.8% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Demarcus Robinson logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
D. Robinson (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.34 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
16.8% EV

ANALYSIS

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. With a sizeable 17.6% Red Zone Target Share (78th percentile) this year, Demarcus Robinson has been as one of the wideouts with the biggest workloads near the goal line in the league.. When it comes to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the 49ers ranks as the best in football this year.. Demarcus Robinson's sure-handedness have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 71.3% to 80.3%.. Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 7th-highest rate in the NFL vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year (72.0% Adjusted Completion%).

+290
FanDuel logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
George Kittle logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
G. Kittle (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.57 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
16.09% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
George Kittle logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
G. Kittle (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.57 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
16.09% EV

ANALYSIS

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. George Kittle has put up significantly more air yards this season (60.0 per game) than he did last season (45.0 per game).. George Kittle's 56.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 48.4.. When it comes to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the 49ers ranks as the best in football this year.. George Kittle grades out in the 94th percentile among TEs as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging a stellar 0.56 per game.

+120
FanDuel logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.74 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
14.71% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.74 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
14.71% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -4-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cowboys to pass on 64.3% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Dallas Cowboys have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a massive 60.6 plays per game.. The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.. The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (37.8 per game) this year.

-155
theScore Bet logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
CeeDee Lamb logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
C. Lamb (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.64 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
11.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
CeeDee Lamb logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
C. Lamb (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.64 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
11.67% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -4-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cowboys to pass on 64.3% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Dallas Cowboys have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a massive 60.6 plays per game.. The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.. The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (37.8 per game) this year.

-105
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Christian McCaffrey logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
C. McCaffrey (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.82 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
11.46% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Christian McCaffrey logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
C. McCaffrey (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.82 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
11.46% EV

ANALYSIS

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. Christian McCaffrey has been heavily involved in his team's pass game near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 17.1% this year, which ranks in the 97th percentile when it comes to RBs.. Christian McCaffrey has notched a whopping 13.0 air yards per game this year: 100th percentile among running backs. (This might not seem too impressive, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage).. When it comes to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the 49ers ranks as the best in football this year.. With an excellent rate of 0.11 per game through the air (82nd percentile), Christian McCaffrey stands among the top receiving TD-scorers in the league when it comes to RBs this year.

-240
theScore Bet logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.14 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
9.83% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.14 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
9.83% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -4-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cowboys to pass on 64.3% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Dallas Cowboys have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a massive 60.6 plays per game.. The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.. This week, Dak Prescott is anticipated by the projection model to total the 5th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 38.3.

+700
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Brock Purdy logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
B. Purdy (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.27 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
3.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Brock Purdy logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
B. Purdy (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.27 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
3.65% EV

ANALYSIS

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. When it comes to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the 49ers ranks as the best in football this year.. Brock Purdy is positioned as one of the most on-target passers in football this year with an excellent 68.6% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 94th percentile.. With an impressive rate of 1.89 per game (89th percentile), Brock Purdy has been among the best touchdown throwers in the NFL this year.. Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 7th-highest rate in the NFL vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year (71.8% Adjusted Completion%).

+300
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Brevyn Spann-Ford logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
B. Spann-Ford (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.2 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-7.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Brevyn Spann-Ford logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
B. Spann-Ford (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.2 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-7.07% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -4-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cowboys to pass on 64.3% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Dallas Cowboys have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a massive 60.6 plays per game.. The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.. The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (37.8 per game) this year.

+360
BetMGM logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Brock Purdy logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
B. Purdy (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.39 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.88% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Brock Purdy logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
B. Purdy (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.39 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.88% EV

ANALYSIS

A rushing game script is implied by the 49ers being a 4-point favorite in this week's game.. The leading projections forecast the 49ers as the 8th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 56.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Right now, the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the model is the 49ers.

u0.5 -120
FanDuel logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) o0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.51 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-21.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) o0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.51 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-21.17% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -4-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cowboys to pass on 64.3% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Dallas Cowboys have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a massive 60.6 plays per game.. The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.. The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (37.8 per game) this year.

o0.5 -115
BetMGM logo
  • Proj. Diff: Low to High
  • Proj. Diff: High to Low
  • Proj. Rating: Low to High
  • Proj. Rating: High to Low
  • +EV: Low to High
  • +EV: High to Low
SPREAD
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
DAL +4.5 spread
1.10 PROJECTION
-3.4 DIFFERENCE
16.46% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
DAL +4.5 spread

PROJECTION

1.10 PROJECTION
-3.4 DIFFERENCE
16.46% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+3.5 +100
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
Under 55.5 Total
54.74 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
11.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
Under 55.5 Total

PROJECTION

54.74 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
11.55% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

u56.5 -115
FanDuel logo
PASSING YARDS
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) o269.5 Passing Yards
305.08 OVER PROJECTION
+35.6 DIFFERENCE
26.06% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) o269.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

305.08 OVER PROJECTION
+35.6 DIFFERENCE
26.06% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -4-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cowboys to pass on 64.3% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Dallas Cowboys have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a massive 60.6 plays per game.. The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (37.8 per game) this year.. With an impressive tally of 239.0 adjusted passing yards per game (89th percentile), Dak Prescott rates among the top QBs in football this year.

o269.5 -115
BetMGM logo
PASSING YARDS
Brock Purdy logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
B. Purdy (QB) o261.5 Passing Yards
275.00 OVER PROJECTION
+13.5 DIFFERENCE
21.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Brock Purdy logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
B. Purdy (QB) o261.5 Passing Yards

PROJECTION

275.00 OVER PROJECTION
+13.5 DIFFERENCE
21.78% EV

ANALYSIS

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. When it comes to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the 49ers ranks as the best in football this year.. Brock Purdy's 220.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year indicates a substantial gain in his passing proficiency over last year's 190.0 rate.. Brock Purdy is positioned as one of the most on-target passers in football this year with an excellent 68.6% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 94th percentile.. Opposing quarterbacks have passed for the 6th-most adjusted yards in the league (249.0 per game) against the Dallas Cowboys defense this year.

o253.5 -115
BetMGM logo
RUSHING YARDS
Christian McCaffrey logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
C. McCaffrey (RB) u66.5 Rushing Yards
49.36 UNDER PROJECTION
-17.1 DIFFERENCE
26.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Christian McCaffrey logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
C. McCaffrey (RB) u66.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

49.36 UNDER PROJECTION
-17.1 DIFFERENCE
26.54% EV

ANALYSIS

Right now, the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the model is the 49ers.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. After making up 68.4% of his team's run game usage last season, Christian McCaffrey has been called on less the rushing attack this season, now making up just 48.0%.. As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Dallas's unit has been exceptional this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

u66.5 -130
theScore Bet logo
RUSHING YARDS
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) o8.5 Rushing Yards
14.79 OVER PROJECTION
+6.3 DIFFERENCE
25.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) o8.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

14.79 OVER PROJECTION
+6.3 DIFFERENCE
25.59% EV

ANALYSIS

The Dallas Cowboys have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a massive 60.6 plays per game.

o8.5 -115
bet365 logo
RUSHING YARDS
Brock Purdy logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
B. Purdy (QB) o19.5 Rushing Yards
28.02 OVER PROJECTION
+8.5 DIFFERENCE
25.56% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Brock Purdy logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
B. Purdy (QB) o19.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

28.02 OVER PROJECTION
+8.5 DIFFERENCE
25.56% EV

ANALYSIS

A rushing game script is implied by the 49ers being a 4-point favorite in this week's game.. In this contest, Brock Purdy is projected by our trusted projection set to accumulate the 4th-most carries among all QBs with 5.1. . Accounting for 16.2% of his offense's rushing play calls this year (89th percentile when it comes to QBs), Brock Purdy's mobility makes him a dangerous threat in San Francisco's rushing attack.. Brock Purdy's 35.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year conveys a noteable boost in his rushing ability over last year's 14.0 figure.. Opposing teams have rushed for the most adjusted yards in the league (157 per game) against the Dallas Cowboys defense this year.

o17.5 -118
BetRivers logo
RUSHING YARDS
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) u61.5 Rushing Yards
61.28 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) u61.5 Rushing Yards

PROJECTION

61.28 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.96% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -4-point underdogs.. The model projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 2nd-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 35.7% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Cowboys are predicted by the projections to run just 62.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-fewest on the slate this week.. The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.. This year, the strong San Francisco 49ers run defense has given up a meager 78.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the best in the NFL.

u65.5 -120
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RECEIVING YARDS
Deebo Samuel Sr. logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
D. Samuel Sr. (WR) o39.5 Receiving Yards
45.77 OVER PROJECTION
+6.3 DIFFERENCE
25.82% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Deebo Samuel Sr. logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
D. Samuel Sr. (WR) o39.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

45.77 OVER PROJECTION
+6.3 DIFFERENCE
25.82% EV

ANALYSIS

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. When it comes to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the 49ers ranks as the best in football this year.. With an outstanding 50.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (82nd percentile) this year, Deebo Samuel Sr. has been among the top WRs in the NFL in football.. Deebo Samuel Sr.'s receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 73.4% to 88.9%.. This year, the anemic Dallas Cowboys defense has conceded a colossal 164.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing wide receivers: the 7th-worst in the league.

o34.5 -115
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RECEIVING YARDS
Christian McCaffrey logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
C. McCaffrey (RB) o32.5 Receiving Yards
41.17 OVER PROJECTION
+8.7 DIFFERENCE
24.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Christian McCaffrey logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
C. McCaffrey (RB) o32.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

41.17 OVER PROJECTION
+8.7 DIFFERENCE
24.89% EV

ANALYSIS

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. In this week's game, Christian McCaffrey is predicted by the projection model to find himself in the 100th percentile when it comes to RBs with 6.0 targets.. Christian McCaffrey has notched a whopping 13.0 air yards per game this year: 100th percentile among running backs. (This might not seem too impressive, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage).. Christian McCaffrey's ability to generate extra yardage has gotten better this year, compiling 5.50 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a mere 0.00 rate last year.. The Cowboys pass defense has been torched for the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (88.7%) versus RBs this year (88.7%).

o30.5 -135
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RECEIVING YARDS
Brevyn Spann-Ford logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
B. Spann-Ford (TE) o23.5 Receiving Yards
29.67 OVER PROJECTION
+6.2 DIFFERENCE
24.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Brevyn Spann-Ford logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
B. Spann-Ford (TE) o23.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

29.67 OVER PROJECTION
+6.2 DIFFERENCE
24.01% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -4-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cowboys to pass on 64.3% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Dallas Cowboys have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a massive 60.6 plays per game.. The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.. The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (37.8 per game) this year.

o20.5 -140
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
RECEIVING YARDS
George Kittle logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
G. Kittle (TE) o62.5 Receiving Yards
67.98 OVER PROJECTION
+5.5 DIFFERENCE
19.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
George Kittle logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
G. Kittle (TE) o62.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

67.98 OVER PROJECTION
+5.5 DIFFERENCE
19.89% EV

ANALYSIS

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. This week, George Kittle is forecasted by the model to land in the 97th percentile among tight ends with 7.9 targets.. George Kittle has put up significantly more air yards this season (60.0 per game) than he did last season (45.0 per game).. George Kittle's 56.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 48.4.. The Cowboys pass defense has been torched for the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (79%) to tight ends this year (79.0%).

o59.5 -115
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RECEIVING YARDS
CeeDee Lamb logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
C. Lamb (WR) o89.5 Receiving Yards
93.31 OVER PROJECTION
+3.8 DIFFERENCE
17.37% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
CeeDee Lamb logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
C. Lamb (WR) o89.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

93.31 OVER PROJECTION
+3.8 DIFFERENCE
17.37% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -4-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cowboys to pass on 64.3% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Dallas Cowboys have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a massive 60.6 plays per game.. The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (37.8 per game) this year.. CeeDee Lamb has put up significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (92.0) this year than he did last year (73.0).

o88.5 -114
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RECEIVING YARDS
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) o16.5 Receiving Yards
16.80 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
12.34% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) o16.5 Receiving Yards

PROJECTION

16.80 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
12.34% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -4-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cowboys to pass on 64.3% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Dallas Cowboys have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a massive 60.6 plays per game.. The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (37.8 per game) this year.. Javonte Williams has notched quite a few more adjusted receiving yards per game (14.0) this season than he did last season (9.0).

o12.5 -120
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RECEPTIONS MADE
George Kittle logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
G. Kittle (TE) o5.5 Receptions Made
5.72 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
8.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
George Kittle logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
G. Kittle (TE) o5.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

5.72 OVER PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
8.04% EV

ANALYSIS

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. This week, George Kittle is forecasted by the model to land in the 97th percentile among tight ends with 8.0 targets.. George Kittle's 56.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 48.4.. When it comes to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the 49ers ranks as the best in football this year.. The Cowboys pass defense has been torched for the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (79%) to tight ends this year (79.0%).

o4.5 -152
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RECEPTIONS MADE
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) u3.5 Receptions Made
2.85 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
5.63% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) u3.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.85 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
5.63% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Cowboys are predicted by the projections to run just 62.7 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-fewest on the slate this week.. The San Francisco 49ers linebackers project as the 2nd-best group of LBs in football this year in covering receivers.

u3.5 -168
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RECEPTIONS MADE
CeeDee Lamb logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
C. Lamb (WR) u7.5 Receptions Made
7.12 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
CeeDee Lamb logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
C. Lamb (WR) u7.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

7.12 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
0.7% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Cowboys are predicted by the projections to run just 62.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-fewest on the slate this week.. The San Francisco 49ers linebackers project as the 2nd-best group of LBs in football this year in covering receivers.

u7.5 -135
BetMGM logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Deebo Samuel Sr. logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
D. Samuel Sr. (WR) u3.5 Receptions Made
3.33 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-0.63% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Deebo Samuel Sr. logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
D. Samuel Sr. (WR) u3.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

3.33 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-0.63% EV

ANALYSIS

A rushing game script is implied by the 49ers being a 4-point favorite in this week's game.. The leading projections forecast the 49ers as the 9th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 56.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Right now, the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the model is the 49ers.. Deebo Samuel Sr.'s 13.7% Target Share this season illustrates a noteworthy diminishment in his passing game workload over last season's 25.1% rate.

u3.5 -135
BetMGM logo
RECEPTIONS MADE
Brevyn Spann-Ford logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
B. Spann-Ford (TE) o2.5 Receptions Made
2.94 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-0.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Brevyn Spann-Ford logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
B. Spann-Ford (TE) o2.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

2.94 OVER PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-0.84% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -4-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cowboys to pass on 64.3% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Dallas Cowboys have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a massive 60.6 plays per game.. The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.. The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (37.8 per game) this year.

o2.5 -134
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RECEPTIONS MADE
Christian McCaffrey logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
C. McCaffrey (RB) u4.5 Receptions Made
4.30 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-1.15% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Christian McCaffrey logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
C. McCaffrey (RB) u4.5 Receptions Made

PROJECTION

4.30 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-1.15% EV

ANALYSIS

A rushing game script is implied by the 49ers being a 4-point favorite in this week's game.. The leading projections forecast the 49ers as the 9th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 56.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Right now, the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the model is the 49ers.. Christian McCaffrey's 69.2% Route Participation% this year illustrates a substantial drop-off in his air attack usage over last year's 81.0% rate.. Christian McCaffrey's 4.0 adjusted receptions per game this year marks a noteworthy decrease in his receiving prowess over last year's 5.1 rate.

u4.5 -130
bet365 logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Christian McCaffrey logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
C. McCaffrey (RB) u14.5 Rushing Attempts
11.97 UNDER PROJECTION
-2.5 DIFFERENCE
20% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Christian McCaffrey logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
C. McCaffrey (RB) u14.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

11.97 UNDER PROJECTION
-2.5 DIFFERENCE
20% EV

ANALYSIS

Right now, the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the model is the 49ers.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. After making up 68.4% of his team's run game usage last season, Christian McCaffrey has been called on less the rushing attack this season, now making up just 48.0%.. As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Dallas's unit has been exceptional this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

u14.5 -125
BetMGM logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) u16.5 Rushing Attempts
14.49 UNDER PROJECTION
-2.0 DIFFERENCE
19.9% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) u16.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

14.49 UNDER PROJECTION
-2.0 DIFFERENCE
19.9% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -4-point underdogs.. The model projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 2nd-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 35.7% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Cowboys are predicted by the projections to run just 62.7 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-fewest on the slate this week.. The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.. The San Francisco 49ers linebackers rank as the best LB corps in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

u16.5 +106
FanDuel logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Brock Purdy logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
B. Purdy (QB) o3.5 Rushing Attempts
5.12 OVER PROJECTION
+1.6 DIFFERENCE
17.81% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Brock Purdy logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
B. Purdy (QB) o3.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

5.12 OVER PROJECTION
+1.6 DIFFERENCE
17.81% EV

ANALYSIS

A rushing game script is implied by the 49ers being a 4-point favorite in this week's game.. In this contest, Brock Purdy is projected by our trusted projection set to accumulate the 4th-most carries among all QBs with 5.1. . Accounting for 16.2% of his offense's rushing play calls this year (89th percentile when it comes to QBs), Brock Purdy's mobility makes him a dangerous threat in San Francisco's rushing attack.

o3.5 -140
Hard Rock Bet logo
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) o2.5 Rushing Attempts
2.78 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) o2.5 Rushing Attempts

PROJECTION

2.78 OVER PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.01% EV

ANALYSIS

The Dallas Cowboys have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a massive 60.6 plays per game.

o2.5 -115
bet365 logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Brock Purdy logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
B. Purdy (QB) o31.5 Passing Attempts
32.83 OVER PROJECTION
+1.3 DIFFERENCE
11.29% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Brock Purdy logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
B. Purdy (QB) o31.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

32.83 OVER PROJECTION
+1.3 DIFFERENCE
11.29% EV

ANALYSIS

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

o30.5 -125
FanDuel logo
PASSING ATTEMPTS
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) u37.5 Passing Attempts
36.61 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
-1.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) u37.5 Passing Attempts

PROJECTION

36.61 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
-1.96% EV

ANALYSIS

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Cowboys are predicted by the projections to run just 62.7 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-fewest on the slate this week.

u37.5 -114
FanDuel logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Brock Purdy logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
B. Purdy (QB) o21.5 Passing Completions
22.73 OVER PROJECTION
+1.2 DIFFERENCE
13.33% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Brock Purdy logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
B. Purdy (QB) o21.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

22.73 OVER PROJECTION
+1.2 DIFFERENCE
13.33% EV

ANALYSIS

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. When it comes to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the 49ers ranks as the best in football this year.. Brock Purdy is positioned as one of the most on-target passers in football this year with an excellent 68.6% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 94th percentile.. Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 7th-highest rate in the NFL vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year (71.8% Adjusted Completion%).. The Cowboys cornerbacks rank as the 4th-worst group of CBs in the league this year in covering receivers.

o21.5 -105
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
PASSING COMPLETIONS
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) o24.5 Passing Completions
25.52 OVER PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
12.26% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) o24.5 Passing Completions

PROJECTION

25.52 OVER PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
12.26% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -4-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cowboys to pass on 64.3% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Dallas Cowboys have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a massive 60.6 plays per game.. The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.. The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (37.8 per game) this year.

o24.5 +101
DraftKings logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Deebo Samuel Sr. logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
D. Samuel Sr. (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.47 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
0% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Deebo Samuel Sr. logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
D. Samuel Sr. (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.47 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
0% EV

ANALYSIS

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. When it comes to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the 49ers ranks as the best in football this year.. Deebo Samuel Sr.'s receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 73.4% to 88.9%.. With a remarkable ratio of 0.40 per game through the air (87th percentile), Deebo Samuel Sr. ranks as one of the best receiving touchdown-scorers in the league when it comes to WRs this year.. Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 7th-highest rate in the NFL vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year (71.8% Adjusted Completion%).

+185
theScore Bet logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Demarcus Robinson logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
D. Robinson (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.34 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
16.8% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Demarcus Robinson logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
D. Robinson (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.34 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
16.8% EV

ANALYSIS

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. With a sizeable 17.6% Red Zone Target Share (78th percentile) this year, Demarcus Robinson has been as one of the wideouts with the biggest workloads near the goal line in the league.. When it comes to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the 49ers ranks as the best in football this year.. Demarcus Robinson's sure-handedness have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 71.3% to 80.3%.. Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 7th-highest rate in the NFL vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year (72.0% Adjusted Completion%).

+290
FanDuel logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
George Kittle logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
G. Kittle (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.57 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
16.09% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
George Kittle logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
G. Kittle (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.57 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
16.09% EV

ANALYSIS

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. George Kittle has put up significantly more air yards this season (60.0 per game) than he did last season (45.0 per game).. George Kittle's 56.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 48.4.. When it comes to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the 49ers ranks as the best in football this year.. George Kittle grades out in the 94th percentile among TEs as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging a stellar 0.56 per game.

+120
FanDuel logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.74 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
14.71% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Javonte Williams logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
J. Williams (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.74 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
14.71% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -4-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cowboys to pass on 64.3% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Dallas Cowboys have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a massive 60.6 plays per game.. The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.. The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (37.8 per game) this year.

-155
theScore Bet logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
CeeDee Lamb logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
C. Lamb (WR) Anytime Touchdown
0.64 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
11.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
CeeDee Lamb logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
C. Lamb (WR) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.64 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
11.67% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -4-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cowboys to pass on 64.3% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Dallas Cowboys have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a massive 60.6 plays per game.. The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.. The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (37.8 per game) this year.

-105
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Christian McCaffrey logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
C. McCaffrey (RB) Anytime Touchdown
0.82 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
11.46% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Christian McCaffrey logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
C. McCaffrey (RB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.82 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
11.46% EV

ANALYSIS

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. Christian McCaffrey has been heavily involved in his team's pass game near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 17.1% this year, which ranks in the 97th percentile when it comes to RBs.. Christian McCaffrey has notched a whopping 13.0 air yards per game this year: 100th percentile among running backs. (This might not seem too impressive, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage).. When it comes to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the 49ers ranks as the best in football this year.. With an excellent rate of 0.11 per game through the air (82nd percentile), Christian McCaffrey stands among the top receiving TD-scorers in the league when it comes to RBs this year.

-240
theScore Bet logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.14 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
9.83% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.14 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
9.83% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -4-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cowboys to pass on 64.3% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Dallas Cowboys have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a massive 60.6 plays per game.. The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.. This week, Dak Prescott is anticipated by the projection model to total the 5th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 38.3.

+700
BetMGM logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Brock Purdy logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
B. Purdy (QB) Anytime Touchdown
0.27 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
3.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Brock Purdy logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
B. Purdy (QB) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.27 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
3.65% EV

ANALYSIS

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.. When it comes to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the 49ers ranks as the best in football this year.. Brock Purdy is positioned as one of the most on-target passers in football this year with an excellent 68.6% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 94th percentile.. With an impressive rate of 1.89 per game (89th percentile), Brock Purdy has been among the best touchdown throwers in the NFL this year.. Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 7th-highest rate in the NFL vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year (71.8% Adjusted Completion%).

+300
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Brevyn Spann-Ford logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
B. Spann-Ford (TE) Anytime Touchdown
0.2 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-7.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Brevyn Spann-Ford logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
B. Spann-Ford (TE) Anytime Touchdown

PROJECTION

0.2 TDs PROJECTION
- DIFFERENCE
-7.07% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -4-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cowboys to pass on 64.3% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Dallas Cowboys have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a massive 60.6 plays per game.. The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.. The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (37.8 per game) this year.

+360
BetMGM logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Brock Purdy logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
B. Purdy (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.39 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.88% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Brock Purdy logo
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail
B. Purdy (QB) u0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.39 UNDER PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.88% EV

ANALYSIS

A rushing game script is implied by the 49ers being a 4-point favorite in this week's game.. The leading projections forecast the 49ers as the 8th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 56.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Right now, the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the model is the 49ers.

u0.5 -120
FanDuel logo
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) o0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.51 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-21.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Dak Prescott logo
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail
D. Prescott (QB) o0.5 Interceptions Thrown

PROJECTION

0.51 PUSH PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-21.17% EV

ANALYSIS

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -4-point underdogs.. Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cowboys to pass on 64.3% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The Dallas Cowboys have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a massive 60.6 plays per game.. The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.. The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (37.8 per game) this year.

o0.5 -115
BetMGM logo

SF vs DAL Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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'Bigblue78' is picking San Francisco to cover (-4.5)

Bigblue78 is #1 on picking games that San Francisco is in with a record of (6-2-0) and +4850 units on the season.

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DAL
Total

'Bigblue78' picks San Francisco vs Dallas to go Over (55.5)

Bigblue78 is #1 on picking games that San Francisco is in with a record of (6-2-0) and +4850 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total

'sakopoo' picks San Francisco vs Dallas to go Over (55.5)

sakopoo is #10 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (7-2-0) and +3750 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'sakopoo' is picking San Francisco to cover (-4.5)

sakopoo is #10 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (7-2-0) and +3750 units on the season.

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SF
DAL
Total

'mlevine' picks San Francisco vs Dallas to go Under (55.5)

mlevine is #2 on picking games that San Francisco is in with a record of (7-1-0) and +4850 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'mlevine' is picking San Francisco to cover (-4.5)

mlevine is #2 on picking games that San Francisco is in with a record of (7-1-0) and +4850 units on the season.

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SF
DAL
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'rollonotes' is picking San Francisco to cover (-3.5)

rollonotes is #3 on picking games that San Francisco is in with a record of (6-2-0) and +4850 units on the season.

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DAL
Total

'rollonotes' picks San Francisco vs Dallas to go Under (55.5)

rollonotes is #3 on picking games that San Francisco is in with a record of (6-2-0) and +4850 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'whosat' is picking San Francisco to cover (-4.5)

whosat is #4 on picking games that San Francisco is in with a record of (7-1-0) and +4850 units on the season.

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SF
DAL
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'BADDGUY1956' is picking San Francisco to cover (-4.5)

BADDGUY1956 is #5 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (6-2-0) and +3800 units on the season.

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DAL
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'BADDGUY1956' picks San Francisco vs Dallas to go Under (55.5)

BADDGUY1956 is #5 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (6-2-0) and +3800 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total

'JEG53' picks San Francisco vs Dallas to go Over (55.5)

JEG53 is #5 on picking games that San Francisco is in with a record of (7-1-0) and +4850 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'JEG53' is picking Dallas to cover (+3.5)

JEG53 is #5 on picking games that San Francisco is in with a record of (7-1-0) and +4850 units on the season.

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SF
DAL
Total

'Edmonton Hustler' picks San Francisco vs Dallas to go Over (55.5)

Edmonton Hustler is #6 on picking games that San Francisco is in with a record of (6-2-0) and +4850 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'Edmonton Hustler' is picking Dallas to cover (+4.5)

Edmonton Hustler is #6 on picking games that San Francisco is in with a record of (6-2-0) and +4850 units on the season.

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SF
DAL
Total

'BPD72' picks San Francisco vs Dallas to go Over (55.5)

BPD72 is #8 on picking games that San Francisco is in with a record of (6-2-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'BPD72' is picking Dallas to cover (+4.5)

BPD72 is #8 on picking games that San Francisco is in with a record of (6-2-0) and +4750 units on the season.

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SF
DAL
Total

'griz55' picks San Francisco vs Dallas to go Under (55.5)

griz55 is #8 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (7-2-0) and +3750 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'griz55' is picking San Francisco to cover (-4.5)

griz55 is #8 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (7-2-0) and +3750 units on the season.

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SF
DAL
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'CastlemontDB91' is picking Dallas to cover (+4.5)

CastlemontDB91 is #9 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (4-5-0) and +3750 units on the season.

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DAL
Total

'CastlemontDB91' picks San Francisco vs Dallas to go Under (55.5)

CastlemontDB91 is #9 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (4-5-0) and +3750 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under

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