Bills vs Jets   Picks & Props

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An extreme running game script is indicated by the Bills being a big 8-point favorite this week.. The model projects the Buffalo Bills as the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 51.3% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The projections expect the Bills offense to be the 9th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 29.19 seconds per play.. The projections expect Josh Allen to attempt 31.0 passes in this game, on average: the 6th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.. Opposing teams have averaged 32.0 pass attempts per game versus the Jets defense this year: 7th-fewest in the NFL.

This game's spread suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Jets, who are big -8-point underdogs.. The Buffalo Bills defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (38.9 per game) this year.. In regards to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the New York Jets ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year.. Geno Smith profiles as one of the most accurate quarterbacks in football this year with an outstanding 67.4% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 84th percentile.. The Buffalo Bills cornerbacks rank as the 3rd-worst unit in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

At the moment, the 10th-most run-heavy offense in football (40.9% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the New York Jets.. As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Buffalo's collection of DEs has been awful this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in the league. in the league.

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Bills being a big 8-point favorite this week.. The projections expect the Bills to be the 2nd-most run-focused team among all teams this week with a 48.7% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The projections expect Josh Allen to accrue 7.9 carries this week, on average: the most among all quarterbacks.. Josh Allen has averaged 42.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest marks in the NFL among QBs (100th percentile).. This year, the poor Jets run defense has given up a monstrous 134.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the 5th-worst in the league.

At the moment, the 10th-most run-heavy offense in football (40.9% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the New York Jets.. The leading projections forecast Breece Hall to accumulate 15.2 carries in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 84th percentile among RBs.. Among all RBs, Breece Hall grades out in the 93rd percentile for carries this year, taking on 63.1% of the workload in his team's rushing attack.. With a stellar tally of 45.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (83rd percentile), Breece Hall has been as one of the top pure rushers in football this year.. As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Buffalo's collection of DEs has been awful this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in the league. in the league.

The projections expect the Bills offense to be the 9th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 29.19 seconds per play.. As it relates to the safeties' role in stopping the run, New York's unit has been tremendous this year, projecting as the best in football.

This game's spread suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Jets, who are big -8-point underdogs.. The Buffalo Bills defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (38.9 per game) this year.. In regards to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the New York Jets ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year.. The Bills pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing TEs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 5.30 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 7th-most in the NFL.

With an impressive 65.5% Snap% (85th percentile) this year, James Cook places among the running backs with the highest volume in football.. James Cook's 9.50 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year indicates a remarkable growth in his effectiveness in space over last year's 0.0% mark.. The New York Jets pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing RBs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 7.90 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 6th-most in football.. When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, New York's collection of LBs has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 4th-worst in the league.

In this contest, DJ Moore is projected by the projections to land in the 79th percentile among WRs with 6.3 targets.. After accumulating 57.0 air yards per game last season, DJ Moore has undergone big improvement this season, now pacing 84.0 per game.. DJ Moore's 48.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 37.9.. DJ Moore's skills in generating extra yardage have gotten better this year, totaling 3.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to just 0.00 mark last year.. The New York Jets pass defense has allowed the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (68.1%) versus wideouts this year (68.1%).

At the moment, the 10th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (59.1% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Jets.. The leading projections forecast the Jets to call the 7th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. The 9th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Jets this year (only 55.3 per game on average).. Breece Hall has gone out for fewer passes this season (31.9% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (43.5%).. The Buffalo Bills linebackers rank as the 6th-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

This game's spread suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Jets, who are big -8-point underdogs.. The Buffalo Bills defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (38.9 per game) this year.. Our trusted projections expect Garrett Wilson to accrue 8.6 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile among wideouts.. Garrett Wilson has accumulated many more air yards this season (85.0 per game) than he did last season (80.0 per game).. Garrett Wilson has compiled quite a few more adjusted receiving yards per game (66.0) this season than he did last season (50.0).

Dalton Kincaid's 65.3% Route Participation% this year conveys a meaningful boost in his pass game workload over last year's 50.5% mark.. In this week's contest, Dalton Kincaid is projected by the model to place in the 82nd percentile when it comes to TEs with 4.9 targets.. Dalton Kincaid has totaled a monstrous 44.0 air yards per game this year: 96th percentile when it comes to TEs.. Dalton Kincaid is positioned as one of the top pass-catching tight ends this year, averaging an excellent 45.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 95th percentile.. Dalton Kincaid's 5.87 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season represents a noteable progression in his efficiency in the open field over last season's 0.0% rate.

At the moment, the 10th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (59.1% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Jets.. The leading projections forecast the Jets to call the 7th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. The 9th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Jets this year (only 55.3 per game on average).. Breece Hall has gone out for fewer passes this season (31.9% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (43.5%).. The Buffalo Bills linebackers rank as the 6th-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

This game's spread suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Jets, who are big -8-point underdogs.. The Buffalo Bills defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (38.9 per game) this year.. In regards to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the New York Jets ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year.

In this contest, DJ Moore is projected by the projections to land in the 79th percentile among WRs with 6.4 targets.. DJ Moore's 48.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 37.9.. The New York Jets pass defense has allowed the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (68.1%) versus wideouts this year (68.1%).. When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, New York's collection of LBs has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 4th-worst in the league.

At the moment, the 10th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (59.1% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Jets.. The leading projections forecast the Jets to call the 7th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. The 9th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Jets this year (only 55.3 per game on average).. Garrett Wilson has been a less important option in his team's air attack this year (28.5% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (34.2%).. This year, the strong Buffalo Bills defense has given up a paltry 60.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 4th-smallest rate in the league.

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Bills being a big 8-point favorite this week.. The model projects the Buffalo Bills as the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 51.3% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The projections expect the Bills offense to be the 9th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 29.19 seconds per play.. Opposing teams have averaged 32.0 pass attempts per game versus the Jets defense this year: 7th-fewest in the NFL.

With an impressive 65.5% Snap% (85th percentile) this year, James Cook places among the running backs with the highest volume in football.. When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, New York's collection of LBs has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 4th-worst in the league.

The projections expect the Bills offense to be the 9th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 29.19 seconds per play.. As it relates to the safeties' role in stopping the run, New York's unit has been tremendous this year, projecting as the best in football.

At the moment, the 10th-most run-heavy offense in football (40.9% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the New York Jets.. The leading projections forecast Breece Hall to accumulate 15.2 carries in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 84th percentile among RBs.. Among all RBs, Breece Hall grades out in the 93rd percentile for carries this year, taking on 63.1% of the workload in his team's rushing attack.. As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Buffalo's collection of DEs has been awful this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in the league. in the league.

This game's spread suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Jets, who are big -8-point underdogs.. The Buffalo Bills defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (38.9 per game) this year.

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This year, the porous Jets defense has given up a staggering 71.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 10th-worst rate in the league.. When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, New York's collection of LBs has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 4th-worst in the league.

At the moment, the 10th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (59.1% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Jets.. The leading projections forecast the Jets to call the 7th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. The 9th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Jets this year (only 55.3 per game on average).. Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 2nd-lowest clip in the NFL versus the Buffalo Bills defense this year (66.3% Adjusted Completion%).

After accumulating 57.0 air yards per game last season, DJ Moore has undergone big improvement this season, now pacing 84.0 per game.. DJ Moore's 48.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 37.9.. The New York Jets pass defense has allowed the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (68.1%) versus wideouts this year (68.1%).. This year, the poor New York Jets defense has surrendered a monstrous 1.00 receiving TDs per game to opposing wideouts: the 9th-highest rate in the league.. As it relates to the safeties' role in stopping the run, New York's unit has been tremendous this year, projecting as the best in football.

This game's spread suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Jets, who are big -8-point underdogs.. The Buffalo Bills defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (38.9 per game) this year.. In regards to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the New York Jets ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year.

This game's spread suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Jets, who are big -8-point underdogs.. The Buffalo Bills defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (38.9 per game) this year.. Garrett Wilson has been an integral part of his team's pass game near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 20.6% this year, which ranks in the 85th percentile when it comes to WRs.. Garrett Wilson has accumulated many more air yards this season (85.0 per game) than he did last season (80.0 per game).. In regards to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the New York Jets ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year.

This year, the porous Jets defense has given up a staggering 71.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 10th-worst rate in the league.. The New York Jets defense has been gouged for the 7th-most touchdowns through the air in football: 1.78 per game this year.. As it relates to the safeties' role in stopping the run, New York's unit has been tremendous this year, projecting as the best in football.

This game's spread suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Jets, who are big -8-point underdogs.. The Buffalo Bills defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (38.9 per game) this year.. In regards to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the New York Jets ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year.. Geno Smith profiles as one of the most accurate quarterbacks in football this year with an outstanding 67.4% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 84th percentile.. The rushing touchdown line reads "0" on Geno Smith's stats page this year.

This year, the feeble New York Jets defense has yielded a monstrous 0.44 TDs through the air per game to opposing RBs: the 2nd-biggest rate in the NFL.. As it relates to the safeties' role in stopping the run, New York's unit has been tremendous this year, projecting as the best in football.

With a remarkable 18.4% Red Zone Target Share (87th percentile) this year, Dalton Kincaid places among the TEs with the biggest workloads near the goal line in the league.. Dalton Kincaid has totaled a monstrous 44.0 air yards per game this year: 96th percentile when it comes to TEs.. Dalton Kincaid slots into the 89th percentile for TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) with a monstrous 38.3 mark this year.. This year, the porous Jets defense has given up a staggering 71.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 10th-worst rate in the league.. As it relates to the safeties' role in stopping the run, New York's unit has been tremendous this year, projecting as the best in football.

This game's spread suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Jets, who are big -8-point underdogs.. The Buffalo Bills defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (38.9 per game) this year.. While Breece Hall has garnered 0.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more integral piece of New York's passing attack near the goal line in this game at 6.1%.. In regards to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the New York Jets ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year.. Breece Hall's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 89.6% to 92.8%.

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Bills being a big 8-point favorite this week.. The model projects the Buffalo Bills as the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 51.7% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. The projections expect the Bills offense to be the 9th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 29.19 seconds per play.. The projections expect Josh Allen to attempt 31.2 passes in this game, on average: the 7th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.. Opposing teams have averaged 32.0 pass attempts per game versus the Jets defense this year: 7th-fewest in the NFL.

This game's spread suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Jets, who are big -8-point underdogs.. The Buffalo Bills defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (38.9 per game) this year.. In regards to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the New York Jets ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year.. The Buffalo Bills cornerbacks rank as the 3rd-worst unit in the NFL this year in defending receivers.