Titans vs Bengals Prediction, Top Picks & TD Scorer: NFL Week 8

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Jason Logan • Senior Betting Analyst 21+ years betting experience
Updated: Nov 1, 2026 , 09:51 AM ET • 4 min read

The Titans just traded away Jeffery Simmons, and a Bengals offense that scored 35 on the Ravens is set up to push this game Over the total.

nfl

Nov 01 • 8:00 AM ET
Titans vs. Bengals prediction. Custom image of Carnell Tate and Chase Brown.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Custom image of Carnell Tate and Chase Brown.

My Titans vs. Bengals prediction is the Over 46.5 after the Titans traded All-Pro defensive tackle Jeffery Simmons to the Bears on Thursday, leaving the Bengals 11.5-point favorites this afternoon.

The Titans' defense was already last in DVOA at FTN before losing its anchor up front, while the Bengals are coming off a 35-13 win over the Ravens. Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET on CBS at Paycor Stadium.

Read the full analysis below, and find more winners in my NFL picks for Week 8.

 TOP PICK
Titans vs Bengals prediction: Over 46.5

One of my first plays of Week 8 was taking the Over in this game. And with Jeffery Simmons swapping his trademark red sleeves for Chicago orange in a deal that has the Bears surging up the Super Bowl odds board, I like the Over even more, considering the Cincinnati Bengals will do the heavy lifting.

Simmons was the shining star and identity of the Tennessee Titans defense. His absence up front will drop the Titans even further down the defensive pecking order, which says something when they're already dead last in DVOA at FTN.

The Bengals picked apart a very good Ravens stop unit in the second half of last week's win. They finished with 7.0 yards per play and were a perfect 5 for 5 in the red zone, with Joe Burrow and his talented receiving corps finding their stride.

The Titans' secondary allows the second-highest completion rate and has been burned by multiple big plays, bleeding the fourth-most passes of 20+ yards entering Week 8. While they haven't given up many passing touchdowns, they haven't faced many QBs on Burrow's level.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Getting Over the total won't all be on Cincy. The Titans run an up-tempo attack that ranks third fastest in play clock used and battles a Bengals defense struggling on third downs (third-worst third-down rate).

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Titans vs Bengals combo

The Bengals do the lion's share of the scoring, but don't discount the Titans. They're playing with pace and face a Bengals defense that still has work to do. Our Week 8 SGP roundup features a Titans vs. Bengals combo as well.

Chase Brown finds the end zone to the cheers of fantasy owners everywhere. He faces a watered-down Titans defense that's allowed six scores to running backs.

Tee Higgins' projections call for as many as 91 yards against a Titans secondary giving up explosive plays.

Titans vs Bengals combo

  • Over 46.5
  • Chase Brown anytime touchdown
  • Tee Higgins 70+ receiving yards

Titans vs Bengals touchdown scorer: Chase Brown

If anyone was happy to see Simmons traded before Week 8, it was Bengals running back Brown.

He no longer has to worry about one of the premier run stoppers in the game, facing a Titans red-zone defense now missing its biggest cog. Even when Simmons was in the mix, the Titans had allowed six scores to rival RBs.

Brown has only one touchdown in 2026 despite 13 carries and three receptions in the red zone. Due to that drought, we're getting a discount on his anytime touchdown market in Week 8, considering this prop was trading around 60% two games ago.

Given the massive spread, the Bengals will be in a run-positive game script in the second half on Sunday, helping boost Brown's TD probabilities.

His TD forecasts range between 60% and 78%, given he's a threat to run one in or catch a touchdown pass. For other options, browse our Week 8 anytime touchdown picks.

Titans vs Bengals player prop: Tee Higgins 70+ receiving yards

The Bengals have arguably the best one-two punch at receiver in the NFL, with Higgins serving as Robin to Ja'Marr Chase's Batman. Just don't tell Higgins that.

He looked more like Superman in Week 7, putting in a monster effort in the win over the rival Ravens. He caught six of seven balls his way for 148 yards and a touchdown. That includes a 44-yard dinger on a broken play with Burrow dodging pressure.

We mentioned the Titans' problems giving up home runs over the top, and Higgins is one of the best deep threats in the land, averaging 21.6 air yards per reception and amassing eight catches for 20+ yards.

The Titans have also been burned by WR2s to start the season, ranking 24th in DVOA vs. WR2s at FTN while giving up almost 56 yards per game to those second options.

Higgins' Week 8 models are very bullish on his receiving yards, ranging from 65 to a high of 91. Most forecasts come in above 80 yards, and my projection sits just shy of 81 yards receiving.

Want more NFL player props? Check out our NFL player prop projections and Week 8 prop picks!

Jason Logan's 2026 Transparency Record
  • Top picks: 11-6, +3.67 units
  • Combos: 0-17, -17.0 units
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Titans vs Bengals odds

For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.

  • Spread: Titans +11.5 | Bengals -11.5
  • Over/Under: Over 46.5 (51%) | Under 46.5 (50%)
  • Moneyline: Titans 17% | Bengals 83%

For the full slate of NFL matchups, check out our NFL odds board!


More NFL Week 8 predictions


Titans vs Bengals weather

There's a 35%-55% chance of showers on Sunday afternoon, with game-time temperatures in the high 60s. Winds top out at 8 mph.

Check out our NFL weather page for up-to-date info on every matchup.

Titans vs Bengals trend to know

The Bengals are 31-23 Over/Under (57%) at home since 2020, including 16-11 (59% Overs) against totals below the key number of 47 points. Find more NFL betting trends for Titans vs. Bengals.

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How to watch Titans vs Bengals

Location Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati, Ohio
Date Sunday, Nov. 1, 2026
Kickoff 1 p.m. ET
TV CBS

Titans vs Bengals latest injuries

Check out our NFL injuries page for updates on every team.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Jason Logan Senior Industry Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst Jason Logan has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike.

Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet.

He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous NFL Underdogs column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jason's first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns.

On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast at stations like WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio, Jason's analysis has also been featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers' flagship podcast, The Sharp 600.

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