The New York Jets are short home favorites over the Las Vegas Raiders ahead of their 1 p.m. kickoff at MetLife Stadium on Sunday, Nov. 1.
My favorite Raiders vs. Jets prediction and NFL picks expect this total to soar Over the number in Week 8.
TOP Pick
Raiders vs Jets prediction: Over 45.5
The Las Vegas Raiders and New York Jets send out two of the worst defenses in the league, so I recommend this Over up to 46.5.
Las Vegas has allowed the highest offensive success rate while ranking dead last in defensive DVOA over the past five weeks. New York hasn't fared much better, sitting 26th in both metrics over that same stretch.
These two offenses are above average in both EPA per play and offensive success rate, and Vegas has also averaged the sixth-most points per game (26.1), while New York ranks 12th in PFF offense grade.
The market hasn’t caught up to Vegas, either, with the Raiders clearing the number in five straight games thanks to improved offensive efficiency and a subsequent defensive collapse.
COVERS INTEL: The Raiders have allowed the sixth-highest conversion rate on third and fourth downs, while the New York Jets have surrendered the ninth-highest.
Raiders vs Jets combo
Raiders quarterback Kirk Cousins has cleared this benchmark in each of the past six weeks while averaging 286.2 passing yards per game, and New York has surrendered the fourth-highest dropback success rate dating back to Week 3.
Turning to Jets receiver Omar Cooper Jr., he’s burst onto the scene the past two weeks and caught 11 of 12 targets for 218 yards, and the Raiders have allowed the fourth-highest EPA per dropback while ranking 29th in pass defense DVOA over the last five weeks.
Raiders vs Jets combo
- Over 45.5
- Kirk Cousins 225+ passing yards
- Omar Cooper Jr. 40+ receiving yards
Raiders vs Jets touchdown scorer: Ashton Jeanty
This touchdown prop is in play up to 56%.
The Raiders are committed to running back Ashton Jeanty, and he’s handled 67.7% of the red zone carries and 75% of the goal-line rushes this season.
Jeanty has also found the end zone in consecutive games, and the Jets have surrendered seven touchdowns to running backs through seven games.
New York also ranks 24th in rush stuff rate this season and has allowed the highest EPA per rush over the past five weeks.
- Top picks: 42-34, +6.96 units
- Combos: 0-15, -15 units
Raiders vs Jets odds
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
- Spread: Raiders +1.5 | Jets -1.5
- Over/Under: Over 45.5 (51%) | Under 45.5 (50%)
- Moneyline: Raiders 47% | Jets 54%
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Raiders vs Jets weather
The forecast calls for a high of 55°F, a 15% chance of rain under partly cloudy skies, and winds blowing out of the northwest at 8 to 11 mph, with potential gusts reaching up to 16 mph during game time.
Check out our NFL weather page for up-to-date info on every matchup.
Raiders vs Jets trend to know
Las Vegas has covered the spread in five of its last eight road games (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI). Find more NFL betting trends for Raiders vs. Jets.
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How to watch Raiders vs Jets
| Location | MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ |
| Date | Sunday, Nov. 1, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 1 p.m. ET |
| TV | FOX |
Raiders vs Jets latest injuries
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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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