The sell-off ahead of the NFL trade deadline has begun for a few teams already spiraling, setting up some potentially lopsided matchups to target in our NFL survivor pool expert picks for Week 8.
Most notably, that includes the Jacksonville Jaguars and Cincinnati Bengals. They face the Indianapolis Colts and Tennessee Titans, respectively, two struggling teams with a combined three wins.
The Jaguars and Bengals are both massive 10-plus-point favorites, making them a clear focus for our NFL picks.
NFL survivor pool expert picks for Week 8
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| Expert | Pick | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 82% | ||
| 80% | ||
| 80% | ||
| 82% |
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.
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Dustin Saracini’s expert pick: Bengals
The Rams and Texans hurt us deeply in back-to-back weeks after Houston lost to the JJ McCarthy-led Giants last Sunday.
We're riding with the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 8, as they host the Tennessee Titans in a matchup featuring Sunday's largest spread. While the Titans' defense is serviceable, their offense has been downright awful, averaging just 15.4 points per game and ranking 31st. That lack of firepower will make it nearly impossible to keep pace with Joe Burrow and Co., with the Bengals' offense ranking among the league's best in EPA/play.
Fire up the Bengals in this cupcake matchup and don't look back.
Josh Inglis' survivor pick: Jaguars
After a great start and avoiding the early mines, the Colts and Panthers have been backbreakers in back-to-back weeks for me. I'll roll with the 10.5-point favorite Jacksonville Jaguars now. They're coming out of the bye, Travis Hunter is adding a new element to a top-10 offense, and the Indianapolis Colts' locker room has a ton of noise with potential trade talks. Indy might have the biggest arrow pointing down heading into this week.
Joe Osborne's survivor pick: Jaguars
What an awful spot for the Colts, who are waving the white flag while trading away several key players, and others are asking to leave. The Jaguars, meanwhile, are coming off a bye and a loss, so there won't be any messing around against a Colts team that ranks 31st in net yards per play.
Geoff Clark’s expert pick: Bengals
The Titans are the easiest game on everyone's schedule, and facing them just became easier for Cincinnati after Tennessee traded four-time Pro Bowl DT Jeffery Simmons to Chicago on Thursday. Cincy is one of the healthiest teams in the NFL, and its offense erupted for 35 second-half points against the Ravens this past Sunday after a sluggish start coming out of the club's Week 6 bye.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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