NFL Week 11 is all wrapped up, while NFL Week 12 odds are on the betting board and already getting some action. Among the marquee matchups, the unbeaten Pittsburgh Steelers host the suddenly sliding Baltimore Ravens, and the Kansas City Chiefs face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Multiple oddsmakers provided insights on NFL Week 12 opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting. Covers will update this report with NFL sharp picks vs. public bets and line movement throughout the week.
NFL Week 12 Odds
These are the current NFL Week 12 odds, as of November 26. Click on each matchup in the table below to get updated in-depth information on the opening lines, sharp money, public betting and odds movement as we get closer to kickoff.
|Texans at Lions||12:30 p.m. ET Thursday||Lions +2.5||46.5|
|Washington at Cowboys||4:30 p.m. ET Thursday||Cowboys -2.5||46|
|Ravens at Steelers||3:40 p.m. ET Wednesday||Steelers -10.5||42.5|
|Raiders at Falcons||1 p.m. ET Sunday||Falcons +3||53.5|
|Cardinals at Patriots||1 p.m. ET Sunday||Patriots +1.5||50.5|
|Giants at Bengals||1 p.m. ET Sunday||Bengals +6||45|
|Browns at Jaguars||1 p.m. ET Sunday||Jaguars +7||48.5|
|Panthers at Vikings||1 p.m. ET Sunday||Vikings -3||49.5|
|Titans at Colts||1 p.m. ET Sunday||Colts -3||51.5|
|Chargers at Bills||1 p.m. ET Sunday||Bills -4.5||51.5|
|Dolphins at Jets||1 p.m. ET Sunday||Jets +7.5||45|
|Saints at Broncos||4:05 p.m. ET Sunday||Saints -16.5||36.5|
|49ers at Rams||4:05 p.m. ET Sunday||Rams -5||44.5|
|Chiefs at Buccaneers||4:25 p.m. ET Sunday||Buccaneers +3.5||56.5|
|Bears at Packers||8:20 p.m. ET Sunday||Packers -8||44.5|
|Seahawks at Eagles||8:15 p.m. ET Monday||Eagles +6.5||49.5|
Odds courtesy of The SuperBook
Lions +2.5, Over/Under 51
Why the line moved
UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Houston is up a notch to -3 at The SuperBook. "The Lions are without Kenny Golladay again," SuperBook manager/oddsmaker Eric Osterman said, noting the wideout will miss his fourth straight game due to a hip injury. "The Texans' offense finally looked decent last week. Not much sharp action on the game. More of a market move."
UPDATE 5 P.M. ET TUESDAY: This line jumped the fence from Lions -1.5 Sunday to Texans -3 by Monday afternoon at DraftKings, where 73 percent of point-spread bets and 70 percent of point-spread dollars are on Houston for the opening game on Thanksgiving. The total moved from 50.5 to 51.5 to 51, with 54 percent of bets and 72 percent of money on the Over.
Houston notched a 27-20 Week 11 home win over New England, while Detroit got blanked 20-0 at Carolina. The SuperBook opened the Texans -2.5 in the first game of a three-game Thanksgiving football feast, and there was no line movement through Sunday night. The total opened at 51 and also did not move Sunday night.
Cowboys -2.5, Over/Under 48
Why the line moved
UPDATE 4 P.M. ET THURSDAY: FanDuel opened Dallas -1.5 and peaked at -3, then dialed back to -2.5, where the line has stuck since late Tuesday morning. The Cowboys are attracting 71 percent of tickets and 78 percent of money on the spread. The total opened at 48 and dipped to 46, then inched up to 46.5 this afternoon, with 63 percent of tickets and money on the Over.
UPDATE 1:45 P.M. ET THURSDAY: The Cowboys opened -2.5 at William Hill US and spent most of this week at -3, taking 71 percent of bets and 75 percent of money on the spread. The total fell from 48 to 46, although tickets and money are running about 2/1 on the Over.
UPDATE 5 P.M. ET TUESDAY: Dallas inched from -2.5 Sunday to -3 Monday at DraftKings, with ticket count 2/1 and money 4/1 on the Cowboys for the middle of the three-game Thanksgiving sandwich. The total is down to 46 from an opener of 48, with 67 percent of bets on the Over, but 53 percent of money on the Under.
The NFC East is so bad that one of these two teams – both are 3-7 SU – could be in first place when Week 12 ends. Dallas got QB Andy Dalton back in Week 11 and notched a 31-28 road win over Minnesota, while Washington topped visiting Cincinnati 20-9.
In the middle Thanksgiving game, the Cowboys moved up to -3 within 30 minutes of The SuperBook posting this line. The total stuck at 48 through Sunday night.
Steelers -3.5, Over/Under 46
Why the line moved
UPDATE 2 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: William Hill US reopened this game Monday at Steelers -10, and the line moved to -10.5 earlier today. Ticket count is 2/1 Steelers and money is approaching 4/1 Steelers. The total is up to 42.5 from a reposted Monday number of 41.5, with 76 percent of bets and 72 percent of money on the Over.
UPDATE 1 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: NFL Week 12 comes to a belated end this afternoon in Pittsburgh, when this game is finally played, six days after the originally scheduled date. The matchup reopened Steelers -10 Tuesday morning at BetMGM's New Jersey hub, and the line moved to -10.5 within the past hour. Seventy percent of tickets and 79 percent of dollars are on Pittsburgh. The total went back up Monday at 41.5 and is now 42.5, with tickets and money both in the 2/1 range on the Over.
UPDATE 3:30 P.M. ET TUESDAY: Let's just recap the entirety of line movement on this crazy, thrice-delayed matchup: DraftKings opened Pittsburgh -2.5 on Nov. 22 and stretched to -4.5 on Nov. 23, as news broke of the Mark Ingram II/J.K. Dobbins COVID tests. The game came off the board, and the line went back up Nov. 24 at Steelers -4 and got to -5 on the night of Nov. 24, before dialing back to -4 last Wednesday, before news of Lamar Jackson's positive test. Then the game was postponed from Thursday to Sunday.
Late Friday night, after the NFL announced a second postponement from Sunday to Tuesday, DraftKings reopened at Steelers -7.5 and reached -10 on Sunday. Following Monday's news of further COVID issues with the Ravens, the game was moved from Tuesday to Wednesday. DraftKings posted the Steelers -10.5 this morning, dipped to -9.5 this afternoon and is currently -10. The total was also on and off the board throughout this time, but in a nutshell, it opened at 46 and is now 41.5.
Not surprisingly, Pittsburgh is drawing the bulk of action at DraftKings, garnering 71 percent of bets and 82 percent of money on the spread. The total is seeing 85 percent of bets on the Over, but just 63 percent of money is on the Over.
UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET TUESDAY: This oft-delayed game went back on the board this morning at The SuperBook, with Pittsburgh a 10-point chalk and a total of 41.5. There's been no movement so far with the line, but the total ticked up a notch to 42.
UPDATE 6:30 P.M. ET MONDAY: This game is being moved yet again, from Tuesday night to Wednesday, due to the Ravens' continuing COVID issues. So The SuperBook took this game off the board for the fourth time in the past week and will repost the game once there's more clarity on the situation. For the moment, kickoff is at 3:40 p.m. ET Wednesday.
UPDATE 8:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: This line has taken a scenic route Steelers -2.5 to -10.5 at FanDuel, thanks to the Ravens' COVID issues forcing the game to twice be rescheduled. Baltimore won't have Lamar Jackson, among several others, and Pittsburgh is landing tickets and money at a 4/1 rate for this 8 p.m. ET Tuesday tilt. The total tumbled from 46.5 to 41.5, with 83 percent of bets and 61 percent of money on the Over.
UPDATE 11:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: The SuperBook put this twice-rescheduled game back on the board Saturday morning at Steelers -7.5, and a few hours later, Pittsburgh moved to -8. The total reopened at 41.5, and there was no movement Saturday for this Tuesday night matchup.
UPDATE 11:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: This game is on the move once again, with the NFL announcing a shift to Tuesday night, after previously moving it from Thursday night to Sunday afternoon. The moves are all due to the Ravens' COVID situation, which includes a positive test from QB Lamar Jackson. This game is off the board for the third time this week at The SuperBook.
UPDATE 8:10 P.M. ET THURSDAY: After taking this game off the board twice due to the Ravens' COVID situation, The SuperBook put the line back up this morning at Steelers -4.5, with a total of 45. Then came reports in just the last hour that Baltimore QB and reigning MVP Lamar Jackson tested positive, and this game – already moved from Thursday night to Sunday afternoon – is off the board once again. And based on a tweet from ESPN's Adam Schefter, it sounds as if the Sunday slot is in jeopardy.
UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Earlier today, this game was moved out of the Thursday night slot and instead will be played Sunday afternoon, due to the Ravens' COVID situation. So for the second time this week, The SuperBook took the game off the board. The Steelers opened -3.5 before the game came down Monday morning due to the initial COVID report; it went back up at Steelers -4 Tuesday morning, stretched to -5.5, then actually got back to -4 Wednesday morning before news of the postponement. "There were sharps on the Steelers early," SuperBook manager/oddsmaker Eric Osterman said. "This game was Pros vs. Joes, but now that the game has been moved to Sunday, we will see if that's still the case. Also, sharp money on the Under." The total dipped from 46 to 44.5 before the game came down.
UPDATE 5 P.M. ET TUESDAY: DraftKings put Pittsburgh at -2.5 Sunday and is up to -4.5, certainly in part due to Baltimore's COVID situation. Running backs Mark Ingram II and J.K. Dobbins tested positive this week and are not available for the Thanksgiving nightcap, and on Tuesday, linebacker Pernell McPhee was put on the reserve/COVID list, meaning he's out Thursday, too. Point-spread tickets are running 3/1 and money 4/1 on the unbeaten Steelers. The total is down a point to 45, although tickets are 3/1 and money beyond 5/1 on the Over.
Pittsburgh remains the class of the league both SU and ATS, at 10-0 and 8-2, respectively, after coasting past host Jacksonville 27-3. Meanwhile, Baltimore has hit a slippery spot, losing three of its last four, including a 30-24 overtime setback to visiting Tennessee on Sunday. In fact, the Ravens' slide began with a 28-24 home loss to the Steelers.
"We opened Steelers -3.5 and took some money on the 'dog, and went to Ravens +3.5 (-120)," Murray said Sunday night of the Thanksgiving nightcap. "I’m guessing we will need the 'dog pretty big by kickoff, especially if we see the favorites cover in the early games. It seems like every Thanksgiving, we have favorites coming in early, and we end up loaded on the night game, hoping for the underdog to bail us out. The Ravens gave one away today to the Titans, and people may be ready to abandon ship on Baltimore. But in fairness, the Ravens did control most of the first meeting between these two teams."
On the total of 46, there was no movement Sunday night.
Falcons +1, Over/Under 56
Why the line moved
UPDATE 10:20 A.M. ET SUNDAY: BetMGM Nevada is getting slammed with Raiders action, including big plays of $200,000 on Raiders -3 early in the week and $110,000 on Raiders -3 Friday. "It's been all Raiders, 89 percent of straight-bet tickets, 98 percent of straight-bet money," BetMGM Nevada's Scott Shelton said. "I'd say sharps and public are on the Raiders. It's the biggest decision of the early games, and it could be the biggest decision of the day."
UPDATE 11:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: This line stuck at Raiders -3 all week at PointsBet USA, where 87 percent of tickets and 70 percent of money is on Las Vegas. The total moved from 55 to 55.5, then crept down to 53.5, with 71 percent of bets and 61 percent of money on the Over.
UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: The Raiders are up to -3 from an opener of -1 at The SuperBook. "That's reaction to how the Raiders looked against the Chiefs again. The Raiders are the only team to really give the Chiefs a run. And the Falcons got beat up by a Brees-less Saints team," SuperBook manager/oddsmaker Eric Osterman said.
UPDATE 9 P.M. ET TUESDAY: Las Vegas moved from -2.5 to -3 at DraftKings, and it's all Raiders early on, with tickets and money both beyond 9/1. The total nudged from 56 to 55.5, with 57 percent of bets on the Over, but but 58 percent of money on the Over.
Las Vegas fell just short to Kansas City in the Week 11 Sunday nighter, giving up a last-minute touchdown in a 35-31 home loss to halt a three-game SU and ATS win streak. Atlanta also fell in Week 11, 24-9 on the road against a New Orleans outfit missing Drew Brees. The Raiders opened -1 at The SuperBook, and there was no movement Sunday night.
Patriots +2.5, Over/Under TBA
Why the line moved
UPDATE 11:30 A.M. ET SUNDAY: DraftKings is down to Arizona -1, from an opener of -2.5 and a high point of -3, even though ticket count and money are running 9/1 on the Cardinals. The total is up to 50.5 from 48.5, with 61 percent of tickets and 72 percent of money on the Over.
UPDATE 11:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: The Cardinals opened -2.5 at PointsBet USA and dipped to -1 by Friday, then rebounded to -2. It's all Arizona on the point-spread, at 90 percent of tickets and money. There's been little movement on the total, from 49 to 49.5 and back to 49 in a Pros vs. Joes battle, with the Over getting 73 percent of bets and the Under taking 60 percent of money.
UPDATE 9 P.M. ET TUESDAY: DraftKings opened Arizona -2.5 and reached -3 this afternoon, but shortly thereafter dipped to -2, even with a ticket count of 9/1 on the Cardinals and practically all the early point-spread money on the short road favorite. The total is up to 49.5 from 48, with 68 percent of bets and 88 percent of money on the Over.
Both teams are coming off Week 11 losses, Arizona in the Thursday nighter at Seattle, and New England on Sunday at Houston. But SuperBook oddsmakers were more impressed with the Cardinals, as were early bettors.
"We opened Cardinals -2.5 and saw money come in on Arizona quickly to push us to Cardinals -3," Murray said. "I guess everyone will abandon the Patriots again, now that they lost today. It’s funny how much people overreact week to week. Be careful doing that, especially in the NFL."
Bengals +4.5, Over/Under 43
Why the line moved
UPDATE 10:45 A.M. ET SUNDAY: PointsBet USA opened the Giants -4.5, reached -6 early in the week and stuck there, with New York landing 91 percent of tickets and 75 percent of money on the spread. The total opened at 43, moved to 42 and is now up to 45, though 56 percent of tickets and 62 percent of dollars are on the Under.
UPDATE MIDNIGHT ET SATURDAY: With Cincinnati minus rookie quarterback Joe Burrow, New York opened -3.5 at FanDuel and stretched to -6 by Thursday, then ticked to -5.5 earlier today. It's a landslide of point-spread action on the Giants, at 93 percent of tickets and money. The total moved from 43.5 to 42.5 to 44.5, though 64 percent of bets and 72 percent of dollars are on the Under. And it appears Cincinnati will start Brandon Allen over Ryan Finley. Allen was activated off the practice squad this week.
UPDATE 9 P.M. ET TUESDAY: New York is up a point to -5.5 at DraftKings, where tickets and money are flowing more than 9/1 in favor of the road chalk. The total, on the other hand, has much less consensus while bouncing from 43 to 41.5 to 42.5, with ticket count running close to even and 67 percent of money on the Under.
Cincinnati lost at Washington 24-9 on Sunday, but the bigger issue coming out of that game was rookie QB Joe Burrow suffering a left knee injury, possibly a torn ACL that will end his season. The Giants are coming off a bye and are favored in this Week 12 tilt, as the Bengals go to backup QB Ryan Finley.
"Our look-ahead number (last week) was Giants +3 at Bengals. We saw sharp players take the +3 and we moved down to Giants +2.5," Murray said. "When we re-opened the game after the Burrow injury and the Bengals' loss today, we flipped it to Giants -4.5. Finley isn’t an NFL QB, and the Bengals' offensive line is terrible. Burrow is just a rookie, but you can see the value he already has in the betting markets."
Jaguars +7, Over/Under 46.5
Why the line moved
UPDATE 10:45 A.M. ET SUNDAY: Cleveland opened -6.5 at PointsBet USA and spent most of the week at -7 while taking 80 percent of spread bets and 87 percent of spread money. The total fell from 49 to 48, with 66 percent of bets on the Under and 55 percent of money on the Over.
UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: The Browns are down a tick to -6.5 at The SuperBook, despite – or perhaps because of – Wednesday's news out of Jacksonville that quarterback Mike Glennon will make his first start in three years. Glennon takes over for rookie Jake Luton, while Gardner Minshew's thumb injury continues to heal. But the bigger move here is on the total, which is up three points to 49.5. "Sharp money on the Over at 46, 47 and 48," SuperBook manager/oddsmaker Eric Osterman said.
UPDATE 9 P.M. ET TUESDAY: Cleveland is pinned to -6.5 so far at DraftKings, even though 73 percent of point-spread bets and 87 percent of spread dollars are on the Browns. The total is on the move, jumping from 46.5 to 49 by this morning, but with quite a disparity in betting splits: 60 percent of tickets are on the Under, but 83 percent of money is on the Over.
Cleveland is 7-3 SU and certainly in the AFC playoff picture, coming off a 22-17 home win over Philadelphia. On the flip side is Jacksonville at 1-9 SU and with no postseason hopes. The SuperBook opened the Jags +7 and made a minor tweak Sunday night, moving the price to even money.
Vikings -4, Over/Under 48.5
Why the line moved
UPDATE 11:30 A.M. ET SUNDAY: DraftKings opened the Vikings -4 and moved to -4.5 early, but the line is now down to -3, though tickets and money are about 3/1 on Minnesota. The total moved from 49 to 48.5, then up to 51.5 and back to 49.5, with 71 percent of bets and 86 percent of cash on the Over.
UPDATE MIDNIGHT ET SATURDAY: The Vikings bounced from -3.5 to -4.5 to -3 at FanDuel, where 63 percent of point-spread tickets and 58 percent of spread dollars are on Minnesota. The total moved from 50.5 to 51.5, then back to 50, with a 2/1 ticket count on the Over, but money almost dead even.
UPDATE 9 P.M. ET TUESDAY: Minnesota opened -4 at DraftKings and ticked to -4.5 a couple of times already, but is currently back at the opener. The Vikings are attracting 60 percent of tickets and 61 percent of money on the spread. DraftKings opened the total at 49 and moved to 48.5, though ticket count is 4/1 and money 9/1 on teh Over. Also, it appears Carolina QB Teddy Bridgewater will be in the lineup, after missing the Week 11 win over Detroit with a knee injury.
Teddy Bridgewater (knee) sat out Carolina's surprising 20-0 home shutout of Detroit, as backup P.J. Walker helped the Panthers snap a five-game skid. Meanwhile, Minnesota gave up a late TD and lost to Dallas 31-28.
With the Panthers' Week 12 QB situation unclear Sunday night, The SuperBook held off on posting this line.
Colts -3, Over/Under TBA
Why the line moved
UPDATE 11:30 A.M. ET SUNDAY: The Colts moved from -3.5 to -4, then down to -3 at DraftKings, and the betting splits reflect the downward move: the Titans are taking 62 percent of tickets and 66 percent of money on the spread. The total moved from 49.5 to 51.5 to 51, with 56 percent of bets/59 percent of money on the Over.
UPDATE 11:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: PointsBet USA opened the Colts -3.5 and quickly got to -4, then dialed back to -3, where the line spent most of the week. Ticket count and money favor the Titans, by counts of 2/1 and 4/1, respectively. The total moved from 50.5 to 51.5, with ticket count almost dead even and money 2/1 on the Over.
UPDATE 9 P.M. ET TUESDAY: Indianapolis moved from -3 to -4 by Monday evening, then ticked back to -3.5 this afternoon, with tickets and money actually running toward Tennessee, at counts of 2/1 and 4/1/ respectively. The total is up to 51 from 49.5, with 62 percent of tickets and 92 percent of money on the Over.
Indianapolis claimed a big win Sunday, knocking off visiting Green Bay 34-31 in overtime, and Tennessee likewise notched an overtime win, 30-24 at Baltimore. So these two teams, both 7-3 SU, will duke it out for first place in the AFC South, just two weeks after Indy went on the road and beat Tennessee 34-17.
"We opened Colts -3 (-120) and are now up to Colts -3.5," Murray said. "The wiseguys hammered the Colts on the road the first time these teams met. The Colts seem to get support from our sharper NFL bettors almost every week. They are a real sleeper team in the AFC, as long as Philip Rivers doesn’t do anything too stupid."
Bills -5, Over/Under 52
Why the line moved
UPDATE 11:30 A.M. ET SUNDAY: Buffalo is down to -4.5 at DraftKings, after opening -5.5 and topping out at -6. Still, tickets are more than 3/1 and money more than 5/1 on the Bills today. The total has been all over the place, from 52 to 54, then down to 51 and now 51.5, although 85 percent of bets and 90 percent of dollars are on the Over.
UPDATE 12:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Buffalo opened -5.5 at FanDuel and dipped to -4 by Friday evening, before ticking up a notch to -4.5. The line dipped because the Bills are taking 80 percent of tickets on the spread, but just 59 percent of money. The total moved from 52.5 to 53.5, then fell to 51.5 at lunch hour Friday on interesting betting splits: 94 percent of tickets are on the Over, but 55 percent of money is on the Over.
UPDATE 9 P.M. ET TUESDAY: The Bills opened -5.5 at DraftKings, spent literally a few minutes at -6 Monday morning and went back to -5.5. Ticket count is 2/1 and money beyond 6/1 on Buffalo. The total moved from 52 to 54 to 53, with 78 percent of early bets and 96 percent of early money on the Over.
Buffalo had a bye in Week 11, while Los Angeles fended off the still-winless New York Jets 34-28. The SuperBook opened the Bills -5 and stuck there through Sunday night, but the total was on the move, from 52 to 53.
Jets +7, Over/Under 46.5
Why the line moved
UPDATE 10:45 A.M. ET SUNDAY: PointsBet USA moved from Dolphins -7 to -6.5 and back to -7, with tickets running 5/1 and money 6/1 on Miami. The total is up a tick from 44.5 to 45, with 65 percent of bets and 59 percent of money on the Over.
UPDATE 2 P.M. ET SATURDAY: News just broke that Miami rookie QB Tua Tagovailoa (thumb) is now doubtful and Ryan Fitzpatrick almost a certainty to start. However, The SuperBook didn't budge off Miami -6.5, having moved there from -7 Friday, after Tagovailoa showed up as questionable on the injury report. The total didn't move, either, as it's been pinned at 44.5 since Wednesday, after opening 46.5.
UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: The total is the more noteworthy mover so far, dropping from 46.5 to 44.5 at The SuperBook. "Market move on the Dolphins total. I think it may have to do with questions on the Dolphins' offensive line," SuperBook manager/oddsmaker Eric Osterman said, alluding to injuries and COVID issues.
New York continues to bring up the rear in the NFL, falling to 0-10 SU after a 34-28 road loss to the Los Angeles Chargers. Miami rode a five-game win streak into Denver, but fell short 20-13. The Dolphins opened -7 flat at The SuperBook and adjusted to -7 (even) Sunday night, while the total was steady at 46.5.
Broncos +5.5, Over/Under 45.5
Why the line moved
UPDATE 3:45 P.M. ET SUNDAY: FanDuel opened New Orleans -5.5 and got to -7 Saturday, just before taking this game off the board due to Denver's QB-COVID situation. The line went back up very early today at Saints -15 and is now -17, with ticket count and money 2/1 on New Orleans. The total opened at 45.5 and fell to 42.5 before coming off the board Saturday, then went back up early today at 36.5, and it's now 36. Seventy-seven percent of bets and 72 percent of dollars are still on the Over.
UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: This game is just wild, with Denver set to start Kendall Hinton at quarterback, due to the actual quarterbacks on the team all being on the reserve/COVID list. Hinton is a wideout on the practice squad, though he played QB at Wake Forest. William Hill US took this game off the board Saturday afternoon, when it was at Saints -6.5, and reposted it this morning at -15.5, and the line jumped to -16.5 about an hour later. New Orleans is drawing 78 percent of point-spread tickets and 72 percent of point-spread money. The total came off the board Saturday at 43 and went back up today at 36, moved to 37 and is now 36.5, with ticket count 3/1 on the Over and money 2/1 on the Under.
UPDATE 7:45 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Over the past few hours, this game has developed into something of a debacle. Backup quarterback Jeff Driskel was put on the reserve/COVID list Thursday, and on Saturday afternoon, the rest of Denver's QB room joined him, including starter Drew Lock. So the Broncos have no quarterback for Sunday's game. It appears they'll go with either backup running back Royce Freeman under center or wideout Kendall Hinton, who's on the practice squad and played QB at Wake Forest.
PointsBet USA's Patrick Eichner said the game came off the board on the late-breaking news that Denver has no QBs available. The line went back up at Saints -14, "and that doesn't seem anywhere near big enough," Eichner said. Indeed, in less than an hour, the Saints stretched to -15.5.
UPDATE 5:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: New Orleans moved from -6 to -6.5 early Saturday morning, then went back to -6 a few hours later. However, on Saturday afternoon, Denver sent starting quarterback Drew Lock, backup Brett Rypien and practice squad QB Blake Bortles home from practice for precautionary reasons. On Thursday, QB Jeff Driskel tested positive for COVID. The SuperBook responded by taking this game off the board until there is more certainty on the status of Denver's QB situation.
UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Yet another game where the total is a notable early mover, in this case from 45.5 to 43.5 at The SuperBook. "That's reaction to Taysom Hill. The Saints are going to run the ball a ton with him at QB," SuperBook manager/oddsmaker Eric Osterman said. "Also, the Broncos have to run to be effective, and the Saints are good against the run."
UPDATE 9 P.M. ET TUESDAY: New Orleans bounced between -5.5 and -6 a couple of times at DraftKings and is currently at -6, with 80 percent of tickets and 89 percent of money flowing to the Saints. The total fell from 45.5 to 43.5 at DK, with 73 percent of bets on the Over, but 85 percent of dollars on the Under.
The Taysom Hill experiment got off to a successful start, as Drew Brees' replacement helped New Orleans post a 24-9 home victory over Atlanta. Denver also nabbed a Week 11 home win, cooling off Miami 20-13. The Saints opened -5.5 at The SuperBook, and there was no movement Sunday night, nor did the total move off 45.5.
Rams -6.5, Over/Under 46.5
Why the line moved
UPDATE 3:45 P.M. ET SUNDAY: The Rams opened -7 at FanDuel, peaked at -7.5 and are tumbling today, down to -4.5, yet tickets and money are still 4/1 on the Rams. The total dipped from 46.5 to 44.5, with 70 percent of bets on the Over, but just 53 percent of cash on the Over.
UPDATE 2 P.M. ET SUNDAY: BetAmerica opened Los Angeles -6.5 and reached -7.5 Tuesday afternoon, but has since dialed down to -5.5, with ticket count and money both just shy of 2/1 on the Rams.
UPDATE MIDNIGHT ET SATURDAY: This line jumped around throughout the week at FanDuel, from Rams -7 to -6.5, then to -7.5 before scaling back to -6 Thursday, where the number remains. The Rams are attracting 80 percent of spread bets and 71 percent of spread dollars. The total is down to 44.5 from 46.5, with 78 percent of bets on the Over, but 60 percent of money on the Under.
UPDATE 9 P.M. ET TUESDAY: Los Angeles moved from -7 to -7.5 and back to -7 at DraftKings, where 85 percent of early spread tickets and 63 percent of early spread dollars are on the Rams. The total opened 46.5 and is down to 45, with 60 percent of bets on the Over, but 94 percent of money on the Under.
Defending Super Bowl champion San Francisco hopes a bye week helps get its injury-wracked season back on track, while Los Angeles aims to keep pace with Seattle in the ultra-competitive NFC West. The Rams still have Week 11 work to do, with a Monday night game at Tampa Bay.
"We opened Rams -6.5 and are still there," Murray said Sunday night. "We haven't seen much play on this game. I’d expect us to need the 'dog here, but don’t anticipate it being a high-volume game.
Buccaneers +3, Over/Under 53
Why the line moved
UPDATE 3:45 P.M. ET SUNDAY: The Chiefs crept from -2.5 to -3.5 over the course of the week at FanDuel, where ticket count is 6/1 and money 4/1 on Kansas City. The total moved from 55.5 to 56.5 to 56, with tickets and money both just shy of 9/1 on the Over.
UPDATE 2 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Kansas City spent most of the week at -3, then on Saturday moved to -3.5 at BetAmerica, where ticket count and money are both running about 2/1 on the Chiefs.
UPDATE 11:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: The line bounced between the opener of Chiefs -3 and -3.5 all week at PointsBet USA, and it's currently -3, with tickets 6/1 and money approaching 4/1 on Kansas City. The total is up to 56.5 from the opener of 54, with strong Over action at 85 percent of tickets and money.
UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: The Chiefs ticked up to -3.5 Tuesday, but the bigger mover is the total, sitting at 56 after opening at 53. "Sharp action on Over 54 and 55," SuperBook manager/oddsmaker Eric Osterman said.
UPDATE 9 P.M. ET TUESDAY: This game didn't post until Tuesday morning at DraftKings, in the wake of Tampa Bay's home loss to the Rams on Monday night. Kansas City opened -3.5 and briefly touched -3 before returning to the opener, with early action seeing 72 percent of bets and 70 percent of money on the Chiefs. The total is on the move in a hurry today, going from 53 to 56, with practically all tickets and money on the Over.
It's the new guard of Patrick Mahomes against the old guard of Tom Brady, with Kansas City coming off a last-minute 35-31 win at Las Vegas, while Tampa Bay still faces the Week 11 Monday nighter against the visiting Rams.
"This will be the game that has everyone's focus next Sunday afternoon. I’d expect to need Tampa pretty big, especially if the Chiefs win and cover tonight against the Raiders," Murray said during the Week 11 Sunday night game, which K.C. won but did not cover as 7.5-point chalk. "The public loves Kansas City and will be happy to finally get to lay such a cheap number on the Chiefs."
Kansas City opened -3 for the Week 12 showdown. Per The SuperBook's standard operating procedure, Chiefs-Bucs came off the board during Sunday night's Chiefs-Raiders game. It will go back up Monday morning.
Packers -9.5, Over/Under 44.5
Why the line moved
UPDATE 7:55 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Shortly before kickoff, PointsBet USA is down to Packers -7.5, after opening this game Friday at -8.5 and stretching to -10 by this morning. Late action is crashing in on the underdog Bears. "Point-spread bets (are) at a perfect 50/50 split. Point-spread handle is a different story," PointsBet USA's Patrick Eichner said. "Some of our bigger players are on the Bears, helping Chicago acount for 81 percent of the money. We need Green Bay big time tonight." The total moved from 44.5 to 43.5 and is now back to 44.5, with 70 percent of bets and 89 percent of money on the Over.
UPDATE 6:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Green Bay went from -7 last Sunday to -9 by this morning at FanDuel, but it appears there's some late interest in Chicago, with this line down to -7.5 ahead of the Sunday nighter. The Packers are attracting 62 percent of spread tickets and 65 percent of spread money. The total of 44 is seeing ticket count and money just short of 3/1 on the Over.
UPDATE 2 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Green Bay initially moved from -8.5 to -7.5 at BetAmerica, then moved out to -10, but the line is down to -8 today. The Packers are getting 55 percent of tickets and 71 percent of money.
UPDATE 11:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: This game didn't hit the board at PointsBet USA until Friday, due to Chicago's uncertainty at quarterback. When it became clear that Nick Foles (hip) was almost certainly out and Mitch Trubisky back in, the line went up at Green Bay -8.5 and is now -9.5. However, the Bears are taking 56 percent of tickets and dollars on the spread. The total moved from 44.5 to 43.5 to 44, with 65 percent of tickets and 55 percent of money on the Over.
UPDATE 2:15 P.M. ET FRIDAY: The SuperBook finally posted this game today, at Packers -9.5/total 44.5, with it looking more like Mitch Trubisky will start Sunday night at Green Bay. Nick Foles is likely out due to a hip injury.
Green Bay blew a 28-14 halftime lead at Indianapolis on Sunday, losing 34-31 in overtime. Chicago had a bye in Week 11, but QB Nick Foles was injured in the Week 10 Monday night home loss to Minnesota. The Bears haven't yet clarified their Week 12 QB situation, so The SuperBook didn't post the Bears-Packers line Sunday night.
Eagles +6, Over/Under 52
Why the line moved
UPDATE 7:45 P.M. ET MONDAY: The Seahawks opened -5 at BetAmerica and stayed there most of the week, then moved to -5.5 Friday afternoon on the way to -6.5 by Sunday night. The point-spread betting splits at BetAmerica aren't nearly as lopsided as at other books, with tickets and money both in the 2/1 range on the Seahawks. The total opened at 52, bottomed out at 48.5 and is now 49.5 on two-way action, with 59 percent of bets and 56 percent of cash on the Over.
UPDATE 6:30 P.M. ET MONDAY: As is the case at seemingly every sportsbook, FanDuel is in a deluge of Seahawks tickets and money tonight. Seattle opened -4.5 but has spent most of the past week at -6.5, where the number remains now, with 89 percent of bets and cash on the Seahawks. The total moved from 51.5 to 48.5 to 49.5, with 65 percent of tickets and 77 percent of money on the Over.
UPDATE 1 P.M. ET MONDAY: This morning, Seattle ticked from its high point of -6.5 down to -6 at DraftKings, which opened the Seahawks -5.5 and hit -5 a couple of times early last week. Despite the shift down today, point-spread betting is still completely lopsided toward the Seahawks, who are grabbing 91 percent of tickets and 95 percent of cash. The total opened at 52 and got as low as 48.5, and it's currently 49, with 71 percent of tickets/63 percent of money on the Over.
UPDATE 8:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Seattle moved from -4.5 to -6.5 over the past week at FanDuel, where it's all Seahawks on the point spread, at 93 percent of tickets and money. The total isn't generating anything close to that kind of consensus, while falling from 51.5 to 48.5. Sixty-five percent of bets are on the Over, but money is much closer to two-way, with a very modest lean to the Over at 52 percent.
UPDATE 11:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: At PointsBet USA, Seattle opened -5 and crept to -6 by Saturday night, and bettors are all over the road chalk, to the tune of 90 percent of tickets and money. The total opened at 52 and made its way down to 49 by Friday, though 64 percent of bets/58 percent of money are on the Over.
UPDATE 9 P.M. ET TUESDAY: DraftKings opened this game at Seattle -5.5, and the line bounced to -5 a couple of times before returning to the opener this morning. That said, it's all Seattle, with Russell Wilson and Co. attracting 88 percent of early tickets and 98% of early money. The total moved from 52 to 51, with two-way ticket count leaning toward the Under (52 percent) and 96 percent of money on the Under.
Seattle fended off Arizona 28-21 in the Week 11 Thursday nighter, while Philadelphia lost at Cleveland 22-17 Sunday. The SuperBook opened the Seahawks -6 for the Week 12 Monday night game, and perhaps interestingly, the first move was toward the Eagles, with Seattle ticking to -5.5 Sunday night. The total was stable at 52.
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