The Cincinnati Bengals might not be good, but when it came to NFL betting they had been one of the best ATS bets in the league for the first half of the season.
Expect to see bettors abandon the Bengals like rats fleeing a sinking ship after stud rookie quarterback Joe Burrow suffered a season-ending injury on Sunday. The Bengals enter Week 12 as 5.5-point home underdogs against the 3-7 New York Giants.
We break down the NFL odds with our best free picks and predictions for the Giants vs Bengals on Sunday, November 29, with kickoff at 1 p.m. ET.
New York Giants at Cincinnati Bengals Betting Preview
It should be a mild afternoon at Paul Brown Stadium on Sunday, with temperatures around 50 degrees, partly cloudy skies, 5 mph wind, and a measly two percent chance of precipitation. Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NFL weather info.
Giants: Devonta Freeman RB (Out), Lorenzo Carter LB (Out), Sam Beal CB (Out), Nate Solder T (Out), Graham Gano K (Out).
Bengals: Joe Burrow QB (Out), Joe Mixon RB (Out), John Ross III WR (Out), DJ Reader DT (Out), CJ Uzomah TE (Out), Trae Waynes CB (Out), Mike Thomas WR (Out).
Find our latest NFL injury reports.
Against the Spread (ATS) Pick
The Bengals were 6-2 ATS to begin the year before getting clobbered by the unbeaten Steelers in Week 10. They were leading Washington 9-7 in the third quarter last week before Burrow suffered a torn ACL and it all fell apart. Backup QB Ryan Finley completed just three of 10 passes for 30 yards and one interception the rest of the way, as Cincinnati eventually fell by a score of 20-9.
Burrow was on pace to break virtually every rookie passing record in the league and more importantly, he kept the Bengals competitive in games they had no business being in. Now Cincy faces a Giants team that has won back-to-back games and is 4-0 ATS in its previous four contests.
The Giants aren't exactly a quality side, but they defeated Washington twice this year and have a solid defense. The G-Men are 12th in the league in scoring defense, holding opponents to 23.6 points per game, and that number has gone down to 20.6 ppg over their last five contests.
While the Giants offense hasn't been as reliable, they finally have a healthy receiving corps and should be able to keep QB Daniel Jones upright against a Bengals pass rush that has just 13 sacks. With the Bengals allowing the fourth-most yards per play in league, expect the Giants to move the ball well enough to win and cover.
PREDICTION: New York Giants -6 (-110)
The Over/Under is just 44 for this game, but considering that the Bengals are turning to practice squad QB Brandon Allen under center it's well deserved. Allen started three games for the Broncos last season and completed just 46.4 percent of his passes for 515 yards.
Opposing defenses had been teeing off on Burrow all year, with the Bengals allowing 36 sacks, and now they face a Giants pass rush that ranks fourth in the league in QB pressure rate.
Expect Allen to fold under pressure, and with Cincinnati running back Joe Mixon on the IR with a foot injury, the Bengals offense will crumble. We're not scared off by the low number as we lean towards the Under.
PREDICTION: Under 44 (-110)
Cincinnati's A.J. Green used to be one of the best receivers in the league but age and injuries have caught up to the seven-time Pro-Bowler, who might only be the Bengals No. 3 pass-catching option after Tyler Boyd and rookie Tee Higgins.
Green had four catches for 41 yards last week and had a couple of good games during the middle of the season but for the most part, he's disappeared this year. He's been shut out twice in recent weeks and has fewer than 37 receiving yards in six of his last nine games.
The outlook gets even worse for Green this week with Allen throwing the ball. Take the Under on Green's receiving yards total.
PREDICTION: A.J. Green Under 39.5 receiving yards (-115)
Giants vs Bengals Betting Card
- New York Giants -6 (-110)
- Under 44 (-110)
- A.J. Green Under 39.5 receiving yards (-115)
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