Broncos vs 49ers Picks & Props
DEN vs SF Picks
NFL PicksEven against a strong Denver defense, the 49ers have the explosiveness to create scoring opportunities. It helps that they own the best red-zone offense in football - scoring 90% of their trips inside the 20. Denver shouldn't need a huge offensive performance to get this game over the number, either. Nix showed flashes on Sunday Night Football in his 16-0 comeback victory, and is in a groove after two straight wins.
The San Francisco 49ers have been remarkably efficient on offense, with Brock Purdy leading a unit that generates an NFL-best 7.35 yards per play while also ranking first with 0.32 EPA per play. While injuries are beginning to pile up, the 49ers received encouraging news regarding Mike Evans on Monday. His presence will provide a significant boost against a stingy Denver Broncos defense. My biggest concern remains Bo Nix, who won't have the luxury of overcoming another slow start against this San Francisco team. The 49ers also boast a top-five red-zone defense, giving me plenty of confidence in their ability to cover.
DEN vs SF Consensus Picks
DEN vs SF Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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SPREAD
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TOTAL
Over
46.5 Total
48.28 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.8
DIFFERENCE
11.9%
EV
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- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
Recent Form Trends
Over is 5-0 in 49ers last 5 games as a favorite.
Under is 5-0 in Broncos last 5 games as a road underdog.
49ers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
49ers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Under is 4-0 in Broncos last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 4-0 in 49ers last 4 games as a home favorite.
Broncos are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.